The Brief: Graham Platner’s Exit Would Set Up a Busy Few Weeks in Maine

Maine Senate Thunderdome Here We Come?

Staring down the prospect of a candidate in a critical race having to be swapped out in July, with four months to go before the general election, Democrats might be feeling some PTSD.

But even before multiple outlets reported a sexual assault accusation Monday night (which Graham Platner denies), there were signs that Platner’s polling was weakening — the result of a months-long drumbeat of scandals, exhausting Democrats of all political stripes.

Still, most polls show the party retains a lead on the generic ballot. Mainers appear to want to send a Democrat to the upper chamber. And under state rules, Platner has until Monday to drop out. State Democrats would then have until the fourth Monday in July — July 27 — to name a replacement candidate, a delicate process that has the potential to anger everyone. (Josh Marshall described proposals for a flash convention to replace Biden in 2024 as “thunderdome” politics — something like that might be in the offing for Maine as well.)

Janet Mills, reportedly, is unlikely to be that replacement candidate, given her sleepy primary campaign. Most attention has focused on candidates who lost the governor primary — Nirav Shah, who led the state’s public health response through COVID; Troy Jackson, a former president of the Maine Senate; and Shenna Bellows, the current secretary of state, who lost to Susan Collins in the Senate race in 2014.

But first, Platner has to choose to withdraw. Abandoned by the state and federal party campaign organizations and most high-profile allies, he would seem to have little choice. Still, he wants to exercise some influence over his successor, a “person familiar” told the New York Times last night.

“If he was to step down it would only be with a guarantee of being replaced by a candidate who he believes is true to the values and vision and policy agenda of the campaign that Maine voted for,” that person said.

July 13 is fast approaching.

SAVE Act Switcheroo, Pt. II

UNITED STATES – OCTOBER 7: Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S. Dak., watches as Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, R-La., speaks during the Senate Republicans’ news conference on the government shutdown following the Senate Republicans’ lunch meeting in the U.S. Capitol on Tuesday, October 7, 2025. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

As Emine Yücel reported yesterday, Mike Johnson is once again floating the idea of doing President Trump’s SAVE America Act through the budget reconciliation process.

We saw an attempt to do this in the spring, as well. Its a story that fascinates me because it seems to be a clear attempt to basically pull the wool over Trump’s eyes and declare the SAVE America Act passed without actually passing it in anything like it’s current form.

Let me explain:

  • Budget reconciliation is a process that lets the Senate pass legislation with a 50-vote majority, so long as it is related to the budget.
  • The SAVE America Act, a sweeping voter suppression bill, is not related to the budget.
  • So in order to do something called “the SAVE America Act” through budget reconciliation, the Senate would have to agree to (a) blow up how the body functions and, potentially, fire the parliamentarian — something for which Sen. Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) has said he has no appetite — or (b) pass something that is not the SAVE America Act but that they call “the SAVE America Act” through reconciliation.
  • The times this plan has surfaced, its backers seem to land on option B: potentially some kind of block grants (budget related!) to states that impose voter ID laws and let the federal government review their voter rolls. Such a plan is very much not the SAVE America Act, an attempted federal government takeover of voting.
  • The whole back and forth tells us a lot about Trump-era politics. Trump’s allies in Congress seem to be betting the president won’t have the attention to detail to distinguish between his signature bill (which cannot get through reconciliation) and something that is very much not his signature bill (which can). Getting Trump off congressional leaders’ backs seems to be the animating objective.
  • At the same time, it’s playing with fire. The SAVE America Act is no joke. Any renewed Republican attempt to pass it in any form — however farcical — is worth watching.

Tabs

  • Mitch McConnell’s office released a statement yesterday that the 84-year-old former Senate Majority Leader “continues to improve, and is working closely with his staff on Kentucky and Senate matters while the Senate is out of session.” But few specifics about his condition following his hospitalization on June 14 are known.
  • The bipartisan housing bill, which Trump refused to sign without action on the SAVE America Act, is on track to simply become law without a signature or veto from him, Semafor reports.
  • “A group that says it represents more than 1,500 congressional staffers is pressing House and Senate leaders to overhaul how Capitol Hill handles sexual misconduct complaints,” the Washington Post reports.

Man of the Hour

OGUNQUIT, MAINE – OCTOBER 22: U.S. senatorial candidate from Maine Graham Platner speaks at a town hall at the Leavitt Theater on October 22, 2025 in Ogunquit, Maine. Platner, a veteran of the U.S. Marines and an oyster farmer, is running for the seat held by Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME). (Photo by Sophie Park/Getty Images)

It’s Graham Platner for staying in the race through July despite knowing what was coming.

(For those readers just joining the brief today, this category is, shall we say, an ironic one.)

Platner Pod Coming

Kate and I recorded an emergency insta-pod episode of the podcast to discuss the sexual assault allegation against Graham Platner which Politico published this afternoon. That pod will be on your devices shortly. It’s looked, since we recorded around 5 pm ET, that this was it for his campaign. Comments like “assessing the best path forward” are campaign speak for we’re pulling the plug. More news since then only confirms that apparent read.

FCC Chief Carr’s Threats of Retribution Seem To Be Working

Federal Communications Commission Chair Brendan Carr has been one of the most successful sycophants of Trump II thus far, as he increasingly finds creative ways to use his post as head of the communications commission to clamp down on free speech and punish and threaten those in the media whose coverage and commentary President Trump does not like. It’s a story TPM has been covering for months, since Carr’s first attempts to try to get comedian Jimmy Kimmel fired in September of last year.

Continue reading “FCC Chief Carr’s Threats of Retribution Seem To Be Working”

Our Next Event

The American political situation is….sub-optimal. The state of the journalism industry is even worse. There are pockets of hope and optimism, however! Join TPM founder and Editor in Chief Josh Marshall and The Handbasket founder Marisa Kabas for a conversation about how independent media outlets are making it work in an era of consolidation and corporate fealty — and how they’re covering the never-ending chaos of the Trump administration. Get your tickets here!

The conversation will be followed by a happy hour with TPM staff.

Who: TPM founder and editor Josh Marshall & The Handbasket founder, Marisa Kabas (Moderated by TPM publisher Joe Ragazzo)

What: A conversation about independent news media and covering the Trump Administration

When: Wednesday July 29, 6:30 p.m. to 9 p.m.

Where: Crystal Lake Brooklyn

Why: Because it’s fun to hang out with friends and have a drink no matter who happens to be in office

What Would and Should Court Reform Look Like?

I’ve been beating the drums for years about reforming the Supreme Court to bring its corruption and anti-democracy to heal. In general I’ve avoided getting very detailed about what reform would look like for two reasons. First, there are technical details I lack knowledge about and which others are more able to address. Second, my focus is on building support for the premise, the necessity of reform. Getting too bound up or identified with really specific reforms can get in the way of that.

However, I get asked this a lot. So I wanted to explain the outline of the reform path that makes the most sense to me. I put this forward as a concept, with the understanding that some points might need fine tuning either for technical or constitutional reasons.

Recommendation

Donald Trump now appears to have latched onto “communist” and the threat of “communism” as his new turnkey solution to the building anti-Trump wave set to crash in November. I would submit that the proper response to this is, “liar! crooked fool!” and go back to the offensive messaging. End of recommendation.

Johnson Has a Not So New Plan For Passing GOP’s Voter Suppression Bill

For months now, the far-right’s desire to pass the SAVE America Act — a voter suppression bill championed by election deniers and President Donald Trump that would require people to provide proof of citizenship and photo ID to be able to vote — has hobbled Republican leadership and their efforts to pass various legislative priorities.

Trump, aided by MAGA lawmakers on Capitol Hill, have slowed down or scuttled attempts to finalize several GOP priorities, in the process torpedoing their own party’s agenda and beclowning colleagues ahead of what is expected to be a critical midterm election.

Continue reading “Johnson Has a Not So New Plan For Passing GOP’s Voter Suppression Bill”

It Doesn’t Have to be Like This

Greetings!

Many thanks to the eminently capable Sarah Posner for standing in for me here the past two weeks while I was on vacation in Copenhagen.

Thanks for the Tips!

You outdid yourselves with recommendations, tips, and dos/donts for Copenhagen and the surrounding area.

Copenhagen’s food scene remains vibrant, and we ate extremely well, but thanks to you, we landed in some gems we otherwise would not have encountered.

Your tips on what to avoid were handy, too, and let us double down on some points of interest we happened upon along the way, rather than wasting time on more conventional attractions.

Again, thank you. Your emails were thoughtful, clever, insightful, and proved you to be the well-traveled lot that I imagined you to be.

I Need to Get Out More

This was my first trip abroad since the onset of the Trump II presidency, and it was an invigorating antidote to my own provincialism. As much as I deplore American self-centeredness, I am guilty of it, too.

Just as it’s important to contextualize America’s rightward lurch with Europe’s, it’s critical to look abroad for other examples of durable democracies, cultural strengths, policy solutions, and ways of doing things.

By American standards, Denmark is tiny. Its combination of population (6 million), land area (16,000 mi² for Denmark proper), nominal GDP ($501 billion), and per capita nominal GDP ($81,000) makes it roughly comparable to Maryland.

I’m actually partial to Maryland and it’s geographic, demographic, and cultural diversity — from the Chesapeake Bay region to the urban density of Baltimore to the suburban sprawl around D.C. to its thoroughly Appalachian panhandle — but I spent a lot of time imagining Maryland as a NATO member responsible for its own national defense, with universal health care, a splendid rail and transit system, and free college tuition.

I am more prone than most to romanticizing the places I visit, and this was purely a personal pleasure trip, not a reporting junket. So I want to be careful not to let my enthusiasms get the best of me, or pretend my casual observations as an enchanted tourist are serious analysis. Denmark is not perfect. It has struggled with increased immigration, showing spasms of anti-immigrant assholery like we’ve seen here. An aging population is straining its health care system. Trump’s designs on Greenland and his abandonment of NATO have forced it into historically high levels of defense spending.

And yet … the thing that drew me there — Copenhagen’s reputation as a humane, livable, bicycle-centric city — didn’t prepare me for its bustling, entrepreneurial, vibrant economy. There’s construction everywhere, and not just new construction, but renovations, repairs, and constant upkeep. The Danes seem to have a cultural aversion to the kind of maintenance debt that we’re so familiar with in the United States, especially for public infrastructure.

Things are tidy, well-kept, and invested in — in both public and private spaces. Every public clock I saw was working and told the correct time. I found myself improbably marveling over the quality of windows and doors even in ancient buildings. Things are tight, sealed, and useable. Stuff works.

I’ve never been especially persuaded by the claims that America used to do things but doesn’t anymore. After seeing all the “doing” going on in Denmark, I’m having second thoughts. Most maddening was the extent of the EV infrastructure in urban Copenhagen. While D.C. and other American cities have hemmed and hawed and puzzled and quarreled over how to respond to the EV revolution, Copenhagen just did it. Chargers are everywhere. They’re not obtrusive. They’re not over-engineered. They’re tucked in along sidewalks, emerge from cobblestone streets, and manage to blend in like parking meters. With space constraints and historic streets and architecture to consider, they just got busy and did it.

None of Denmark’s charms by themselves point toward a path forward here, where one of the two major political parties has spent two decades torpedoing good governance, indulging in epic political corruption, and not just eschewing responsibility for the real problems we face but actively making them worse for its own Machiavellian purposes. But Denmark was a needed reminder of what things can look like when stuff is getting done — and that it’s a choice that every society makes not just at each election but every day in every way. It’s more cultural than political, a social movement born of countless individual decisions.

I needed a reminder of what that felt like because it’s easy to lose the memory of that feeling.

Reentry Was Rough

I made it back to D.C. in time for the Fourth — and 100 degree temperatures. The roar of military jets streaking outside my apartment window most of the day Saturday made for an unsettling Trump-infused holiday.

Photo of the Day

Programming Note

Back to the more typical Morning Memo tomorrow, but I’ll mix in some more Denmark reflections this week. Thanks for indulging me.

News? Tips? Feedback? Please let me know. For sensitive information, use the encrypted methods here.

Trump Admin Appears to Delete Air Conditioner Guidance Amid Right-Wing Freakout

Good morning. Hope you had a good holiday weekend. Here are a few stories TPM is following heading into this week…

What Freedom Truly Means

Heading into a very hot weekend, New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani advised city residents to set their thermostats to 78 degrees, part of an effort to avoid overtaxing the power grid. 

Naturally, right-wing influencers and MAGA activists were appalled that Mamdani would attack New Yorkers’ freedom in this way ahead of America’s 250th birthday. 

Continue reading “Trump Admin Appears to Delete Air Conditioner Guidance Amid Right-Wing Freakout”