Trump Outright Denies Arlington Cemetery Altercation

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

Trump: ‘It Was A Made Up Story’

The plot, as they say, thickens.

Since we last touched base on Trump’s Arlington National Cemetery fiasco, none of the big six outstanding questions have been answered – but Trump may have given himself a new self-inflicted wound.

With the Army declaring the case “closed” after the cemetery staffer in fear of MAGA reprisals declined to press criminal charges over the alleged incident and with a holiday weekend allowing attention to drift away from the story, Trump took the curious step of reigniting the firestorm by publicly issuing a complete denial Tuesday that any kind of altercation took place.

Not only did it not happen but the story was “made up,” Trump claimed, by “Comrade Kamala and her misinformation squad.” It was, in Trump’s telling, just a “BEAUTIFUL DAY OF HONOR” with “no fights or problems.”

Here’s his post:

So now we have a situation where the Trump campaign disparaged the cemetery staffer as having a “mental health episode,” said she shouldn’t be in her job, suggested she suffered from Trump Derangement Syndrome – and now Trump himself is claiming nothing even happened.

At the same time, the Army seems desperate to make this all go away.

The Army is currently sitting on the police report filed by the cemetery staffer recounting her version of the incident where she was reportedly verbally abused and shoved aside by two Trump campaign staffers when she tried to enforce cemetery rules against political activities.

As of late last week, Democratic staffers on the Senate Armed Services Committee “have been directly communicating with Army officials about the incident, and are in the process of seeking and receiving the information in the report and about what happened,” according to Greg Sargent

At the same time, House Democratic staffers attempting to looking into the matter are “frustrated” about resistance from the Army they’re running into, Sargent reports:

Meanwhile, senior House Democrats are privately pushing Army officials to say more clearly what laws or regulations they think may have been broken and to reveal more details about what happened, another aide says, noting that Democratic staffers are encountering resistance, leaving them frustrated.

With Trump issuing a blanket denial of any incident even occurring, is the Army going to release the police report and provide more details about the incident or leave the cemetery staffer twisting in the wind?

A Story Begging For More Attention: Trump And Egypt

Minority Democrats on the House Oversight Committee, who lack subpoena power, are trying to keep attention focused on last month’s WaPo article on a secret probe into whether Donald Trump accepted $10 million from Egypt – an investigation that was allegedly stymied by the Trump DOJ.

In a letter to Trump dated yesterday, Democratic Reps. Jamie Raskin (MD) and Robert Garcia (CA) asked him to “immediately provide the Committee with information and documents necessary to assure the Committee and the American public that you never, directly or indirectly, politically or personally, received any funds from the Egyptian President or government.”

Trump is under no obligation to respond to their request.

Trump Prosecution Watch

Hush money case: A federal judge in Manhattan rejected Donald Trump’s effort to remove his hush money case from state to federal court, in what amounted to a last-ditch bid to avoid his upcoming sentencing for his conviction.

Jan. 6 case: While we await tomorrow’s hearing in federal court in DC on how U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan will handle the issue of presidential immunity, some light reading for you:

Tucker Carlson Is At It Again

The ousted Fox News host invited Holocaust revisionist Darryl Cooper onto his show on X, where Cooper proceeded to call Winston Churchill the “chief villain” of World War II and stripped the Nazis of their own agency in the concentration camps, saying “millions of people ended up dead there” as if by happenstance. Elon Musk tweeted about the episode – “Very interesting. Worth watching” – before deleting the tweet.

Eeesh …

GOP Senate nominee Tim Sheehy (R-MT), the challenger to Sen. Jon Tester (D), was recorded during multiple private fundraisers last year trafficking in stereotypes of Native Americans.

The recordings were first reported last week by the The Char-Koosta News, which bills itself as “The Official News Publication of the Flathead Indian Reservation.” It was subsequently picked up by the NYT:

In one recording, Mr. Sheehy, a cattle rancher and businessman, can be heard saying that he had participated in roping and branding cattle on the Crow Reservation, in southeastern Montana, and that it was “a great way to bond with all the Indians out there, while they’re drunk at 8 a.m.” In another clip, he said that he had ridden in a Crow parade, and that “they’ll let you know whether they like you or not, there’s Coors Light cans flying by your head.”

Neither Senate campaign opted to comment to the NYT.

Okaaay …

Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson (R-NC), the GOP nominee for governor with a long history of online extremism, allegedly had a different pastime in his pre-Facebook days, according to the North Carolina news site The Assembly. That prompted this tweet for the ages:

Chinese Influence Scheme Alleged … In NY Guv’s Office

Manhasset, N.Y.: This an aerial view of the Saxony Court, home in Manhasset, New York belonging to Chris Hu and Linda Sun, July 24, 2024. Sun is the former deputy chief of staff for New York State governor Kathy Hochul. The FBI searched the home on July 23, 2024. (Photo by J. Conrad Williams Jr./Newsday RM via Getty Images)

A woman who worked at senior levels of the New York governor’s office for more than a decade was indicted on multiple counts for what federal prosecutors allege was a long-running, wide-ranging scheme to do China’s bidding in return for money, travel, and other goodies. Her husband was also charged in connection with the alleged scheme. They both pleaded not guilty.

Linda Sun and Chris Hu were apparently not subtle about their expenditures, via the NYT:

Prosecutors say Ms. Sun and Mr. Hu laundered the money they received to buy, among other things, their $3.6 million, five-bedroom home on a cul-de-sac in Manhasset, on the North Shore of Long Island; a $1.9 million condominium in Honolulu; and luxury cars, including a 2024 Ferrari.

The FBI raided their Long Island home in July. Sun was a deputy chief of staff to Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) for about 15 months, ending in 2022.

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Can Anyone Explain This Transaction To Me?

I got put on to this by an email from TPM Reader MS.

It’s weird.

The background here is that back at the beginning of the Biden administration, Mike “MyPillowGuy” Lindell started something called FrankSpeech Inc., a would-be right wing news channel which mainly does streaming. A few days ago FrankSpeech announced what it called a “going public transaction.” Not being very well versed in the world of deeply sketch over-the-counter stock events, it took me a while to make sense of what this announcement was saying. But the gist is this: FrankSpeech Inc. (Lindell’s weirdo news network) is merging with a company called InCapta. The announcement doesn’t say what InCapta does other than that it is a “company renowned for over 46 years of excellence in business and development.”

Continue reading “Can Anyone Explain This Transaction To Me?”

Louisiana Offers Up More Women’s Bodies In Its Quest To Ban All Things Abortion-Related

Anti-abortion activists have been attacking mifepristone for decades. That mission has resulted in unnecessary restrictions on the abortion drug, renewed state legislative pushes to make it less accessible and a battery of lawsuits to get it yanked from the market altogether.

Continue reading “Louisiana Offers Up More Women’s Bodies In Its Quest To Ban All Things Abortion-Related”

The Battle to Bring Harris Down

I wanted to flag two articles to your attention, one from the Post and the other from CNN. They both cover similar ground but in different ways. The gist is that the Trump campaign has essentially given up on trying to improve voters’ impression of Donald Trump and decided the only path to victory is driving down Harris’ favorability numbers. When I first read the Post piece, it had the feel of what journalists call a “source greaser” — a favorable piece aimed at generating good will on the part of the subject and sources of the piece. The quote from GOP consultant Josh Holmes captures the tone of the piece: “I think it’s a serious paper tiger we’re dealing with here. I don’t think for 60 days they can keep the train on the tracks.”

Continue reading “The Battle to Bring Harris Down”

SCOTUS Has Set Up Tanya Chutkan To Fail In The Jan. 6 Case

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

The High Court’s Cat’s Paw

We have our first glimpse of the mess that the Supreme Court’s abomination of a decision on presidential immunity created in the Jan. 6 case.

Special Counsel Jack Smith and Donald Trump filed a joint status report in the case late Friday that was barely joint at all. They agreed on one peripheral issue that is set by statute and not really disputable. On everything else, they disagreed and set out their respective positions.

The joint status report didn’t provide much clarity to U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan, who is going to have to hash out the Supreme Court’s mandate largely on her own. And that, more than the respective positions taken by each side, is really the point here.

The Supreme Court is treating Chutkan like its cat’s paw. In upending our historical and legal understanding of the limits of presidential immunity, the high court gave Chutkan vague instructions on remand, set uncertain legal standards for what she is to decide, and reserved for itself abundant opportunities to second guess her decisions.

Whatever pre-trial arrangements Chutkan comes up with to try to thread the needle on immunity, the Supreme Court will get another chance to bat around. By then, Trump could be president again and none of this will matter if he orders his own Justice Department to dismiss the case against him. In fact, Trump’s proposed pre-trial schedule pushes anything that poses a risk to him past Inauguration Day 2025.

Chutkan has scheduled a status conference for Thursday, when we might begin to get a clearer picture of how she envisions navigating the impossible task that she was given in bad faith.

Quote Of The Day

Let me be clear: the former president disrespected sacred ground, all for the sake of a political stunt.

Kamala Harris, in her first remarks on Donald Trump’s fiasco at Arlington National Cemetery

It’s Getting Worse

  • In a Friday incident at a Trump rally in Pennsylvania, a man stormed the press section before being detained by security, while Trump declared from the stage: “He is on our side.”
  • As his polling lead has slipped away, Trump has fronted his racist appeals more explicitly:
  • WaPo: Trump eyes plan that may give Elon Musk role in auditing U.S. agencies

The GWOT-MAGA Nexus

TPM’s Josh Kovensky: MAGA Looks to Notorious War On Terror Lawyer John Yoo For Trump II Inspiration

2024 Ephemera

  • ABC News/Ipsos poll: Harris leads Trump nationally among likely voters 52%-46%.
  • Politico: House and Senate Republicans are starting to panic about a huge money gap with Democrats
  • WaPo, on Trump’s strategy against Harris: “With little chance of improving Trump’s standing, Trump’s advisers see the only option as damaging hers.”

So Much Is Riding On Montana

TPM’s Kate Riga: “For Democrats to maintain Senate control, Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) needs to win reelection in a state Donald Trump won by 16.4 percentage points in 2020.”

What Ken Paxton Is Up To In Texas

WaPo: Paxton’s election fraud charges upend lives but result in few convictions

MUST READ

Convicted fraudsters Jacob Wohl and Jack Burkman have a launched a DC startup under fake names that purports to integrate AI into lobbying, Politico reports.

Axis Of Disinformation

  • WSJ: Beijing-Backed Trolls Target U.S. Voters as Election Nears
  • NYT: Activists Charged With Pushing Russian Propaganda Go on Trial in Florida

On Gumbo And Chronic Disappointment

A pivotal moment of Kamala Harris’ nomination acceptance speech at the Democratic convention was when she mentioned … gumbo.

On the one hand, it had to have been the first reference to gumbo by a nominee in their convention speech in American history, a thrilling moment for Louisianans everywhere. On the other hand, as a Louisiana friend and I were discussing the next day, what kind of bastardized version of gumbo was Harris exposed to in the Bay area? Ick!

Once you leave the state, or travel north of Ville Platte*, you know better than to order gumbo no matter how much you miss it. It’s a life lesson in chronic disappointment.

I was prepared to to leave it there, but then this happened and now I don’t know what to think:

That’s a real-deal greens recipe. There’s no one right way to prepare greens, but this is an entirely legit method. She’s talking the talk and walking the walk. Plus, she makes a big enough batch that she has to use her bathtub to wash the greens!?! Total respect.

But look, I’ve been down this road before, lured into a false sense of security that an out-of-state restaurant might be able to pull off gumbo. The chef is from Louisiana! The owner was stationed in Louisiana when he was in the military! We fly our ingredients in from Louisiana! And with pangs of wistfulness, I let my guard down, emotion overtakes reason, nostalgia for what was prevails over the hard reality of what is.

What emerges from the kitchen every time is a gloopy mess of a dish that is the wrong color, the wrong texture, the wrong ingredients, and tastes nothing like gumbo at all. You can slap whatever name on it you want, but it’s not gumbo.

Or as my skeptical Louisiana friend put it after watching Harris expound on greens: “Tabasco doesn’t cure gumbo fails.”

I know this game. Harris is Lucy and I am Charlie Brown.

*Editor’s note: It’s possible the cultural boundary line has nudged north since my youth, but when I start to see pine trees I know to expect Southern cooking, not Cajun.

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MAGA Looks to Notorious War On Terror Lawyer For Trump II Inspiration

As Trump allies seek to justify deploying the military at home — be it to round up undocumented immigrants, quell protests, or simply make an aggressive point — they’re looking again and again to the early 2000s. The nation is in crisis. An invisible enemy has attacked, requiring a powerful presidency to confront a novel threat.  

Continue reading “MAGA Looks to Notorious War On Terror Lawyer For Trump II Inspiration”

Keep an Eye on Those Favorability Numbers

We’re all destined for a couple months watching horse-race polls because many of us simply can’t help ourselves. (What is it? A desire for information? Managing anxiety? A questing play for agency over the contingent and unknown?) But I want to go back to something I mentioned a week or two ago: Kamala Harris’s favorability numbers, apart from the horse race. Those have now gone from a deficit of negative 17.4 percentage points on July 4th to .9 net negative percentage points today. (I’m using 538’s composite average just because I find that one easy to find and navigable.) As I mentioned in that earlier post, that kind of movement is, as far as I know, more or less unprecedented. You simply don’t get more popular these days. Not like that. Undulations, sure. But generally you get less popular over time, not more.

Continue reading “Keep an Eye on Those Favorability Numbers”

Both Candidates Think They Can Win Over Union Voters—Though Only One Has The Labor Bona Fides

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation.

Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris and Republican nominee Donald Trump are in a tight race for the White House. Every voting bloc will count — including members of labor unions and other people in their households.

The majority of union leaders have over generations endorsed Democratic candidates, and this race is no exception. Although rank-and-file union members have also historically sided with the Democratic Party by large margins, that support has wavered for at least the past 45 years. In 2016, exit polls indicated that voters in union households supported Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton over Trump by only 8 percentage points, down from 18 percentage points in 2012 when Barack Obama was on the ballot.

No Democratic presidential nominee had fared worse with union voters since Ronald Reagan’s wins over Jimmy Carter and Walter Mondale in 1980 and 1984.

Union voters are particularly prominent in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Nevada, three swing states where the share of voters who belong to unions is above the national average of 10%.

A late 2023 New York Times/Siena College poll of six swing states that Joe Biden won in 2020 — those three plus Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin — shows that Biden and Trump were tied at 47% among union voters when they were asked who they’d vote for in 2024. Biden had an 8 percentage point advantage with these same voters in 2020, according to a different survey.

3 key issues

Union voters, like all U.S. citizens, are concerned about many issues. But they are more likely than most people to seriously consider a candidate’s record in terms of support for workers and organized labor. Labor historians generally concur that the Biden administration has the second-strongest labor-friendly record, after Franklin D. Roosevelt.

And I find that historian Nelson Lichtenstein, who contends that Trump’s years in office were bad for organized labor, is representative of how labor experts see his track record.

In my view as a labor studies scholar, three aspects of the candidates’ records are the most likely to sway union members one way or the other.

Federal workers

Trump signed three executive orders in 2018 that restricted the labor rights of approximately 950,000 federal government employees who belong to unions. In 2020, he signed another measure, known as Schedule F, that The Washington Post described as “designed to gut civil service job protections.”

Biden rescinded those executive orders. He also established a White House task force charged with making recommendations for how to streamline the procedures for federal worker union organizing, which Harris chaired. The number of federal employees in unions has risen by tens of thousands during the Biden administration.

Union elections

Rules governing how elections are conducted once workers express an interest in forming a union date back to the 1930s, when Roosevelt signed the National Labor Relations Act into law. The National Labor Relations Board, created by that legislation, oversees union elections.

In 2019, when Trump appointees held a majority of the NLRB’s five seats, the board overturned an Obama-era NLRB ruling mandating speedy elections. In 2023, when Biden’s appointees were in the majority, the board issued a ruling favorable to unions that rolled back that Trump-era ruling.

Today, when a majority of workers in a workplace say they want union representation, an employer must either recognize and bargain with the union or seek an election. If that employer violates labor law in the period before the election, the election is called off and the NLRB may order the employer to recognize and bargain with the union.

OSHA

The Occupational Safety and Health Administration, a Labor Department agency, is responsible for U.S. workers’ health and safety.

Fewer workplace inspections occurred during the Trump administration than during Obama’s second term. This decline is largely attributable to the slow hiring of new OSHA inspectors to replace those who had retired.

The number of inspections is rising again. However, by OSHA’s calculations, workplace accidents and fatalities have increased during the Biden administration.

The Trump administration issued no workplace rules about coronavirus safety, leaving hundreds of thousands of people employed in health care, groceries, meatpacking and education at risk.

By comparison, two days after taking office in 2021, Biden issued an executive order that established masking guidelines, and his administration made health and safety protocols on the job during the rest of the COVID-19 pandemic a high priority.

Compared with the inaction by the Trump administration during the COVID-19 pandemic, the Biden administration has been more active in proposing health and safety measures. For example, in July 2024 it proposed rules designed to protect some 36 million workers from health risks associated with extreme heat. After a period for written comments, public hearings will be held on the bill.

When Trump tried cutting OSHA funding for 2018 by approximately US$10 million, Congress blocked his efforts. The Biden administration is seeking a 3.7% increase in OSHA’s budget for the 2025 fiscal year.

Legislative and gubernatorial records

Harris was a U.S. senator before she became vice president; her vice presidential running mate, Tim Walz, is the governor of Minnesota and was a member of Congress before that; and Republican vice presidential candidate JD Vance is currently a U.S. senator as well. The candidates’ records in those positions are also indicators of what they might attempt to do in the White House.

The AFL-CIO, the largest umbrella organization for U.S. unions, gave Harris a lifetime score of 98% on her Senate voting record. Walz got a 93% rating for his votes from the AFL-CIO when he served in the House of Representatives. He belonged to the National Education Association, the nation’s largest labor union, while working as a high school teacher.

As Minnesota’s governor, Walz signed into law paid sick days for the state’s workers and a measure that made Minnesota the first state to establish a minimum wage for Uber and Lyft drivers. In 2023, Walz also signed a law that established the Nursing Home Workforce Standards Board to oversee the health and welfare of nursing home workers.

The AFL-CIO has given Vance a 0% rating for his Senate votes as of mid-2024. Among other things, Vance opposed the nominations of several judges and government officials with pro-labor track records. https://www.youtube.com/embed/A9_1uWCwP0c?wmode=transparent&start=0 Support from labor unions could prove critical in the 2024 presidential race.

Addressing auto workers

Perhaps the most visible sign of Biden’s support for labor unions came when he walked a Michigan picket line with striking members of the United Auto Workers in September 2023. He was the first president to do so.

Trump turned up nearby the next day. He gave a speech at a nonunion auto parts plant.

More recently, Trump did himself no favors with labor voters and their allies when, in a highly publicized conversation with Tesla, SpaceX and X CEO Elon Musk, he praised Musk for firing employees who spoke out on workplace problems and attempted to unionize.

How union households will vote in 2024 is not clear. But there’s no doubt that the Harris and Trump campaigns are certain that it will matter, just as it did in 2020, when Biden narrowly won Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania – and in 2016, when Clinton lost those states.

The Conversation

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Jon Tester Will Determine The Country’s Fate For The Next Four Years

For Democrats to maintain Senate control, Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) needs to win reelection in a state Donald Trump won by 16.4 percentage points in 2020. 

Continue reading “Jon Tester Will Determine The Country’s Fate For The Next Four Years”

Mailer Storm

To follow up on the post below, I’m not sure I agree with what seems like the relative pessimism, if I’m reading it right. But look what TPM Reader JL says about the saturation bombing of mailers. I at least read this a bit differently. It sounds like they’re sending these things out indiscriminately to people who are solid Democratic partisans.

Continue reading “Mailer Storm”