An update on yesterday’s Drive post. We needed 25 more sign ups yesterday to stay on track. And we got them. Thirty new members signed up since yesterday’s post. Now we just need 45 41 by Sunday night to stay on track to get to 40% of our goal by the end of the weekend. If we can sign up 20 16 of those 45 41 today and tonight we can get there. Not currently a member? Be one of the 20 16 we need today! Seriously, lets make this fun but it’s also super important. Just click right here. And thank you in advance.
Trump Slinks Away From His Promise of a Texas Senate Endorsement
Trump Unable to Save Republicans from Self-Imposed Damage in Texas Senate Runoff
President Donald Trump crows over the power of his endorsement — dangles it, sword of Damocles-like, over Republican candidates who perform adulation for his approval.
But its weakness is apparent in his hesitant deployment. His favorite endorsees are those certain to win. In a Trumpian perversion of the purpose of an endorsement, it’s less useful to him as a way to influence close races and more a reassurance of his own power.
In Texas, he postured like he was actually going to put his political capital on the line. Facing three more months of bloody, bare-knuckle brawling between two candidates who detest each other, Republicans prodded the president to get behind Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) and push Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton out of the runoff. Cornyn has been considered the stronger candidate for a general election matchup with Democratic nominee James Talarico, though polling has not clearly borne that out.
Paxton, though, having survived impeachment, indictment and recorded pen thievery, refused to go quietly into this good night. Making clear that he would stay in the race regardless, he redirected focus to Republicans’ voter suppression bill and Cornyn’s longtime support for the filibuster. The conversation got muddied because Trump let it be — better to talk about the un-passable SAVE America Act than to contemplate possible insubordination from an ambitious Republican underling. And he’d become less certain that Cornyn — always too mannerly for Trump’s liking — was a sure bet.
“I’ve heard that,” Trump told NBC when asked about the theory that Cornyn would perform better than Paxton against Talarico. “I don’t know. I don’t know that to be a fact.”
Paxton might have ignored Trump’s order to drop out; Texas’ Republican voters might have ignored Trump’s preference. Weak, weak, weak. The king has no clothes.
Better to retreat, to tell himself that he could have changed the race if he felt like it. Meanwhile, the March dropout deadline has passed; both Cornyn and Paxton’s names will appear on the May ballot. And Talarico has three months to consolidate the base and gain momentum while the Republicans spend millions to weaken his ultimate opponent.
— Kate Riga
By the Way, DHS Is Still Shut Down
We’re more than a month into the Department of Homeland Security-specific government shutdown. The public outrage over the killings of Renee Nicole Good and Alex Pretti at the hands of ICE officers has left the headlines, but congressional Democrats have been holding the line. Dems’ are continuing their unwavering push to enact meaningful reforms for ICE and CBP officers, refusing to fund all of DHS without changes to officers’ practices and conduct.
Though they’ve held the line on funding ICE and CBP, congressional Democrats have been trying to get Republicans on board with a bill that would fund all other agencies under the DHS umbrella — including TSA, the Secret Service, FEMA and the Coast Guard — while negotiations continue. Democrats in both chambers tried to pass that bill several times over the past couple of weeks. Each time it was blocked by Republicans.
Hoping, once again, to put Senate Republicans on record, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) is reportedly planning to force a cloture vote Saturday (as the upper chamber continues to debate the SAVE Act) on a bill to pay TSA agents through the end of the fiscal year. The bill would be subjected to the filibuster and would likely fail.
Senate Democrats and the Trump White House have been exchanging proposals on ICE reforms for weeks without much progress. Taking the negotiations one step further, White House border czar Tom Homan was on Capitol Hill for an in-person meeting with a bipartisan group of senators on Thursday.
Sen. Katie Britt (R-AL), who has been representing Senate Republicans in the ongoing negotiations, described the meeting as “helpful.”
“First step is dialogue, and this is the very first time that we have had that,” Britt said. “I hope that we will see more of that in the days to come.”
Meanwhile Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA), who also attended the meeting, indicated a deal is far from around the corner.
“I’m glad that the White House was here, but we are a long ways apart,” Murray told reporters following the meeting.
And Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) recently warned that the planned two week Easter recess — a time senators often use to connect with their families and constituents, and in an election year, to campaign — could be cancelled if there is no progress in ending the ongoing shutdown.
“It needs to get resolved by the end of next week. I can’t see us taking a break if the government is still shut down,” Thune told reporters on Thursday.
— Emine Yücel
Secretaries of State Rail Against SAVE America Act
Secretaries of State are speaking out against the Trump administration’s restrictive election bill known as the SAVE America Act. The sweeping bill, among other things, mandates documentary proof of citizenship to register to vote.
It’s expected to disenfranchise millions of eligible voters who do not have proof of citizenship readily available. According to data from the Brennan Center, that amounts to some 21.3 million eligible U.S. voters.
“This would be changing the rules very close to an election in a very substantial way,” Democratic Minnesota Secretary of State Steve Simon told the MinnPost this week.
Simon also said that the issue of non-citizen voting, which is a myth that the SAVE America Act further perpetuates, is “microscopic.”
As TPM has reported, there is no evidence of any kind to suggest that non-citizen voting is a problem.
Connecticut Democratic Secretary of State Stephanie Thomas similarly emphasized to Democracy Docket that the bill will disenfranchise eligible voters.
“This bill assumes that every voter can navigate these requirements and navigate them quickly, and that is just not reality,” she said. “Imagine a woman, divorced, she’s moved, changed her name and needs to update her voter registration. Under this bill, that is no longer a simple matter. It means tracking down multiple documents.”
And Democratic Washington Secretary of State Steve Hobbs, during a press briefing on Thursday, said the legislation “suppresses Americans’ ability to access the ballot box.”
Senate Republicans began a marathon debate this week ahead of an eventual Senate vote on the SAVE America Act.
For several weeks now, Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD), has been facing pressure from President Trump to change filibuster rules in order to pass the bill. Thune has repeatedly said there is not enough support in the Senate to do so. The legislation is not expected to move forward because it requires a supermajority to pass.
— Khaya Himmelman
Need 25 More Tonight!
Can we do it? We need 75 more membership sign ups by the end of the weekend to keep on track to meet our goal in this year’s Annual TPM Membership Drive. We’ll need at least 25 more tonight to manage that. If you’re not currently a member, now’s the time. I know it’s easier to delay, figure you’ll do it later. But can you do me this favor? Just take a moment right now, ninety seconds tops and sign up. Just click right here. We need your help to get this done.
The State (of) Media, AI, Buzzfeed, CBS, and More
There’s a lot going on in the world of news. In a live conversation this afternoon, Josh and I touched on some of those things including: “State Media”, Barry Weiss and CBS, changing business models, Buzzfeed, AI, the eternal importance of naval power and more.
If you missed it live, check out the recording below.
Continue reading “The State (of) Media, AI, Buzzfeed, CBS, and More”EXCLUSIVE: Judge Orders DOJ to Get Answers On Wrongful Deportations
BALTIMORE—A federal judge ordered the Trump administration to be prepared to provide answers in court on Monday after surprise testimony this week that more than 100 asylum seekers were deported in violation of a court-approved settlement agreement.
Continue reading “EXCLUSIVE: Judge Orders DOJ to Get Answers On Wrongful Deportations”How Magical Thinking and Trump Love Drove the Energy Markets Mad
A week ago I asked whether global energy markets have “Trump Derangement Syndrome.” I was being a bit arch because I didn’t mean in the sense that MAGA world means, which is being somehow obsessively, compulsively anti-Trump. I meant the opposite. Are the markets wedded to a kind of Trump magical thinking? That somehow he’ll always find a way to thread the needle or slip out of his self-made crises? I’ve tried to be very aware of the fact that I’m totally green on the question of global energy markets. And since oil futures are at least flirting with twice the price that they were at when this war started, it’s hardly like markets aren’t reacting to it. A friend who follows energy markets very closely walked me through some of the reasons why the markets response has been more tempered than one might expect: existing slack in the oil markets on the eve of the war, continued impact of the recent release of 400 million barrels of oil, and uncertainty about whether the U.S. can or will reopen the Strait of Hormuz. But I get more and more indications, some in just reading the news closely, some in small bits of information I pick up from sources, that there really is something going on here.
Continue reading “How Magical Thinking and Trump Love Drove the Energy Markets Mad”Tune in as Josh Marshall and TPM’s Publisher Dissect What’s Up With the Media
At 1:30 p.m. ET, TPM founder and editor-in-chief Josh Marshall and TPM publisher Joe Ragazzo will be chatting on Substack Live about the state of the news business today.
They’ll talk about how TPM came to be what it is and how we continue to function as a tiny, unique news site that punches above its weight — but also much more, including the scramble among oligarchs to sweep up major media outlets and bend them to Trump’s will.
John Roberts Is Hanging District Court Judges Out to Dry
This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at Balls and Strikes.
Chief Justice John Roberts received applause from an audience at Rice University on Tuesday in appreciation of his defense of the judiciary from inappropriate attacks. Roberts appeared in conversation with Lee Rosenthal, a senior federal district judge, who asked the chief how he handles criticism of the Supreme Court. Roberts responded by acknowledging that “judges around the country work very hard to get it right,” and that constructive criticism is “healthy” and “important.” But he stressed that “personally directed hostility is dangerous,” and has “got to stop.”
Rosenthal replied that such dangers are “very much part of our lives these days.” During fiscal year 2024, the federal agency that provides security for court officials identified 509 threats to 379 unique judges. In 2025, there were 564 threats to 396 judges. And in 2026, there have already been 241 threats to 202 judges.
Against this backdrop, Rosenthal said that she wanted to “personally thank” Roberts “on behalf of trial judges everywhere.” Although “we know that you may not always agree with us,” she said, “we always know that you have our backs.”

This characterization—both of Roberts’ support for his fellow judges and also their perception of that support—is so generous that it arouses suspicion of sarcasm. In September 2025, a dozen sitting federal judges spoke to NBC News about how the Court’s use of the shadow docket was putting them in harm’s way.
Continue reading “John Roberts Is Hanging District Court Judges Out to Dry”Noem’s Ad Procurement Scandal Was Just The Tip of the Iceberg
This story is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis.
Markwayne Mullin is on track to take over a Department of Homeland Security that appears to have made corrupt contracting, meant to exploit loopholes and reward allies, standard operating procedure. The scandal that became the last straw for Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem — her procurement of a $200 million ad campaign from close associates — is just a part of the picture. Certainly the Trump administration would like to depict the Noem ad campaign as an aberration, and, with her departure, a closed episode. But the drip, drip of new facts from her time atop the agency continues, with a report from NBC Thursday alleging that Corey Lewandowski, an advisor to Noem, was taking a cut from contracts. The ad procurement scandal that brought down Noem, though sensational, is the tip of the iceberg at the department.
DHS has initiated an enormously costly campaign to build or otherwise procure detention space all over the country, including $38 billion for facilities to store the vast population of migrants Trump intends to seize and to lock up. With commands from on high to put in place this new detention capacity as fast as possible, DHS appears primed to create a broader procurement scandal so bad that it may become the Achilles’ heel of the entire campaign to rapidly seize, detain and mistreat a vast population.
A brief review of Noem’s ad scandal provides a good introduction to how far DHS has strayed from federal contracting norms. Members of Congress centered their attention on how the ad campaign gave contracts to firms that were connected to the secretary, who, in turn, created shamelessly self-promoting ads featuring Noem herself. Let us look at the part that is telling about DHS procurement generally, including for detention facilities. Noem wanted, of course, to select a particular firm to do her ads. Normally, competition rules get in the way: competition rules require choosing the firm that gives lowest cost and best value, which is determined through specific criteria. (Detention firms, for example, are evaluated in part on the human fitness criteria for detention.)
A major ProPublica article in November, which broke the story on Noem’s ads, suggests that the conflict of interest was obscured by having the Noem-linked firm not be a general contractor, but a subcontractor. ProPublica quoted a DHS spokesperson making this excuse — that DHS was only involved with general contractors, not with the ad campaign subcontractors, and so of course it was innocent about the selection of Noem’s friends. DHS said about its contracting staff, “It is very sad that Pro Publica would seek to defame these public servants.” This was bogus. “We don’t have visibility into why they were chosen,” said Tricia McLaughlin, at the time the top DHS spokesperson, at another point in the article. McLaughlin’s husband runs the firm that got the contract. The excuses were revealing about how DHS contracting would go about avoiding competition. The Trump administration’s fig leaf denied the role an agency does have with subcontractors. (I, too, was quoted in the ProPublica story as an expert saying, “Hiding your friends as subcontractors is like playing hide the salami with the taxpayer.”)
If this were an isolated episode, that would be one thing. But, it’s the fundamental story: DHS breaks basic procurement rules, especially by foregoing competition. These are rules by which all administrations, Republican and Democratic, must abide, and it may yet bring down DHS as it brought down Noem.
Looking to DHS detention, there is a two-stage story unfolding around what was to be a new, flagship detention facility, Ft. Bliss, in El Paso, Texas. The $1.26 billion contract for this 4,000 capacity tent city in the Texas desert was awarded to a one-man firm. The process again appears to be a disgraceful effort to avoid competition and get the work to DHS’s cut-out. DHS could then pick the firms it wanted as subcontractors, much as in the Noem ad case, since DHS did not not compete subcontracting.
The contract was awarded by the bizarre process of a Navy small business award — because the Navy award is a handy vehicle (even though the El Paso facility, in the desert, is as far from Navy ships as you can get). Effectively, there did not have to be much competition on a Navy small business award. The awardee was a cut-out whose previous biggest federal contract was $16 million. The real work would be done, according to reports, by politically connected subcontractors whose focus would be on speed rather than standards of humane treatment. The concept of procuring a tent city for thousands of men, women and children from the community, not even hardened criminals, always portended, like the notorious “Alligator Alcatraz,” suffering for the detainees.
In the second part of the story, just revealed recently, ICE’s own inspectors, last September, found dozens of violations of federal standards at the facility. There are complaints of substandard medical care, and a measles epidemic has broken out. A document distributed internally at ICE indicates plans to close it down. Shutting down a new, hugely expensive facility would be the poster child example of waste and abuse. But DHS, apparently, came up with a new plan: it just kept the facility open by terminating the prior contractor and making a rushed no-bid contract to Amentum, the second-largest contractor for federal services, a well-connected firm which has received other enormous Trump administration contracts. Since Amentum had already been the subcontractor for the Ft. Bliss facility until now, this is the opposite of reform through competition. In another striking example, PBS reported that DHS used the “urgency” exception to competition for a no-bid contract to reopen an old facility that city officials described as a “hell hole.”
Some may wonder whether the contracting violations pale in importance given ICE’s notorious problems with the way in which it has operated in cities, including its processes for conducting arrests. It may even be asked why one should care about something as bloodless as procurement violations, when there is such a human tragedy as citizens shot and detained children suffering.
But on examination, there is a pattern. The plan is also to keep these newly detained people locked up in detention facilities in astronomical numbers, by changing the previous rules that allowed most migrants to post bond and go back to their community until their case was heard. The administration has rolled out a new policy to deny bond to these detainees, keeping them stacked up in maxxed-out facilities.
Building and operating huge detention facilities without the usual competition rules not only saves the time needed to conduct proper competition. It ensures that the contractors, indebted as they are to the administration, obey the will of the high command at DHS. Poor conditions at detention facilities are no accident. Migrants in such detention experience pressure to self-deport rather than endure years in these facilities. But — particularly if the migrants had a potential legal case for not being deported, for being allowed to stay — then forcing them out by bad detention conditions is a legal travesty.
This is the nature of procurement scandals. Besides lack of competition — meaning a poor money deal for the government, and a sweetheart deal for the contractors — it means the government forgoes some “value” in the detention facility “product.” In Iraq war procurement, poor product from lack of competition meant the product, say, training services for Iraq police forces, were flawed. The whole war effort was tainted by reliance on hastily summoned contractors. Today that translates into ignoring standards for humane detention facilities.
A further aspect: normally it is sufficient to say that competition leads to best value, and it is unnecessary to add that it avoids corruption. That is, while there are big countries in the world with procurement corruption, like China, we in the United States have hitherto been blessed with a relative absence of corruption and need not cite that as a reason for competition. But in this administration, it is apparently a different story. A recent investigation by the Project on Government Oversight, a watchdog group, found that companies winning the largest amount of ICE contracts made large political contributions and lobbied on a law tripling ICE’s budget. If the competition system were fully operating, contractors would not benefit from campaign contributions or hiring of those close to the administration. The Noem advertising contract showed that while DHS management touted the role of DHS contracting staff, the staff in fact presided over the money flowing to well-connected firms. The procurement tactics by which DHS avoids competition allow it to reward those “on the team” who have contributed or lobbied.
In the short term, as Markwayne Mullin arrives at the agency, it may be an uphill battle to expose the full extent of contracting abuses. But, just looking a little further out, starting with the November election, the glare of full congressional scrutiny will go to detention facility procurement scandals. The hearings during which Noem testified, immediately before she was fired, will not be the last time DHS is in the congressional hot seat over its contracting.
What Joe Kent and Candace Owens Are Really Up to in Their Critiques of the Iran War
This story is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis.
At the Catholic Prayer For America Gala in Washington Thursday night, the far-right group Catholics for Catholics (CFC) celebrated Joe Kent, the recently-departed Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, who quit over opposition to the war in Iran. Kent has a long history of proximity to white supremacists and neo-Nazis, and his resignation letter paired his criticism of Trump’s war with antisemitic tropes. Although CFC had announced Kent would be interviewed on stage by Candace Owens, the far-right podcaster and influencer, his actual five-minute appearance at the black-tie affair — which C-Span interrupted its regular programming to broadcast — turned out to be rather anodyne. Kent briefly repeated his anti-Iran War views. When pressed by CFC president John Yep, Kent added a religious flourish: “Having faith, I was able to hear God’s voice. I was able to hear that I was exactly where I was supposed to be and it was my time to actually take action, which made taking the action incredibly easy actually and actually made me feel very liberated and like I’m in the right spot.”
Continue reading “What Joe Kent and Candace Owens Are Really Up to in Their Critiques of the Iran War”