Gaetz Threat Already Crumbling Apart

Right after House Republicans went low energy and agreed to a clean 45-day continuing resolution over the weekend, Rep. Matt Gaetz announced he would lower the boom on Speaker McCarthy by filing a so-called “motion to vacate” this week. But that threat already seems shaky at best. There are already almost certainly fanciful threats circulating in right-wing media that Republicans will try to expel Gaetz from Congress if the long-simmering ethics investigation into his druggie, teen-dating past finds evidence of wrongdoing. This report started at Fox and got picked up in the New York Post, Daily Mail, et. al. More significant, very few of the hardliners Gaetz will need are coming to his banner. As far as I can tell only Rep. Eli Crane of Arizona has suggested he might be on board.

Don’t hold your breath thinking that Republicans are going to expel Matt Gaetz. That’s BS fed to pliant press. But the attack articles in the right-wing press confirms what is true, which is that a lot of Republicans are seriously pissed at Gaetz for his central role in their latest highwire debacle.

To make sense of his threats we need to discuss the mechanics of how that threat works.

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Ooo, What’s This? Justice Thomas Recuses From Eastman Case

Justice Clarence Thomas recused himself from consideration of a matter involving Trump attorney John Eastman, the Supreme Court said Monday in declining to take up Eastman’s case.

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Newsom To Appoint Laphonza Butler To Feinstein’s Seat

California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) will appoint EMILY’s List President Laphonza Butler to fill the remaining term of Sen. Dianne Feinstein who passed away last week.

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Jack Smith Goes Hard After Trump For His Non-Stop Threats

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

Big Decision For Chutkan

Special Counsel Jack Smith is keeping the pressure on Trump to knock off the constant stream of threats against the court, prosecutors, and witnesses. In a new filing late Friday, Smith put in front of U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan another batch of recent examples of Trump doing things most criminal defendants would get in big trouble for doing.

It’s shaping up to be the first big decision by Chutkan in the case.

Motion practice is a like a waltz. Its typical three steps are the motion, the response, and the reply. The reply is usually pretty meh. It gives the movant a chance to rebut the arguments raised by the opponent in their response and to reiterate the reasons for the motion in the first place. But Smith’s reply brief was fire – and it contained a slew of new examples of Trump’s threatening extrajudicial statements since Smith filed his original motion:

  • Truth Social posts by Trump going after the judge, individual prosecutors, and witnesses, including former Vice President Mike Pence and Joint Chiefs Chair Mark Milley;
  • That Meet the Press interview in which Trump targeted one witness (Bill Barr) and discussed the potential testimony of another witness (Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger);

Smith seized on the opportunity of the reply to put all of these new examples in front of Chutkan as she considers whether to impose some kind of modified gag order on Trump and his attorneys.

In a remarkable argument at one point in the reply, Smith shows a sophistication about Trump, misinformation, and the right-wing feedback loop that I wish more political reporters had.

Zeroing in on the recent Trump campaign stop at a gun store in South Carolina, and the controversy over whether Trump bought a Glock in violation of the law and his terms of release, and the subsequent walk-back by a Trump spokesperson, Smith said, “The defendant should not be permitted to obtain the benefits of his incendiary public statements and then avoid accountability by having others—whose messages he knows will receive markedly less attention than his own—feign retraction.”

Then in a footnote, Smith uncoiled this line for the ages: “The defendant either purchased a gun in violation of the law and his conditions of release, or seeks to benefit from his supporters’ mistaken belief that he did so.”

Chutkan has set a hearing on this matter for Oct. 16. I was slightly surprised she set the hearing so far out. But it makes me think by the time we get there, she will have tentatively sketched out an order tailored to the circumstances of this case, and I would expect we would get a ruling fairly quickly.

Trump’s Crazy Ass California Speech

Coming one day after President Biden’s powerful speech on democracy and the threat the former president poses, it was hard not to see Donald Trump’s speech Friday in California as both a response to and proof of Biden’s point:

That was probably the most egregious moment in the speech, but it was sheer madness throughout, like King George III level madness. Just scroll through Aaron Rupar’s running clips here to get a better sense of what 2024 and beyond could hold.

‘Wannabe Dictator’ Alert

Why Did Trump Pick THAT Gun Store?

Lucian K. Truscott IV: The mainstream media completely missed the story when reporting on Trump’s visit to the South Carolina gun store

TNR: The Sick, Racist Message Behind Why Trump Chose That Particular Gun Store

First Trump Co-Defendant Pleads Guilty

Scott Hall, a defendant in the Georgia RICO case involved in the Coffee County election, pleaded guilty Friday in an unscheduled hearing in which he was sentenced to probation and fined $5,000.

Hall is reportedly the brother-in-law of David Bossie, a deputy campaign manager for Trump 2016 and the man behind the Citizens United campaign finance case.

As part of the plea agreement, Hall promised to cooperate with DA Fani Willis’ investigation. The other defendants with the most to worry about from Hall appear to be Sidney Powell, who was allegedly deeply involved in the Coffee County fiasco, and Jeff Clark, with whom Hall had a 63-minute phone call on Jan. 2, 2021, according to the indictment.

Georgia RICO Miscellany

  • Trump DOJ official Jeff Clark loses his bid to remove his case to federal court.
  • The same federal judge who rejected Clark’s removal bid also shot down the removal requests from three fake electors in the case.
  • A judge denied Kenneth Chesebro’s motions to dismiss his case and to suppress evidence at trial.
  • DA Fani Willis plans to offer plea deals in the coming days to Chesebro and Powell, her office told the state court judge overseeing their case.
  • Jury selection in the speedy trial of Kenneth Chesebro and Sidney Powell is set to start Oct. 20.

Michigan: New Disqualification Clause Case Against Trump

One the groups dotting the country with Disqualification Clause challenges to Trump’s 2024 candidacy has filed a similar lawsuit in Michigan, the biggest swing-state target to date to their legal campaign.

Trump Goes On Trial Today In New York

New York Attorney General Letitia James’s civil trial against Trump, his adult sons, and his business empire starts in New York. This is a bench trial so no jury selection. The judge already granted partial summary judgment in favor of the state, so the range of issues to be tried has narrowed considerably. The biggest issue to determine at trial is damages. James is seeking $250 million.

James and Trump are both expected to attend opening statements today in person.

Supreme Court Begins October Term

The Supreme Court reconvenes today to begin its October term with the conservative supermajority poised to steer the law farther to the right.

IRS Contractor Charged In Leak Of Trump’s Tax Return Leak

Charles Littlejohn, 38, of Washington, D.C., was charged with allegedly leaking a trove of private tax information to news outlets:

  • Littlejohn was charged via a “criminal information” instead of an indictment, which often signals that a plea deal is in the works.
  • The charging document doesn’t identify whose tax information was leaked, but Politico confirmed that it included Donald Trump’s tax returns.
  • While it doesn’t identify which news outlets were the beneficiaries of the leak, the charging document matches the known leaks to ProPublica and the NYT.

Shutdown Shitshow

Welp, we went into the weekend facing the prospect of potentially long government shutdown, with no obvious resolution in sight. But by Saturday afternoon, Speaker Kevin McCarthy said fuck it and rolled over his right-wing flank with Democratic support to pass a 45-day continuing resolution to fund the government while negotiations on a long-term budget deal proceed.

Could we be here again in mid-November. Most certainly! But I suspect the way things broke loose here will be enough to change the underlying power dynamic and arrive at a long-term deal.

The Price McCarthy Will Pay

Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) is the leading the right-wing charge to remove McCarthy as speaker as soon as this week. As you watch that play out, bear in mind:

  • Gaetz is even less popular among Republicans than McCarthy.
  • If not McCarthy, then whom?
  • Gaetz et al. have no plan for what comes next, and other members know it.

What’s your favorite popcorn?

Good Read

TPM’s Josh Kovensky: “Inside The Menendez Indictment: An American Roller Skater Maimed In Egypt And $300M

Laphonza Butler Appointed To Feinstein’s Seat

California Gov. Gavin Newsom will appoint Emily’s List President Laphonza Butler, an LGBTQ+ woman of color, to finish the remainder of the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein’s term.

Keep An Eye On This Idaho Abortion Case

The Justice Department is now asking the entire Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals to reconsider on an expedited basis last week’s ruling by a three-judge panel of Trump appointees to allow Idaho’s abortion ban to go into effect. DOJ argues that the relatively rare request for an en banc review of the panel’s decision is necessitated by, among other things:

  • The Idaho legislature waited 11 months before seeking a stay of the injunction that had been blocking enforcement of the law for a year.
  • The district judge had found in favor of the government on every factor for granting a preliminary injunction.
  • The law had never taken effect because the government had moved to block it before its effective date.

You can read the powerfully argued request for en banc review here.

WARNING: Watching This Will Make You Dumber

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Nazi Germany Had Admirers Among American Religious Leaders – And White Supremacy Fueled Their Support

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation.

Each September marks the anniversary of Nazi Germany’s Nuremberg Laws, whose passage in 1935 stripped Jews of their German citizenship and banned “race-mixing” between Jews and other Germans.

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What Really Happened Today Isn’t Complicated

About an hour ago Punchbowl News sent out an email: “Special Edition: How Congress Averted a Shutdown.” It includes a lot of interesting detail and tidbits. I’m not criticizing it as a report, per se. But the big picture of what happened here is actually very simple.

It had nothing to do with “Congress”. It certainly had nothing to do with House Democrats who were ready to vote for a clean continuing resolution at any point. The Senate, with substantial bipartisan majorities, was ready to pass the appropriations bills that made any continuing resolution unnecessary. Since the House had missed its deadlines the same bipartisan Senate majorities were ready to pass a clean continuing resolution. Even a significant number of House Republicans were willing to pass a clean resolution all along. Indeed, a clean continuing resolution was required all along by the agreement Congress and the President made back in May. Kevin McCarthy simply decided to break that deal to appease House hardliners.

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Joe To Big Kev: This is My Offer. Nothing.

Ditto to everything David says below to this denouement of the latest House GOP clown show. The big picture: House Republicans first demanded huge spending cuts. They then decided to shift to demanding miscellaneous border related abuses to get their prized shutdown. In fact they could never agree what to demand. That was the whole issue of not being able to pass anything. In the end they agreed to give up all their demands and settled for giving Vladimir Putin a big sloppy kiss in the form of killing any new aid to Ukraine in this continuing resolution. This was the sweetener that made the capitulation possible. It’s a telling but unsurprising signal. For the Trumpist Right today, Ukrainians are just Democrats with a funny alphabet. Doing Putin a solid provided enough psychic satisfaction to make this happen.

This keeps the government funded for 45 more days – in essence, until Thanksgiving.

Continue reading “Joe To Big Kev: This is My Offer. Nothing.”

If Police Had Treated Proud Boys Like A Street Gang From The Start, Jan 6 Attack May Have Been Less Severe

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation.

Some of the most prominent members of the Proud Boys, a far-right militant group that functions more like a street gang than a militia, have been sentenced to long terms in federal prison for their roles in the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C.

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First Plea Deal And Sentencing Wraps Up In Georgia RICO Case

Scott Hall, a Georgia bail bondsman accused in a plot to steal election data to help Donald Trump discredit the vote in Georgia, pleaded guilty to five counts of of conspiracy to commit intentional interference with the performance of election duties on Friday.

The plea agreement was presented to the judge in brief unscheduled hearing, and the judge immediately sentenced Hall in accordance with the plea agreement.

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