Trump Says US Has Captured Venezuela’s President Maduro

Trump’s full Truth Social post from 4:21 a.m. ET:

The United States of America has successfully carried out a large scale strike against Venezuela and its leader, President Nicolas Maduro, who has been, along with his wife, captured and flown out of the Country. This operation was done in conjunction with U.S. Law Enforcement. Details to follow. There will be a News Conference today at 11 A.M., at Mar-a-Lago. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP

Experts are condemning the strikes as illegal under international law, and questioning why Congress wasn’t consulted.

Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT) said on X that he had spoken with Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who “informed me that Nicolás Maduro has been arrested by U.S. personnel to stand trial on criminal charges in the United States.” Maduro was indicted in 2020. There is no known indictment of his wife.

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Rural Health Fund Awarded To All 50 States, But Trump Admin Can Still ‘Claw Back’ Cash

Rural health systems had already been struggling for years when, earlier this year, they became a legislative focus for President Donald Trump and some GOP congress members. As the president prepared to make the most sweeping cuts to Medicaid and Medicare in the programs’ histories, a handful of GOP senators initially withheld their support for Trump’s major tax cut and defense spending package until Senate Republican leadership did something to make up for the devastating cuts to health care for low income and elderly Americans, especially those from states with large rural populations. Republican leadership added a provision to the “Big, Beautiful Bill” that created a Rural Health Transformation Fund. The fund directed $50 billion of the $3.4 trillion reconciliation package, or about 1.5% of the bill’s total cost, to rural health initiatives over five years. The first year of payments were announced Monday.

The first iteration of the $50 billion fund saw all 50 states receive money, with states receiving an average of $200 million, according to a release from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid (CMS). 

And despite concerns that the CMS could use its scoring rubric to disadvantage blue states and benefit states that voted for Trump, initial awards show a seemingly apolitical distribution of funds. 

Since half of the fund will be distributed equally among the states, those with smaller populations received more money on average than the most populous states. Five of the top 10 states that received the most money per capita are blue states, with Alaska receiving the most money per capita at $368. That’s key, since Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) was among the most vocal GOP senators expressing concern about how Medicaid cuts would impact her constituents. Maine is also among the top 10 states receiving the most money per capita. Though Kamala Harris won the presidential election there, its GOP Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) was another GOP legislator heavily involved in rural healthcare negotiations last summer.

A TPM analysis using U.S. Census Bureau data on states’ rural populations and rural hospital data from the Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform through October 2025 shows:

  • Blue states on average received a larger share of funding per rural hospital than red states.
  • Rhode Island, which has one rural hospital and an about 10% rural population, received the most money per rural hospital.
  • California received the least money per capita, at $6 per resident.
  • There is a slight correlation between a state’s rural population and the amount of money the state received per capita.

Before the program was rolled out, healthcare stakeholders told TPM that its parameters could disadvantage certain states and benefit others. The CMS scoring system distributed the funds based on a complex weighted formula which included a range of partisan policy-based factors, including whether states restrict SNAP users from buying “non-nutritious foods” and whether states plan to require Trump’s “Presidential Fitness Test” in schools. State scores could also be impacted if the state restricts certain health insurance plans, sometimes called junk plans, which don’t comply with Affordable Care Act coverage standards.

“We have an administration which just says right out, ‘We’re gonna cut money to blue states and blue communities,’ and it is doing it,” Adam Searing, an attorney and research professor at the Georgetown University McCourt School of Public Policy, told TPM in November. “If you happen to live in a community that we disagree with politically, too bad.”

While initial award amounts suggest nonpartisan fund distribution, there are still concerns about strings attached to the Rural Health Transformation Fund. 

Since the funding will be recalculated annually over the life of the five-year program, CMS Administrator Mehmet Oz reportedly said in a call with reporters that the administration could  “claw back” funds if a state doesn’t enact policies it committed to in its application. Searing suggested that was a possibility in November, telling TPM that CMS “can do pretty much what they want and the states can’t complain about it.”

There’s also the issue that the fund hardly covers the day-to-day operations of struggling rural health facilities. Only 15% of the fund’s cash can be used to cover uncompensated care, which experts have said will become a significant issue when health care cuts in the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” hit. None of the money can help supplement underpayment from other insurance sources including private plans. And just 10% of the money can be used to cover administrative costs. The rest of the money must be designated for three or more approved initiatives, including workforce recruitment and retention, support for substance use treatment and mental health services, chronic disease management and prevention, and technology improvements.

And ultimately, healthcare experts have told TPM, $50 billion is a drop in the bucket compared to the impending health care cuts and rural hospital deficits. 

“It’s $1 trillion in cuts over a decade and $50 billion to help try to shore it up,” Rob Davidson, an emergency physician in rural West Michigan told TPM in July. “That’s 5% of the problem in a 5 year span. That math doesn’t work out.”

In a statement following the award announcements, the National Rural Health Association, a nonprofit professional organization, applauded the Trump administration and called the funding “unprecedented.” Despite this, the organization’s statement highlighted that the fund is hardly enough. 

“While this one-time funding grant is significant,” the statement reads, “NRHA reiterates that long-term policies guaranteeing sustainable funding for rural health care are needed to support providers and maintain access to care.”

Who Controls AI Exactly?

I’ve been getting lots of your emails about Artificial Intelligence and its place right at the center of so many inflection points — alliances in the new world of oligarchs, the global authoritarian movement, the Gulf princes and their money and more. One of those emails was from TPM Reader AO. AO’s central point was that this is principally a technology, productivity and economics question, and really not a political one. People may hate it but mostly because they don’t know what it is. And in any case it doesn’t matter. Because this is a transformative technology being driven by private capital investment and it’s a change that’s coming regardless of what anyone thinks. With that roll out you may think we were off to a bad start. But it was an interesting conversation and it continues. I reiterated various points I’ve made in posts here, etc. But there was one point that I realized I hadn’t made explicitly enough in those posts.

As I’ve said before, I think it’s really important to distinguish between the actual technology — LLM-based AI — and the political formations forming around it. They’re not the same thing. They’re both really important on their own terms. It’s important to give both sufficient room in a discussion of either topic.

So here goes.

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DC Still Flooded With National Guard After Trump Pulls Them Out Of Other Blue Cities

National Guard troops still patrol non-state Washington D.C. after President Trump announced the end of deployments (or attempted deployments) in Chicago, Portland and Los Angeles. 

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Status Check on Trump’s Nationwide Gerrymandering Assault to Predetermine Control of Congress

For months now, the Trump administration has been aggressively pressuring red states around the country to gerrymander their congressional maps. It’s part of a sweeping and unprecedented scheme for which President Trump has often been a mouthpiece, aimed at making it easier for Republicans to maintain control of the U.S. House in the 2026 midterm elections. 

The Trump administration saw some early wins in its pressure campaign, but more recently it has faced a series of significant setbacks that indicate the larger effort may be losing steam.

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The Latest Defenses of SCOTUS’s Corruption Only Make the Case Against It

Chris Geidner flags today an appearance by CBS News’ Chief Legal Correspondent Jan Crawford’s attacking Supreme Court critics who call the Court and its current jurisprudence “corrupt.”

“There is a narrative the Supreme Court is corrupt,” she told Face The Nation. “We saw that emerge in the wake of the Dobbs decision that overturned Roe v. Wade and now we see it that they’re in the tank for Trump. Not only is that narrative over-reported, it is patently false, and it is dangerous for the institution and the public’s faith and confidence in the rule of law.”

Chris has more of Crawford’s quotes. And he makes clear the most telling thing about Crawford’s defense is that she doesn’t even address the arguments against the Court’s practices and behavior. She just asserts it in a ‘the King can do no wrong because he’s the King’ kind of fashion. But this one passage is enough to make the point. Not only is the Court demonstrably not corrupt, Crawford claims, it is also dangerous for the Court to have itself be called “corrupt”. And, she claims, what is dangerous or threatening to this Court threatens the rule of law itself. In other words, you might say, the danger to the state is that child in the third row saying the King is naked.

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2026 Will See a Major Wisconsin Supreme Court Race. Yes, Another One

When is Wisconsin not electing a Supreme Court justice?, weary voters may ask. 

The seemingly rapid-fire judicial elections have captured national attention since at least 2020, when liberal Jill Karofsky upset Trump-endorsed incumbent Dan Kelly and reduced the court’s conservative majority to a bare 4-3. Three years later, Janet Protasiewicz beat the returning Kelly again, in what was then the most expensive judicial race in United States history (and one that gave the liberals a majority). That spending record was shattered in 2025 when liberal Susan Crawford won, maintaining the liberal majority despite Elon Musk’s $25 million contribution to Republican-backed Brad Schimel (and his attempts to bribe Republican voters with oversized $1 million checks). 

The race in 2026 shouldn’t reach the fever pitch of the previous two. Unlike 2023 and 2025, it won’t decide the court’s majority. But gone are the days when swing-state judicial races were reduced to the province of the political obsessive — Donald Trump’s attempts to steal the 2020 election made sure of that. 

Retiring Justice Rebecca Bradley had some refreshing candor on the way out

A particularly brain-melting feature of the American judicial system is the insistence that judges are nonpartisan, despite that many at the state level campaign on ideological issues and are supported by the major parties and their donors. Bradley, the right-wing justice who opted against running for reelection despite initially indicating her intent to, put up no such pretense in her August farewell statement. 

“I will not seek re-election to the Wisconsin Supreme Court because I believe the best path for me to rebuild the conservative movement and fight for liberty is not as a minority member of the Court,” she said. 

Check the language — her opposition to running again isn’t because it’s inappropriate for a GOP activist to sit as a judge, but because it’s proving an inefficient way to advance a right-wing agenda. At least she’s honest! 

It’ll be a partisan slugfest, despite the conservative’s protestations 

Maria Lazar, a conservative state appeals court judge and leading Republican-backed candidate, has said that she won’t say on the campaign trail how she’ll vote on potential cases, lamenting that judicial ethics have been “thrown out the window” in recent races. This is likely a dig at Protasiewicz, who was unusually candid during her race about her stance on expected redistricting and abortion cases. 

Lazar can try to be high-minded, but the race will fall along flat partisan lines. A former assistant attorney general under Gov. Scott Walker (R), she defended a notorious anti-union law in high-profile court hearings, fought for an aggressive Republican gerrymander and defended voter ID laws and abortion restrictions. 

Chris Taylor, a liberal judge at the 4th Circuit Court of Appeals and the leading candidate backed by Democrats, was formerly a member of the Wisconsin state assembly representing parts of Madison and worked as public policy director for Planned Parenthood of Wisconsin. 

The new justice will likely participate in the major redistricting challenges that could upend the state

Challenges to Wisconsin’s absurdly Republican-friendly gerrymander were expected as soon as Protasiewicz flipped the court’s majority, but they’ve moved very slowly.

The state Supreme Court declined to take up a case challenging the maps this summer without explanation. But it did recently appoint three-judge panels to hear two of the ongoing lawsuits against the gerrymander in state court. One lawsuit was filed by Wisconsin Business Leaders for Democracy, and the other by Wisconsin voters. 

The judges, though, seem in no hurry to wrap the cases up before the 2026 midterms (the judicial election is held in April). When an attorney for the voter plaintiffs pushed the court on a timeline to get new maps in place by March so they can be used for the midterms, a judge replied (in regard to motions that are part of the case) that “we’ll decide them when we can decide them,” per the Associated Press.

The court’s liberal majority is a brand-new dynamic

The court hadn’t had a liberal majority in 15 years — and, as an expert argues persuasively to the Wisconsin Examiner, perhaps hadn’t had a clear and dependable liberal majority “in living memory.” 

It’s another shockingly anti-democratic idiosyncrasy from a 50-50 state (in which Republicans currently control six of eight U.S. House seats). 

The court is already resetting those political dynamics, handing down major rulings including that an 1849 state law does not forbid abortion in the state and upholding Gov. Tony Evers’ (D) ban of conversion therapy.

Liberals have a chance to entrench their majority for years 

If Taylor (or some blackhorse late entrant) wins the election, liberals will almost certainly hold the court until at least 2030, since only one liberal judge is up for reelection in that window.

The Grand AI Disconnect

It’s coming to the surface now. But it’s a marvel in itself that it has taken as long as it has. AI is really, really unpopular with the American people — even more unpopular than I’d realized, as I noted a week ago. And yet for most of the last couple years, in elite discourse, on TV and in the big news publications, you would feel very backwards and Luddite expressing more than a general caution that rogue AI intentionally blowing up the world would be a bad thing. Because it’s the new thing and who doesn’t like the new and innovation and all the good stuff? We remain, meanwhile, in an economic moment in which vast, almost unprecedented amounts of economic resources are being directed toward AI rollout. Public messaging in advertising and product development are filled with reminders of how many awesome things AI can do for you. And yet everyone basically hates it.

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An Ode to Corruption: Announcing 2025’s Golden Duke Winners

The lawless no man’s land between the holidays and the New Year are an apt time to announce the winners of the 17th Annual Golden Duke Awards, TPM’s yearly toast to the toads who took venality and nonsense to new heights.

In 2025, the first year of Donald Trump’s second term, those who specialize in political corruption, shameless capitulation and unabashed betrayals of public trust had ample opportunity to shine. And shine they did.

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Update on Free TPM Ultra-Merch for New Subs and Upgrades

I wanted to let you know that we are now out of free TPM 25th anniversary baseball caps and t-shirts that we were giving away as inducements for people to become members of TPM or upgrade their memberships. Thanks to everyone who took us up on the offer. Your ultra-merch should either be in your hands or on the way.

I wanted to add an important additional point. This isn’t the last chance. A number of you wrote in asking if you could simply purchase a piece of ultra-merch or why newbs were getting first dibs while years-long-members were shut out. Here’s the deal.

The ultra-merch we commissioned for the 25th anniversary was also basically a proof of concept. We wanted to find good suppliers and get a sense of pricing and so forth for a different quality tier of clothing, something a few notches above the standard made-to-order, meh-quality stuff that any substack can set up to sell in a few minutes, stuff that is essentially a novelty. We wanted stuff that that was of quality you’d feel good wearing as a simple garment. That’s a different part of the clothing commission industry; pricing is different, fulfillment is different. And what we found is really nice stuff. Like the high end version of the kind of baseball cap you might buy from an MLB team or the kind of well-made t-shirt you might buy at a real clothing store. So it was done with the expectation that we would start selling similar ultra-merch in the new year. So there’s more coming and that was the point all along.