That Rally-Round-The-Flag Effect

Israel’s Channel 12 released a new poll today. It told largely the same story every poll has told since the days just after the October 7th massacres: a big drop for the Likud, a huge jump for Benny Gantz’s National Unity party. Stepping back the current government loses about twenty of its seats while the opposition jumps to roughly 70. Again, this is broadly consistent with all the other polls over the last six weeks. I’ve noted before that while this is a rare occasion where the head of government hasn’t received any kind of rally-round-the-flag effect. Quite the contrary. But if we define rally-round-the-flag as rallying around the country, the war effect or national unity, there is overwhelming evidence of that.

But looking at this and other polls, I think we can make an additional observation.

Continue reading “That Rally-Round-The-Flag Effect”

‘High Roller’: Bombshells From Santos Report Include Imaginary Maserati, Spending Sprees On Casinos, ‘Botox’ And OnlyFans

The House Ethics committee report on Rep. George Santos (R-NY) that was released on Thursday is quite a read. Investigators from the committee compiled over 170,000 pages of documents and testimony from witnesses, including members of Santos’ campaign team and congressional staff. They concluded that Santos was at the center of a “complex web of unlawful activity” as he “sought to fraudulently exploit every aspect of his House candidacy for his own personal financial profit.” The report describes Santos spinning through various alleged schemes and lies as he obtained funds for everything from casino trips to cosmetic procedures, while dealing with personal credit card debt and negative bank balances. 

Santos responded to the stunning report on the site formerly known as Twitter where he called it a “disgusting politicized smear” and announced he would not run for re-election next year “as my family deserves better than to be under the gun from the press all the time.” He did not respond to a text message from TPM asking if he could refute any of the specific evidence described in the report. 

TPM was first to report on some of the core allegations in the report including the committee’s focus on a supposed consulting firm Santos set up to work with other campaigns and allegations he charged donors’ credit cards without authorization. House investigators were clear that they did not look into some areas — including the credit card scheme — to avoid conflicting with an ongoing federal criminal investigation that has already led to charges against Santos and his former campaign treasurer. The committee also stopped short of recommending Santos’ expulsion or beginning formal procedures for a sanction. Nevertheless, citing the fact that the case was “unprecedented in many respects,” the investigators recommended referring their findings to the DOJ and making them public. 

The resulting report will surely provide ammunition to the members of Congress — including some of Santos’ fellow Republicans — who have been pushing for him to be expelled. It also provides a scintillating read. 

We already knew a ton about Santos’ corruption, but there is so much more. Here are some of the wildest revelations from the House Ethics Committee report. 

An ‘Untouchable’ Treasurer And Questionable Transactions

As he has faced criminal charges and public scrutiny for the alleged financial improprieties in his election operation, Santos has tried to lay blame elsewhere. Namely, he has pointed the finger at his former campaign treasurer, Nancy Marks, who pleaded guilty last month to charges related to her work on his team. However, House investigators rejected this defense and said “he was a knowing and active participant in the misconduct.” Specifically, the report said Santos “had login credentials to access the campaign’s bank accounts online” and that he responded to staffers who raised concerns about Marks by saying she was “untouchable.” The report also detailed how money from the campaign flowed directly into accounts controlled by Santos where it was used for, among other things, “about $6,000 worth of purchases at Ferragamo stores,” cash withdrawals at casinos and ATMs near Santos’ home, and paying Santos’ rent. 

Worried Staff Wanted Santos To ‘Seek Treatment’

TPM has reported on revolts within Santos’ campaign team. The Ethics Committee uncovered further details, including that “members of Representative Santos’ own campaign staff viewed him as a ‘fabulist,’ whose penchant for telling lies was so concerning that he was encouraged to seek treatment.” Investigators also described how the staff put together a “vulnerability report” detailing how Santos’ questionable financial disclosures and ties to alleged pyramid schemers could hurt his political career. Santos brushed off those concerns and said the internal report was “not worrisome,” according to investigators. 

‘Definitely A High Roller’ 

The investigators noted Santos’s campaignincurred significant travel expenses for flights, hotels, Ubers, and meals” and revealed how many of these charges lined up with his recreational activity rather than political events. The report specifically described several specific expenditures as raising concerns of potential personal use of campaign funds: $2,281.52 spent at resorts in Atlantic City from July 23 to July 24, 2022; $1,400 at Virtual Skin Spa in Jericho, New York in July 2022, and $225 at CityMD in Huntington, New York on August 27, 2022.”

Other expenses were detailed in a chart titled “Examples of Personal Use” that was attached to the report. These included $1,084.99 at Harrah’s Resort in Atlantic City, $659.99 at Caesar’s, and $1,500 at a business called “MAX Pets.” 

The report specifically noted that “spa services and/or cosmetic procedures could not be verified as having a campaign nexus” and revealed that Marks had identified some of these charges as going to “Botox” in documents that she turned over to the committee. TPM previously revealed Santos’ predilection for spending on Botox treatments in a February 2023 story based on leaked audio from his office.

Following The Money 

Several complex cash flows were tracked by the House Ethics Committee investigators. Some of the criminal charges against Santos relate to loans he reported giving to his campaign when he did not actually have the funds. Those allegedly fraudulent loans helped Santos receive funding and logistical support from Republican Party organizations. According to the committee, Santos also had his campaign pay him back “for four campaign loans, totaling $29,200, that were not made.” 

The committee also revealed that the campaign engaged in “unreported transfers worth over $50,000” with RISE, a PAC based in New York. As TPM previously described, that organization paid Santos’ sister and some of his other associates. 

As TPM exclusively revealed earlier this month, a consulting firm connected to Santos that worked for the campaign of far-right congressional hopeful Tina Forte was a major focus of the House Ethics Committee investigation. Santos and his associates collected substantial sums from Forte and other local Republican candidates after he allegedly directed other aspiring politicians to firms without disclosing his own connections to them. The House Ethics Committee report, which included some of the same text messages previously uncovered by TPM, described how one of these consulting firms, RedStone, subsequently deposited “at least $200,000” in Santos’ personal accounts and how some of that money was used “to, among other things: pay down personal credit card bills and other debt; make a $4,127.80 purchase at Hermes; and for smaller purchases at Only Fans; Sephora; and for meals and for parking.”

Messy Personal Finances

While Santos was supposedly making huge loans to his campaign, committee investigators found that many of his personal bank accounts were actually in the red with negative balances, amid his alleged spending on casino trips, cosmetic procedures, and luxury goods. Despite his precarious personal finances, Santos apparently tried his hand at day trading, per tax filings obtained by the committee. The tax documents, which were included in exhibits attached to the report, appear to show Santos buying and selling meme stocks including GameStop and AMC over the course of several days in March and April 2021.  

Another major focus of the report was the required personal financial disclosures Santos filed with the House. According to the committee, Santos failed to file the report for 2021 and this year. Investigators described his report from last year as “egregiously riddled with errors, omissions, and misleading information” that was “part of an ongoing ruse by Representative Santos to fabricate a wealthy persona.” The report noted that Santos has made “myriad excuses” when asked to correct errors and file his current report, including asking for extra time and that “neither Representative Santos nor any individual authorized to assist him with his FD Statements has logged into the House Financial Disclosure system since his extension request was filed in May 2023.” 

A Dispute In Santos’ Office

Along with all of the financial improprieties associated with Santos, the Ethics Committee investigated a sexual misconduct allegation against the congressman. That accusation was leveled by Derek Myers, a man who had a brief and chaotic stint with Santos’ team. This was the one instance where the investigators exonerated Santos. They noted that there was “not substantial reason to believe that Representative Santos sexually harassed or discriminated against” Myers. However, even as they cleared Santos in that matter and praised him for cooperating with that portion of the investigation, the investigators noted it put his refusal to provide documents and testimony related to other aspects of the probe in a harsher light. Investigators suggested this discrepancy showed “his willingness to comply … turned on whether he believed doing so was in his personal interest.” 

The Imaginary Sports Car

Shortly after his election last year, Santos ended up making headlines due to  revelations he lied about many aspects of the made up stories he told on the campaign trail. He made it to Congress after telling an incredible tale that positioned him as a descendant of Holocaust survivors who managed to become a wealthy financier. None of that was true and, while he has denied criminal wrongdoing, Santos has admitted he “lied.” 

Multiple investigations into Santos and much of the testimony from people in his orbit who have talked to investigators and to TPM have indicated that he was intent on bolstering the false perception of wealth. Investigators from the Ethics Committee found further indications of Santos’ frantic efforts to convince the world he was a man of means, including false claims that he owned multiple properties and a luxury car. The report summed up that last fantasy in a single, brutal sentence: “At no point does Representative Santos appear to have owned a Maserati, despite telling campaign staff otherwise.”

History, Its Importance and Irrelevance – Plus Some Books

Today I wanted to share with you a few thoughts about history — both the history of the Middle East and the story that is consuming a lot of our politics in the US in these final weeks of 2023, as well as history generally, its centrality and sometimes its irrelevance.

I’m going to cover this in two ways. I’m going to give you a list of books that are helpful to understanding the origins of all of this. They’re both very good and helpful reads. They also shed some light on where I come from in all this because I come at this grounded in a specific part of the historiography and with my own set of personal and ideological commitments. The other part is my recent email conversation with fellow community member, TPM Reader ME. I’ll start with that.

Continue reading “History, Its Importance and Irrelevance – Plus Some Books”

Senate Democrats Punt On Supreme Court Oversight In Favor Of Early Vacation

Long-vexed advocates cheered when Senate Judiciary Democrats finally stepped up their efforts to target corruption at the Supreme Court, setting aside their favored strongly worded letters and fist-shaking floor speeches for subpoenas. 

But the plan to authorize those subpoenas, unveiled on Oct. 30, has yet to come to fruition with yet another vote planned for Thursday canceled at the last minute.

“Markup was canceled due to CR votes and wrap up happening last night,” a Judiciary Committee spokesperson told TPM, referring to the continuing resolution to temporarily keep the government funded. 

Continue reading “Senate Democrats Punt On Supreme Court Oversight In Favor Of Early Vacation”

House Ethics Committee Releases Report On George Santos

The House Ethics Committee unanimously found “substantial evidence” that Rep. George Santos (R-NY) committed federal crimes, it said in a Thursday report which portrayed the congressman as a “fabulist” and “high roller” who spent campaign money on botox, trips to Las Vegas and Atlantic City, and designer clothing.

Continue reading “House Ethics Committee Releases Report On George Santos”

What It Looks Like When You Elect Online Trolls To Congress

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

It’s Okay To Laugh And Cry

The appearance of FBI Director Chris Wray on the Hill Wednesday offered another bracing example of how far off the rails the House GOP has gone.

Obsessed with conspiracy theories, performative politics, and pugilism, the worst of the House Republicans show little interest in governing but have enormous appetites for getting in front of cameras.

It’s bad every single day, but it comes into stark relief during committee hearings, when serious, well-informed witnesses with expertise and responsibilities are used as would-be punching bags. Bewildered, confused, not up to speed on the latest bogus conspiracy theories, the witnesses are often left grasping for what the members are even talking about.

So it went yesterday with Wray …

Ghost Buses?!?!

Rep. Clay Higgins (R-LA) has DONE … HIS … OWN … RESEARCH, y’all.

His latest conspiracy theory is that conspicuously white buses were used to transport FBI personnel and informants disguised as pro-Trump protestors to the Jan. 6 attack.

Higgins made a fool of himself quizzing FBI Director Chris Wray about it in a congressional hearing yesterday:

Priceless

As bad as it was, Higgins’ foolishness was not the peak insanity of the Wray hearing:

Santos Ethics Report Could Drop At Any Minute

The House Ethics Committee is expected to release an initial report on Rep. George Santos (R-NY) by the end of week. It will not recommend sanctions. Proponents of expelling Santos are expected to use the report to push for another expulsion vote.

Getting To Know Mike Johnson

  • Politico: Mike Johnson is a board member of a Christian publishing house that called ‘monkeypox’ a penalty for being gay
  • NBC News: Speaker Mike Johnson says separation of church and state is a ‘misnomer’
  • Politico on Mike Johnson’s House: ‘Same clown car with a different driver’

The Latest In The Georgia RICO Case

  • Expect a protective order soon from the judge overseeing Fani Willis’ RICO case after all the parties came to a broad agreement during a hearing yesterday on what it should say.
  • The incipient protective order comes after proffer videos of defendants who had pleaded guilty were leaked to the press. A lawyer for one of the Coffee County scheme defendants admitted to the judge during the hearing that he had been a source of the leak.
  • Willis is moving to revoke the bail of one of the more flamboyant RICO defendants for allegedly repeatedly violating the terms of his release.
  • NYT: Why Georgia Republicans Are Protecting the D.A. Who Indicted Trump

Rudy G Faces A $$$ Reckoning

ABC News:

Former Georgia election workers Ruby Freeman and Shaye Moss will seek between $15.5 million and $43 million from Rudy Giuliani at a defamation trial slated to begin next month in a Washington, D.C., federal court, attorneys for the mother and daughter wrote in court documents filed Tuesday.

Day Late And Dollar Short?

Nevada’s attorney general is now investigating Trump’s fake electors scheme.

Watch Trump Sweat

Marcy Wheeler: Trump Continues To Disavow The Mob That Sacrificed Their Lives For Him

Closing Arguments In Colorado DQ Clause Case

After closing arguments late yesterday in the Colorado Disqualification Clause case against Trump, the judge said she plans to release her decision Friday.

Meanwhile, a Michigan judge has allowed Trump to stay on the ballot for the GOP presidential primary.

Arrest Made In Pro-Palestinian Protest Outside DNC HQ

About 150 pro-Palestinian demonstrators surrounded the Democratic National Committee headquarters near the Capitol Wednesday evening, while House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, House Minority Whip Katherine Clark and Pete Aguilar, the third-ranked Democratic leader were inside.

Capital Police reported that one person was arrested for assault on a police officer, and six officers were treated for injuries “ranging from minor cuts to being pepper sprayed to being punched.”

As is often the case in such situations, there’s quite a bit of dispute over what exactly happened. Semafor’s Dave Weigel was on the scene and his observations contradict initial claims that protestors tried to storm the building and used pepper spray against the police.

A Snapshot From The West Bank

This NPR piece does a really good job of capturing the quotidian indignities visited upon West Bank Palestinians. While the piece is ostensibly about how tensions have ramped up since the Oct. 7 Hamas attack, what it depicts is the kind of the routine inconvenience, deprivation, and restriction that are hallmarks of the occupation.

This Is Who Elon Musk Is

Yair Rosenberg: On Wednesday night, Elon Musk affirmed on Twitter/X the deadliest anti-Semitic conspiracy theory in recent American history.

BREAKING …

WSJ: President Biden Expected to Face Harsh Criticism in Classified-Document Probe But No Charges

Hunter Biden Throws A Hail Mary Subpoena

In the federal firearms case against him, Hunter Biden is seeking to subpoena Donald Trump, Bill Barr, former acting Attorney General Jeffrey Rosen, and former acting Deputy Attorney General Richard Donoghue to obtain evidence that his prosecution was driven and tainted by political pressure.

These kinds of selective or vindictive prosecution claims almost always fail, but … rarely does the defendant have the kind of public record of political interference to draw on that Biden does here.

Ohhh …

WaPo: Pressure mounts on CPAC chief Matt Schlapp as legal costs spiral

2024 Ephemera

  • Yevgeny “Eugene” Vindman, twin brother of Alex, both of whom were caught up in the first Trump impeachment, is planning to run for the House seat being vacated by Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-VA).
  • Politico: Progressives facing primary challenges over Israel demand more help from Jeffries
  • New Hampshire sets presidential primary date for Jan. 23, defying Biden and the DNC.

Good Read

Brian Stelter: The Inside Story of How Fox Fell for the ‘Big Lie’

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No Plans To Veer From The McCarthy Punishment Playbook

Just as House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) managed to keep the government open by following the Kevin McCarthy playbook, so too will the party’s right flank not veer from its McCarthy-era (no, the other McCarthy era) retaliatory tactics.

Continue reading “No Plans To Veer From The McCarthy Punishment Playbook”

The Long National Nightmare Inflicted By The House GOP Isn’t Nearly Over

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

House Dems Rescue House GOP From Gov’t Shutdown

Despite the extracurricular antics I will describe further down, the House managed to avoid a government shutdown by passing a continuing resolution with more Democratic support than Republican. The Democratic-controlled Senate is expected to concur, and President Biden is expected to sign it.

A near-term disaster was averted, but this had red flags all over it.

After ousting Kevin McCarthy as speaker and spending three weeks fumbling for a replacement, the House GOP is right back where it was to begin with: unwilling and incapable of governing, eager to tear things down and engage in performative politics, and beholden to a pro-insurrection far-right fringe.

One can imagine a scenario where the turmoil of October would have had some kind of cathartic effect, forcing an internal reckoning in the House GOP and changing the underlying power dynamics. But there was no real indication that that had happened, and the funding impasse serves as powerful evidence that we remain in the same predicament as before.

While it appears that Speaker Mike Johnson’s perch is safe for now, despite doing virtually the same thing McCarthy did, the road ahead to permanent government funding sometime early next year remains as murky as it was all of 2023.

A Wild And Crazy Day On The Hill

It was a day where men fought on things that didn’t matter, folded on things that did, and congratulated themselves heartily for being jagoffs. Let’s run through the three incidents:

Elbowed In The Back!

NPR reporter Claudia Grisales unexpectedly found herself in the midst of a near-scuffle between Reps. Tim Burchett (R-TN) and Kevin McCarthy. Burchett claimed McCarthy elbowed him in the back while walking by during a hallway interview with Grisales and chased after McCarthy. Grisales trailed him and caught audio of the ridiculous exchange:

Is ‘Smurf’ The Best You Can Come Up With?

Democrats on the Chairman James Comer’s Oversight Committee are becoming more aggressive in challenging his bogus investigations, and Comer doesn’t like it one bit:

Sit The Hell Down

Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) picked a fight with Teamsters president Sean O’Brien, who was testifying before Chairman Bernie Sander’s HELP Committee:

Kudos to Sanders, whose dyspeptic orneriness was perfect for the moment.

“Stop it. Sit down. You’re a United States senator,” Sanders implored, before adding, “This is a hearing. And God knows the American people have enough contempt for Congress. Let’s not make it worse.”

Santos Fundraiser Pleads Guilty

Sam Miele, a one-time fundraiser for Rep. George Santos (R-NY), has pleaded guilty to a federal wire fraud charge after, among other misdeeds, impersonating the then-chief of staff for Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) to raise funds for Santos.

No Argument Here

Trump Summons Violence Against NY Judge

Make no mistake what Trump is doing here:

Jack Smith: Trump Is Responsible For Jan. 6

The indictment of Donald Trump in the Jan. 6 case in DC was so sweeping and broad that sometimes its specific impact can be missed. For example, because it didn’t allege that Trump incited the attack on the Capitol, it was interpreted as demurring to First Amendment concerns, which is both true but perhaps misses the point.

In recent days, Smith has gone out of his way to suggest that the indictment should not be read as narrow, constrained, or limited. In the first example a few days ago, in a filing that offered a preview of the evidence Smith intends to present at trial, prosecutors revealed that they would be making the case that the rioters themselves said Trump summoned them and directed them to the Capitol and that they were following his direction.

Yesterday, Smith was even more direct: “Although the indictment does not charge the defendant with incitement to insurrection … it squarely alleges that he is responsible for the events of January 6, 2021.” That plain statement, made in a filing to the DC Circuit Court of Appeals, which is considering the gag order imposed in the case, sets up a trial where Jan. 6 is front and center, not something Smith is dodging.

Fani Willis Seeks Emergency Protective Order

After the leak of proffer videos, Atlanta District Attorney Fani Willis rushed to court yesterday to renew her pending request for a protective order in the case. Notably, in her filing she identified an email (Exhibit B here) in which one of the defendants’ lawyer seems to admit to having leaked the proffer videos, before retracting it in a subsequent email and claiming it was a “typo.”

State Judge Scott McAfee has scheduled a hearing on Willis’ emergency request for 1:30 p.m. ET today via Zoom. Trump and other defendants are opposed to the protective order.

Willis: RICO Trial Won’t Be Finished Before 2024 Election

“I believe in that case there will be a trial. I believe the trial will take many months. And I don’t expect that we will conclude until the winter or the very early part of 2025,” Willis said.

2024 Ephemera

  • Politico: Alaska Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom announces bid to unseat Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola
  • WaPo: Univision, the Spanish language news giant, shifts its approach to Trump
  • Politico: New Jersey First Lady Tammy Murphy enters US Senate race to replace Menendez

Helpful!

A useful analysis of the Supreme Court’s new ethics code and how it differs from other judicial ethical guidelines.

Women On The Verge

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