It’s Clearer Than Ever That Jan. 6 Wasn’t The End But The Beginning

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

A Quick Refresher On How We Got Here

In the aftermath of the Minnesota assassination spree, Garrett Graff crisply traces the arc of violent right-wing extremism from the 1980s to the present day. For those of us who have covered it and lived it, it’s drearily familiar. But I was struck anew by how what seemed like a winning fight for so long went sideways so quickly.

Across most of that time, the fight against right-wing extremism seemed like a manageable, containable, and winnable problem. It often felt like stamping out a final rear-guard action by the retreating forces of intolerance and racism. In fact, in retrospect, the war was far from over.

The “good people on both sides” in Charlottesville marked the beginning of a new era of state-sanctioned violent extremism that historically had been seen only in the South. From there through “Stand back and stand by” and up until the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol, you might have been able to argue that it wasn’t state-sanctioned so much as it was merely endorsed by the head of state, a thin reed of a difference, but a plausible distinction.

After Jan. 6, the state was still functioning on a rule of law basis. But as we noted then, Jan. 6 was the beginning of a new battle, not a culmination. While clear and deeply worrying cracks like the Supreme Court’s corrupt immunity decision were emerging, there was still a chance to avoid going over the cliff’s edge into lawlessness. Trump’s re-election foreclosed that last chance. It cleared the way for him to the empower the apparatus of the state with his brand of right-wing authoritarianism.

But it was the Jan. 6 pardons specifically that brought it all full circle. As Graff notes, “The January 6th pardons — and a host of other abuses of the presidential pardons — have made clear a chilling message to Trump’s most extreme supporters: Violence in support of the regime will be not only tolerated but excused.”

Combined with the Trump White House’s takeover of the Justice Department, the Jan. 6 pardons and the retaliation against investigators and prosecutors marked the end of a functioning rule-of-law-based state apparatus. In its place is violence and retribution. The law is used as a shield for his supporters and a sword to his foes. That’s where we are now and the way out of this wilderness remains alarmingly unclear.

Alex Jones Allegedly Hiding Assets

The U.S. bankruptcy trustee has filed multiple lawsuits to recover assets that Alex Jones allegedly transferred fraudulently to avoid paying the $1.3 billion he owes Sandy Hook families.

A Dark Day At The Supreme Court

It was a convoluted series of opinions, but it boiled down to a 6-3 majority, along conservative-liberal lines, to sanction government discrimination against transgender youth and their families.

“It was a stark decision from Roberts using circular reasoning that will serve to empower those seeking to discriminate against transgender people — although the decision does leave some narrow routes open to challenging certain anti-trans laws and policies going forward,” Chris Geidner writes in an exhaustive unpacking of the multiple opinions by the justices.

The Cruelty Remains The Point

On the same day at the Supreme Court ruled against gender-affirming care for transgender youth, the Trump administration said it was ending specialized support for LGBTQ callers to the national suicide prevention hotline.

A New System Of Political Censorship

As it restarts the system for issuing student visas, the Trump administration is imposing a new system of censorship on international students. Among the new requirements, according to cable signed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio:

  • Visa applicants must have all social media profiles set to “public” so that U.S. consular officials can review their “online presence.”
  • Failure to set social media accounts to “public” will be seen by the State Department as an effort to evade or hide certain activity.
  • Consular officials are required to “identify applicants who bear hostile attitudes toward our citizens, culture, government, institutions, or founding principles; who advocate for, aid, or support designated foreign terrorists and other threats to U.S. national security; or who perpetrate unlawful antisemitic harassment or violence.”

The new requirements take effect in five business days.

Sign Of The Times: Juneteenth Edition

WSJ:

Plano, Ill., made national news in 2021 when it designated Juneteenth a holiday before the state or federal government. But this year, Plano’s fifth annual celebration is canceled. 

Organizer Jamal Williams said he called off the event after local business sponsors in the 13,000-person town declined to commit, saying they feared losing customers. A downsized version is being planned at a church in the town next door.

Quote Of The Day

“I may do it, I may not do it. I mean, nobody knows what I’m going to do.”–Donald Trump, on potential U.S. military strike on Iran, which he has reportedly approved plans for but hasn’t given the final order to launch

No Silver Linings

A brutal new assessment out today on how quickly we are speeding toward irreversible catastrophic climate change:

A Eulogy To The Student Essay

Brian Klaas: “The death of the student essay is not merely an academic concern. It is not just a problem for young people hoping to get good grades, nor is it only relegated to the realm of my fellow elbow-patched nerds. Instead, the rapidly improving ability to impressively mimic human language poses an existential threat to traditional methods of crafting smarter minds—which thereby challenges the future of human cognition.”

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Minnesota Shooter Allegedly Targeted Abortion Clinics At Time Of Threats, Lax Protections

Minnesota shooting suspect Vance Boelter allegedly targeted abortion providers for future violence, a jarring detail in the evidence as the Trump administration systematically rolls back protections passed when anti-abortion violence was at a fever pitch.

Continue reading “Minnesota Shooter Allegedly Targeted Abortion Clinics At Time Of Threats, Lax Protections” →

Thoughts on the Counterpoints

The Reality TV reveal version of war-planning and everything that is going on right now in the White House is so crazy I don’t know what to say about it. I’m reduced to trying to piece together what the various parties to the conflict and those adjacent to it may want or be trying to accomplish. I think TPM Reader JS is on to something in the email I just published a few moments ago. To the extent Trump may look to the Saudis and Emiratis as to what to do they may want him to finish this. When I responded to JS I told him that I agreed but with a major caveat. Even in the Move Fast and Break Things MBS era I think being a Gulf royal means being scared. Luck and geology made them fabulously wealthy and in part because of that wealth able to sustain deeply archaic political systems in which they have close to absolute power. That status is precarious. It’s one thing to build an anti-Iran coalition or an anti-Iran alliance with Israel. Blowing up the Iranian state is a very different and profoundly dangerous and unpredictable proposition.

Continue reading “Thoughts on the Counterpoints” →

Trump Wants To Drop A Key Tenet Of MAGA. His Biggest Fans Are Pushing Back

In a Truth Social post over the weekend, President Trump suggested he was haphazardly undercutting a core element of his mythos: that he is anti-war. That assertion, as questionable as it might be on its face, has been embraced by some of his most outspoken supporters.

Continue reading “Trump Wants To Drop A Key Tenet Of MAGA. His Biggest Fans Are Pushing Back” →

Counterpoint #2

TPM Reader MO shares his thoughts after PT’s …

I want to present a third view on the question of what will determine Trump’s decision on Iran. I suggest that the key factor will be what MbS and the other Middle Eastern leaders tell him they want. Ultimately Trump’s interest is in what will enrich him most and here Saudi Arabia and the others have by far the most to offer. For Trump, there is no money to be made in Israel or in regime change in Iran. Corruption overrides everything for him.

Continue reading “Counterpoint #2” →

Grok’s ‘White Genocide’ Responses Show How Generative AI Can Be Weaponized

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation.

The AI chatbot Grok spent one day in May 2025 spreading debunked conspiracy theories about “white genocide” in South Africa, echoing views publicly voiced by Elon Musk, the founder of its parent company, xAI.

Continue reading “Grok’s ‘White Genocide’ Responses Show How Generative AI Can Be Weaponized” →

Supreme Court Lets Red States Deny Care For Trans Youth

The Supreme Court ruled 6-3 Wednesday that Tennessee’s ban on gender affirming care in cases of gender dysphoria does not trigger heightened legal protections. At the same time, it permitted the same exact care for minors going through other conditions like precocious puberty.

Continue reading “Supreme Court Lets Red States Deny Care For Trans Youth” →

Counterpoint

TPM Reader PT has a counterpoint to my post from last night on the offer Trump can’t resist. I’m not sure whether I agree with me or with him. If nothing else PT hits key elements of Trump’s MO …

I’m going to lay down a marker here: the US is not going to join the attacks on Iran. I say this because I think that Trump’s being driven by an entirely different dynamic than his desire to stamp his name on what looks increasingly like an “easy win.” 

Let’s consider the context: just 3 days ago, Trump’s military parade was a bust and left him a laughingstock. Meanwhile, something like 2% of the population of the US turned out to protest his policies and his Presidency. 

Continue reading “Counterpoint” →

Trump Has Already Thoroughly Corrupted One Major Election

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

Trump-Style Election Interference

With such a large field of candidates and the primary less than a week away, it seems practically and logistically impossible for the Trump administration to target every single candidate in the NYC mayor’s race, but three major contenders so far isn’t too shabby:

February: Trump DOJ moved to dismiss without prejudice the federal political corruption case against NYC Mayor Eric Adams, who is running for re-election. Eventually, in April, a federal judge reluctantly dismissed the case, but did so with prejudice so that the Trump administration couldn’t use the prospect of refiling the case as a pressure point against Adams. The following day, Adams dropped out of the June 24 Democratic primary, deciding to run in the general election as an independent.

April: Around this time, at the behest of House Republicans, the Trump DOJ opened a criminal investigation into former Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D-NY), a leading candidate in the NYC mayor’s race. The investigation isn’t publicly revealed until a May report in the NYT. The ostensible focus of the investigation is whether Cuomo lied to Congress during testimony about his handling of the COVID pandemic while governor.

June: ICE agents arrest NYC mayoral candidate Brad Lander, the city comptroller, outside an immigration courtroom in a federal building in Manhattan. Lander was detained for a few hours after he tried to escort a migrant, who was also detained, out of the building. Lander has not yet been charged with any crime.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JUNE 17: NYC Comptroller And Mayoral Candidate Brad Lander arrives to speak at a rally after being released from ICE detention on June 17, 2025 in New York City. Lander was arrested by federal agents while visiting an immigration court and accompanying a person out of a courtroom. The trip to the immigration court was Lander’s third over the last month. He was held for over three hours before being released without charges. (Photo by Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

The Adams and Cuomo cases are by far the most concerning because they represent the two sides of the Trump DOJ’s abuse of its powers: using the rule of law as a shield for Trump’s allies and a sword for his foes. The Lander arrest comes in a different context: Democratic officials seeking to protest Trump’s mass deportation operation in public and provocative ways – an operation that Trump is using like a bludgeon against blue states.

While the totality of the corruption of the NYC mayoral election is obvious, it’s also in its own way imperceptible. By election night next week and certainly by the time the general election comes around, it will still be widely covered and perceived as a horse race – no matter the corrupt influence Trump has had on the field of horses and the track they’re running on.

Int’l Student Wins Complete Victory Against Trump Admin

U.S. District Judge Jerry Blackwell handed a sweeping victory to a Bangladeshi national in Minnesota who claimed that the revocation of his student visa and detention by the Trump administration was retaliation for his pro-Palestinian views.

In granting a writ of habeas corpus, Blackwell ruled that the Trump administration had violated Mohammed Hoque’s First Amendment right to free speech, his Fifth Amendment right to due process, and the Administrative Procedures Act.

Blackwell had already ordered Hoque released from detention last month.

Trump’s National Guard Order Likely To Be Upheld

In oral arguments Tuesday, the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals didn’t seem inclined to find President Trump’s federalization of the California National Guard to be procedurally flawed, but it also seemed unlikely to ratify his maximalist position that his decision is not reviewable by courts. The three-judge panel – two Trump appointees and a Biden appointee – were considering last week’s ruling by U.S. District Judge Charles Breyer that sided with Gov. Gavin Newsom in blocking Trump’s order.

Someone Is Finally Held In Contempt Of Court

U.S. District Judge Kathleen Williams of Miami has held Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier in civil contempt of court for an April violation of her restraining order that blocked enforcement of a new state law that criminalizes undocumented immigrants.

Mike Lee Deletes Gross Tweets

Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT) deleted his three personal tweets about the Minnesota assassination spree after he was confronted by Sen. Tina Smith (D-MN).

Anti-Trans Passport Rule Blocked

U.S. District Judge Julia Kobick of Boston broadened her preliminary injunction blocking the Trump administration from limiting the choices of gender identity on passports to the sex citizens were assigned at birth.

Quick Catch-Up On BBB

  • Putting the “big” in BBB: The House GOP version of the “Big Beautiful Bill” would add about $3.4 trillion (including borrowing costs) to the national debt, according to the latest CBO analysis.
  • Senate version of BBB even worse on Medicaid: Hospitals – and some GOP senators – are balking at the even deeper Medicaid cuts in the Senate version of BBB, threatening the tight timeline for getting Trump’s centerpiece legislation to his desk.

This Is NOT Going To End Well

The Senate passed on a bipartisan basis a new light-touch regulatory regime for the cryptocurrency industry, reports TPM’s Josh Kovensky.

Where Have I Heard This One Before?

American president rejects the consensus view of the U.S. intelligence community about the WMD capabilities of a hostile Middle Eastern regime as a pretext for war.

The Big Lie Will Never Die

In written responses provided to the Senate Judiciary Committee, the first batch of Trump judicial nominees skirted answering directly whether President Trump lost the 2020 election, Jay Willis reports at Balls and Strikes. All five of the nominees provided answers that were some version of: “President Biden was certified as the winner of the 2020 presidential election and served as the 46th President of the United States.”

Patel Still Fueling Big Lie

In an X post, FBI Director Kash Patel announced that he had shared with Sen. Charles Grassley (R-IA) “alarming” allegations about 2020 election interference by the Chinese Communist Party – a callback to a long-running and unsubstantiated element of the Big Lie canard.

John Eastman’s Disbarment Upheld

A California court found that attorney John Eastman’s effort to subvert the 2020 election was so egregious — and his remorse so lacking — that the only remedy was to permanently prohibit him from practicing law, Politico reports.

Christian Nationalist Flag Flown at SBA HQ

Kelly Loeffler, the head of the Small Business Administration, posted on X an image of the Christian nationalist “Appeal to Heaven” flag flying at SBA headquarters in DC last week. The flag remained up for about a day, Wired reports, but the X post remains up:

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