Fulton County Judge Derails Georgia Election Board’s Last Minute Plans

A Fulton County judge this week handed down a pair of decisions that derailed, at least in part, the MAGA-controlled Georgia State Election Board’s efforts to complicate the counting of votes through a series of rules that raised the specter of election-certification chaos.

Continue reading “Fulton County Judge Derails Georgia Election Board’s Last Minute Plans”

Abortion Rights Group Sues To Stop DeSantis Admin Pressure Campaign On TV Stations

The group behind a Florida ballot measure to protect abortion rights in the state filed a lawsuit Wednesday morning against a DeSantis administration official, alleging they are engaged in an “unconstitutional” campaign to attack the referendum “using public resources and government authority.” 

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Kamala Harris Ratchets Up Her Attacks On Donald Trump’s Fascism

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

An All Of The Above Campaign

Seeming to ditch the long-held Democratic tendency to fight on only one front at a time, Vice President Kamala Harris is mixing in more attacks on Donald Trump’s authoritarianism to her usual campaign rhetoric aimed at middle class economic issues.

In recent days, Harris has more directly attacked Trump, calling him “weak and unstable” and “incredibly unstable and unhinged.” But she’s increasingly focused her attention on his anti-democratic rhetoric, going so far as to play clips of Trump at her own rally Monday. Today, in a speech in Pennsylvania, she will focus on the threat Trump poses to the Constitution.

“When Vice President Kamala Harris walked off the stage of her rally in Erie, Pa., which included a video compilation of Donald Trump’s recent comments about ‘the enemy from within,’ she told her campaign staff that she wanted to keep using the former president’s own words against him, advisers said,” the WSJ reports.

Harris wants to use Trump’s own words as “evidence” against him in the closing days of the campaign, according to the WSJ report.

In the plodding, “check the box” campaign strategy that Democrats often default to, candidates are given the false choice of either addressing voters’ most pressing concerns or warning that Trump is a menace and threat to democratic values. Harris’ “all of the above” approach in recent days weaves together both attack lines into a seamless whole.

Most notably, Harris has connected Trump’s essential weakness of character with his authoritarian impulses, his fondness for dictators, and his disregard for the Constitution. You get these threats with Trump precisely because he is a such a hollowed-out shell of a human. It’s a powerful reminder that fascism is a refuge for the weak and insecure, an argument that defuses the fear that Trump seeks to instill.

Trump’s Openly Fascist Campaign

Chris Hayes lays it out plainly:

Sign Of The Times

As Morning Memo touched on yesterday, Trump has entered a new, more sinister phase in his quest to retake the White House and fend off the criminal cases against him. These are the kinds of headlines that will be especially chilling in retrospect if Trump wins:

  • NYT: Trump Escalates Threats to Political Opponents He Deems the ‘Enemy’
  • ABC News: Trump’s ‘enemy from within’ threat spurs critics’ alarm about his authoritarian shift
  • WaPo: Trump’s erratic endgame: Dark threats, personal insults and some dancing

Great Read

NBC News’ Ryan J. Reilly and Jane C. Timm have a new deeply reported piece on: “How Trump allies stoked election chaos in Detroit in 2020 — and what they’re planning in 2024”

Of Course …

Donald Trump falsely claimed that there was a peaceful transfer of power in 2020 and sidestepped a question about whether he would commit to a peaceful transition in 2024.

The Money Race

  • Three billionaires poured a combined $220 million into pro-Trump groups in the third quarter.
  • Elon Musk contributed nearly $75 million to his own pro-Trump PAC in the third quarter.
  • Politico: “Democratic candidates across the 10 top Senate battlegrounds raised a collective $203 million last quarter, nearly 2.5 times the GOP’s $83 million.”

IMPORTANT

Politico: “Federal employees throughout the executive branch are panicking at the thought of another Trump administration.”

2024 Ephemera

  • Kamala Harris sits today in Pennsylvania for her first Fox News interview, which will air tonight.
  • WaPo: Harris urges Black Americans not to be fooled into sitting out the race
  • NYT: With Trump Facing Threats, Security and Politics Intersect as Never Before

DOJ Will Monitor Ohio County With Renegade Sheriff

WaPo: “The Justice Department will monitor voting in Portage County, Ohio, during the November election, after the county sheriff last month posted on Facebook urging residents to write down the addresses of people displaying yard signs for Vice President Kamala Harris.”

The Fight Over Election Rules

  • Georgia, Part I: Fulton County Superior Court Judge Robert McBurney ruled that certification of the vote at the county level is mandatory under state law, ratifying existing Georgia law that would prevent local officials from engaging in funny business by refusing or delaying certification.
  • Georgia, Part II: Judge McBurney separately blocked the controversial new rule from the State Election Board requiring the hand-counting of total ballots cast, saying it was too close to Election Day to implement in this cycle.
  • Alabama: A federal judge appointed by Donald Trump ordered a halt to the state’s ham-handed effort to purge the voter rolls of noncitizens immediately before the election.

Allred To Cruz: ‘You’re A Threat To Democracy’

Sen. Ted Cruz (R) was pushed hard on abortion by Rep. Colin Allred (D) during what is expected to be their one and only Senate campaign debate in a race that is closer than anticipated and may represent Democrats last best hope of flipping a GOP seat.

But it was on Jan. 6 that Allred hit Cruz the hardest:

Sifting Through The SCOTUS Tea Leaves On Abortion

TPM’s Kate Riga: Inside The Mystery Of Why The Supreme Court Declined To Hear A Pressing Abortion Case

Mark Robinson Sues CNN Over Porn Report

GOP gubernatorial nominee Mark Robinson filed a defamation lawsuit against CNN in state court in North Carolina over its report last month that he made explicit racial and sexual posts on a porn site message board.

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Trump Defense Sec: Believe Him When He Says He’ll Use Military Against Americans

Over the weekend, Trump rolled out his now-familiar promise to deploy the military against Americans with a chilling, new description of his political opponents: “the enemy from within.”

Now, yet another of Trump’s former administration officials is sounding the alarm on just how seriously we need to take Trump’s promises to his base.

Continue reading “Trump Defense Sec: Believe Him When He Says He’ll Use Military Against Americans”

Postscript

I wanted to add a short post-script to the post below about Democratic freak outs. I realized in this context it might be read as “don’t worry! Kamala has this!” I don’t think that’s a fair or logical reading. But people understandably read things and interpret them in the context of the moment. So let me be clear: I’m not saying that. My point is more that there’s very little evidence that anything has changed or changed more than very marginally since two or three weeks ago when the mood was pretty dramatically different. Indeed, I not only hear from people thinking Harris is now going to lose the election. They’re already on to the mistakes she made that led her to lose the election.

My own take is one of very cautious optimism. That’s in part based on the current polling information and various hunches I have about turnout, polls, recent election cycles etc. Those hunches could be totally wrong. Which is why I don’t tend to write about them. By the hard evidence in front of us — which is itself not that hard — the race could easily go either way. Indeed, I’d add an additional point. People say this race is super close, maybe the closest ever. I’m not even sure that’s true. What we have is a very high uncertainty election. That’s not the same thing. I think it’s quite possible that either candidate could rack up a pretty sizable winning margin, at least in the Electoral College. There are just so many untested or minimally tested assumptions upon which the “closest election evah” hypothesis is based.

But again, back to my point. I’m not saying, don’t freak out, Kamala’s got this. I’m saying the race is very similar to where and what it was in the second half of September. Close then, close now.

Some Deep Thoughts On Why Dems Are So Prone to Recurrent Freak Outs

I’ve had a few of you take me to task recently for writing so much about polls. I’ll take that under advisement, though I hear from many readers that they like those posts. The reality is that most political people follow polls closely, even if they wish they didn’t, and they want insights into just what they mean and how to interpret them. But today I want to discuss something a bit different, albeit still somewhat adjacent to polls. That is, what’s with the Democrats’ tendency to freak out, even in the face of the most limited kinds of disappointing news in polls or other markers of campaign performance?

We’ve discussed this phenomenon from various perspectives in recent years. But, big picture, why does this happen? Why do Democrats freak out like this?

Continue reading “Some Deep Thoughts On Why Dems Are So Prone to Recurrent Freak Outs”

Listen Closely Because What Donald Trump Is Saying Is Worse Than Ever

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

Trump’s Mandate Would Be Horrific

As we veer toward Election Day in just three weeks, Donald Trump’s increasingly fascistic rhetoric is setting himself up to declare any ensuing victory to be a broad mandate for disregarding the rule of law, making unprecedented misuse of the power of the state to punish his political enemies, and targeting people of color and migrants.

Over the holiday weekend, Trump’s language became more sinister, unhinged, and unapologetic, baiting his legions of supporters with promises of violence, retribution, and purifying purges. He continued to evoke key tenets of the Great Replacement Theory: America under attack by migrant invaders soiling the purity of traditional towns and villages. He threatened to unleash police and to use the military to go after “radical left lunatics.” All of this came against the backdrop of Trump refusing to abide by the results of any election he loses.

The way that Trump has ramped up his darkest rhetoric in recent weeks suggests he is building toward an Election Day crescendo that is intended (i) to activate his supporters to vote for him; and (ii) to rally them for his post-election plans to dispute, disrupt, and delegitimize any results that don’t show him as the winner.

At the same time, Trump is giving himself the opportunity to point to any victory – whether by hook or by crook – as creating a mandate for exactly the kind of hard-core, extremist, racist fever dreams he is engaging in during the campaign’s final days.

Whatever you thought of Donald Trump in 2016 or 2020 or even in the aftermath of Jan. 6, 2021, Trump is promising in no uncertain terms a new more apocalyptic and unrepentant version of himself. After a decade of listening to his jeremiads, you may be inclined to tune out Trump by now. But the rhetoric he’s engaged in now – even if it’s mixed into a slop of droning, meandering, and incoherent phrasings – is the Trump that would be elected and the version he would claim has a mandate to follow through on the worst of his threats.

Trump’s Racism Is Unconcealed

It’s not new, but it’s important that Trump continues to center his campaign around racist attacks – mostly on immigrants of color, whether undocumented or not – and that those attacks are becoming more toxic and virulent as Election Day approaches:

Trump: “We will not be conquered. We will not be occupied. We will not be invaded … I will give back your freedom and give back your life.”

– Aaron Rupar

Read on Substack

Trump Raises Specter Of ‘Enemy From Within’

In campaign appearances and national TV interviews, Trump is ratcheting up his threats to misuse and abuse the military to consolidate power and target his political foes, what he is now calling the “enemy from within”:

Meanwhile, former Trump national security adviser Gen. Mike Flynn was asked by a supporter if he would “sit at the head of a military tribunal to not only drain the swamp, but imprison the swamp, and on a few occasions, execute the swamp.” Flynn was, ummm, noncommittal.

‘A Fascist To The Core’

Former Joint Chiefs Chair Mark Milley fears being court-martialed if Trump wins, according to Bob Woodward’s new book, which quotes Milley as saying of Trump: “He is the most dangerous person ever. I had suspicions when I talked to you about his mental decline and so forth, but now I realize he’s a total fascist. He is now the most dangerous person to this country.”

Harris Strikes Back

  • Vice President Kamala Harris is dialing up her direct attacks on Donald Trump as a threat to democracy and to real people: “Donald Trump is increasingly unstable and unhinged,” she told a campaign rally in Pennsylvania on Monday.
  • In an unusual move, Harris played video for her rally’s audience of Trump’s weekend comments about using the military before she launched into her criticism:
  • The Harris campaign has a new video ad up highlighting Trump’s “enemy from within” rhetoric:

Disinfo In The Real World

  • Armed North Carolina man arrested after allegedly threatening FEMA workers.
  • Aaron Blake: How reported threats in N.C. trace to Trump-fueled misinformation
  • Charlie Warzel: I’m Running Out of Ways to Explain How Bad This Is
  • North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper (D) is forced to try to counter Trump’s misinformation.
  • Irony alert: After whipping up hysteria by falsely claiming Biden was withholding relief aid to Americans, Trump threatens to withhold relief aid to Americans:

On The Legal Front …

  • Kate Shaw: Lawyers Should Not Assist Trump in a Potential Power Grab
  • WSJ: Trump Loyalists Push for a Combative Slate of New Judges

‘When Did That Become Okay?’

Brian Beutler: Barack Obama asks THE central question of the Trump era — one we should have been asking all along.

Policies That Matter

Jonathan Cohn: What Real People Get About Kamala Harris’ Big New Idea That The Political Set Can’t Grasp

2024 Ephemera

  • NYT/Siena poll: In Pennsylvania, Harris leads Trump among likely voters 50%-47%. In Arizona, Trump leads Harris among likely voters 51%-46%.
  • NYT: Harris’s Turnout Machine vs. Trump’s Unproven Alliance
  • The Guardian: Trump ground game undercut by slow internet that crashes app
  • NYT: Republican Operatives Function as Hidden Hand Behind Pro-Trump Efforts

Meanwhile, In Florida …

Politico: “Florida’s public universities are purging the list of general education courses they will offer next year to fall in line with a state law pushed for by Gov. Ron DeSantis targeting “woke ideologies” in higher education.”

Trump Gets Even Weirder

A Trump town hall event in Pennsylvania went off the rails Monday tonight. After two separate medical incidents in the crowd, Trump abandoned the Q&A session and turned the rally into a musical event, with him listening to his playlist faves while bobbing and weaving to the music:

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Inside The Mystery Of Why The Supreme Court Declined To Hear A Pressing Abortion Case

Last week, the Supreme Court surprised court-watchers by declining to take up an emergency abortion case out of Texas, leaving the state’s near-absolute ban in place.

Continue reading “Inside The Mystery Of Why The Supreme Court Declined To Hear A Pressing Abortion Case”

A Quarter Century Of Photos Of Trump And Harris

Former President Trump and Vice President Harris have spent the last 25 years in very, very different ways: Trump as a larger-than-life tabloid icon, Harris as a prosecutor and local, then state, then national politician.

Let’s take a look.

5 Kinds Of American Evangelicals And Their Voting Patterns

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation.

Polls and analyses from journalists, scholars and even religious leaders often seem to assume that evangelicalism represents a singular religious and social identity. Former president and Republican nominee Donald Trump, who received 81% of the white evangelical vote in the 2016 election, is predicted to garner a majority share of this vote again in 2024.

Yet, the reality is much more complex. In 2016, for example, evangelical leaders such as Jerry Falwell Jr. and Robert Jeffress celebrated Trump’s victory and evangelicalism’s role in bringing America back to God. Others – such as Russell Moore, currently editor of the evangelical magazine Christianity Today – saw Trump as the opposite of what evangelicalism represents.

Led by prominent figures such as the late Jerry Falwell, contemporary evangelicalism emerged as a political force in the 1970s and 1980s and championed conservative religious values. Since then, evangelicals have been regarded as a uniform, monolithic group who are opposed to gay rights, abortion and more, and that they are a reliable conservative voting bloc.

As a scholar of American religion who has studied the evangelical movement for over 30 years, I was dissatisfied with this interpretation. At University of Southern California’s Center for Religion and Civic Culture, we decided to bring together our collective research on evangelicalism to develop a broader template to understand the dynamics of American evangelicalism. The result was a report first published in 2018 that we continue to update.

We have identified and described five varieties, or “types,” within the broader evangelical movement.

Evangelicals and their beliefs

At its core, evangelicalism is characterized by a belief in the literal truth of the Bible.

For example, evangelicals believe that the world and humans were created by God; that Jesus was literally God’s son and also born as a human; that Jesus died and physically rose from the dead; and that God currently acts through humans to achieve his ends for humanity. A hallmark belief for evangelicals is having a “personal relationship with Jesus Christ” and a focus on encouraging others to be “born again” or “saved” through Jesus.

Despite sharing the same basic theology, there are differences within evangelicalism politics and social engagement.

We used three criteria to develop our five categories: First, each type shares a basic agreement on evangelical theology. Second, they each understand themselves as existing within the larger tradition of American evangelicalism. And third, their theology motivates how they act in the world, including appropriate social and political actions.

Typologies simplify in order to explain, but they also can blur some of the finer distinctions between categories. Still, the perspectives these different varieties of evangelicals maintain shape not only who they will vote for but also why they vote a certain way.

1. MAGA-vangelicals

MAGA-vangelicals consist of the white Christian nationalist core of the “Make America Great Again” or MAGA, movement, with some Latino, Asian and Black American pastors aligning themselves with this movement.

MAGA-vangelicals have been the most vocal and visible group of evangelicals since the 2016 election.

The origins of this group trace back to the 1980s – the time of the emergence of the religious right. MAGA-vangelicals echo many of the same issues – such as opposition to abortion and LGBTQ+ rights and support for anti-immigration policies. One significant shift, however, since the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection, is an increased acceptance of political violence. “Jan. 6 was not an insurrection,” evangelical leader Lance Wallnau has falsely asserted. “It was an election fraud intervention.” The baseless election fraud myth was the pretext for the violence on Jan. 6.

2. Neo-fundamentalist evangelicals

Neo-fundamentalists are evangelicals who are as theologically or politically conservative as MAGA-vangelicals but maintain a theological commitment to remain separate from any relationships – whether personal, social or political – that would, in their view, compromise the teachings of evangelical Christianity and their own identity as evangelical Christians.

For example, Southern Baptist Theological Seminary President Albert Mohler and Christianity Today editor Russell Moore have opposed Trump due to his, by evangelical standards, lack of values and amoral lifestyle.

However, they support how the Trump administration furthered the political goals of evangelical Christianity. In particular, they support the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade and supporting evangelicals’ religious freedom to discriminate against LGBTQ+ people in their businesses.

Yet there has recently been some qualified support among neo-fundamentalists offered for Trump himself, despite their opposition to his personal morals. For example, Mohler has argued that Trump is the better candidate to achieve their goals in 2024, despite his personal shortcomings. Mohler takes the position, though, that this support largely depends on Trump remaining committed to evangelical goals on issues such as abortion.

3. iVangelicals

iVangelicals are evangelicals primarily focused on personal faith and the weekly worship experience in their churches. They are mainly concentrated in the evangelical megachurch movement.

iVangelicals want to reach large numbers of people through their popular worship services, varied social programs and small group ministries.

iVangelicals are particularly adept at borrowing and adapting elements of popular culture to provide a “relevant” church atmosphere.

For example, most iVangelical megachurches include music that, other than the lyrics, is nearly indistinguishable from secular pop and rock bands, in both style and quality. Although they are generally conservative in their theology and politics, they tend to stay away from overtly political messages in their churches.

There is, however, a range of beliefs and commitments among iVangelicals, with some being attracted to groups such as Evangelicals for Harris, a new effort to mobilize evangelicals to move away from Republicans, Trump and MAGA and to vote for Harris. Their approach uses biblical examples and references to argue that true Christian teachings and actions are more aligned with Democrats than Republicans. https://www.youtube.com/embed/23BfwcibYJM?wmode=transparent&start=0 Evangelicals for Harris.

4. Kingdom Christians

Kingdom Christians are evangelicals who, in their churches and ministries, strive to mirror the demographic and socioeconomic mix of the neighborhoods where they are rooted.

They tend to have a more diverse racial and ethnic mix of members than other evangelical churches. Their focus is to be a part of, and to serve, their local communities in a manner that mirrors their conception of the kingdom of God on Earth.

Leaders among Kingdom Christians often critique the economic and political systems that produce poverty and racial injustice. The focus of their efforts, however, is on creating relationships with local businesses and activists in the local community and contributing to policy through engagement with local officials.

Kingdom Christians are present-oriented; the kingdom of God is to be realized in the communities where believers live, as well as in some future spiritual world.

5. Peace and Justice evangelicals

Peace and Justice evangelicals are a loose network of pastors, nonprofit leaders, professors and activists. They are a small segment within evangelicalism often embedded in larger organizations, and they focus their work on key social and political issues such as racial justice, immigration reform and environmental issues. They seek to have a wider impact than just a focus on the local community.

Peace and Justice evangelicals trace their origins to the late 1960s publication, The Other Side, originally Freedom Now, which represented a freshly emerging evangelical social consciousness around issues of racial justice. Following close behind was the Sojourners community, and Sojourners magazine, which is still active today.

In 1973, a group of evangelical college professors wrote the Chicago Declaration of Social Concern, which ultimately led to the launch of Evangelicals for Social Action as a national organization in 1978.

This is a small but growing minority in the larger evangelical world, with many belonging to traditional evangelical institutions. For example, Alexia Salvatierra, at Fuller Seminary, is a longtime “faith-rooted” community organizer and has more recently been instrumental in forming Matthew 25/Mateo25, a group that aids immigrants and “defends the vulnerable.” Shane Claiborne, a long-time urban activist, is currently head of Red Letter Christians, a movement that combines “Jesus and justice” and seeks to “live out Jesus’ counter-cultural teachings.”

Evangelicals and the future

Following historical evangelical voting patterns, it is likely that most white evangelicals will vote for Trump in 2024. I believe many will do so with enthusiasm, while others will vote for him because of his policies, while remaining troubled by his rhetoric.

Of the evangelicals who oppose Trump, some will refuse to vote for either Trump or Harris, refusing to cast a vote for president. Others will vote for Harris, following the example of many Republican leaders who are seeking to move beyond the damage that Trump and the MAGA movement have done to the Republican Party and to conservatism.

Meanwhile, for the Kingdom Christians and Peace and Justice evangelicals, the true values of evangelical Christianity will be supported by the more progressive policies of the Democratic Party.

Regardless of how they vote in the 2024 election, evangelicals in all of these categories will continue to promote their distinct vision of evangelicalism and educate members on how they should bring their faith to bear on important social and political issues in American culture.

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

The Conversation