Trump’s Chaos Draws Directly From Project 2025

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation.

In his first few days back in office, President Donald Trump engaged in a whirlwind of executive actions, from exiting the World Health Organization, to deploying military personnel and National Guard troops to the U.S.-Mexico border.

Many of these actions are unprecedented. Some appear to be illegal and unconstitutional, according to legal experts and judges. But none of them should come as a surprise — nearly all of them were outlined in 2022 in a plan called Project 2025.

A Heritage Foundation representative attends a Moms for Liberty National Summit in Washington on Aug. 30, 2024. Dominic Gwinn/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images

Project 2025 is top of Trump’s to-do list

Project 2025 is a multifaceted strategy to advance conservative policies in the federal government. Part of this effort revolves around the “Mandate for Leadership,” a 922-page document published in April 2023 that outlines a slew of proposed governmental policy changes.

The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank and advocacy group, organized the collaborative effort. A long list of other right-leaning research organizations and interest groups, like Moms for Liberty and Turning Point USA, also participated in Project 2025.

In the lead-up to the 2024 presidential election, Project 2025 participants wrote on the plan’s website that “to rescue the country from the grip of the radical Left,” they would “need both a governing agenda and the right people in place, ready to carry this agenda out on day one of the next conservative administration.”

In my research on think tanks, I’ve investigated how these research organizations can influence public policymaking. The most potent strategy is to ally with a political party and support its objectives through research and advocacy. This is exactly what the Heritage Foundation has done via Project 2025.

Even though Trump said during his 2024 campaign that he was not affiliated with the project, evidence of Project 2025’s agenda can be seen throughout the beginning of his second term — as well as in his first administration.

For example, on Jan. 20, 2025, Trump echoed the plan’s statement that “men and women are biological realities” when he signed an executive order that, in part, recognizes “two sexes, male and female” that are “not changeable and are grounded in fundamental and incontrovertible reality.” This order led to the removal of transgender references from government websites.

Other orders are similarly aligned with Project 2025. Take Trump’s executive order that, in part, eliminated the Office of Federal Contract Compliance Programs, or OFCCP, a government office previously charged with ensuring companies working with the government did not discriminate against any employees. Project 2025 recommended, quite simply, to “eliminate OFCCP.”

Some news reports have found that there are already many other examples of Trump policy decisions and executive orders that appear to mirror Project 2025 recommendations.

One CNN analysis from Jan. 31 found that more than two-thirds of the 53 executive orders Trump issued during his first week in office “evoked proposals outlined in [the] ‘Mandate for Leadership.‘”

Heritage Foundation’s decades of activism

Project 2025’s influence on Trump reflects the Heritage Foundation’s growing importance to the Republican Party.

In my forthcoming book about the polarization and politicization of policy research organizations, I show the many ways that think tanks like the Heritage Foundation have become embedded within partisan networks and intimately connected to politicians. Increasingly, Heritage and other partisan-aligned think tanks, including progressive groups like the Center for American Progress, use their research to consistently support partisan agendas that align with their policy goals.

The relationship between the Heritage Foundation and the GOP represents the most extreme version of this dynamic. The think tank has supported Republican presidents as far back as Ronald Reagan, using another policy document — also called the “Mandate for Leadership” — to secure significant policy gains through his administration. But the symbiosis between the Heritage Foundation and the GOP has been particularly notable since Trump gained more influence in the party.

At the start of Trump’s first term, as one Heritage Foundation researcher told me in 2017, the think tank recognized that the “administration didn’t have much policy depth, so when they won the election they were sort of like, ‘Now what do we do?’ And that’s where Heritage comes in. … We work on these issues year-round, so we’ll stand by your side.”

The Heritage Foundation also vetted potential staffers for federal government positions. This led to more than 66 Heritage employees or former employees working for the Trump administration by the middle of 2018.

But Heritage has not entirely dictated Trump’s agenda. While the group did say that Trump “embraced 64 percent of our 321 recommendations” by the end of 2017, the think tank has also revamped its agenda to align with Trump on the issues he cared most about, like trade and culture wars.

As the think tank’s president, Kevin Roberts, said in 2024, Heritage views its job as “institutionalizing Trumpism.”

The people connecting Trump to Project 2025

Many of the contributors to the “Mandate for Leadership” had been Trump administration officials, like Russ Vought, the former director of the Office of Management and Budget and current nominee for the same position.

This list also includes John Ratcliffe, the former director of National Intelligence and incoming CIA director, and Tom Homan, former acting director of Immigration and Customs Enforcement and current border czar.

In all, more than half of the plan’s 312 authors, editors and contributors previously worked in the first Trump administration.

An incredibly important but often underappreciated part of Project 2025 was its staffing effort: The coalition worked to identify, vet and train potential staffers and appointees who are now making their way into the Trump administration and executive agencies.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer gestures toward a visual aid about Project 2025 during a news conference in September 2024 in Washington. Kent Nishimura/Getty Images

What people – and the law – say about Project 2025

Polling from January 2025 shows that a majority of Americans oppose many of Trump’s actions since retaking office, sometimes by large margins.

Even during the presidential campaign, both Project 2025 itself and the policy ideas it advocated were broadly unpopular. Democrats consistently warned about the plan in their attacks against Republicans.

The lack of popular approval for Project 2025 and its proposals is notable because the Heritage Foundation has historically invested time and money into gaining public support for its work. It even operates an initiative that polls citizens on how they “interpret arguments for and against our policy recommendations and how we can best gain their understanding and support.”

There are also legal considerations.

Many of Trump’s actions – like saying the government will deny citizenship to children born to some immigrants in the U.S. – rest on potentially unconstitutional interpretations and expansions of presidential power.

This represents another about-face for the think tank, which has historically opposed efforts to empower the president at the expense of congressional authority. Indeed, the Heritage Foundation was founded to work through Congress to accomplish its goals. But with Project 2025, it seems it is pursuing a new strategy.

How successful the Heritage Foundation is in helping Trump implement Project 2025 proposals will partially depend on how the public reacts. Whether Congress asserts its control over budgetary matters and exercises general oversight of the executive branch will also matter, as will the decisions made by the American judicial system.

These checks and balances have helped sustain American democracy for nearly 250 years – whether they will continue to do so remains to be seen.

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

A Full-Blown Constitutional Crisis With No End In Sight

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

Judges Can Only Do So Much

President Trump’s extraordinary assault on the constitutional order is inflicting unimaginable damage on democracy at home, on U.S. national interests abroad, on individual rights, and on the health, safety and welfare of all Americans. It is a full frontal assault on the people and on the government they elected him to run.

What now?

With congressional Republicans in abject subservience to Trump, the only potential constraint on his lawlessness are the federal courts. Emphasis on “potential.” But even if a judiciary stacked with Trump appointees stands tall, it’s critical to understand that the courts alone cannot save us from the constitutional disorder of a sidelined legislative branch over which the executive runs roughshod or of an immunized president who is not only failing to take care that the laws be faithfully executed but is violating the laws on a near-daily basis.

As I’ve emphasized this week, one important measure of how bad things will get is whether Trump begins to ignore court orders. That wouldn’t spell a constitutional crisis only because this already is a constitutional crisis. But it would mean that we’ve well and truly crossed the Rubicon into something that is no longer a democracy, with Trump as an American strongman, even if he continues to prop up some of the trappings of the former republic, like Congress. We may already be there.

Whether the judicial branch serves as a bulwark against Trump’s worst excesses or is merely the next domino to fall will play out over the coming weeks. But even if the judiciary holds the line, it cannot undo all the colossal damage already wreaked by Trump and his billionaire wingman. It can’t fully stop ongoing damage from what has already been done or fully corral future yet-to-be-done damage from a renegade Trump.

While the focus is now shifting to the courts and the dozens of important lawsuits that have been filed in recent days to try to rein in all manner of blatant presidential lawlessness, judges can only do so much. While fighting Trump in the courts is critical and could shape much of the next four years and beyond, it an extremely limited response to the breakdown in the constitutional order that is underway. 

The Legal Counteroffensive

A sampling of just some of important lawsuits filed in recent days:

  • FBI agents suing to stop the release of the names of employees involved in the Trump and Jan. 6 prosecutions;
  • federal employee unions suing over Trump’s bogus deferred retirement offer;
  • a doctors group suing over the removal of public health data from government websites;
  • two anonymous federal workers suing to stop Elon Musk’s team from continuing to use an unauthorized server at OPM to send blast emails to everyone in government;
  • a coalition of labor unions suing to block the Musk team from continuing to access sensitive payment systems at Treasury.

This is only a partial list and excludes a whole different category of lawsuits by targets of Trump seeking to vindicate their individual rights, like trans prisoners.

Keeping A Close Eye On The FBI Purge

Among the developments:

  • The FBI turned over to the Trump Justice Department the names of some 5,000 employees who worked on the Jan. 6 cases, the Trump cases, and, less noticed, an investigation into the Oct. 7 Hamas attack.
  • Marcy Wheeler has a insightful analysis on the two FBI lawsuits, one a class action, that were filed in DC yesterday over the purge and why filing in DC matters.
  • I still can’t get over the fact that the acting FBI director is only in that position because the White House made an error on its website and refused to fix it. Despite that ignominious route to the position, Brian Driscoll has not been a pushover.
  • Benjamin Wittes: “A lot of people at the bureau—leadership and street agents, analysts and staff alike—are flirting with heroism right now.”

Treasury Downplays Musk Intrusion

As grim as I was entering Trump II, I didn’t have protests outside the Treasury Department on my February 2025 bingo card. But Elon Musk having any kind of access to government systems that contain sensitive information about all Americans has a way of agitating people.

Treasury continues to downplay the access Musk has. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent made private assurances Monday to GOP lawmakers, and the department sent a letter yesterday to Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR) making similar assurances that the Musk team had “read-only” access.

That flies in the face of reporting otherwise, including from TPM’s Josh Marshall.

As the WSJ observed, “The letter didn’t specifically say whether the employees were being given access to the underlying software that runs the payment systems or whether DOGE-affiliated workers could potentially edit computer code.”

The Tragedy Of Trump’s Lawlessness

Trump’s lawlessness and the very real human costs it is imposing converge most dramatically at USAID. The president is proceeding to wipe a congressionally created independent agency off the map without approval from Congress, and the consequences for American interests abroad, foreign aid recipients, and USAID employees and contractors are dire:

  • All USAID workers abroad are being ordered to return home. This is on top closing USAID headquarters in DC this week and putting most U.S.-based workers on leave.
  • The USAID website contains only this notice.
  • Anecdote of the day: “The cuts came so fast that one dismissed employee had to be rehired to process other employees’ time sheets.”

Headline Of The Day

NYT: Foreign Strongmen Cheer as Musk Dismantles U.S. Aid Agency

Who’s Next?

  • CIA: The CIA offered dubious deferred retirements to its entire workforce.
  • GSA: Trump and Musk have demanded the termination of the approximately 7,500 government office leases around the country.
  • NOAA: Doge staffers enter Noaa headquarters and incite reports of cuts and threats
  • NSF: The National Science Foundation is planning to layoff from one-quarter to one-half of its staff.

Trump II Clown Show

  • The Senate confirmed Pam Bondi as attorney general, with only Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) crossing the aisle.
  • The nomination of Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., was saved by Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA), a longtime vaccine advocate, passing the Senate Finance Committee with a 14-13 vote.
  • Tulsi Gabbard’s nomination for director of national intelligence was approved 9-8 by the Senate Intelligence Committee, with an assist from former Sen. Krysten Sinema (I-AZ).

Kennedy and Gabbard are now likely to be confirmed by the full Senate.

Quote Of The Day

“If upon reflection, you feel like now would be a good time to take a vacation and resign from your position, please ‘reply all’ to this email and put ‘I’d Like to Occupy Mars!’ in the subject line.”–a defiant administrative law judge at the EEOC, in an email to acting Chair Andrea Lucas that copied most of the commission’s staff

Do you like Morning Memo? Let us know!

Elon Musk And His ‘Unknown Soldiers’ Have The Federal Workforce ‘On Edge’

Newly minted “special government employee” Elon Musk and his minions are sending shockwaves through the government. 

Continue reading “Elon Musk And His ‘Unknown Soldiers’ Have The Federal Workforce ‘On Edge’”

Senate Republicans Shrug As Unelected Musk Seizes Their Power

To Democrats, Elon Musk’s reported breaching of the U.S. Agency for International Development, sensitive data held by the Treasury Department, and, now, the Education Department, is a “blatantly illegal” intrusion and an affront to the constitutional separation of powers, which gives Congress, and not an unelected billionaire, the power to stand up agencies and dictate spending. 

At least one Senate Republican agrees that he’s infringing on Congress — but treated Musk’s promised sledgehammering of great swaths of the federal government as a hypothetical exercise that will likely never come to fruition. 

Continue reading “Senate Republicans Shrug As Unelected Musk Seizes Their Power”

The Most Dangerous Line Trump Could Still Cross

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

Will The Judiciary Hold?

Nothing about the last week in American politics should be sugarcoated. We are in a bad way. How bad remains to be seen.

A key marker for how bad things might get is whether the executive branch defies the judicial branch. Things are touch and go right now, and it’s too early to draw any concrete conclusions. But here’s what to watch:

Late yesterday, a DC federal judge put a firmer block on the Trump White House’s spending freeze ordered by the OMB. The extension came only after the judge expressed concern that funds were still being held up in violation of an earlier pause of the freeze that she’d ordered.

It’s not clear whether the continuing cut off of funding was intentionally in violation of the court order or could be more benignly explained by a lag or a disorganized response in a chaotic period. There are other indications, such as distributing a required notice, that the Trump administration did comply at least in part with the DC court order and a similar one issued by a federal judge in Rhode Island late last week.

Elon Musk’s DOGE Rampage

Elon Musk’s role in the opening days of the Trump II administration is going to be studied for years. It is so hard to get one’s head around this actually happening in these utterly bizarre ways:

  • Wired: A 25-Year-Old With Elon Musk Ties Has Direct Access to the Federal Payment System
  • Politico: DOGE’s access to federal data is ‘an absolute nightmare,’ legal experts warn
  • NYT: Inside Musk’s Aggressive Incursion Into the Federal Government
  • CNN: Elon Musk is serving as a ‘special government employee,’ White House says
  • HuffPost: Unions Sue Treasury Department Over ‘DOGE’ Access To Sensitive Data

USAID Under Siege

USAID’s DC headquarters is closed for a second day as President Trump continues to threaten to unlawfully eliminate it as an independent agency by folding it into the State Department:

  • Bloomberg: Behind DOGE’s Standoff at USAID: Desk Searches and Elon Musk Calling
  • Sen. Brian Schatz (D-HI) vowed to put a “blanket hold” on President Trump’s State Department nominees until USAID is restored.
  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced that he is now dual-hatting as acting administrator of USAID and notified lawmakers that he intends to work with Congress to reorganize USAID.

The Pandering To Elon Musk Knows No Limits

I’ve never seen anything like this letter from DC acting U.S. Attorney Ed Martin, a Missouri political hack, to Elon Mush, on DOJ letterhead no less:

The implication of Martin’s letter seems to be that the USAID security officials who tried to block Musk’s team from physically accessing classified information over the weekend may be criminally investigated. It also serves as a warning to anyone else who might try to enforce the law against Musk’s rampage through the federal government.

Trump Himself Ordered Jack Smith’s Prosecutors Canned

Of course he did, via The Guardian:

After Trump instructed his advisers that he wanted the prosecutors gone, the White House presidential personnel office, led by longtime Trump ally Sergio Gor, issued a memo that directed the justice department to proceed and gave the move a degree of legal cover.

The memo was then sent to the acting attorney general’s office, which issued the actual termination notices to those still at the department. The precise number is unclear because the department did not release names, but the trial team consisted of at least 18 lawyers

Trump DOJ Is Leading The Purge Of The FBI

  • The FBI general counsel concluded that bureau leaders had no legal choice but to comply with the lawful DOJ order to turn over the names of agents who worked on the Jan. 6 cases, NBC News reports.
  • Prosecutors and agents caught up in the DOJ and FBI purges are preparing to file lawsuits over their unlawful terminations.

The Battle For The Soul Of The FBI

Former FBI agent Asha Rangappa:

An agency that is defined by loyalty to a person, rather than principles can neither be guided nor reined in by rules. It is built around, and driven by, contempt for them. The current Justice Department’s willingness to decimate almost half of its agent workforce without due process protections owed to those employees and despite the danger to Americans that will result from the vacuum left by agents no longer investigating and monitoring critical threats, is already signaling a step in this direction. 

The Trump II Clown Show

  • Jan. 6 conspiracist Darren Beattie, who has a history of deeply racist and misogynistic social media posts, is now the State Department’s acting under secretary for public diplomacy and public affairs.
  • Devin Nunes acolyte Michael Ellis is now the deputy director of the Central Intelligence Agency.
  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio has tapped Pete Marocco, the director of foreign assistance at the State Department, to lead a review of USAID. Who is Marocco, you ask? Ummm …

In early 2023, online sleuths who aided the FBI in cases against hundreds of Jan. 6 rioters identified Marocco and his now-wife as being among the rioters who stormed the Capitol in 2021, pointing to multiple images of them on the Capitol grounds that day and CCTV video that shows the man they identified as Marocco entering the Capitol through a broken window.

Photos of the person who entered the building were a strong facial recognition match for publicly available images of Marocco, online sleuths said. Marocco, like hundreds of others whom sleuths identified as people who entered the Capitol, was not charged before Trump pardoned all Jan. 6 defendants.

Hollowing Out The Federal Government

Other departments and agencies President Trump is unlawfully attempting to cripple:

  • CFPB: The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau halted most of its work as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent was dual-hatted as acting CFPB director.
  • Department of Education: The Trump White House is seeking to unlawfully dismantle the department, in part by issuing an executive order to “shut down all functions of the agency that aren’t written explicitly into statute.”

The Anti-DEI Crusade

  • TPM’s Josh Kovensky: Trump II Punishes Fed Workers For Attending Trump I Diversity Training
  • A coalition of various interests filed suit in federal court in Maryland to block President Trump’s anti-DEI order.

Understanding Anti-DEI As A Cultural Code

A good thread from Nathan Ruser comparing the MAGA attack on DEI to the way anti-Semitism evolved into a cultural code in Germany that came to represent more than hatred of Jews.

Sweet Justice

The historic Metropolitan African Methodist Episcopal Church in Washington, D.C., has been awarded control of the Proud Boys’ name, trademark, and symbols in partial settlement of its default judgment against the right-wing extremist group that vandalized its building in December 2020.

Cry Harder, Mediocre White Boys

Crockett: I am tired of the white tears. When you compare me to Marjorie Taylor Greene or me to Lauren Boebert, there is no comparison. So the only people that are crying are the mediocre white boys that have been beaten out by people that historically have had to work so, so much harder

[image or embed]

— Acyn (@acyn.bsky.social) February 3, 2025 at 11:25 PM

Do you like Morning Memo? Let us know!

Musk Cronies Dive Into Treasury Dept Payments Code Base

Overnight, Wired reported that, contrary to published reports that DOGE operatives at the Treasury Department are limited to “read only” access to department payment systems, this is not true. A 25-year-old DOGE operative named Marko Elez in fact has admin privileges on these critical systems, which directly control and pay out roughly 95% of payments made by the U.S. government, including Social Security checks, tax refunds and virtually all contract payments. I can independently confirm these details based on conversations going back to the weekend. I can further report that Elez not only has full access to these systems, he has already made extensive changes to the code base for these critical payment system.

Continue reading “Musk Cronies Dive Into Treasury Dept Payments Code Base”

Miscellany

OPM Acting Director Charles Ezell released a memo this afternoon to agency heads which says that “provisions of collective bargaining agreements that conflict with management rights are unlawful and unenforceable.” The memo addresses telework issues. At least for now the memo remains online on this government server. The title of the memo is ‘Guidance on Collective Bargaining Obligations in Connection with Return to InPerson Work’.

Democrats Respond To Musk ‘Illegally Seizing Power’ Over Treasury Payment System

Over the weekend, billionaire Elon Musk gained some level of access to the Treasury Department’s federal payment system, thanks to the pliancy of newly confirmed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. 

Continue reading “Democrats Respond To Musk ‘Illegally Seizing Power’ Over Treasury Payment System”

Trump II Punishes Fed Workers For Attending Trump I Diversity Training

In an ironic twist, the Trump administration appears to be punishing Department of Education employees for attending diversity training sessions that were held during his first term.

Continue reading “Trump II Punishes Fed Workers For Attending Trump I Diversity Training”

Oy

From TPM Reader NL

I called Senator Warner’s office to get a sense for what they are doing to raise the salience of Elon Musk’s illegal takeover of the Treasury Payments system.

The very polite staffer said that Senator Warner will be issuing a statement soon. She politely explained that this is how members of Congress communicate their position.

Dude, these people are just lost. They don’t get it or don’t want to get it.

There are many ways to skin a cat. But statements that go out via press release are meaningless. That is no longer how news works. Full stop.