A few quick thoughts on the joint press conference between Mexican President Pena Nieto and Donald Trump. On balance, I think it was what I earlier today called the best possible outcome for Trump: "an uneventful and generally boring meeting or one in which Trump and Pena Nieto get into a spat or trade insults." Obviously, this was option one.
A few thoughts.
Supreme Court refuses to grant stay of lower court ruling that blocked most of North Carolina's new voting restrictions. Everything going on here: crucial voting rights case ... key swing state ... tied 8-justice Supreme Court ... controversial voting restrictions blocked two months before Election Day. Tierney Sneed has the details.
In January 2015, in the wake of the Republican sweep in the 2014 elections, I wrote an article for National Journal on “The Emerging Republican Advantage.” I predicted that because of their growing support not only among the white working class, but among voters with college but not advanced degrees (who tend to be mid-level white collar) and among senior citizens, Republicans could tilt the playing field in their favor over the next few elections. But I offered several conditions, and one was if they ran a presidential candidate in 2016 who like George W. Bush in 2000 ran close to the center rather than the right. (Remember “compassionate conservatism.”) I never dreamed the Republicans would nominate someone like Donald Trump.
As we reinforce the TPM space capsule for first contact with the afternoon Mexico City to Phoenix Trump shit show, there will be precious little time for me to harangue you about signing up for Prime. We're six weeks into our 2016 annual sign up drive. We're at 1175 signups for August. We'd really like to finish the month with 1200. You can help us get there and reap the glory of being number 2012. More, seriously, it matters. If you need TPM, we need you. We really do. Can you take a moment right now - not this afternoon or tonight but right now - to sign up for Prime? You'll be really glad you did. I promise.
Last night I wrote up my initial thoughts on Trump's hastily planned trip to Mexico City. With the arrival of a new day, I would say I pretty much stick with all the points I made last night: Trump is embarking on an event over which he will exercise little if any control and cede almost all control to someone whose every interest and desire is to damage him. That violates every rule in the political book. It's such a self-destructive move that it is extremely tempting to posit some unknown factor, wisdom, knowledge ... anything that makes it not seem as stupid as it looks. But Trump's Razor counsels against this.
All that said, the morning brings some new factual developments worth taking note of.