09.30.2016 - 11:06 AM EDT

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09.30.2016 - 10:34 AM EDT

I'd recommend everybody bear in mind the dynamic we've discussed several times recently, which is that the presidential race has with a fair consistency oscillated between a substantial Clinton lead and a minuscule Clinton lead (ref the 'Clinton Wall'). That said, we seem to be back in the Trump fall off part of the cycle. The TPM Electoral Scoreboard stands at Clinton 302, Trump 203, where it's been for the last couple days. But within those numbers, over the last 48 hours we've gotten a range of quality state polls taken after Monday night's debate. And they're uniformly bad for Trump.

09.29.2016 - 4:47 PM EDT

Despite claiming for days that every online poll of his supporters say he won Monday night's presidential debate, Trump now insists first debate was a "rigged deal."

"I had to put up with the anchor and fight the anchor all the time on everything I said."

09.29.2016 - 3:32 PM EDT

Nobody could help noticing that Steve Bannon's takeover of the Trump campaign did impart a significant degree of discipline on the campaign and Trump himself. Zero to ten mph in 20 seconds, sure. But improvement is improvement. What we should note, however, is how little control the campaign has over Trump (let alone how little control Trump has over himself) when he is forced to operate without a teleprompter and when his ego is put under any form of assault or even pressure. As many have already noted, Clinton's mention of Alicia Machado's treatment at Trump's hands was no random, momentary decision. They'd seen Curiel; they'd seen Khan. She and her team know how Trump's lack of empathy, self-awareness and narcissism makes him ripe for these days' or weeks' long self-destructive tirades.

They laid the trap and he walked right into it.

09.28.2016 - 9:09 PM EDT

In the situation Donald Trump is in with former Miss Universe Alicia Machado, any media professional or really anyone with a conscience would say this: "We quarreled many years ago. It's in the past. I truly wish her the best." Done and done.

But just an hour ago Trump went on O'Reilly to again trash Machado, now saying that he saved her job, gave her a shot at not being fat and this is the thanks he gets. Yes, he really said that. "You know, they wanted to fire her. The company itself wanted to fire her. I saved her job ... I saved her job because I said that's going to -- I did that with a number of young ladies. The staff itself [wanted to fire her]. Look what happened. Look what I get out of it. I get nothing. A lot of things are coming out about her."

Full Transcript after the jump ...

09.28.2016 - 4:17 PM EDT

The chief justice of the Alabama Supreme Court, Roy Moore, on Friday was suspended...
In a Thursday interview, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich slammed Hillary Clinton's resurfacing of...
The editor-in-chief of Newsweek confirmed Friday that the magazine's website was on the receiving...
A federal judge presiding over a lawsuit Donald Trump filed against a celebrity chef...
House Science Committee Chair Rep. Lamar Smith (R-TX) has taken his climate change denialism...

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