While the AP has not yet called the race, it now appears clear that Democrats have avoided a nightmare scenario they contemplated in the days after Eric Swalwell’s campaign for governor dramatically imploded: That some two dozen Democratic gubernatorial candidates might split the vote, creating room for two Trump-aligned Republicans to advance to the general election in the state’s top-two primary system. The state is notoriously slow to count votes, but, this morning, Trump-endorsed Fox commentator Steve Hilton (R) and former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra (D) currently have the top two spots. The other major Republican in the race, Sheriff Chad Bianco, trails as a distant fourth.
SCOTUS Cobbles Together Excuse to Let Alabama Discriminate Against Black Voters in New Order
The Supreme Court showed beyond a doubt Tuesday that it will never again put a stop to Republican states snuffing out the Black vote.
Continue reading “SCOTUS Cobbles Together Excuse to Let Alabama Discriminate Against Black Voters in New Order”Running on ‘Prairie Populism,’ Turek Wins Primary as Iowa Dems Reach for US Senate Seat
State Rep. Josh Turek (D-IA), a gold medal Paralympian, won the Democratic primary Tuesday and will now set his sights on the open Iowa U.S. Senate seat.
Continue reading “Running on ‘Prairie Populism,’ Turek Wins Primary as Iowa Dems Reach for US Senate Seat”Republican Who Has Mysteriously Gone Missing From Congress Gets a Dem Challenger
Democrats Gun for Missing New Jersey Congressman’s Swingy Seat
This much is certain: One of four Democrats will emerge victorious after Tuesday’s primary election and gear up to face uncontested Rep. Tom Kean (R-NJ) in one of the most competitive races in the country.
Foggier is where Kean has been since early March. Absent from Congress, absent from the campaign trail, missing over 100 votes, seeming to make all of two phone calls in preparation for the election, the congressman hasn’t been seen in months due to a mystery illness.
“I will transition from virtual work to in person work within a matter of weeks,” he said in a Tuesday statement. “At that time I will be completely transparent as to the nature of my medical condition.”
“Just your prayers,” he responded when a Republican official on one of the two calls asked if he needed anything, per the New York Times.
And the few people who presumably know what’s going on have developed a habit of making cinematically cryptic comments.
When asked why there haven’t even been photos or videos of Kean shared, his chief of staff Dan Scharfenberger said “there’s no cameras where Tom is.”
“He’s hopefully coming back soon and he’s under the care of a doctor,” former New Jersey Gov. Tom Kean Sr. told CNN in May. “They all agree he’s going to be fine.”
“It took a real illness to knock him out,” he added. “This won’t linger. It’s not some kind of disease that’s going to incapacitate him in the future. The consensus is that he will be 100 percent okay.”
Kean’s seat has swung from party to party in recent cycles. Former Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-NJ) won it in 2018 and held it in 2020, narrowly losing to Kean in 2022 after redistricting made the seat more Republican friendly. It’s one of just 18 House races Cook Political Report rates a tossup.
Former Navy helicopter pilot Rebecca Bennett is considered the frontrunner on the Democratic side. Kean does not have any primary challengers.
— Kate Riga
Sullivan vs. Sullivan
Dan Sullivan entered the Alaska Senate race last Friday. But it’s not the Dan Sullivan you may be thinking of. This Dan Sullivan is challenging the incumbent, Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK), for his Senate seat.
And Sen. Sullivan is frustrated, claiming that his new challenger is a plant by Democrats and former Rep. Mary Peltola’s (D-AK) Senate campaign to confuse voters. He railed about it at length in the Senate hallways Tuesday.
“The Democrat party is talking about ‘we care about fair elections.’ It’s bullshit,” Sullivan, told a group of reporters, including TPM, as he made his way to the weekly GOP luncheon. “The Democrats in DC, the Peltola campaign are complicit in trying to trick Alaskans — that’s an insult — to rig, and I say very strongly, rig an election in their favor.”
“The Democratic leadership here, if they know about it, it’s a scandal … It will be a scandal,” Sullivan insisted, raising the prospect of legal action.
Peltola is expected to mount a competitive challenge to Sullivan, and a few votes for the wrong Sullivan could make a difference.
— Emine Yücel
Can Trump’s Endorsement Spare Iowa Republicans a Messy Convention?
President Trump endorsed Rep. Randy Feenstra (R-IA) for governor Friday after over 15,000 Republicans had already cast their votes, per local news outlet The Gazette.
Feenstra has run a less than inspiring campaign, skipping all of the debates and dropping behind another Republican in a recent poll.
If no candidate breaks 35 percent on Tuesday, party activists will choose the winner at a Republican convention.
The Democratic nominee will be state auditor Rob Sand. Sand is running such a strong campaign that Cook Political Report rates the November election a tossup. A Sand win could also help pull the Dems’ Senate nominee — also to be decided Tuesday — over the line in one of the party’s reach states.
— Kate Riga
In Case You Missed It
The Backchannel: Drip, Drip, Drip: Grand Jury Misconduct Edition
Morning Memo: Will We NEVER Learn the Lessons of Trump?
Our race preview for the California governor’s contest: Long, Weird California Governor Primary Comes to a Close After Surprise Becerra Surge
Our race preview for the Iowa Democratic primary for U.S. Senate: Iowa Dems Mull ‘Electability,’ the ‘Establishment’ in Tuesday Primary as They Try to Pull Off the Unthinkable
Layla A. Jones: Tariff Refunds Are Going Well. Trump’s DOJ Wants to Make Them Harder.
Yesterday’s Most Read Story
Judge Demands Answers on Trump’s Collusive IRS Deal — David Kurtz
What We Are Reading
Republicans’ Talarico Trans Taunt Is A Witch Hunt In The Classic Sense — Brian Beutler, Off Message
The Federal Government’s Insect-Defense Agency Is Infested With Bed Bugs — Eric Katz, NOTUS
White House Seeks to Impose Political Test on Billions in Federal Grants — Tony Romm, New York Times
Dems to Warn Trump He Has Run Afoul of War Powers Act With Absurd Claim That Iran War Has Been ‘Terminated’
Last month, the Trump administration insisted that its war with Iran was over, a transparently preposterous claim aimed at sidestepping a legal requirement that Congress authorize hostilities that extend beyond 60 days.
Now, Senate Democrats are preparing to push back on the administration’s assertion.
Sens. Adam Schiff (D-CA) and Tim Kaine (D-VA) are circulating a draft letter within the Senate Democratic caucus objecting to the claim that a ceasefire with Iran stopped the 60-day clock on the War Powers Resolution.
Continue reading “Dems to Warn Trump He Has Run Afoul of War Powers Act With Absurd Claim That Iran War Has Been ‘Terminated’”Drip, Drip, Drip: Grand Jury Misconduct Edition
Today Illinois Sens. Dick Durbin and Tammy Duckworth called on Chicago U.S. attorney Andrew Boutros to resign charging that his office is adrift in chaos and official misconduct.
On the one hand this is unsurprising. This is a major and growing scandal. It implicates a Republican president. They’re Democrats. And the office has been at the leading edge of policies (Midway Blitz, mass deportation generally) that are deeply unpopular — certainly in Chicago and to varying degrees across the state. So, as I note, to some agree it’s a predictable development.
But there are some additional threads I want to remind you of.
Tariff Refunds Are Going Well. Trump’s DOJ Wants to Make Them Harder.
President Donald Trump’s administration is trying to muck up its responsibility to refund businesses who paid the president’s illegal tariffs. By claiming U.S. Customs and Border Protection lacks the ability to claw back tariff funds after a certain number of days, the government lays the groundwork to argue it doesn’t have a practical mechanism to repay certain importers, according to a recent court filing.
Continue reading “Tariff Refunds Are Going Well. Trump’s DOJ Wants to Make Them Harder.”Will We NEVER Learn the Lessons of Trump?
Fool Me a Thousand Times …
A confusing mishmash of reporting Monday afternoon inadvertently revealed that Donald Trump can still play Congress and the press like fools.
The flurry of reporting, mostly from Capitol Hill, was about whether the political heat around the corrupt “Anti-Weaponization Fund” had become too much to stomach, especially for GOP senators. The vague news, largely attributed to unnamed White House sources, was that Trump was signaling he “plans to drop,” “pause,” “retreat,” “backtrack,” and “back off” from the slush fund.
Adding an absurdist twist to the afternoon, the Trump DOJ put out a meaningless statement that it would abide by a court order blocking the slush fund.
Note that all the uproar yesterday only dealt with the slush fund — and only with the political furor over the slush fund. That represents only part of the corrupt scheme to settle Trump’s lawsuit against the IRS, which has three main elements:
- the slush fund;
- the IRS’ release of Trump et al. from any tax claims that predate the settlement (I should note there’s also an argument that the loose language of the settlement releases Trump et al. from any civil and criminal claims by the U.S. government prior to the settlement date);
- the fraud on the court for some combination of bringing a frivolous claim, collusively settling it, and using the court to launder public funds for Trump’s slush fund.
Despite all the talk on the Hill about the politics of the slush fund, it’s never been clear exactly what Republicans in Congress were going to do about the slush fund and whether it would be sufficient. My understanding is that Trump wanted to include authorization for the slush fund in the reconciliation package (still no publicly available language on any such provision), and Senate Republicans were considering putting some guardrails to prevent payouts to people who assaulted police on Jan. 6, a noble enough but limited goal and hardly the only corrupt aspect of the $1.776 billion slush fund.
What remains unclear this morning, but seems increasingly likely, is that Senate Republicans will merely not include a slush fund provision in the reconciliation bill. That would set up a grim scenario where Congress is silent on the matter, raising the possibility that Trump takes that silence as a greenlight to arrange some off-the-books executive branch funding for it. Some GOP senators want more concrete assurances from Trump that the slush fund is indeed dead, but why would anyone trust such assurances?
In an ideal world, Congress would bar the slush fund and anything like it. We are not, dear readers, in an ideal world.
Even if the Republican Congress stands up to Trump on the slush fund, it doesn’t appear to be preparing to scrutinize, let alone unwind (if it’s possible) the corrupt release of the IRS’ claims against Trump and fam. It’s a huge giveaway — $100 million, by some estimates — under extraordinarily corrupt circumstances. The improper leaking of Trump tax returns by an IRS contractor isn’t a proper justification for dropping all of the IRS claims against Trump, let alone other civil and criminal claims the government may have had against him or his family members.
Separate and apart from the political dimension, the legal side of this fiasco is on its own track regardless of what Congress does or fails to do:
- In Miami, U.S. District Judge Kathleen Williams set a deadline of June 12 for Trump to explain why the settlement wasn’t a fraud on the court.
- In the Eastern District of Virginia, U.S. District Judge Leonie Brinkema already ordered the slush fund halted, with a hearing set next week in a civil lawsuit challenging the settlement.
- In D.C., a hearing is scheduled for next week in second civil lawsuit challenging the settlement.
- In a third civil lawsuit challenging the settlement, also in D.C., convicted fraudster Kevin Trudeau moved to intervene in the case, asserting that he is a claimant to the “Anti-Weaponization Fund” and entitled to enforce the settlement agreement.
It’s still unclear how far federal judges can go in invalidating or unwinding the collusive settlement, so I’m not holding these out as surefire winners. The ultimate solution here would be a combination of legal and political guardrails, but we’ve spent a year and half now watching the supine GOP Congress decline to rein in Trump in any meaningful way.
The pattern is familiar.
Trump pushes all of his chips to the middle of the table — a collusive lawsuit, a bogus settlement, a corrupt slush fund, and a get-a-out-of-jail-free card for himself — and then merely signals that he’s pulling back one chip, and official D.C. gets the vapors.
BREAKING … Pulte Named Acting DNI
In a disastrous move, President Trump named Bill Pulte, the head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency who has been moonlighting as political retribution czar, as acting director of national intelligence until he nominates a permanent replacement for Tulsi Gabbard.
Jim Comey, Call Your Office
U.S. District Judge Randolph Moss of D.C. issued a temporary restraining order barring the National Park Service from interfering with the display of a “86-47” flag near the National Mall, ruling that “86” in the context of this case was not a threat against President Trump: “The question whether “8647” constitutes a true threat cannot be resolved in the abstract, without consideration of context, and, here, the relevant context makes clear that no reasonable observer could have viewed Plaintiff’s display of the flag as a threat to the President’s life or physical safety.”
Pete Hegseth Watch
- Anti-trans policy: In a complicated ruling, the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals split on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s ban on transgender servicemembers, finding that the policy was the result of unconstitutional animus and “the bare desire to harm a politically unpopular group,” but struggling with how to respond to Supreme Court’s recents limits on nationwide injunctions.
- Racist and misogynistic promotion policy: In a highly unusual move that undermines merit-based promotions, Hegseth blocked nine Navy captains from becoming one-star admirals, including three women and two Black officers. The final list of 22 promotions includes no women and only two nonwhite officers.
- Anti-press policy: With news outlets still challenging in court the Pentagon’s revamped press policies, the Defense Department has designated its press office a classified space and banned journalists from accessing it.
Another Trump Defeat: Colorado Edition
U.S. District Judge R. Brooke Jackson of Denver blocked the Trump administration from forcing Boulder’s National Center for Atmospheric Research to relinquish its Wyoming Supercomputing Center.
Jackson found that that the broader administration effort to dismantle NCAR — the country’s premier weather and climate research center — came after Colorado failed to release convicted Big Lie promoter Tina Peters when Trump pardoned her: “The inference that retaliation played at least some role in the transfer decision is considerably strengthened by the fact that the federal government simultaneously undertook several other actions adverse to Colorado.”
Freed Tina Peters Spews More Big Lies
In a world where Tina Peters was repentant and chastened by her conviction, Democratic Gov. Jared Polis’ decision to commute her nine-year sentence could have been justifiable. Nine years or two years or something in between wouldn’t have made much difference.
But she isn’t, and it wasn’t:
Among his many missteps in the case, Polis got himself wrapped around the axle of Peters’ supposed free speech rights, which is a category error in the criminal context. Contrition, genuine remorse, acknowledgement of guilt are key elements in sentencing and pardoning decisions that, because of the underlying conviction, don’t impede on First Amendment rights.
In post-coup America, we remain a long way from truly grappling with the persistence of a powerful cultish movement that includes seditious conspiracists who have already proven their willingness to bring down the Constitution.
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Trump Makes Bill Pulte the Acting Director of National Intelligence
In case you forgot, Bill Pulte is the Federal Housing Finance Agency head who proved his loyalty to the president by combing through the mortgages of Trump’s enemies, such as New York Attorney General Letitia James and Fed Governor Lisa Cook, for things that the DOJ might be able to prosecute. It’s unclear what intelligence community credentials he has, though, given the way he used his power at FHFA and as chairman of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, that question is probably missing the point.
Though the role is acting, acting heads can end up serving for quite a while. Pulte is replacing Tulsi Gabbard.
Continue reading “Trump Makes Bill Pulte the Acting Director of National Intelligence”Long, Weird California Governor Primary Comes to a Close After Surprise Becerra Surge
The California Democratic primary for governor, lacking both predictability and high-caliber candidates, has seen stunning falls from grace and resurrections as it comes to a close on Tuesday.
Continue reading “Long, Weird California Governor Primary Comes to a Close After Surprise Becerra Surge”