As the winner of Nevada’s Senate election came into focus this weekend — and with it, the reality that Democrats would retain the upper chamber for two more years — a winner was also projected in another key race: That for Nevada’s secretary of state.
Continue reading “Election Deniers Fail To Win Secretary Of State Positions In Swing States”Voters Want Impartial Election Administration—And Tuesday’s Results Confirm It
This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis.
With attention focused on the battle for control of Congress, some of the signs went under the radar. But last week’s results offered evidence for an encouraging takeaway: that voters understand the threat posed by our party-driven system of election management in today’s hyper-partisan era — and are eager for solutions.
Most important, of course, we now know that all three of the swing-state candidates for secretary of state who have denied the results of the 2020 election were defeated. Over the weekend, the races involving Mark Finchem in Arizona and Jim Marchant in Nevada were called for their opponents, and Michigan’s Kristina Karamo lost by a wide margin on election night — outcomes underlining that, for those running for election official posts, denialism and extremism are electoral losers. Meanwhile, in Pennsylvania, where the secretary of state is appointed by the governor, election denier Doug Mastriano’s comfortable loss in the governor’s race also suggests that, at the very least, he wasn’t helped by his pledge to appoint a like-minded chief election official.
Still, as dangerous as it is, denialism is just a symptom of a larger, systemic issue. Especially given today’s lack of trust between the parties, using partisan politicians to run our elections damages voter confidence, even when election officials do the job impartially. Two less publicized results from Tuesday suggest voters agree.
In Washington, independent Julie Anderson lost her race for secretary of state to the incumbent, Democrat Steve Hobbs, by a relatively narrow margin — currently less than four points. Anderson came close to Hobbs even without the advantages conferred by the backing of a major party, and while being outspent by three to one in a solid blue state that comfortably re-elected its Democratic senator. That isn’t just a testament to her skills as a candidate, and the reputation for expertise and integrity that she earned as a longtime county election director. Central to Anderson’s campaign were her pledge not to accept help from a political party, and her support for making future elections for secretary of state nonpartisan. Her strong showing, then, appears to reflect a desire among voters for election officials who are beholden only to the public interest, and not to partisan interests.
Meanwhile, Michigan voters didn’t just reject an election denier candidate for secretary of state. They also overwhelmingly approved a ballot measure, known as Question 2, that among other reforms aimed to shore up the state’s elections against damaging partisan influence.
In 2020, Republican members of the canvassing board for both the state and the largest county refused to certify results, briefly throwing the contest into turmoil and damaging trust in the outcome. Since then, election deniers have gained spots on county canvassing boards, and efforts to turn certification into a partisan weapon have spread to other states. Question 2, in addition to making changes to some of the rules governing voting access, aims to prevent a repeat of Michigan’s 2020 experience: It confirms that state and county canvassing boards are legally required to certify results as provided by election officials. It also bars the state legislature from playing any role in certification — cutting off another potential route for manipulation that partisans explored last time.
The measure’s passage, then, makes clear that many voters understand how excessive partisan influence in certification was damaging the state’s elections, and were determined to fix the problem. It offers an encouraging sign that, despite the many serious challenges our politics face, voters can still come together on behalf of common-sense reforms.
Tuesday’s results aren’t the only recent evidence that voters grasp the threat and want reforms. A nationwide survey commissioned by our organization and released last month found that voters across the ideological spectrum strongly value impartial election administration. It also found high levels of support for stronger rules aimed at ensuring election officials remain free from close party ties.
There’s a range of steps we can take to reduce the role of partisanship in election administration, and to bolster trust in the process.
Model ethics legislation developed by our organization would bar chief election officials from taking explicit partisan steps that undermine voter trust — like endorsing or raising money for other candidates. The bill would make it illegal for election officials to use their “official authority to influence or interfere, or attempt to interfere, with the outcome of any election” — ensuring that election officials represent the interests of voters, not parties.
A separate model bill would set qualifications for candidates for chief election officer, including experience running elections — a requirement that would have stopped nearly all the election- denier secretary of state candidates this year from running. Both measures would shift the demographics of the candidate pool for these posts away from partisan politicians and toward election professionals. These bills are already gaining sponsors from both parties for introduction in state legislatures next year.
States should also change how they choose their chief election official. One option is nonpartisan elections, which can be combined with the kind of ethics requirements outlined above to ensure that candidates are truly nonpartisan in more than name. An even more effective solution is for states to select chief election officials using commissions of experts, along the lines of the merit selection panels that many states use to pick judges.
Make no mistake: Tuesday’s results also showed that America remains as bitterly divided as ever. And the manner in which the election has played out offers no reason to think that the intense partisan animosity that’s taken hold of our politics in recent years is loosening its grip. But that’s exactly why it’s more urgent than ever that we shore up our elections against attempted partisan manipulation in any form. Thankfully, voters appear to be recognizing the need for change.
How’d The Fetterman/Oz Race Really Go Down?
The Fetterman campaign in Pennsylvania was the most closely watched and highest stakes race of the cycle. At 2 p.m. eastern today Kate Riga and I are going to do a live briefing with Fetterman campaign manager Brendan McPhillips. We’re going to learn how the race unfolded from the inside. If you’re a member, please join us live at 2 p.m. We sent out an email Thursday with instructions on how to register. We’ll be taking your questions during the briefing. If you’d like to get your question in in advance please send us an email at talk (at) talkingpointsmemo dot com with the subject line “Fetterman Briefing.”
See you at 2 p.m.
Trump Wanted To Sic The IRS On Comey And McCabe, Kelly Says
A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.
The Plot Thickens
After four years of criming, scheming, plotting and conspiring, it seems like we’ll never get to the bottom of everything that went down during the Trump presidency. But damn this is a good one!
Over the summer the New York Times reported that James Comey and Andrew McCabe, at one time the No. 1 and 2 at the FBI, were subjected to rare, highly intrusive audits by the IRS. It was fishy because the odds were very long of two highly public foes of Donald Trump each getting unusual treatment from the IRS.
Now there’s more.
Former Trump Chief of Staff John Kelly tells the Times that while he was still at the White House Trump repeatedly said he wanted his political enemies to be investigated by the IRS. Among those Trump singled out, according to Kelly: Comey and McCabe.
For his part, Kelly said he thought he had talked Trump off the ledge. It involved some contentious conversations about ethics and the law blah blah blah. But Kelly seemed to think he had averted Trump acting on the worst of his vengeful instincts.
Notably, the audits of Comey and McCabe came after Kelly left the White House.
Among the other people Trump wanted to send the IRS after, according to Kelly, were Hillary Clinton, Jeff Bezos, John Brennan, Peter Strzok, and Lisa Page.
A Trump spokesperson had a thoughtful and muted response to the Kelly allegations: “It’s total fiction created by a psycho, John Kelly, who never said this before, and made it up just because he’s become so irrelevant.”
Why GA-Sen Matters So Much
The difference between 50 and 51 seats for Dems is huge. So the stakes in the Senate runoff in Georgia remain very high. Don’t take my word for it:
This thread digs a little deeper:
Here’s a more practical and grim reason 51 seats matters in the ancient Senate:
Judges, Judges And More Judges, Please
With Democratic control of the Senate now assured by Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto’s re-election victory in Nevada, President Biden will have another two years to remake the federal judiciary.
Dem Hopes For A Miracle House Win Faded Over The Weekend
He’s seen enough:
GOP Starts To Abandon Trump LOLs
The signal-to-noise ratio on the GOP dumping 3-time loser Trump is off the charts, as in lots of noise but very little signal. A few right-wing pundits here and there vent their spleens over the midterm results, or a few lesser light GOP officials talk about “getting back to normal,” and suddenly it’s free-for-all of news stories about the GOP moving on from the Trump era. Of course we want to encourage the GOP to decultify itself, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves quite yet.
Latest On Mar-A-Lago
The Guardian: Court files show evidence Trump handled records marked classified after presidency
Trump Indictment Watch
With the midterms over, Senate control settled, and House control nearly decided, the Justice Department is free once again to take overt investigative steps in its various investigations into Donald Trump.
The Mar-a-Lago documents investigation seems to be the farthest along, but it’s still hamstrung by the special master process that a Trump-friendly federal judge in Florida imposed. So I wouldn’t anticipate an indictment until after either the special master is done in mid-December or the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals shuts the process down as the Justice Department has requested. But we may still see more publicly obvious moves from DOJ now that the election is past.
The same is true of the Jan. 6 investigations, which continue to grind along but with a relatively low public profile.
Pence Goes Farther Than He Has Before About Trump On Jan. 6
“The president’s words that day at the rally endangered me and my family and everyone at the Capitol building,” former Vice President Mike Pence said in a sit-down interview with ABC News.
I Detect A Theme
The Economist: The world is going to miss the totemic 1.5°C climate target
Scientific American: The world will likely miss 1.5 degrees C—why isn’t anyone saying so?
Overnight Shooting At UVa
Three dead and two wounded on the grounds of the University of Virginia, with a gunman still on the loose in Charlottesville.
Coming Up
This Week
~ Congress returns for its lame-duck session before the new Congress is sworn in in January.
~ President Biden’s weeklong foreign trip continues. Biden is meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping this morning in Bali on the sidelines of the G20 summit. The President arrived in Indonesia after stops in Egypt for COP27 and in Cambodia.
Tuesday, Nov 15
~ Trump makes bigly announcement, presumably to announce his candidacy for president in 2024.
~ House GOP to hold leadership elections, where we’ll get our first taste of what a colossally weak and simpering speaker Kevin McCarthy will be.
~ DOJ has a deadline to object in federal court in DC to the unsealing cases involving the Jan 6 grand jury.
Thursday, Nov. 17
~ Senate GOP holds leadership elections
Zelensky Visits Kherson
The triumphant Ukrainian president visited the Black Sea port city for the first time since Russian forces withdrew:
Please Let This Be True
The author Michael Lewis has reportedly been embedded with Sam Bankman-Fried for the past six months for a book on the crypto hero turned villain.
Please Let This Be True, Part II
Do you like Morning Memo? Let us know!
Democrats Hold The Senate, Resisting Midterm Headwinds And Defying Historical Trends
In the final weeks leading up to the midterms, the handful of Senate races deciding chamber control was a collective jump ball.
Continue reading “Democrats Hold The Senate, Resisting Midterm Headwinds And Defying Historical Trends”BREAKING: Dems Retain Senate
Newly counted ballots have given Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto an insurmountable lead in her Nevada Senate election. All the networks have now called it. That means that Democrats have retained control of the Senate.
Yes, She Might Still Be Speaker in January
As of this morning it’s more than a theoretical possibility that Democrats will remain in charge of the House next year. Dave Wasserman of The Cook Report this morning put it this way: When you put aside the races already called and the ones in which each party has a clear lead, you’re left with six seats he considers genuine tossups — #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #WA03. If Democrats get all six, if they run the table, they stay in the margin 218-217.
That sounds unlikely and it is unlikely. But you also have to see it through the prism of the fact that Democratic candidates have been running tables, improbably coming from behind or coming out on top, since mid-Tuesday evening. So it could happen.
Let me add one sort of odd note here. There’s actually a pretty good argument that it’s in Democrats’ political interests not to get the majority here.
Continue reading “Yes, She Might Still Be Speaker in January”It’s All About Trump
Let me follow up on yesterday’s post about this quasi-revolt against Mitch McConnell. I’ve tried to look more at the whole picture. Or perhaps I was still too sleep deprived yesterday afternoon. But all of these leadership questions and battles we’re seeing now are just proxy battles over Trump. One part of the GOP blames Trump for their disappointing showing and sees this as their best opportunity in years to push him aside, in most cases lining up behind Ron DeSantis, at least for now, as the vehicle to do that. These mini-revolts against McConnell are really just attempts to open up new fronts against McConnell to defend and protect Trump.
Continue reading “It’s All About Trump”Kelly Win Brings Dems One Undecided Race Away From Retaining Senate Control
A Friday evening batch of ballots logged by Maricopa County were enough to make it official: Senator Mark Kelly (D) is projected to win another term.
Continue reading “Kelly Win Brings Dems One Undecided Race Away From Retaining Senate Control”Veterans Day Liveblog
Happy Veterans Day! Many of you are out of office right now, but politics never sleep. We’re still waiting for election results in key races from Arizona and Nevada, and lawsuits by and against Trump are still making their way through the legal system.
Today, we’ve got you covered with news on these fronts. Stay tuned.