Elon Bought More Influence Than Me, Bannon Says

After days of telling the world that Elon Musk is a “truly evil person” who should “go back to South Africa,” and that he would “have Elon Musk run out of here by Inauguration Day,” Steve Bannon has backtracked.

“Look, he’s, the bottom line, he’s not going to be totally out,” Bannon told Politico on Monday, adding later: “Look, when you write $250 million worth of checks, when you’ve got, when you’re that involved, when you have actually backed a ground game, you’re going to have a seat at the table.”

Continue reading “Elon Bought More Influence Than Me, Bannon Says”

The Once Critically Endangered Pete Hegseth Goes Before Committee

Pete Hegseth, once the most endangered of Trump’s nominees, now seems on a glide path to confirmation as Defense Secretary.

During his confirmation hearing Tuesday, Republicans fell in line, including Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA), who once presented the greatest obstacle to his confirmation — that is, before a right-wing pressure campaign brought her back in line.

Democrats brought up the allegations of sexual assault and alcohol abuse, which Hegseth decried as a “smear campaign” in the left-wing media.

Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA) was notably effective, the first to touch on Hegseth’s storied history of infidelity.

We’re covering his hearing from Capitol Hill. Follow our live updates below:

Smith Considered Charging Trump With Insurrection. The Law Wasn’t Ready.

Tucked into ex-Special Counsel Jack Smith’s 137-page report on Donald Trump’s 2020 self-coup attempt, he explores a question that’s hung in the background of the case: Why wasn’t Trump ever charged with insurrection?

Continue reading “Smith Considered Charging Trump With Insurrection. The Law Wasn’t Ready.”

Confirmation Theater and Press Credulity

As the Hegseth hearings unfold, I wanted to give you a view into a small part of the story which, while perhaps not terribly consequential in itself, sheds some additional light on the Trump team’s effort to lock down details about Hegseth’s background as well as general press credulity about the same. This morning’s Axios reports that the Trump transition’s “red line” is that only Armed Services Committee Chair Roger Wicker (R-MS) and Ranking Member Jack Reed (D-RI) should be briefed on Hegseth’s FBI background check, not the rest of the committee. “The Trump transition team is demanding the president-elect’s nominees be treated the same way they insist Joe Biden’s were,” it reads.

Continue reading “Confirmation Theater and Press Credulity”

Trump Loses Last Ditch Effort To Block Jack Smith Report

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

Why Didn’t Trump Go To SCOTUS?

Late last evening, President-elect Donald Trump made a final, half-hearted effort to block the release of Special Counsel Jack Smith’s report. In a quick ruling, U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon denied Trump’s request to extend her injunction blocking the report’s release.

After that, Trump did not seek further review from the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals or the Supreme Court and thus Cannon’s injunction expired at midnight ET. Why Trump did not push the matter further, if for no other reason than to try to run out the clock as he has so many times before, is a curiosity for which I have no satisfying answer.

In the wee hours, the Justice Department turned over Volume I on the Jan. 6 case to Congress and then released it publicly. It contains no major revelations or surprises. That has been one of the surreal elements of the past week and a half of legal wrangling over the report’s release, and in a sense it’s a microcosm of the Trump era.

Extra and sometimes extreme effort is required to follow through with and maintain normal processes and procedures, in this case the release of a special counsel report. History shows they largely mirror the contours of the by-then-well-established cases as they played out in court and on appeal. They tend toward self-justification and rationalizing their existence, not blockbuster reveals. But the fight to release the report had the effect of raising the stakes of the report itself.

Volume II, on the Mar-a-Lago case, is not being released because for now the prosecution of Trump’s former codefendants continues. But that prosecution is likely to be corruptly deep-sixed by the Trump DOJ, and Volume II is at risk of never being released to the public.

One minor point on the overnight coverage, which largely focused on Smith’s assessment that he would have won a conviction of Trump had the case gone to trial. The coverage largely treated that assertion like Smith’s ultimate conclusion in the report rather than a predicate to seeking an indictment in the first place. Prosecutors aren’t supposed to bring cases they don’t think they can win.

Surveying The Wreckage

And so it is that the work of Jack Smith has now come to an end, with the most serious crimes a president has even been accused of remaining untried in a court of law. The constellation of factors that led to this point is well known. Among the most critical were the Roberts Court’s unprecedented decisions on the Disqualifications Clause and on presidential immunity combined with Trump’s historic re-election. The damage done to the rule of law, the constitutional structure, and the norms and traditions that gird democracy have been incalculable. The consequences of this miscarriage of justice and breakdown in the rule of law will be reverberating in unknowable and unforeseeable ways for decades.

None of that is Jack Smith’s fault. His prosecution of both cases against Trump were sharply and professionally handled. There were no obvious self-owns or major missteps. He seemed to anticipate correctly the challenges each case posed legally and prepared accordingly. What was within his power to control, he handled well. His office was sufficiently resourced, and some of the best and brightest minds that the Justice Department has to offer contributed to the prosecutions and the complex appellate work involved.

Smith and the members of his team now face years of uncertainty over the threats Trump has repeatedly levied at them and over whether they will be targeted by the incoming Trump administration. In his cover letter to Attorney General Merrick Garland accompanying the report, Smith devotes a few poignant lines to the personal toll those threats have taken on the members of his team and their families:

The intense public scrutiny of our Office, threats to their safety, and relentless unfounded attacks on their character and integrity did not deter them from fulfilling their oaths and professional obligations. These are intensely good people who did hard things well. I will not forget the sacrifices they made and the personal resilience they and their families have shown over the last two years. Our country owes them a debt of gratitude for their unwavering service and dedication to the rule of law.

As our democratic institutions are undermined, they provide less support and protection for the individuals who staff them. Smith and his team — like the prosecutors, investigators, and judges in all the Trump cases — have already paid a personal price no one should have to pay. The threats, the bullying, and the promises of retribution will linger for years. As Smith wrote to Garland:

While we were not able to bring the cases we charged to trial, I believe the fact that our team stood up for the rule of law matters. I believe the example our team set for others to fight for justice without regard for the personal costs matters. The facts, as we uncovered them in our investigation and as set forth in my Report, matter. Experienced prosecutors know that you cannot control outcomes, you can only do your job the right way for the right reasons.

Not everyone is up for the rigors of public service in this environment. They can hardly be blamed. But it makes the efforts of people like Smith and his team all the more commendable.

The Other Special Counsel Report

As the legal battle over the Jack Smith report trundled toward its conclusion, the Justice Department released Special Counsel David Weiss’ report on his prosecutions of Hunter Biden.

LIVE: Hegseth Confirmation Hearing

The first confirmation hearing of a Trump nominee gets underway at 9:30 a.m. ET with Pete Hegseth appearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee. TPM’s Kate Riga is in the hearing room and TPM will be liveblogging the proceedings.

To prep for the shitshow of Senate Republicans turning a blind eye to Hegseth’s lack of qualifications and of fitness to serve as defense secretary, a rundown of key new stories:

  • Nashville Tennessean: Why Pete Hegseth nomination is a milestone for the rightwing Christian movement he follows
  • The New Yorker’s Jane Mayer: The Pressure Campaign to Get Pete Hegseth Confirmed as Defense Secretary
  • WaPo: FBI did not interview Hegseth accuser ahead of hearing, people familiar say

Headline Of The Day

WSJ: Zuckerberg Debuts ‘Real Mark’ in Push to Woo Trump

Los Angeles Fire Threat Still At Dangerous Levels

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Trump Pulls A New Fixation Out Of Thin Air And House GOP Runs Off The Cliff With It

House Republicans have been on the hunt for opportunities to do some PDA for the incoming president before he’s officially sworn into office — recognizing that theatric fealty does numbers with Donald Trump, no matter how unserious the content may be.

Continue reading “Trump Pulls A New Fixation Out Of Thin Air And House GOP Runs Off The Cliff With It”

Aileen Cannon Muddles Her Way To A Partial Decision On Jack Smith’s Report

Judge Aileen Cannon for the Southern District of Florida stepped back on Monday from an earlier ruling that purported to block part of ex-Special Counsel Jack Smith’s report from being released, while reasserting her claim to have blocked the rest of it.

Continue reading “Aileen Cannon Muddles Her Way To A Partial Decision On Jack Smith’s Report”

Don’t Blame Libs or Progs for Driving Silicon Valley to the Right

There’s currently a debate online about whether social media owners were always secretly or latently right wing or whether “progressives” took a business constituency that was a reliably friendly and financially generous ally and turned it into an enemy through relentless attacks. Needless to say, there are a lot of jangling threads to this story, details that are hard to wrestle into an overarching theory. There are Silicon Valley titans like Peter Thiel who have always been not simply right-wingers but advocates of weird, tech-infused neo-monarchism. There have also been various left-aligned campaigns that must have rankled various tech titans. And finally, it’s very important to remember that it’s not at all clear that Silicon Valley as a whole is moving right. Management is. But the real and big story is simpler and more structural. The major technology platforms became mature businesses at vast scales; in so doing they butted up against the regulatory purview of the national government; and with the former leading to the latter they shifted toward a more conventionally anti-regulatory politics. A lot of it is really that simple.

There’s an important additional, related point which is that on becoming mature businesses they began looking toward the federal government more and more to protect their business positions from new entrants or other threats.

Continue reading “Don’t Blame Libs or Progs for Driving Silicon Valley to the Right”

Aileen Cannon Tries To Run Out The Clock On Jack Smith’s Report

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

The Saga Of The Jack Smith Report

The legal turmoil over the public release of Volume I of Special Counsel Jack Smith’s report continued over the weekend, with U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon again weighing in despite lacking any jurisdiction over the Mar-a-Lago case, because it’s currently on appeal, or the Jan. 6 case in DC, over which she never had jurisdiction.

I’m not going to rehash the confusing series of filings and rulings here, but instead refer you to these good rundowns:

  • Steve Vladeck: “And just to say the quiet part out loud, the urgency here stems from the unspoken but universally held understanding that, if the January 6 volume hasn’t been publicly released by January 20, it won’t be.”
  • Joyce Vance: “Delay is ever Trump’s friend in legal proceedings, and the clock is ticking. A delay invoked by Judge Cannon and unchecked by the Eleventh Circuit, or one that happens at the Supreme Court if Trump’s allies appeal there, could, as a practical matter, end the possibility of release of the report.”
  • Chris Geidner: “The question now is what Garland; the Eleventh Circuit; and, if necessary, the Supreme Court or, if it comes to it, President Biden do about it.”

Jack Smith Leaves Justice Department

After the fanfare of his appointment and then leading the two biggest criminal investigations of Donald Trump, Special Counsel Jack Smith’s departure from the Justice Department wasn’t announced but rather tucked into a footnote in a court filing Saturday: “The Special Counsel completed his work and submitted his final confidential report on
January 7, 2025, and separated from the Department on January 10.”

Trump Sentenced For His Sole Criminal Conviction

ICYMI: TPM’s Josh Kovensky’s report from inside the courtroom during the sentencing of President-elect Donald Trump in the porn star hush money case.

Rudy G Held In Contempt For Second Time In A Week

CNN: Federal judge slams Rudy Giuliani as ‘outrageous and shameful’ as she holds him in contempt in 2020 election defamation case

Death Toll Rises To 24 In Los Angeles Fires

A search team searches for body remains at a home destroyed by the Eaton Fire in Altadena, Calif., Saturday, Jan. 11, 2025. (Photo by Stephen Lam/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)

The toll from last week’s Los Angeles conflagrations rose to 24 as authorities continued to search Pacific Palisades and Altadena for remains. Extreme fire weather was forecast to return to the area this week.

GOP Ghouls Seize On LA Fires To Raise Debt Ceiling

Politico: “A group of House Republicans and President-elect Donald Trump talked about tying wildfire aid to a debt ceiling increase Sunday night, as the fires spreading across huge swaths of Los Angeles are estimated to become one of the costliest natural disasters in U.S. history.”

A Sobering Read

Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Joseph Wright, and Erica Frantz, the authors of the new book The Origins of Elected Strongmen, writing in Politico:

We’ve studied democratic erosion in countries around the world, and our research has found that the most important bulwark against an elected leader undermining democracy doesn’t come from opposition parties or pro-democracy activists. It comes from the ruling party — and particularly the powerful elites in that party — and their efforts to constrain their own leader.

The danger to democracy is particularly acute in political systems led by parties where leaders wield disproportionate influence relative to the political parties that back them — as is now the case in the Republican Party. Our data on all democratically elected leaders around the globe in the 30 years since the end of the Cold War show that where leaders dominate the parties they lead, the chances of democratic backsliding increase, whether it’s through gradual democratic decay or a rapid collapse

A Profile In Some Courage

One Republican state Supreme Court judge stands up to his partisan North Carolina colleagues.

IMPORTANT

Michael Hirsh: “According to nearly a dozen retired officers and current military lawyers, as well as scholars who teach at West Point and Annapolis, an intense if quiet debate is underway inside the U.S. military community about what orders it would be obliged to obey if President-elect Donald Trump decides to follow through on his previous warnings that he might deploy troops against what he deems domestic threats, including political enemies, dissenters and immigrants.”

And So It Begins …

AP: “Incoming senior Trump administration officials have begun questioning career civil servants who work on the White House National Security Council about who they voted for in the 2024 election, their political contributions and whether they have made social media posts that could be considered incriminating by President-elect Donald Trump’s team, according to a U.S. official familiar with the matter.”

Good Read

Thomas Zimmer:

I fear that, after so many years of Trumpism shaping American politics and culture, a lot of people have become so inundated with Trump’s bizarre stunts, so accustomed to his outrageous rhetoric, that they might be numb to how dangerous this is – and how much this isn’t just “Trump being Trump,” but the face of a radicalizing Right in charge of the Republican Party. There is, unfortunately, no law of nature that says democracy can’t be brought down and wars can’t be started by a bunch of clowns if they have enough support from people, parties, and institutions who enable them. It’s all just a farce – until the goons and buffoons are in power. And that’s where we are.

The Trump II Clown Show

  • WSJ: In Reversal, Tulsi Gabbard Backs Spying Power in Bid to Win Senate Support
  • The Schedule: Whose Confirmation Hearings Are On Tap This Week
  • WSJ: Hegseth Preps for Contentious Confirmation Hearing With Republican Help

Manafort Is Still Manaforting

NYT: “Four years after receiving a pardon from President Donald J. Trump for crimes related to foreign lobbying, Paul Manafort is again seeking business from political interests abroad.”

Elon Musk Watch

  • NYT: Inside Elon Musk’s Plan for DOGE to Slash Government Costs
  • WaPo: DOGE is dispatching agents across U.S. government
  • Wired: Elon Musk’s Quest for Domination Has Gone Global
  • NYT: Elon Musk Hijacks U.K. Politics in Favor of the Far Right

Mark Zuckerberg Is On Quite A Roll

  • Bloomberg: Zuckerberg Says Most Companies Need More ‘Masculine Energy’
  • CNBC: Meta announces end of DEI programs
  • Semafor: Trump, Zuckerberg meet at Mar-a-Lago
  • 404 Media: ‘It’s Total Chaos Internally at Meta Right Now’: Employees Protest Zuckerberg’s Anti LGBTQ Changes
  • NYT: Inside Mark Zuckerberg’s Sprint to Remake Meta for the Trump Era

Satire Is On Life Support



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— The Onion (@theonion.com) January 11, 2025 at 1:05 PM

Biden DOJ Tries To Make Small Amends For Tulsa Massacre

Part of Greenwood District burned in Race Riots, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA, June 1921. (Photo by: Universal HIstory Archive/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

WSJ:

In the weeks after the Tulsa Race Massacre of 1921, in which white mobs burned the Oklahoma city’s vibrant Black neighborhood to the ground, a federal agent quickly concluded that the attack that left as many as 300 people dead wasn’t motivated by “racial feeling,” and its perpetrators hadn’t broken any laws.

More than a century later, the Justice Department has sought to correct that flawed record, writing in a report made public this week that the rampage wasn’t the result of spontaneous mob violence but rather a coordinated, military-style effort to ruin what was then one of the wealthiest Black communities in the U.S.

You can read the new DOJ report here.

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It Won’t Age Well

Having watched Mark Zuckerberg’s week-long rollout of the new MAGAfied Facebook/Meta, let me put my chips down on none of this aging well for his company. It’s simply too clumsy and over-the-top and it places too many bets on a lame-duck President who will be governing a still sharply divided country. As much as anything else, these moves highlight Meta’s tech and global regulatory vulnerabilities — not so much vis a vis the U.S. government or even the European Union as other tech giants. These things take a long time to play out. The U.S. government and the executive branch that Trump will soon control can absolutely do a lot of favors for Zuckerberg and Meta. And Zuckerberg has been pretty transparent about what he hopes those favors are. But overall it just tells a very weak and defensive brand story as you see this playing out over the years to come.