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Just Like Paul and Donald Mapped It Out ...

I mentioned the two likely possibilities today are that the Obamacare repeal bill barely passes or fails by a lot. The third possibility, not to be ruled out, is that in the face of an overwhelming defeat, Ryan might pull the bill. That's contrary to the big talk from the White House that the negotiating is over and it's time to vote. But letting a major bill go down to stunning defeat is not in the normal Speaker playbook. With the votes apparently not there, Ryan is heading to the White House to talk to President Trump.

Stay tuned.

Democrats Need to Reclaim the Issue of Manufacturing from Donald Trump

If you looked at a map showing which states lost the most manufacturing jobs since 2000, you would discover that many of these are states that Hillary Clinton expected to win in November 2016, but that Donald Trump carried. For instance, the two states that lost the greatest percentage of manufacturing jobs were Michigan and North Carolina. To voters in these states, Trump had a simple message: manufacturing matters (and had made America great), and he would protect what still existed and bring back the jobs that had left.

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Which Way Is This Thing Going?

It's been very difficult for a number of days to see how Paul Ryan cobbles together enough votes to pass this mess of a bill. But my touchstone has been, logic and math aside, that the GOP simply cannot afford to let Obamacare repeal die. That scale of a political flop on such an important issue this early in the new era of GOP-unified government would be a catastrophe that no party would willingly endure. But the numbers are the numbers. You have to have the votes. And right now it's not at all clear that they do.

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It's Even Worse

This abomination of a bill only got worse with last night's changes, approved this morning by the House Rules Committee. Remember: The CBO won't even have time to score what the House will be voting on this afternoon. It's one of the starker ironies that virtually everything Republicans ever falsely accused Democrats of doing to jam the ACA through is now actually happening. Alice Ollstein and Tierney Sneed give you the quick rundown.

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