TPM Editors’ Blog Opinions, Context & Ideas from TPM Editors

All That Glitters

Romney's night of humiliation is capped as someone moves to glitter-bomb him following his Denver speech.

Thomas Lane
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That Doesn't Make Sense

The word coming from the Mitt campaign is that Missouri doesn't really matter because there are no delegates there and they didn't commit time or money. The problem, though, is that Santorum doesn't really have any time or money to commit there either. And if you're the frontrunner, the presumed nominee, you get clobbered in a swing state just because you didn't aggressively campaign there? That's a very, very low standard. Santorum is clearly leaning hard on evangelicals. And really this isn't about Santorum. It's about Romney. Absent crushing spending and a week or so to focus on a single state, Romney seems to have a really rough time. That's bad, especially in the Midwest where a Republican candidate has to run strong. And especially when he's faltering in national polls versus President Obama.

Josh Marshall

Mitt Hoping for Jazz

I'm looking at the county by county breakdown of the Missouri numbers here. And there are no results in from either Kansas City or St. Louis. I'd figure those have to be better for Mitt than most of the rest of the state. But but at the moment, with 23% of precincts reporting, Santorum is up over Romney by over 27%. So they're going to have to be radically different or Mitt's toast.

Josh Marshall
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In WTF Territory?

As they say, we're still really, really early. But we have 12% reporting in Missouri and Santorum is up over Romney by over 24 points. That's a big spread even with so few results. It's a similar margin in Minnesota, albeit with a meager 3%. If Romney loses 2 of 3 of these contests, what's the headline tomorrow morning?

Josh Marshall

The First Trickle of Results

8:31 PM: We've got a tiny trickle of results in from both Missouri and Minnesota. And they show Rick Santorum ahead in both states. But at again, at or 1%. So just the first hints. Nothing more.

9:02 PM: So in case you're wondering why a bunch of votes just seemed to disappear in Missouri, the AP adjusted their numbers down. A bit weird. But it's something that happens. Not something to read anything into.

Josh Marshall

Results Moments Away

We're a few minutes away from the first results from the Missouri primary. We'll have live county by county results here.

This is, to put it mildly, a weird contest. First, it's non-binding. No delegates are actually at stake. Second, Newt Gingrich did not manage to get on the ballot. So it's Romney, Santorum and Paul.

There's been very little polling of this contest. But the latest poll out this morning shows Rick Santorum with a double digit lead over Romney. Add anecdotal reports of light turnout. And that makes it even more unpredictable.

Josh Marshall

#SecurityStateFail

Free advice for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad: Don't use the password "12345."

David Kurtz
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Dissent on Contraception

TPM Reader Anon asks for a rethink ...

I'm a long time reader. I gave several hundred dollars to the Obama campaign in 2008 (and am sure I was well over a thousand given to all Democrats I supported). I worry about conservative Catholic bishops. I worry about the GOP in this time of talk radio and Fox News. I fear greatly the possibility of the GOP winning in 2012. I am not a conservative, by any stretch of the imagination.

Read More →
Josh Marshall

What Mitt Was After

TPM Reader JW thinks he knows why Team Mitt went ballistic. (And I think he's right.)

Ultimately Mitt's primary campaign is based on electability. If Republican voters don't think he is more likely to beat Obama, what is actually left for Mitt?

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Josh Marshall

What Were They Thinking?

TPM Reader JR wonders what the Romney camp was thinking going so all out to discredit today's ABC/WaPo poll ...

I've followed with curiosity today Team Mitt's complaint about the WaPo/ABC poll methodology on the horse race question.

It's a very strange complaint that leaves me scratching my head as to what they hoped to gain from this, and how sincere their complaint really is.

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Josh Marshall

Just Gets Better

What's the latest on the Pete Hoekstra "Chinese" ad that's been generating all the controversy? A follower on Twitter points out that in the html code on Hoekstra's site the woman in the ad is identified as "yellowgirl." I checked and sure enough he's right.

It seems from the context that they might be referring to the yellow shirt the "Chinese" woman is wearing. But probably just another level of the unfortunateness.

Josh Marshall

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