09.26.2016 - 2:55 PM EDT

As long as everyone has nothing to do but perseverate over polls until tonight's debate, I thought I'd give you a walk-through of the six national polls released today.

Monmouth: Clinton +3 Quinnipiac: Clinton +1 YouGov/Econ: Clinton +4 Bloomberg/Selzer: Tie Morning Consult: Clinton +2 Franklin Pierce: Clinton +2

09.26.2016 - 12:50 PM EDT

We're coming down to the wire in the 2016 election and that means we're also coming down to the wire in our annual Prime membership drive. Suffice it to say, if you're a regular reader of TPM and you feel like you need us, we definitely need you to become a member. It's that simple. If you're ready, take a moment right now. Not tonight or tomorrow, even though I know you're busy and in the middle of something - but right now. Click here to sign up.

09.26.2016 - 11:56 AM EDT

Pence campaign pilot canned after news surfaces that he twice intentionally ran down pedestrians with a motor vehicle - once with a car, another time with a motorcycle. Both victims suffered serious injuries.

Definitely campaign pilot material.

09.26.2016 - 10:57 AM EDT

As media orgs often do before a major election event, various news organizations have released a veritable storm of new polls this morning. We have five new national polls just this morning along with a number of state polls. This comes after several key polls were released yesterday. As of this moment Hillary Clinton holds a .6 percentage point lead over Donald Trump nationwide. (When I first started writing this post we had four national polls and it was Trump +.1.) Meanwhile The TPM Electoral College stands at Clinton 264, Trump 221. From yesterday that takes into account Colorado moving back into the Toss Up category from lean Clinton.

09.26.2016 - 8:29 AM EDT

My take on what to expect and not expect in tonight's debate.

09.26.2016 - 6:09 AM EDT

Bloomberg/Selzer is out with a new poll this morning showing a straight tie at 46% in a head to head race between Clinton and Trump. Trump actually leads by two points, 43% to 41% when third party candidates are added. For context, the Selzer poll is a highly regarded national phone poll, not one of the many more erratic online polls we've seen this cycle.

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