Many pundits on Thursday were shocked by the gall of President Obama to say that he doesn’t “do photo-ops,” a day after shots surfaced of him sipping beer and shooting pool. Except he didn’t actually say that.
Let me start this post with a bundle of qualifiers. The NYT's Upshot is a great new data/explainer journalism project. I'm jealous (but don't count us out in this game yet.) I'm a big fan of Nate Cohn. And I think the point of his article here - that the efflorescence of partisan polls is creating a serious challenge for poll aggregation - is right on the mark. It's actually been something we've been trying to think through in our own approach to poll aggregation and averaging at PollTracker. But let me show you this one collection of data about the Arkansas Senate race because I think something doesn't quite add up.
Six months ago, I said I thought full marriage equality would be the law of the land nationwide before the end of the Obama presidency. Now legal experts say the Utah AG's decision to appeal his state's case directly to the Supreme Court makes it likely that the Court will rule on the ultimate question in 2015.