TPM reporter Lauren Fox is taking a break from her busy coverage schedule on the ground in Nevada to visit the Hive on Thursday afternoon. She'll be taking questions on the Senate race, her sit-down with outgoing Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid, and of course the presidential election, which is very close in Nevada.
Lauren will be taking questions today, on Thursday, October 27th — drop them in now or between 1 and 2 p.m. EST.
It's October 27 and the PollTracker Average stands at Clinton 46.8 percent, Trump 40.7 percent, a 6.1percentage-point spread.
The TPM Electoral Scoreboard stands at Clinton 294, Trump 182. Evan McMullin is leading in Utah, worth six electoral votes. Arizona, Georgia, and Florida are in the Toss Up category.
The DNC cites last week's story by Tierney Sneed in its legal filing today seeking to have the RNC held in contempt by a federal court for violating that decades-old consent decree that bars it from engaging in euphemistic "ballot security" measures. I mention that not to brag on Tierney (though it is a good story) as much as direct you to some of the key backstory on how Donald Trump dragged the RNC into this mess.
The irony of Donald Trump perhaps consigning the RNC to another eight years of federal court supervision under a consent decree that has already lasted more than 30 years may be one of the richer ironies of the 2016 election. Tierney Sneed has more on today's big late breaking legal development on the campaign trail.
It could be a topsy turvy 12 more days, folks. We just had a rush of new national polls confirming a big national lead for Hillary Clinton. The PollTracker Average now gives Clinton an 8.6 percentage point lead (Clinton 49.2, Trump 40.6). But a batch of new Senate polls shifted the TPM Senate Scoreboard to D - 48, R- 50 with two seats (Missouri and New Hampshire) in the Toss-Up category. Meanwhile, both Clinton and Trump have notched down slightly on The TPM Electoral Scoreboard as Georgia and Florida go into the Toss-Up category. The presidential race seems basically where it's been, with some minor permutations. But today's Senate polls paint a different picture of where things seemed at the start of the week. That could be a big deal as Republicans are now lining up to say they will refuse to confirm any Supreme Court appointees for the duration of Clinton's term if she wins.