Zika Virus ‘Spreading Explosively,’ Americas Could See 4M Cases This Year

Gleyse Kelly da Silva holds her daughter Maria Giovanna as she sleeps in their house in Recife, Pernambuco state, Brazil, Wednesday, Jan. 27, 2016. Brazilian officials still say they believe there's a sharp increase ... Gleyse Kelly da Silva holds her daughter Maria Giovanna as she sleeps in their house in Recife, Pernambuco state, Brazil, Wednesday, Jan. 27, 2016. Brazilian officials still say they believe there's a sharp increase in cases of microcephaly and strongly suspect the Zika virus, which first appeared in the country last year, is to blame. The concern is strong enough that the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention this month warned pregnant women to reconsider visits to areas where Zika is present. (AP Photo/Felipe Dana) MORE LESS
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GENEVA (AP) — Declaring that the Zika virus is “spreading explosively,” the World Health Organization announced it will hold an emergency meeting of independent experts Monday to decide if the outbreak should be declared an international health emergency.

At a special meeting Thursday in Geneva, WHO Director-General Dr. Margaret Chan said the virus — which has been linked to birth defects and neurological problems — was becoming much more of a threat. One WHO scientist said the Americas could see up to 4 million cases of Zika in the next year.

Chan said although there was no definitive proof that the Zika virus was responsible for a spike in the number of babies being born with abnormally small heads in Brazil, “the level of alarm is extremely high.” She also noted a possible relationship between Zika infections and Guillain-Barre syndrome, which can cause temporary paralysis.

“The possible links, only recently suspected, have rapidly changed the risk profile of Zika from a mild threat to one of alarming proportions. The increased incidence of microcephaly is particularly alarming, as it places a heart-breaking burden on families and communities,” Chan said.

The Zika virus was first detected in 1947 and for decades only caused mild disease, but Chan noted that “the situation today is dramatically different.” According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control, the Zika virus is now in more than 20 countries, mostly in Central and South America. It is spread by the same mosquito that spreads dengue and yellow fever.

Earlier this month, the CDC said pregnant women should consider postponing trips to more than a dozen countries with Zika and advised women trying to get pregnant or thinking of getting pregnant to speak to their doctor before traveling and to take extra precautions to avoid mosquito bites.

Sylvain Aldighieri, head of WHO’s epidemic response team in the Americas, estimated there could be 3 to 4 million Zika infections in the region over the next year. He said the agency expects “huge numbers” of infections because of the widespread presence of the Aedes mosquitoes that spread Zika and because people in the region have no natural immunity.

WHO also warned China and all other countries that have dengue fever to be on the lookout for Zika infections. The agency said it could be many years before a vaccine is available.

Chan cited four main reasons why WHO was “deeply concerned” about Zika: The possible link to birth defects and brain syndromes, the prospect of further spread, a lack of immunity among people living in the newly affected areas and the absence of vaccines, treatments or quick diagnostic tests for the virus.

The U.N. health agency called the special session in part to convey its concern about an illness that has sown fear among many would-be mothers, who have responded by covering themselves head-to-toe in clothing in largely tropical Brazil or putting on many coats of insect repellent.

Declaring a global emergency is akin to an international SOS signal and usually brings more money and action to address an outbreak. The last such emergency was announced for the devastating 2014 Ebola outbreak in West Africa, which eventually ending up killing over 11,000 people. Polio was declared a similar emergency the year before.

Still, convening an emergency committee does not guarantee that a global emergency will be declared — WHO has held 10 such meetings to assess the Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus and no emergency has been announced.

One reason why WHO is examining the Zika virus so quickly may be because the agency was criticized for its slow response to Ebola; nearly 1,000 people had died before WHO declared it to be an international emergency. The Associated Press found that senior agency officials resisted the Ebola declaration for two months, citing political and economic reasons.

Marcos Espinal, WHO’s director of infectious diseases in the Americas region, said Brazil is conducting studies to determine if there is scientific evidence that Zika virus causes birth defects and neurological problems. He said they are hopeful Brazil may have data to share in a couple of months.

Brazil’s Zika outbreak and the spike in microcephaly cases among babies have been concentrated in the poor and underdeveloped northeast of the country, though the prosperous southeast, where Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro are located, is the second hardest-hit region. Rio de Janeiro is of special concern, since it will host the Aug. 5-21 Summer Olympic games that are expected to be attended by millions from around the world.

Earlier this week, officials in Rio ramped up their fight against the mosquitoes that spread Zika, dispatching fumigators to the Sambadrome, where the city’s Carnival parades will take place next month.

There is no specific treatment or vaccine for Zika, which is related to dengue. Scientists have struggled for years to develop a dengue vaccine; the first such shot made by Sanofi Pasteur was licensed last year in Brazil.

Still, in Washington, a leading U.S. health official said Thursday that he doubts the United States is vulnerable to a widespread outbreak of the virus. Dr. Anthony Fauci said hopefully the Zika virus can be kept at bay with “mosquito vector control.”

___

Cheng reported from London.

Copyright 2016 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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  1. Avatar for enon enon says:

    something to watch for is how the catholic and evangelical churches respond; because i would think that as these births increase, placing extraordinary demands on the families, local communities, government, access to abortions will become an option women want. esp as these births begin happening to middle/upper class women who have more power and influence than the impoverished women currently affected.
    this is such a horrifying thing to see develop; and the photos of these children are heartbreaking. the women who are determined to provide for their kids are heroic and deserve all the resources their governments and international organizations can provide – and not just on a short term basis.

  2. Avatar for 1gg 1gg says:

    Hopefully this will be the wake up call for the anti-choice crowd, the need for safe, legal abortions.

  3. South American governments are urging women to avoid becoming pregnant. What do they suggest women do – abstain? These are catholic majority countries, but I can’t see the how the church can justify doctrine against all forms of birth control during such a dire emergency. And are governments forcing women to carry to term even when exposure to the virus is confirmed? I don’t think they can screen for microcephaly in the first trimester – nor am I clear on what time in the pregnancy exposure to the virus produces microcephaly. I think later exposure may not have microcephalic effect, but I saw a clip on BBC in which a doctor was explaining that it causes other major medical problems not detectable through ultrasound – such as blindness and other malformations. This is really a catastrophic situation and spreading. Increasingly warmer climate may be a factor in causing the rise in mosquitos. Development of a vaccine should be a top priority. This clip really got me – the look on the mother’s face at the end is so devastating: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-35406933

  4. After seeing that photograph, I can’t seem to stop crying. I’m done.

  5. This is worse than Ebola, really. All that Ebola did was kill you. This doesn’t kill the fetus, only makes for a lifetime impaired person. There is some fear that the microcephaly is only a visible sign, and that those who do not show the microcephaly might have other, less visible, forms of impairment. Plus the infection itself is very mild, you might not even notice. This is a dreadful disease, and I hope that some pharma is very quickly working on a vaccine. Thank goodness it is a virus, and thus, in the most case, a vaccine can be developed.

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