Pennsylvania’s Dem Senate Challenger McGinty Has 1-Point Lead Over Toomey

Katie McGinty addresses a reporter's question after casting her vote Tuesday, April 26, 2016, in Wayne, Pa. Former Congressman Joe Sestak looks to hold off McGinty, the party-endorsed candidate, and win the Democrati... Katie McGinty addresses a reporter's question after casting her vote Tuesday, April 26, 2016, in Wayne, Pa. Former Congressman Joe Sestak looks to hold off McGinty, the party-endorsed candidate, and win the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate, setting up a rematch with the Republican incumbent Pat Toomey. (AP Photo/Jacqueline Larma) MORE LESS
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The Democratic challenger to Pennsylvania Republican Sen. Pat Toomey has a one-point lead in a new poll of the state’s closely watched Senate race.

The Franklin & Marshall poll shows Katie McGinty ahead of Toomey, 39-38 among likely Pennsylvania general election voters. Her lead over Toomey increases to eight points, 38-30, when the pollster surveyed the larger pool of Pennsylvania registered voters.

The most recent prior poll of likely Pennsylvania voters showed incumbent Toomey with a one-point advantage on McGinty, 42-41.

The Franklin & Marshall poll was conducted July 29-Aug. 1 online and over the phone. The survey included 661 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percent, and 389 likely voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 6.3 percent.

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Notable Replies

  1. Sestak would have been 20 points ahead if the unions and the party had not demanded a complete toady to be the nominee. I don’t know any Dems who are enthusiastic about her, leading me to believe it was union block voting that got her the nomination. We are voting for her only because she is a vote for Chuck Schumer as majority leader.

  2. Avatar for mymy mymy says:

    Hmm, to me she was the very least impressive speaker at the DNC. I just assumed she’d be toast.

  3. Well within the margin of error but Toomey needs to worry. He is probably one of the Senators Donald is going to Drumpf

  4. Is she a Martha Coakney clone. That means she isn’t going to work any harder on her campaign than she did on her DNC speech. If so she has about as much chance of winning as Robin Carnahan.

    She needs to get up every day and work like there is no tomorrow.

  5. The D’s reach for the Senate depends more on the quality of their candidates than on the mere presence of Trump…

    Where do you think the Kochs will be spending their money?

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