A new poll released Monday by WSB-TV on Monday showed Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Karen Handel neck and neck the day before a special election to fill an open U.S. House seat in Georgia.
Ossoff led Handel by 0.1 points, 49-48.9, among likely voters in the latest survey by Landmark Communications.
In the last poll by WSB-TV and Landmark Communications released on Friday, Ossoff led Handel by 1.7 points.
The poll released on Monday surveyed 500 likely voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
Close enough to steal.
In all fairness, Republicans wouldn’t be so crooked and dishonest if the public didn’t continually reward them for it.
Looking at this poll and it shows the EV lead for Ossoff has narrowed to about 9 points, but has good leads among Indies, unaffiliated, Dems, AAs. His numbers on Election Day voters have gone up. Gonna be tight. The average of all polls taken this month is O +1. The average of the early vote comes to O+13. It comes down to what the overall turnout will be. 140,000 voted early already. 192k voted in Round 1. 326k voted in '16. District has 530k voters. So a 50% turnout would be 265k. From what I can glean, turnout is expected to be above 200k but no one is willing to say above 250k. So it is quite possible that there are more early voters than Election Day voters for this particular election.
It feels like a lot more GOP have voted early in the last week which may have upped Handel’s vote share from 47 to 48, but there may be some vote cannibalization/vote shifting going on.
In a sense a lower turnout election could benefit Ossoff. If he has a lead, and Handel’s vote has shifted to the EV and Ossoff’s share of the e-day vote goes up, then I think he wins. However, I would think that if the total vote got to 265k or above, Handel would be favored.
It’ll be a long night but that early vote should tell us something within the first 2 hours.
The fact that this race is so close in an area with supposedly educated Republican voters is all the proof I need that the Republican party is a national dead-end. All those well-off, highly-educated Georgia conservatives are looking at the current state of affairs and thinking, “Yeah, we just need another Republican in Washington and everything will be dandy.”
There is no point in going after Republican votes at this juncture of American history. The whole party s rotten. Not a one of them will put country before partisanship.
Georgia on my mind…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fRgWBN8yt_E