Rep. Joe Heck (R) and former state Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto (D) are tied at 37 percent among likely voters in a new Nevada Senate poll from Suffolk University.
The race for the seat being vacated by Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) has been closely watched and could decide the Senate majority. The TPM Senate Scoreboard shows the race as a toss up.
Third party candidates Tony Gumina, Tom Jones and Tom Sawyer all polled at 1 percent, and Jarrod Williams polled at 0 percent.
Suffolk University has not polled Nevada likely voters on the Senate election previously, but a CBS/YouGov poll showed Heck ahead by three percent, 38-35, earlier this month.
The poll was conducted Aug. 15-17 over the phone among 500 likely Nevada voters, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average of the Nevada Senate race shows Heck ahead of Masto, 37.3 to 36.3.
Given the way Trump will push the Hispanic community to get out to vote, I suspect the Democrat is in better position than the polls seem to indicate.
Nevada is a notoriously hard place to read, and apparently, a hard place to poll.
That’s DEM Senate seat # 51. DNC Pedal to the metal on voter outreach and registration.
Then the same thing in Arizona so we get Senate seat # 52, by finally getting rid of Grampy Cryptkeeper.
Man I hope NC can turn back to blue on both national and state levels. And that’s not easy for an NC State grad to say with to blue rivals!
The Hispanic community is harder to poll than even the black community and are notoriously underpolled. I’ve heard time and again the Hispanic registration is up dramatically in reaction to Trump. If I’m understanding likely voter screens correctly, those newly registered voters would be excluded from likely voter screens.