A Suffolk University poll shows Hillary Clinton ahead by two points, 44-42, among Nevada’s likely general election voters.
The poll included third party candidates who will appear on Nevada’s ballot, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 5 percent, and Independent American Darrell Castle and party-less candidate Roque De La Fuente both at 1 percent.
Suffolk University has not polled Nevada voters about the general election, but a recent CBS/YouGov poll also showed Clinton ahead by two points, 43-41, with Johnson at 4 percent and Green Party’s Jill Stein at 3 percent.
The Suffolk poll was conducted over the phone from Aug. 15-17. The sample included 500 likely Nevada voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average shows Clinton leading Trump, 43.7 to 41.7.
Should have been a safe state for the GOP.
But Trump’s so-called candidacy has upended everything.
OK.
So who did Suffolk survey in Nevada for that 44-42 contest? Tumbleweeds? Coyotes?
Why? Obama won it both times, as did Bill Clinton.
FWIW, relative to what wikipedia says the racial demographics of the state are, the Suffolk poll oversamples whites and undersamples Hispanics. I suppose it’s due to the lesser voter registration numbers of the latter.
This is what I dream about at night, and then my wife elbows me…
You have a pretty avid fantasy life. Clinton ain’t taking Texas, Mississippi, Georgia, SC, Montana, South Dak, MO, IN, or AZ.
Admittedly I do. This would have probably been better described as a Nate Silver wet dream… :-}