Vance Brings White House Backup to Indiana

Vice President JD Vance brought an entourage of White House officials with him to Indiana today for his meeting with Republican state officials there, whom he attempted to pressure to follow Texas’ lead and do the Trump administration’s bidding when it comes to the state’s congressional maps.

Continue reading “Vance Brings White House Backup to Indiana”

HHS Has Revived a Failed Program to Scrape Americans’ Data and Track Autism, Senate Suggests

Last week, the Senate Appropriations Committee released a report on the country’s federal labor, health, human services, and education agencies in which staffers buried a small note of concern. 

It has to do with a case of duplication. 

Continue reading “HHS Has Revived a Failed Program to Scrape Americans’ Data and Track Autism, Senate Suggests”

How the Federal Union Could Break Apart

The term “constitutional crisis” gets used a lot these days. By a very fair definition we’ve been in one since January. A more apt and consequential meaning, however, is a crisis in which the legitimacy and continuation of the state rests in the balance or whether it fragments and degenerates into civil war, military rule or state disintegration. Today President Trump proposed something that, to my view, for the first time provides a path to such a crisis.

Continue reading “How the Federal Union Could Break Apart”

Trump’s Attack on Data Has ‘Dangerous Trickle-Down Effect’ for America’s Most Vulnerable

President Donald Trump is going after the census again. In a Thursday post on his social media platform Truth Social, the president announced that he’d “instructed” the Commerce Department to redo the census based on the 2024 election results to ensure that “people who are in our country illegally” wouldn’t be counted.

Redistricting experts were quick to point out that such a move would be unconstitutional, as the census is required to be conducted every decade and include “all free persons.” (During Trump’s first term, the Supreme Court blocked the administration’s request to put a citizenship question on the census).  But the announcement speaks to how Trump’s crusade against immigrants and other vulnerable groups threatens to fundamentally interfere with accurate data collection and reporting.

Much of Trump’s war on data has focused on what he derogatorily calls “woke” policy, or data related to race, gender, and ethnicity. He banned the use of that data in federal hiring, for example, as part of his administration’s broader effort to eliminate DEI programs outright.

Experts tell TPM that Trump’s data drain puts the most vulnerable Americans at risk, as changes in demographic data collection and reporting could mean less efficient public policy for immigrants, Black people and people of color, gender minorities, lower-income Americans, and other historically disadvantaged populations. Unknown problems can’t be fixed. 

“The most dangerous trickle down effect of this,” said Abby André, director of a data-driven policy tracker called The Impact Project, “is less effective economic policy. And those most in need among us are always hit first.” 

Dedrick Asante-Muhammad is president at the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies, which tracks and recommends policy regarding the racial wealth gap, income inequity and unemployment. He said racial distinctions in economic data are important. While national unemployment is 4.2% according to the most recent Bureau of Labor Statics report, unemployment for Black people reached 7.2% in July — the highest rate since a pandemic-era economic slowdown in October 2021. That stands in contrast to the unemployment for white people, which has held steady at around 3.7%.

“So the 4% number does not accurately represent unemployment across all communities,” Asante-Muhammad said. “Obviously those which have the most economic insecurity are those who will have the most negative effects by not having policy to assist them,” he continued.

Trump responded to the overall low jobs numbers in the July report by firing BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer.

When Trump and Elon Musk took a chainsaw to federal employment, slashing government jobs known for hiring Black people at a disproportionately higher rate than private industry, researchers waited to see if certain demographic groups would be hit hardest. The Office of Personnel Management maintained a database tracking the race and gender of federal employees. Until Trump came into office, officials took that database down, and republished it after deleting data on race and ethnicity.

Hayley Brown, a research associate at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, listed the ways non-economic federal data has been compromised since Trump took office. There’s the plan to end an Environmental Protection Agency report collecting greenhouse gas data, a rollback of hospital reporting on COVID rates, and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio redefining human rights “in a way limiting the amount of information we can get,” Brown said.

Trump’s deluge of anti-DEI executive orders,  Brown continued, “is getting rid of variables like gender, race, and ethnicity, which means the data is less useful in general and it’s less able to accurately reflect the community that they’re serving.”

Former U.S. Census Bureau Director Robert Santos told NPR in February that the bureau stopped collecting gender identity data on its National Crime Victimization Survey and a survey tracking sexual assault and harrassment in prisons to comply with one of Trump’s Inauguration Day executive orders. These changes came despite data from the Bureau of Justice Statistics showing trans people were 2.5 times more likely to be victims of violent crime. That report is still available on the bureau’s website.

While experts retain trust in the civil servants and statisticians still working for the federal government, some envisioned scenarios in which the Trump administration’s erasure of demographics like race and gender could inadvertently taint data.

“You can’t do modern polling,” said Richard Fry, a senior researcher and economist at Pew Research, “if you don’t have those federal benchmarks to tell you what the U.S. adult population looks like in terms of gender, race, ethnicity, who’s a citizen, who’s not a citizen… My polling colleagues heavily rely on that and so does every large scale polling outlet.” 

Republican lawmakers have in the past openly expressed a desire to cut data about populations with the worst outcomes. When addressing Louisiana’s maternal mortality rate — the fourth worst in the nation — Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) in 2022 said one could simply ignore Black women’s outcomes to improve maternal mortality rate.

“[I]f you correct our population for race, we’re not as much of an outlier as it’d otherwise appear,” Cassidy told Politico.

The Trump administration’s assault on information and the civil servants who provide it threatens to have long-term impacts that are difficult to undo, said Paul Schroeder, a statistician and executive director of the Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics.

“There’s really real world consequences of attempting to mess with these data that it’s going to be hard to recover from,” said Schroeder. “This is really a grave error on the Trump administration’s part and I wish it would not have occurred.” 

Scenes From Post-Law DC: Cory Mills Sex Tape Threats Edition

We’ve got more from Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL), the avatar of post-law Washington DC, where they let you do it if you’re a Republican.

Remember all the way back in February DC police were called to Mills’ apartment over an alleged assault of a woman who was not his wife. (Mills’ wife lives back in his home district. She’s a kind of Schrodinger’s Wife, but we’ll get back to that.) Subsequent news confirmed that the woman was Mills’ DC girlfriend, and when we last checked in on this story a couple weeks ago she still appeared to be his girlfriend, notwithstanding the alleged assault. (She soon recanted her accusation after the incident.) DC law being under the management of Jan. 6 attorney Ed Martin at the time meant Mills skated on that incident, though there was some question of whether the DC police might also have botched the initial arrest and investigation in ways that might have made prosecution difficult even if Republicans were still required to follow the law in DC.

Then three weeks ago we learned that Mills was in the process of being evicted from his $21,000-a-month DC apartment, which he appeared to stop paying rent on right after the alleged assault.

Continue reading “Scenes From Post-Law DC: Cory Mills Sex Tape Threats Edition”

The Long, Hot Summer of Trump II Depredations

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

A Snapshot of America in the Summer of 2025

I returned last night from a weeklong trip paddling down the Colorado River through the Grand Canyon. No phone signal. No news. No real contact with the outside world.

As I flew home yesterday and started trying to catch up on what I’d missed, I was quickly overwhelmed — as we all have been all year long — not just by the volume of news but by the peculiar dynamics (I’m still not sure I understand the Sydney Sweeney thing) and the distorted information ecosystem of the Trump era.

So if you’ll indulge me this morning, I’m going to offer a few snapshots of the current moment that caught the eye of someone who managed to escape the news cycle completely for a week. Distance from it restored me in some ways, but not necessarily in the ways I had expected.

I had hoped a week of marveling at geological time scales would make me more prone to see Donald Trump as a passing fad in the larger sweep of our political history. But I came back instead a bit more sensitive to how far we’ve fallen in such a short time.

WTF Is THIS?

Tim Cook pathetically kisses Trump's ass by pretending him with a "24 karat gold" gift

Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) 2025-08-06T21:22:07.390Z

Bringing Back Confederate Memorials

ARLINGTON, VIRGINIA – DECEMBER 20: Contractors work to dismantle and remove the Confederate Memorial in Section 16 at Arlington National Cemetery on December 20, 2023 in Arlington, Virginia. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth ordered the reinstallation of a Confederate memorial at Arlington National Cemetery that had been removed in 2023.

‘Defend Your Culture’

The Department of Homeland Security’s new recruitment push — dubbed “Defend the Homeland” — includes the nationalistic blood and soil call to “defend your culture!”

Quote of the Day

“It’s difficult to overstate how dangerous this moment is. Using the machinery of criminal justice to pursue manufactured charges against political predecessors is the stuff of strongmen and collapsing democracies. … It corrodes trust in democratic transitions, chills dissent, and redefines political opposition as criminal subversion.”–Harry Litman, on Attorney General Pam Bondi ordering a grand jury investigation into former President Obama and officials in his administration

EXCLUSIVE

Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard overrode CIA officials’ concerns to release a classified House GOP report that challenged the intel community’s assessment of Russia’s interference in the 2016 election, the WaPo reports.

Census Citizenship Question Redux

A lot to unpack here, but for now suffice to say that President Trump is making another bid to exclude non-citizens from the census for apportioning House seats and Electoral College votes, after the courts blocked the ham-handed effort of his first term:

BREAKING: With #2030Census prep already underway, President Trump says he's instructed Commerce Dept to "immediately begin work" on a "new" census that excludes people living in the states without legal status from a count the 14th Amendment says must include “whole number of persons in each state”

Hansi Lo Wang (he/him) (@hansilowang.bsky.social) 2025-08-07T11:45:17.969Z

Good Read

Thomas Zimmer attempts to answer the difficult question of why right-wing ascendancy in America is happening now.

Trump’s Attack on Higher Ed: UC Edition

The University of California System is entering into talks with the Trump administration to try to restore half a billion dollars in federal research funding for UCLA that was suspended over trumped-up allegations that it fostered anti-semitism on campus during pro-Palestinian protests last year.

Trump Strips Federal Workers of Union Protections

The Department of Veterans Affairs became the first federal agency to purport to begin terminating union contracts, which effect some 400,000 workers, despite arguing in court that it would refrain from doing so.

UPDATE: TPM Journalism Fund

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Speaking of Paddling …

WASHINGTON, DC – JULY 31: U.S. Vice President JD Vance speaks during an executive order signing ceremony with U.S. President Donald Trump in the Roosevelt Room of the White House on July 31, 2025. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers increased the normal water releases from a dam on the Little Miami River in southwestern Ohio this month to accommodate a canoe trip by Vice President JD Vance that coincided with his 41st birthday, The Guardian reports. In the Guardian piece, there is a tension over whether the extra water was used to make the river more navigable for Vance’s Secret Service detail or to create a more ideal water level for the vice president’s personal recreation.

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The Trump Administration is Promoting Its Anti-Trans Agenda Globally at the United Nations

This story first appeared at ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative newsroom. Sign up for The Big Story newsletter to receive stories like this one in your inbox.

It was meant to be a routine discussion on pollution. One by one, delegates at the United Nations expressed support for a new panel of scientists who would advise countries on how to address chemicals and toxic waste.

But the U.S. delegate took the meeting in a new direction. She spent her allotted three minutes reminding the world that the United States now had a “national position” on a single word in the documents establishing the panel: gender.

“Use of the term ‘gender’ replaces the biological category of sex with an ever-shifting concept of self-assessed gender identity and is demeaning and unfair, especially to women and girls,” the delegate told the U.N. in June.

The Trump administration is pushing its anti-trans agenda on a global stage, repeatedly objecting to the word “gender” in international resolutions and documents. During at least six speeches before the U.N., U.S. delegates have denounced so-called “gender ideology” or reinforced the administration’s support for language that “recognizes women are biologically female and men are biologically male.”

The delegates included federal civil service employees and the associate director of Project 2025, the conservative blueprint for Trump’s policies, who now works for the State Department. They delivered these statements during U.N. forums on topics as varied as women’s rights, science and technology, global health, toxic pollution and chemical waste. Even a resolution meant to reaffirm cooperation between the U.N. and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations became an opportunity to bring up the issue.

Insisting that everyone’s gender is determined biologically at birth leaves no room for the existence of transgender, nonbinary and intersex people, who face discrimination and violence around the world. Intersex people have variations in chromosomes, hormone levels or anatomy that differ from what’s considered typical for male and female bodies. A federal report published in January, just before President Donald Trump took office, estimated there are more than 5 million intersex Americans.

On at least two occasions, U.S. delegates urged the U.N. to adopt its language on men and women, though it’s unclear if the U.S.’ position has led to any policy changes at the U.N. But the effects of the country’s objections are more than symbolic, said Kristopher Velasco, a sociology professor at Princeton University who studies how international institutions and nongovernmental organizations have worked to expand or curtail LGBTQ+ rights.

U.N. documents can influence countries’ policies over time and set an international standard for human rights, which advocates can cite as they campaign for less discriminatory policies, Velasco said. The phrase “gender ideology” has emerged as a “catchall term” for far-right anxieties about declining fertility rates and a decrease in “traditional” heterosexual families, he said.

At the U.N., the administration has promoted other aspects of its domestic agenda. For example, U.S. delegates have demanded the removal of references to tackling climate change and voted against an International Day of Hope because the text contained references to diversity, equity and inclusion. (The two-page document encouraged a “more inclusive, equitable and balanced approach to economic growth” and welcomed “respect for diversity.”)

But the reflexive resistance to the word “gender” is particularly noteworthy.

Advocates for LGBTQ+ rights said the U.S.’ repeated condemnation of “gender ideology” signals support for more repressive regimes.

The U.S. is sending the world “a clear message: that the identities and rights of trans, nonbinary, and intersex people are negotiable,” Ash Lazarus Orr, press relations manager at the nonprofit Advocates for Trans Equality, said in a statement.

Laurel Sprague, research director at the Williams Institute, a policy center focused on sexual orientations and gender identities at the University of California, Los Angeles, said she’s concerned that other countries will take similar positions on transgender rights to gain favor with the U.S. Last month Mike Waltz, Trump’s nominee for ambassador to the U.N., told a Senate committee that he wants to use a country’s record of voting with or against the U.S. at the U.N. as a metric for deciding foreign aid.

In response to detailed questions from ProPublica, White House Deputy Press Secretary Anna Kelly said in a statement: “President Trump was overwhelmingly elected to restore common sense to government, which means focusing foreign policy on securing peace deals and putting America First — not enforcing woke gender ideology.”

A clash between Trump’s administration and certain U.N. institutions over transgender rights was almost inevitable.

Trump’s hostility to transgender rights was a key part of his election campaign. On his first day in office, he issued an executive order called “Defending women from gender ideology extremism and restoring biological truth to the federal government.” The order claimed there were only two “immutable” sexes. Eight days later, Trump signed an executive order restricting gender-affirming surgery for anyone under 19. Federal agencies have since forced trans service members out of the military and sued California for its refusal to ban trans athletes from girls’ sports teams.

In June, the U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights criticized American government officials for their statements “vilifying transgender and non-binary people.” The human rights office urges U.N. member states to provide gender-affirming care and says the organization has “affirmed the right of trans persons to legal recognition of their gender identity and a change of gender in official documents, including birth certificates.” The office also supports the rights of intersex people.

“Intersex people in the U.S. are extremely worried” that they will become bigger targets, said Sylvan Fraser Anthony, legal and policy director at the intersex advocacy group InterACT.

“In all regions of the world, we are witnessing a pushback against women’s human rights and gender equality,” Laura Gelbert Godinho Delgado, a spokesperson for the U.N.’s human rights office, said in an email. “This has fueled misogyny, anti-LGBTI rhetoric, and hate speech.”

The Trump administration’s insistence on litigating “gender” complicates the already ponderous procedures of the U.N. Many decisions are made by consensus, which could require representatives from more than 100 countries to agree on every word. Phrases and single words still under debate are marked with brackets. Some draft documents end up with hundreds of brackets, awaiting resolution at a subsequent date.

At the June meeting on chemical pollution, delegates decided to form a scientific panel but couldn’t agree on crucial details about whether the panel’s purpose included “the protection of human health and the environment.” A description of the panel included brackets on whether it would work in a way that integrates “gender equality and equity” or “equality between men and women.”

The U.S. delegate, Liz Nichols, reminded the U.N. at one point that it “is the policy of the United States to use clear and accurate language that recognizes women are biologically female and men are biologically male. It is important to acknowledge the biological reality of sex to support the needs and perspectives of women and girls.”

Career staffers like Nichols are hired for subject-matter expertise and work to execute the agenda of whichever administration is in charge, regardless of personal beliefs. Nichols has a doctorate in ecology from Columbia University and has worked for the State Department since 2018. When asked for comment, she referred ProPublica to the State Department.

A State Department spokesperson said in a statement, “As President Trump’s Executive Orders and our public remarks have repeatedly stated, this administration will continue to defend women’s rights and protect freedom of conscience by using clear and accurate language and policies that recognize women are biologically female, and men are biologically male.”

Gender is a crucial factor in chemical safety, said Rachel Radvany, environmental health campaigner at the Center for International Environmental Law who attended the meeting. Pregnant people are uniquely vulnerable to chemical exposure and women are disproportionately exposed to toxic compounds, including through beauty and menstrual products.

Radvany said the statement read by Nichols contributed to the uncertainty on how the panel would consider gender in its work. The brackets around gender-related issues and other topics remained in the draft decision and will have to be resolved at a future gathering that may not happen until next summer.

The U.S. has also staked out similar positions at U.N. meetings focused on gender. At a session of the Commission on the Status of Women in March, Jonathan Shrier, a longtime State Department employee who now works for the U.S. Mission to the United Nations, said the U.S. disapproved of a declaration supporting “the empowerment of all women and girls” that mentioned the word “gender.” The phrase “all women and girls” in U.N. documents has been used as a way to be inclusive of trans women and girls.

Shrier read a statement saying that several factors in the text made it impossible for the U.S. to back the resolution, which the commission had recently adopted. That included “lapses in using clear and accurate language that recognizes women are biologically female and men are biologically male.”

During the summit, Shrier repeated those talking points at an event co-sponsored by the U.S. government and the Center for Family and Human Rights, or C-Fam. The group’s mission statement says its goal is the “preservation of international law by discrediting socially radical policies at the United Nations and other international institutions.”

Shrier directed questions to the U.S. Mission to the United Nations, which did not respond. Responding to questions from ProPublica, C-Fam’s president, Austin Ruse, said in a statement that the U.S. position on gender is in line with the definitions found in an important U.N. document on the empowerment of women from 1995.

Some countries have pushed back against the U.S.’ stance, often in ways that appear subtle to the casual observer. The U.N. social and environmental forums where these speeches have been delivered tend to operate with a culture of civility and little direct confrontation, said Alessandra Nilo, external relations director for the Americas and the Caribbean at the International Planned Parenthood Federation. Nilo has participated in U.N. forums on HIV/AIDS and women’s health since 2000.

When other delegates speak out in support of diversity and women’s rights, it’s a sign of their disapproval and a way to isolate the U.S., Nilo said. During the women’s rights summit, the delegate from Brazil celebrated “the expansion of gender and diversity language” in the declaration.

Nilo said many countries are scared to speak out for fear of losing trade deals or potential foreign aid from the U.S.

Advocating an “America First” platform, Trump has upended U.S. commitments to multinational organizations and alliances. He signed orders withdrawing the U.S. from the World Health Organization and various U.N. bodies, such as the Human Rights Council and the cultural group UNESCO.

It’s rare for the U.N. to directly affect legislation in the U.S. But the Trump administration repeatedly cites concerns that U.N. documents could supersede American policy.

In April, the U.S. criticized a draft resolution on global health debated at a meeting of the U.N. Commission on Population and Development. Spencer Chretien, the U.S. delegate, opposed references to the U.N.’s Sustainable Development Goals, which provide a blueprint for how countries can prosper economically while improving gender equality and protecting the environment. Chretien called the program a form of “soft global governance” that conflicts with national sovereignty. Chretien also touted the administration’s “unequivocal rejection of gender ideology extremism” and renewed membership in the Geneva Consensus Declaration, an antiabortion document signed by more than 30 countries, including Russia, Hungary, Saudi Arabia and South Sudan. The first Trump administration co-sponsored the initiative in 2020 before the Biden administration withdrew from it.

Chretien helped write Project 2025 when he worked at The Heritage Foundation. He is now a senior bureau official in the State Department’s Bureau of Population, Refugees and Migration. Chretien couldn’t be reached for comment.

The U.N. proposal on global health faced additional opposition from Burundi, Djibouti and Nigeria, where abortion is generally illegal. Delegates from those countries were upset about references to “sexual and reproductive health services,” which could include abortion access. The commission chair withdrew the resolution, seeing no way to reach consensus.

During a July forum about a document on sustainable development, the U.S. delegate, Shrier, asked for a vote on several paragraphs about gender, climate change and various forms of discrimination. In his objections, he cited two paragraphs that he argued advanced “this radical abortion agenda through the terms ‘sexual and reproductive health’ and ‘reproductive rights.’”

The final vote on whether to retain those paragraphs was 141 to 2, with only the U.S. and Ethiopia voting no. (Several countries abstained.)

When the results lit up the screen, the chamber broke into thunderous applause.

Doris Burke contributed research.

Russ Vought Is Talking A Big Game—But Even This Supreme Court Might Not Back It Up

A hallmark of the second Trump presidency is the White House’s insatiable, gradually progressing power grab.

It has steadily crafted, through legal and illegal means, a once-unimaginably muscular presidency. In recent months, the administration has started to itch for more, jealously eyeing Congress’ greatest power and responsibility and coveting it for itself. 

Continue reading “Russ Vought Is Talking A Big Game—But Even This Supreme Court Might Not Back It Up”

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Trump Admin Takes Its Desperate Midcycle Redistricting Scheme to Indiana

While Texas Republicans threaten elected state Democrats with arrest for trying to resist President Trump’s power grab via their state’s congressional maps, the Trump administration is trying to plant some mid-decade gerrymandering seeds in Indiana, too.

Continue reading “Trump Admin Takes Its Desperate Midcycle Redistricting Scheme to Indiana”