What Trump Had Stashed at the Villa

We’ve got a lot going on today. But I want to be sure you see this report from the Post. Many of the documents retrieved from Trump’s personal residence at his villa and in public storage areas contained highly, highly classified documents about Iran’s ballistic missile program as well reports from intelligence programs about China. It’s hard to overstate just how sensitive and highly guarded these documents are.

The Post notes that “many of the more sensitive documents Trump or his aides apparently took to Mar-a-Lago after he left the White House are top-level analysis papers that do not contain sources’ names.” But a foreign intelligence service can often infer based on the nature and findings of an intelligence effort who was talking or which vulnerabilities were being exploited.

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Re-Boris Plan Sweeping UK

Just after soberly noting that in some ways the UK political fabric appears stronger and more resilient than our own I’m hit with this news: a return of Boris Johnson to Number 10 is rapidly emerging this morning as a real possibility. Johnson along with Rishi Sunak and Penny Mordaunt (somehow not a Bond series name) appear to be the three contenders now.

Bannon Sentenced To Four Months In Prison For Contempt Of Congress

A D.C. federal judge sentenced Stephen K. Bannon to four months in prison on Friday for contempt of Congress, charges that stemmed from him dodging a subpoena issued by the January 6 committee last year.

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Are We Doing Worse than the Shambolic UK?

I’ve been dunking wildly on the on-going implosion of the British political system. I am going to continue to do so — both because I enjoy it and because “implosion” is an accurate representation of what has happened. But there’s one uncomfortable reality I need to address. Liz Truss came into power on the votes of a minuscule slice of the population which is traditionalist but marginal to the current UK — 70k or 80k mostly older white conservative men from Southern England. She pledged to defy reality with old school British tenacity. Everything blew up in her face and now after six weeks she’s out on her ass as the shortest tenured British PM in history. (Some say in three hundred years but people before 300 years ago weren’t PMs.)

Here’s my saying “hahahaha.” But let’s be clear that this is a political system working. Yes, shambolically and after years of dysfunction. But this is a political system working and one working in ways ours seems increasingly unable to.

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Man Arrested By DeSantis’ Election Crimes Office Has His Case Dismissed

On Friday, one of the 20 formerly incarcerated Floridians arrested in August by Governor Ron DeSantis’ (R) Office of Election Crimes and Security on voter fraud charges has had his case dismissed.

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Trend Not Good

I really, really want to see it change. And it may change. We’re still two and a half weeks before Election Day. But I don’t think there’s much question now that there’s a late GOP surge in the polling data. You see this showing up clearly in the congressional generic ballot numbers. Hopefully, the Dems’ Senate majority can withstand that. There are still many advantages the Dems have in those handful of Senate races that will make a difference. We don’t know this is the last shift. And the polls remain close enough to make the assumptions of the pollsters as critical as last minute trends. But Democrats need to leave absolutely everything on the field.

Graham Ordered To Testify In Georgia DA Probe By Appeals Court

A three-judge panel on the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals on Thursday ordered Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) to testify in Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis’ investigation into ex-President Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 election in Georgia.

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About Time—US Considers National Security Reviews on Musk’s Deals

Bloomberg reports that administration officials are for the first time considering national security reviews of Elon Musk’s increasingly international-man-of-mystery business deals stretching from Silicon Valley to Crimea. The specifics turn on the effort to buy Twitter, now with what appears to be an opaque group of foreign investors as well as his on-again, off-again hints that he might block access to his StarLink telecommunications system over Ukraine.

Of course all of this is playing out with the backdrop of his increasingly pro-Russian comments about the war in Ukraine.

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Biden Exposes Republican Hypocrisy On Israel’s Lebanon Deal

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. 

There must be something about Joe Biden winning on Israel policy that drives Republicans nuts — especially when Israel’s government supports the Democrat in the White House.

This dynamic was on full display over the last several days, as President Biden achieved a stunning diplomatic breakthrough that Israel’s government has been seeking for more than a decade: clarity and security over its maritime border with Lebanon.

The Israel-Lebanon maritime border deal is the single most significant advancement towards peace on any of Israel’s borders since the Jordanian peace treaty of 1994. It is to be celebrated.

But unfortunately, the same Republicans who loudly proclaim their support for Israel aren’t interested in acknowledging successful diplomacy by a Democrat during an election season.

Look no further than Republican reaction to the deal.

Of the 23 positive congressional statements made last week about the deal, all but one came from Democrats. The lone Republican statement was from Darrell Issa, a Lebanese American who has long been a proponent of peace and diplomacy in the region. There was silence from the rest of the Republican conference.

Compare this to the Democratic response to the signing of the Trump-negotiated Abraham Accords in September 2020. Joe Biden welcomed them while a candidate in the heat of his own election campaign against Trump — demonstrating how he wasn’t going to play partisan politics with the peace process in the region.

Republicans have done the opposite now and it’s deeply troubling for Israel’s security. Israel depends upon bipartisan American support. Right now, it doesn’t appear to have it.

The reason for this, of course, is clear: Republicans for years have tried to use Israel policy as a political wedge to pry American Jewish voters away from Democrats. For them, supporting a pro-Israel agreement negotiated by a Democrat would undermine their political argument to Jewish voters, and so they reject it.

It’s instructive to look to former president Donald Trump’s statement on Truth Social last week, which was both awash in antisemitism and laid the Republican calculus out for all to see: American Jewish voters are guilty of “disloyalty,” he complained, because “No President has done more for Israel than I have.” Yet, he marveled, evangelicals are “far more appreciative of this than the people of the Jewish faith, especially those living in the U.S.”

Republicans just aren’t on the same page as Jewish voters on domestic issues, including abortion, climate change, and protecting the U.S.’s democratic processes. Instead, they use Israel as an opportunity to extract votes from the Jewish community, such as when Trump politicized his move of the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem, hoping to use it for partisan gain.

Republicans look to the Israel issue to gain Jewish voter support because American Jews are overwhelmingly liberal and Democratic, typically voting by margins of 70–75% for Democrats in each election.

Republicans just aren’t on the same page as Jewish voters on domestic issues, including abortion, climate change, and protecting the U.S.’s democratic processes. Instead, they use Israel as an opportunity to extract votes from the Jewish community, such as when Trump politicized his move of the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem, hoping to use it for partisan gain. Judging by his recent statements, he feels that he deserved more votes than he got from the Jewish community, based solely upon his Israel policy.

This is why Republicans are reacting so furiously to Biden’s swiping of the Israel security issue right out from under their noses. Instead of celebrating Israel’s security victory, it’s more sour grapes for key Republicans who chart the party’s Middle East policy.

For example, take Trump’s former Ambassador to Israel, David Friedman, who tweeted after the deal was announced that “All Israel is getting is a ‘guarantee’ from the US. What does that say, what is the nature of America’s commitment, and why is that good for Israel or America?…”

Unfortunately for Friedman, Israel’s cabinet overwhelmingly supported the agreement (minus one abstention from far-right leader Ayelet Shaked). Israel’s security establishment is thrilled and apparently satisfied with America’s guarantees.

And then there’s Trump’s former top Middle East envoy, David Schenker, who suggested that Israel sold out… Israel! He argued that “…the proposition that the maritime deal makes Israel safer or promotes prospects for normalization with yet another Arab State is dubious… It’s difficult to imagine that Hezbollah won’t emerge from these negotiations emboldened by Israel’s decision to delay extraction, perhaps demonstrating undue flexibility to avoid another conflagration.”

Never mind the fact that those in charge of Israel’s security — the Israel Defense Forces — know that the deal is good for Israel’s northern border security. In fact, the head of Israel’s Mossad spy agency said that the agreement is not favored by Hezbollah because it constitutes a de facto recognition by Lebanon of Israel, something that Hezbollah opposes but has now come to accept.

It’s clear that Israel’s security leaders view this agreement as a victory for them over Hezbollah, regardless of the negative spin by Trump officials. If only Republican leaders would support them as well. Doing so would show real bipartisan support for Israeli security, but alas, they’re not.

So let’s now speak the quiet part out loud: Republicans know that Joe Biden has just secured an historic win for Israel’s security, which costs them politically. It’s clear that for them, support for Israel’s security is more about their own partisan political benefits than the actual policy benefits for Israel. And so they stay silent.

Kudos to Joe Biden for both backing Israeli security and making this Republican hypocrisy clear.