Where Things Stand: Republicans’ Abortion Flailing Shows Up In McCarthy’s Caucus Chaos Too

My colleague Kate Riga and I have been tracking the various ways in which Republicans are freaking out about how their party’s longstanding and extreme positioning on abortion will impact them in coming elections. Kate wrote an excellent piece earlier this week on Republican 2024 candidates’ flailing as they repeatedly and publicly struggle to pick any specific footing on the issue, aware that restrictive policy platforms and abortion bans in general have proven themselves to be wildly unpopular among voters and will likely hurt them in the upcoming presidential general election.

I won’t unpack all the evidence that supports the notion that Republicans are losing the battle of public opinion on abortion here, but to catch up, I’d recommend reading this, this and this.

But, this week, the omnipresent dilemma and intra-party rift appeared in a new venue.

Continue reading “Where Things Stand: Republicans’ Abortion Flailing Shows Up In McCarthy’s Caucus Chaos Too”

How The Supreme Court’s Alabama Decisions Affected The 2022 Election — And Could Shape 2024

The Supreme Court knocked down Alabama’s racially gerrymandered congressional map in a shocking 5-4 decision Thursday, preserving a key section of the Voting Rights Act.

Continue reading “How The Supreme Court’s Alabama Decisions Affected The 2022 Election — And Could Shape 2024”

Medicaid Wins Big At Supreme Court Despite Fears That Right-Wing Majority Would Hobble Program

The Supreme Court upheld a key mechanism for beneficiaries of federal spending programs to sue if states violate their rights Thursday, the conclusion of a case that spawned protests, hearings and bottomless worry from activists and experts terrified that the Court would use it to hobble programs like Medicaid. 

Continue reading “Medicaid Wins Big At Supreme Court Despite Fears That Right-Wing Majority Would Hobble Program”

So Is Trump Really Toast?

You probably saw that President Trump has now received a “target letter” from Special Prosecutor Jack Smith’s office. We don’t know precisely when it was received, at least not in the reporting I have seen. But presumably it is quite recent. In federal law enforcement, a “target letter” is a mix of threat and good faith warning about your status and what to expect. In other words, we’re not just looking at a potential crime that you’re proximate to or involved with. You’re the target. We are looking at you as a probable criminal defendant and we assume we’re going to indict you. So act accordingly. It provides some back stop to prevent a defendant from saying prosecutors made it like they were just a witness and not the person who was going to get indicted. Lawyers who practice in the federal courts might put the nuance a bit differently or disagree among themselves. But I think this is the gist.

If you’re focused on the “hey is this thing really going to happen?” front, the answer is, you should assume it will. It’s not a guarantee. But it makes it highly likely. And not based on what some outside commentator speculates and pieces together from the clues. This comes from the guy who does the indicting.

Continue reading “So Is Trump Really Toast?”

Supreme Court Delivers Major And Unexpected Win For Voting Rights

The Supreme Court ruled Thursday to sustain the Voting Rights Act’s protection against attempts to dilute the voting power of racial minorities, dismissing Alabama’s attempt to create a standard that would make it nearly impossible to challenge such gerrymanders in the future.

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Wow, What A Week In The Mar-a-Lago Investigation

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.

MAL Case Remains On Track

A lot has happened this week in the Mar-a-Lago case, but let me offer some assurance that, to use the economics argot, the underlying fundamentals remain the same.

We now can surmise that the Monday meeting between Trump’s legal team and Special Counsel Jack Smith at Main Justice was prompted by the target letter Trump received in the Mar-a-Lago case. Setting aside Trump’s status as an ex-president, the target letter and the meeting are within the realm of normal.

While the newly empaneled grand jury in south Florida was a surprise, the flurry of last-minute activity and new revelations is all consistent with a case quickly moving toward indictments and finally shifting from the secretive grand jury process to public charges and more transparency.

If anything has changed this week, it may be that the estimates for the exact timing of indictments – widely considered to be coming at the end of this week or early next week – may be a few days too optimistic. But you really shouldn’t be worrying about the timing at that level of detail unless you’re involved in the case or trying to cover it.

A former president of the United States with a long history of existing at the line between legal and illegal who is determined to undermine the rule of law is about to get his comeuppance. The main concern all along was whether the legal system would be adequate to the task. It’s looking better now than it was two years ago.

The Florida Angle

WaPo: “Justice Department prosecutors are planning to bring a significant portion of any charges stemming from the possible mishandling of classified documents at Mar-a-Lago, the home of former president Donald Trump, at a nearby federal court in South Florida, according to people familiar with the matter.”

Espionage Act Still Very Much In Play?

It’s still not totally clear why Special Counsel Jack Smith empaneled a Florida grand jury, though venue issues remain the most obvious explanation. One additional bit of information emerged yesterday via The Guardian: DOJ counterintelligence chief Jay Bratt is involved in the Florida grand jury’s work. Bratt has been chiefly involved in the Espionage Act side of the investigation (as opposed to the obstruction of justice side of the probe). Do with that what you will.

Trump Spox Testifies To Florida Grand Jury

The exact relevance of the testimony of Trump spokesperson Taylor Budowich remains a public mystery, but he emerged displaying quite an attitude about the whole thing.

Bannon Subpoenaed In Jan. 6 Probe

Amidst all the other Jack Smith news, former Trump adviser Steve Bannon was subpoenaed in late May by the DC grand jury investigating Jan. 6. It is not at all clear that Bannon – already under criminal indictment in New York state for the alleged We Build The Wall fraud and currently appealing his conviction for contempt of Congress – would do anything other than plead the Fifth before a grand jury.

A Special Note To Morning Memo Readers

Morning Memo is free and we intend to keep it that way. But you can show your support for Morning Memo and TPM by contributing to the TPM Journalism Fund. We launched the annual drive this week with the ambitious goal of raising $500,000. We need your help!

This is different from our membership drive (we appreciate your membership, too!). Over the years, numerous readers have asked for ways to contribute above and beyond their memberships. This is for them and for you, a way to turbocharge your support for TPM. I hope you’ll consider it.

America In All Her … Ummm … Glory

HOLLYWOOD, CA. – APRIL 26: Actor Jay Johnston arrives at the 19th Annual GLAAD Media Awards on April 25, 2008 at the Kodak Theatre in Hollywood, California. (Photo by Jeffrey Mayer/WireImage)

Actor Jay Johnston – whose resume includes “Mr. Show,” “The Sarah Silverman Program,” “Arrested Development,” “Bob’s Burgers,” and “Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy” – has been charged in the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol.

Clarence Thomas Is On The Clock

The eagerly awaited annual financial reports of the Supreme Court justices were due yesterday, but Justice Clarence Thomas asked for and received an extension of 90 days to file his. One can only imagine the clean-up work the Harlan Crow scandal is forcing Thomas to do with his filing(s).

Pat Robertson, 1930-2023

All the warnings you ever needed about where America was headed were right there for all to see in Pat Robertson’s 1988 campaign for president.

Comer Cancels Contempt Vote For Wray

This was never about the contempt vote or the rule of law or any good faith effort to conduct real oversight. This was a political gambit to smear a sitting president of the opposing party while delegitimizing the federal law enforcement entities investigating the the ex-president of the same party. In that sense, Oversight Chair James Comer (R-KY) got what he wanted and can declare victory. It’s an overt abuse of his power and corrupt as hell.

Drama Queens

The House GOP is in a perpetual state of drama and outrage. When they’re not attacking and trying to cause pain to their perceived enemies, they’re eating their own. In many ways, the need for constant drama is a bigger signifier than their radicalism. And that’s especially true with the Freedom Caucus. Fun to watch? Sometimes. A sign of the imminent collapse of the extremist wing or of Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s speakership? I really doubt it.

The Confrontation Is The Point

NYT: “The flights to California illustrate the broader bet Gov. Ron DeSantis has made that the animating energy in the G.O.P. has shifted from conservatism to confrontationalism.”

Needle-Threader-In-Chief

Fox News: Tucker’s Twitter Show Breaches His Contract

In a lawyer letter, Fox News warned Tucker Carlson that his Twitter “show” is a breach of the contract under which he is still being paid post-termination.

Louisiana Poised To Ban Trans Care For Minors

The legislation passed both chambers of the legislature by veto-proof margins.

The Next Chapter

Ukraine has launched its long-awaited counteroffensive.

‘We Are Completely Underprepared For Wildfire’

I know that you know that the wildfire smoke plaguing the East Coast is inextricably bound up with climate change. Let’s take that as the starting point, not the end point of the conversation. With that in mind, a good thread on how to think about the wildfire threat in a dramatically warming world:

Kilauea Resumes Eruption

HAWAII, UNITED STATES – JUNE 7: An aerial view of Kilauea volcano as it began to erupt around 4:44 a.m. on June 7, 2023 in Hawaii, United States. The eruption at Kilauea’s summit is occurring within a closed area of Hawaii Volcanoes National Park and high levels of volcanic gas are the primary concern. (Photo by United States Geological Survey/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)

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Oklahoma OKs The Nation’s First Religious Charter School

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation.

U.S. courts have long wrestled with the extent to which government funding can be used at private religious schools. And on June 5, 2023, Oklahoma’s five-person Statewide Virtual Charter School Board pushed this much-debated question into new territory by approving plans for a religious charter school — the first in the nation.

Under the proposed charter, St. Isidore of Seville Catholic Virtual School plans to open in the fall of 2024 with up to 500 K-12 students from across the state. The school would be run by the Roman Catholic Archdiocese of Oklahoma City and the Diocese of Tulsa, but, like all charter schools, would be paid for with taxpayer dollars.

School choice advocates have won key cases at the Supreme Court in recent years, opening up more ways for public dollars to support faith-based education. A charter school — privately operated, but publicly funded — would be the most dramatic of these challenges to how the separation of church and state applies to education.

“The approval of any publicly funded religious school is contrary to Oklahoma law and not in the best interest of taxpayers,” Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond said in a statement after the Monday vote, warning that the board and state will likely face legal challenges.

The key question is not whether a charter would help or harm local education, but whether explicitly religious instruction at charter schools is constitutional, given the First Amendment’s protections against government establishment of religion. Moreover, Oklahoma law requires charter schools to be nonsectarian.

Recent trend

Advocates of expanding public funding to faith-based schools have been encouraged by three recent Supreme Court cases that upheld greater aid to their students.

All three of these cases relied on a legal idea I have written about called the “child benefit test.” Essentially, according to this concept, it is constitutional under some circumstances to provide public funds to students who attend faith-based private schools or their parents — but not directly to the schools, as would happen with Oklahoma’s charter school.

The first of these decisions, 2017’s Trinity Lutheran Church of Columbia v. Comer, dealt with a private Christian preschool that was denied public grants to update its playground. School administrators sued, arguing that denying generally available funding constituted religious discrimination in violation of the First Amendment’s protections for freedom of religion. The high court agreed.

Three years later, Espinoza v. Montana Department of Revenue further opened up government aid to private religious school pupils, relying on Trinity Lutheran. A 5-4 court ruled that Montana’s tax credit program for parents sending their children to independent schools must apply even if those schools are faith-based.

In 2022, the court extended this perspective in a case from Maine, Carson v. Makin. Maine, with its low population density, pays parents in areas lacking their own public schools to either transport their children to nearby public schools or a secular private school. The Supreme Court found that this program should apply to parents without a local public school who wish to send their child to a religious school as well.

Rethinking church and state?

By expanding the boundaries of permissible aid, these three cases have boosted proponents’ hopes for even greater public funding for faith-based schools.

Yet, it is important to keep in mind what likely prompted these changes in the first place: new faces on the Supreme Court. A majority of today’s justices tend to favor an “accommodationists” interpretation of the First Amendment, meaning they largely reject the idea that it demands a “wall of separation” between church and state, so long as the government is not privileging one faith over another.

Nevertheless, the parameters of the “child benefit test” often used to justify greater public funding has been evolving for years. The concept — one that legal scholars use to describe the Supreme Court’s arguments, not a term the court has used itself — first emerged in a 1947 dispute from New Jersey, Everson v. Board of Education. In Everson, the court upheld a state statute that allowed local school boards to transport students to faith-based schools — mostly Roman Catholic ones — reasoning that the students, not the schools themselves, were the primary beneficiaries of state aid.

In another illustrative case, 2002’s Zelman v. Simmons-Harris, the Supreme Court allowed parents whose children attended Cleveland’s public school system, which was then failing state standards, to use public vouchers to attend faith-based schools instead. A majority of justices upheld the program’s constitutionality because, again, students were the primary beneficiaries, not the religious schools themselves.

Eyes on Oklahoma

Today, in what may be the largest expansion of the child benefit test, legislators in various states are considering laws to expand how parents can participate in public education fund programs even if their children attend private religious schools, such as by broadening voucher or tax-credit programs. However, the Oklahoma proposal was the first to consider establishing a charter school with religious instruction and standards.

Charters, which trace their origins to Minnesota in 1991, are publicly funded and part of local school districts, yet free from many regulations, such as standards about curricular content and teacher qualifications. The idea of faith-based charters has attracted proponents for more than 20 years, but they have had little success until Oklahoma’s – which may never materialize, given the potential legal challenges. Americans United for Separation of Church and State has already announced it will “take all possible legal action to fight this decision and defend the separation of church and state that’s promised in both the Oklahoma and U.S. constitutions.”

Even the board that eventually approved St. Isidore, which is responsible for approving the state’s charter schools, was initially skeptical. On April 11, 2023, members unanimously voted to reject the original proposal. However, the board gave organizers 30 days to revise the proposal and try again. The second attempt in June succeeded in a 3-2 vote.

If other states authorize faith-based charters, the new schools will likely be a boon to their religious organizers by facilitating students’ ability to attend. Proponents of charters, whether traditional or faith-based, support them as part of the larger school choice movement that seeks to give parents in failing districts opportunities to move their children into better schools without paying private school tuition.

Faith-based charters are likely to raise headaches for their supporters, too. Because charters must still comply with some state standards, faith-based charters could be subject to greater government oversight about issues such as policies on LGBTQ+ students and staff – a longtime sticking point – or accepting students with disabilities. And it remains to be seen whether proponents of a Catholic charter school would be as supportive if a minority faith group proposed one.

While this legal battle is just heating up, I believe it has the potential to reshape public education as we have known it.

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

The Conversation

Thanks and Let’s Keep This Going

A very sincere thanks to everyone who contributed since we launched this drive yesterday. As I noted yesterday we’ve got a particularly high hill to climb this year (see yesterday’s post). But we’re off to a solid start. By our counter, which you can see here, we are at just under $123,000. But we also received a single mega (I mean, truly mega!) contribution of $25,000 which isn’t yet reflected on the counter since it came by check. That brings us to just a smidge under $150,000. And a big thanks to the contributor who made such a massive contribution. If memory serves that’s five times larger than the biggest contribution we’ve ever gotten to the TPM Journalism Fund.

There’s always more than a bit of an element of stage fright when launching a drive. Success is really important but you don’t know how it’s going to go, especially when you need to raise more than usual. So I’ll give a bit more of behind the scenes of what goes into these efforts and a bit more about how it’s going. But for now, thank you. Our whole team truly appreciates it. If you’re ready to contribute, just click here.