Speaker Jordan’s Toxic Baggage

It’s a bit of an understatement to say Jim Jordan comes to the Speakership with baggage. (Yes, I think it’s almost a given at this point.) But there’s baggage and then there’s baggage. There’s been very, very little discussion of the fact that Jordan is deeply entwined in a college wrestling molestation scandal from his days as the assistant coach of the Ohio State University wrestling team in the 80s and early 90s. It’s been mostly ignored because reporters see it as old news. There was a scandal but it didn’t really go anywhere, the thinking goes. Old news, nothing to see here. But that doesn’t make any sense if you know the details.

First, here’s the short version.

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Today’s Running of the House Normies Gets Underway

Yesterday we noted that the latest GOP Speaker wannabe, Jim Jordan and his allies have shifted to mobilizing base MAGA supporters against the substantial number of holdouts who have either claimed they won’t vote for Jordan on the floor of the House or claim they will never vote for him. This morning Jordan seems to be making substantial headway. One key Republican holdout, Mike Rogers of Alabama, now says he’s on board. So does Ken Calvert, who represents a swing district in California.

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Jim Jordan Is Trying To Bully His Way To The Speakership

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

No More Mister Nice Guy?

The House GOP left DC last week without electing a speaker. They return this evening with just as much chaos and turmoil, and no clear path to electing Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH) as the next speaker.

But rather than acknowledging the perils of his position or his failure to accumulate enough Republican votes for the speakership, Jordan is coming out swinging hard with the hopes of winning by sheer force. So much for consensus or negotiation. Jordan is going to try to bully his way to the top spot.

As the NYT reported over the weekend, Jordan is trying to activate the pro-Trump base to scare holdouts and opponents alike into voting for him. Punchbowl reported that Jordan is aiming for a floor vote Tuesday in which he’ll put all of his chips on the table with the aim of buffaloing waffling members into supporting him.

The dynamics of the House GOP have become so unhinged and unwieldy that there seems at least a faint prospect of some Republican members joining with Democrats to elect a new speaker in some sort of power-sharing arrangement. But let me put a heavy emphasis on “faint.” This still seems like a highly unlikely outcome, though it can’t be ruled out.

It’s hard for me not to assume that Jordan will find a way to pull it off, not because it’s a clear or obvious path to victory for him, but because the alternative for the GOP and the country seems absolutely insane: a speakerless House for a long stretch leading to political paralysis.

But that, my friends, is almost the definition of wishful thinking.

Never Forget …

Former Speaker Denny Hastert already broke the glass ceiling for sexually abusive ex-wrestling coaches. Jim Jordan is accused of ignoring abuse in the Ohio State wrestling program when he was an assistant coach, not participating in it. But it’s all worth another look:

  • Sports Illustrated: Jim Jordan Speaker Candidacy Roils Ohio State Wrestling Community
  • A Jordan ally is asked to address the allegations:

Illinois Boy Brutally Slain In Anti-Muslim Violence

A 6-year-old Palestinian American boy in Illinois died Saturday after being stabbed 26 times with a serrated military-style knife, allegedly by his 71-year-old landlord, in what police say was an anti-Muslim hate crime.

The boy’s mother was stabbed a dozen times and remains hospitalized in serious condition. The landlord was charged with state-level hate crimes, first-degree murder, attempted first-degree murder, and aggravated battery with a deadly weapon.

President Biden said he was “shocked and sickened” by the attack and deplored Islamophobia.

Israel-Gaza Watch

  • The Israeli bombardment of Gaza continues, with the death toll in retaliatory strikes since Oct. 7 rising to 2,750, according to the Palestinian Ministry of Health.
  • The death toll in Israel from the Hamas attack stands at more than 1,400 people. A total of 290 Israeli soldiers have been killed in the fighting.
  • Israel now says that number of hostages held by Hamas stands at 199.
  • Thirty Americans have been killed in the violence, and 13 remain unaccounted for, the State Department said Sunday.
  • Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken returned to Tel Aviv Monday
  • Blinken promised Sunday that the Rafah crossing between Gaza and Egypt would be opened to allow humanitarian relief through, but as of midday Monday the border crossing remained closed.
  • National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said Sunday that Israel has turned water on to part of Gaza, but on Monday Gaza’s Interior Ministry said there remains no water.
  • Biden: Israeli reoccupation of Gaza would be a “big mistake.”

Busy Day Ahead

  • Jan. 6 case: U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan holds a hearing at 10 a.m. ET in federal court in DC on whether to impose a limited gag order on former President Trump in his Jan. 6 case.
  • Georgia RICO case: The judge holds a hearing Monday on the jury questionnaire to be used in the trial of Kenneth Chesebro and Sidney Powell. The jury pool is expected to report to court on Friday, with jury selection set to start next Monday.
  • NY fraud case: The NY state civil fraud case against Trump, his two adult sons and some of his business entities enters day 10 today.

Rudy G Just Keeps On Losing

The federal judge overseeing the defamation lawsuit against Rudy Giuliani by Georgia election workers Shaye Moss and Ruby Freeman ordered Friday that the jury in the upcoming trial could draw a whole series of negative inferences against Giuliani for his failure to have complied with discovery demands.

What Egypt Allegedly Wanted From Menendez

Reporting by TPM’s Josh Kovensky suggests that the claims of American roller skater April Corley, strafed by the Egyptian military in 2015, really are at the center of the case against Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ).

Jeff Landry Wins Louisiana Governorship

Louisiana flips from a moderate Democratic governor to a dyed-in-the-wool, far-right, Trump-endorsed MAGA governor in the form of Jeff Landry, who won an outright majority in the state’s jungle primary Saturday.

2024 Ephemera

  • Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) played xenophobia card, coming out against accepting refugees from Gaza into the United States: “If you look at how they behave, not all of them are Hamas, but they are all antisemitic.” 
  • The liberal advocacy group Climate Power is planning an $80 million ad campaign to tout Biden’s record on the environment.
  • Pence campaign is saddled with $620,000 in debt.

Sums It All Up

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A Few Updates – House Debacle; US Show of Force; Dismal Forensics

1 … The US House

In the House GOP battle to seat a new Speaker we have a critical development, which captures or perhaps recapitulates the nature of the battle itself. About 5% of the caucus unseated Kevin McCarthy. Then Steve Scalise won the caucus vote to be Speaker. But a good couple dozen members still wouldn’t vote for him and he quickly dropped out. Then Jim Jordan won the vote and faced the identical problem. But Jordan, his recent establishment turn notwithstanding, is of the Trumpist right. So his supporters are taking a different tack. As the Times reports they’re mobilizing a base-focused press campaign, enlisting right wing media and activists, publishing ‘hit lists’ of recalcitrant members’ phone numbers, threatening primary campaigns. As Trumpist capo Russell T. Vought puts it to the Times, with a lot of history to back him up, the ‘moderates’ will fold because they’re soft. They simply don’t have it in them to deny Jordan on the floor of the House the way Jordan’s strongest allies were ready to do it with McCarthy and Scalise.

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SCOTUS Is Helping The Christian Right Undermine The Force Of Anti-Discrimination Law

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation.

When the Supreme Court ruled in 303 Creative v. Elenis in 2023 that a businessperson could not be compelled to create art that violates their religious beliefs – specifically, a wedding website for a same-sex ceremony – supporters of the decision celebrated it as a victory for freedom of religion and expression.

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Exxon, Apple And Other Corporate Giants Will Have To Disclose All Their Emissions Under California’s New Climate Laws

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation.

Many of the world’s largest public and private companies will soon be required to track and report almost all of their greenhouse gas emissions if they do business in California – including emissions from their supply chains, business travel, employees’ commutes and the way customers use their products.

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Maybe This Is Really Going to Happen?

You’re starting to have pretty key members of the House saying the Republicans can’t elect a Speaker. Period. Rep. Steve Womack of Arkansas said last night that the effort is “hopeless” and that they’ll need Democrats help to end the “fiasco.”

“There’s not a person in our conference, not a person in American that can get 217 votes out of this group.”

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We Don’t Talk About Leonard: The Man Behind the Right’s Supreme Court Supermajority

This article was originally published at ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative newsroom.

Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas’ decadeslong friendship with real estate tycoon Harlan Crow and Samuel Alito’s luxury travel with billionaire Paul Singer have raised questions about influence and ethics at the nation’s highest court.

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The State of the Speaker Debacleship Going into the Weekend

Just a short update on doings in the GOP House caucus.

Today was the day for Jim Jordan’s one day Speakership. Jordan hasn’t thrown in the towel, as Scalise did. But if I’m reading things right it’s as over for him as it was for Scalise.

Today, with Scalise out, Jordan scrambled to pull together 217 votes. He failed. At mid-day Rep. Austin Scott of Georgia, who I’d literally never heard of before, decided that he might as well run. So in the afternoon the GOP caucus held another vote and it was Jordan 124 to Scott’s 81. (Needless to say, Scott was functioning as a stand-in for opposition to Jordan.) Jordan then asked for another vote where the question was not whether members supported him but whether they would vote him on the floor of the House since he was the GOP nominee. He got 152 votes — 55 votes short. The House eventually decided they’d put in a hard day’s work and recessed until Monday.

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