California Voters Approve Measure to Offset Damage of Trump’s Red-State Gerrymandering Blitz

In the first substantial blow to the Trump administration’s redistricting power grab in red states across the country, California voters on Tuesday approved a proposal to redraw the state’s congressional district lines. Governor Gavin Newsom and state Democrats pushed the measure to help offset Trump’s nationwide gerrymandering blitz in red states.

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Voters Reject Republican Push for Voter ID and Restricted Vote by Mail in Maine

On Tuesday, Maine voters rejected Question 1, a Republican-backed measure primarily about voter ID, that, if approved, would have restricted absentee voting and ballot access and disenfranchised eligible voters.

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Zohran Mamdani Easily Wins the NYC Mayoral Race. What Comes Next?

By electing Zohran Mamdani, New Yorkers have just launched one of the most high-profile experiments on the future of the Democratic Party and its opposition to Donald Trump. Mamdani, who won a clear-cut victory, is a young Democratic Socialist who vaulted from relative obscurity in the state legislature to City Hall in the span of about a year, thanks to an ambitious policy agenda and a relentless digital offensive tailor-made for the age of TikTok and Instagram.

The Associated Press called the race at 9:34 p.m. ET, with Mamdani pulling in 50.4% of the vote ahead of former Gov. Andrew Cuomo with 41.3% and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa with 7.5%.

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DC Conventional Wisdom Goes Down to Defeat in State after State

Elections are hard to predict. But even with that, some of the notional “surprises” we’re seeing tonight are less surprises than a measure of GOP dominance over current press narratives. People were looking for an upset in New Jersey. Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin speculated that New Jersey might be moving toward becoming the next swing state. In fact, Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D) currently appears on track to crush Republican Jack Ciattarelli. A similar failure of conventional wisdom appears to be unfolding in the Virginia Attorney General’s race. A lot of D.C. insiders had convinced themselves that a controversy over some intemperate texts (not nothing but fairly close to it) had doomed his campaign. As recently as a couple days ago, betting markets (which are proxies for conventional wisdom) gave his opponent Jason Miyares 3-to-1 odds of victory. Jones now appears on his way to a clear though not resounding victory with a 3-to-4 percentage point margin.

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Mikie Sherrill Demolishes Trump-Backed Jack Ciattarelli in New Jersey Governor Race

Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D) is projected to win a decisive victory against Jack Ciattarelli (R) in New Jersey’s race for governor, one of two closely-watched gubernatorial contests this year. The win leaves Democrats two for two after Abigail Spanberger won her race in Virginia earlier Tuesday evening.

The AP called the race at 9:23 p.m. ET. With 61% of the vote counted, Sherrill led Ciattarelli 56.9% to 42.5%.

Sherrill, a former Navy pilot and assistant U.S. attorney, was only slightly favored in the polls ahead of Election Day — worrying Democrats in what is normally considered a comfortably blue state. The consistent Democratic outcome in presidential contests has not always held true in gubernatorial elections, however: Drumthwacket, the governor’s mansion, has stayed in a single party’s hands for no more than two terms since the 1960s. That pattern has now been broken.

Ciattarelli, a businessman and former state legislator, has run for governor — and, now, lost — three times, and in 2021 came too close to defeating current Governor Phil Murphy for many Democrats’ comfort. 

His career tracks that of many once-moderate Republicans. A state and local politician from central New Jersey, he once derided Trump as “a charlatan who is out of step with American values” and “not fit to be President of the United States.” 

“Sitting silently and allowing him to embarrass our country is unacceptable,” he said in 2015

Ciattarelli shifted slowly over the last decade. Running again in 2021, in the wake of Jan. 6, he sought to largely avoid the topic of the then-former president. “I do think Trump’s rhetoric is what led to the riot that took place,” he said during a debate. Ciattarelli lost to Murphy 51 to 48, a strong showing that was among the biggest surprises in U.S. politics that year. 

The politics of 2025 are very different, with Trump again in the White House. And Ciattarelli was different too. This year, he fully embraced Trump. Asked to explain the shift, he applauded Trump’s second administration — it deserved an “A” grade, he said — and shrugged off his change of heart with a gesture toward JD Vance, whose comparison of Trump to Adolf Hitler does in fact make such insults as “charlatan” appear tame. 

“JD Vance said things a whole lot worse,” Ciattarelli said. “And today he’s the vice president.”

Trump, too, has let bygones be bygones. He endorsed Ciattarelli in the Republican primary and has campaigned for him, holding events and working him into various Truth Social missives. “Jack Ciattarelli is a good man, who understands business, and who will bring down Energy, and other costs, by 50%, and even more,” he declared in one post, denouncing “the unusually named Mikie.” Trump continued campaigning for Ciattarelli through the afternoon of Election Day.

Democrats can, now, breathe a sigh of relief that 2021’s squeaker will not be repeated. The race will inevitably be interpreted as a rebuke to the president via a candidate who bear-hugged him.

Executive branch chaos intruded into the race during a bizarre September episode in which the National Archives and Records Administration (NARA) released Sherrill’s almost entirely unredacted military record, including her Social Security number, to a Ciattarelli campaign ally as Republicans’ dug for oppo research. NARA told CBS News, which broke the story, that the release was inadvertent, and that a technician at the National Personnel Records Center did not follow standard operating procedures. Democrats on the House Oversight Committee called for an investigation, which the acting inspector general for NARA opened that month.

Democrat Abigail Spanberger Cruises to Victory in Virginia Governor Race

Democrat Abigail Spanberger is projected to become the next governor of Virginia, securing a resounding win for her party in one of the most closely-watched races of 2025. The win will help Virginia Democrats move ahead with a plan to redraw congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterms, an attempt to counter GOP redistricting efforts in red states.

The Associated Press called the race at 7:59 pm ET, just an hour after polls closed, with 54.9% of the vote for Spanberger and 44.9% for her Republican opponent, Winsome Earle-Sears.

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Time Capsule: Our Dick Cheney Obituary … From 2012

Editor’s Note: I mentioned in today’s Morning Memo that while TPM doesn’t do obituaries, we had for years a draft of one in the can for Dick Cheney. He was too central of a figure in the early years of TPM not to have something substantive to say upon his death. In the end, Cheney managed to outlive our meager draft.

I went looking for it when the first alert of his death hit my phone early this morning. I soon got a text from former TPMer Brian Beutler: “Welp that Cheney obit I pre-filed to you ~15 years ago is finally good to go!”

Unable to find it immediately, I enlisted the help of our tech guru Matt Wozniak, and in a dusty old CMS covered in cobwebs, he found it.

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Trump Says He’ll Defy Court Order, Withhold SNAP Until Dems Drop Demands and Reopen Gov’t

President Donald Trump said on Tuesday SNAP benefits will not go out to the nearly 42 million Americans who rely on the nutrition program until Democrats vote to open the federal government — despite an order from a federal judge that the administration must fund the program during the shutdown.

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What We Lost When Condé Nast Unceremoniously Shuttered Teen Vogue 

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. 

If you just skimmed the press release, you wouldn’t really get the scale of it. On Monday, Vogue.com announced that Teen Vogue would be folded into its parent publication — part of a “transition, in which Teen Vogue will keep its unique editorial identity and mission.” 

That’s Condé Nast-ese for “we’re laying off nearly the entire team and stripping the publication for parts.”  

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