The Democrats’ Secret Weapon

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis.

The Democrats have a secret weapon in their effort to defeat Donald Trump. At least 26 former top Trump administration officials — including Cabinet members and his Vice President — have said that Trump is unfit to be president. They’ve expressed their concerns about his character, his leadership, his impulsiveness, and his narcissism, among other traits. The opposition from so many former close aides is unprecedented in the annals of American politics.

As the campaign moves into its crucial final months after a tumultuous and history-making summer, the Democrats should keep these statements in heavy rotation, resurfacing video clips and newspaper headlines about the critiques these one-time Trump allies have made of their former boss. These insiders are as well positioned as anyone to remind voters about Trump’s personal and political flaws.

An even more dramatic scenario — perhaps outside of Democrats’ ability to effectuate — would see some of these one-time Trump allies come together to issue a joint statement, or even hold a joint press conference, affirming their opposition to the former president. They don’t even have to say they’ll vote for Kamala Harris. They simply have to remind American voters about their serious concerns about the Republican candidate for president.

Vice President Mike Pence

In an interview with the Washington Post in March, former vice president Pence, once one of Trump’s most loyal defenders, said that he would not endorse Trump. Referring to Trump’s approach to Russia, China, and other issues, Pence told Fox News that “Donald Trump is pursuing and articulating an agenda that is at odds with the conservative agenda that we governed on during our four years, and that is why I cannot in good conscience endorse Donald Trump in this campaign.”

Trump pressured Pence to prevent Biden from becoming president as Congress affirmed the Electoral College ballots. Pence insisted that he had no power to do so. At that point, during the January 6, 2021 attack on the Capitol building, Trump remained silent while rioters chanted “Hang Mike Pence.” Pence had to flee the Senate chamber.  

“The American people deserve to know that President Trump asked me to put him over my oath to the Constitution,” Pence said in his interview with Fox News. “Anyone who puts himself over the Constitution should never be president of the United States.”

James Mattis, Defense Secretary

In December 2018, Mattis wrote a scathing resignation letter, noting that he did not support Trump’s views, including the president’s plans to withdraw troops from Syria. Mattis said he resigned after “concrete solutions and strategic advice, especially keeping faith with our allies, no longer resonated.”

In June 2020, Mattis expressed even harsher criticism, focusing on Trump’s handling of demonstrations in the wake of George Floyd’s death.

He called Trump “the first president in my lifetime who does not try to unite the American people.”

“The words ‘Equal Justice Under Law’ are carved in the pediment of the United States Supreme Court,” Mattis wrote. “This is precisely what protesters are rightly demanding. It is a wholesome and unifying demand—one that all of us should be able to get behind.”

“We are witnessing the consequences of three years of this deliberate effort. We are witnessing the consequences of three years without mature leadership,” Mattis continued. “We can unite without him, drawing on the strengths inherent in our civil society. This will not be easy, as the past few days have shown, but we owe it to our fellow citizens; to past generations that bled to defend our promise; and to our children,” he wrote.

“We must reject and hold accountable those in office who would make a mockery of our Constitution,” Mattis said.

After the January 6, 2021 insurrection, Mattis accused Trump of using his position to “destroy trust in our election and to poison our respect for fellow citizens.”

Mark Esper, Defense Secretary

In July 2023, Esper, another former Trump Defense Secretary, told CNN that Trump is not “fit for office because he puts himself first, and I think anybody running for office should put the country first.”

That was not the first time that he expressed criticisms of his former boss. In May 2022, Esper told MSNBC that the Republican Party had to find a different leader.

“Any elected official needs to meet some basic criteria: They need to be able to put country over self. They need to have a certain level of integrity and principle,” Esper said. “They need to be able to reach across the aisle and bring people together and unite the country.” He observed: “Donald Trump doesn’t meet those marks for me.”

In his 2022 memoir “A Sacred Oath,” Esper called Trump’s decision to skip Biden’s swearing-in “a final act of petulance” that “tarnished our democracy.” He wrote that Trump is “unprincipled,” “petty,” “dangerous,” and prone to “outright fabrications.”

In March of this year, he told HBO’s Bill Maher that “there’s no way” he would support Trump in November because he believes the former president “is a threat to democracy.”

“I think he’s unfit for office,” he said in another interview. “He puts himself before country. His actions are all about him and not about the country. And then, of course, I believe he has integrity and character issues as well.”

While serving as Defense Secretary, Esper clashed with Trump over several matters, including Trump’s eagerness to deploy military troops to respond to civil unrest after the murder of George Floyd. Trump fired Esper shortly after the 2020 election.

Mark Milley, chair, Joint Chiefs of Staff

Milley, a retired Army general, served as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff from October 1, 2019, to September 30, 2023. “We don’t take an oath to a wannabe dictator,” Milley warned in his farewell speech, clearly referring to Trump. “We take an oath to the Constitution and we take an oath to the idea that is America — and we’re willing to die to protect it.”

Milley’s speech occurred days after Trump suggested that Milley, the nation’s top military officer, should be put to death over reports that, while Trump was in office, Milley had contacted his Chinese counterpart to assure him that the U.S. was not preparing to attack. On social media, Trump wrote that, “This is an act so egregious that, in times gone by, the punishment would have been DEATH!”

Milley had long been concerned that Trump had inappropriately used the military for his own political ends.

On June 1, 2020, amid nationwide protests over the killing of George Floyd by a Minneapolis police officer, Trump summoned Milley and other top administration officials to walk with him from the White House to St. John’s Episcopal Church, where Trump held up a Bible and posed for a photo in front of the church’s parish house, which had been damaged by a fire set during the protests the night before.

Milley was still wearing combat fatigues from a previous event. Once he realized that Trump was using him as a political pawn, Milley quickly left before they reached the church. He told Defense Secretary Mike Esper, who had also been summoned to accompany Trump, that he felt “sick” and was “fucking done with this shit.”

Milley considered resigning over the incident, even drafting a very critical resignation letter to Trump, noting that “You are using the military to create fear in the minds of the people” and that the president was “doing irreparable harm to the nation.” Although Milley decided not to send it, he publicly apologized for his presence on the walk which could have created a perception of military involvement in domestic politics. The letter was later published in 2022. 

After Trump lost the 2020 election, Milley held informal talks with his deputies about his fears that Trump would try to unlawfully remain in office. He told them, “They may try, but they’re not going to fucking succeed. You can’t do this without the military. You can’t do this without the CIA and the FBI. We’re the guys with the guns.”

According to reports, Milley called Trump’s efforts to overturn the election a “Reichstag moment,” referring to the Nazis’ suspension of civil liberties in Germany. Milley called Trump’s false statements about election fraud “the gospel of the Fuhrer.” Prior to Joe Biden’s inauguration, Milley met with police and military officials, warning, “Everyone in this room, whether you’re a cop, whether you’re a soldier, we’re going to stop these guys to make sure we have a peaceful transfer of power. We’re going to put a ring of steel around this city and the Nazis aren’t getting in.”

On January 12, 2021, Milley and the Joint Chiefs of Staff issued a statement condemning the insurrection at the Capitol carried out by Trump’s supporters, observing that members of the military have an obligation to defend the Constitution and reject extremism.

John Kelly, White House chief of staff

Kelly, who served as chief of staff from 2017 to 2019, has been one of Trump’s most vocal detractors. He advocated against a second Trump term.

“What’s going on in the country that a single person thinks this guy would still be a good president when he’s said the things he’s said and done the things he’s done?” Kelly, a retired Marine Corps four-star general, told the Washington Post. “It’s beyond my comprehension he has the support he has.”

Kelly told CNN that Trump “admires autocrats and murderous dictators” and “has nothing but contempt for our democratic institutions, our Constitution, and the rule of law.”

Rex Tillerson, Secretary of State

Almost from the time he joined the Trump administration as its first Secretary of State, Tillerson clashed with the president, and within a year he was on the verge of resigning. In July 2017, news stories reported that Tillerson had referred to Trump as a “moron.” He did not deny using that term, simply saying, “I’m not going to deal with petty stuff like that.”

Trump fired Tillerson in March 2018 and replaced him with then-CIA Director Mike Pompeo. 

In an interview with Foreign Affairs magazine, Tillerson recounted that Trump’s “understanding of global events, his understanding of global history, his understanding of U.S. history was really limited.” He said, “It’s really hard to have a conversation with someone who doesn’t even understand the concept for why we’re talking about this.”

In 2018, Tillerson also called Trump “undisciplined” and said that Trump would ask him to do things he didn’t understand were a violation of the law.

“When the President would say, ‘Here’s what I want to do and here’s how I want to do it.’ And I’d have to say to him, ‘Well Mr. President, I understand what you want to do, but you can’t do it that way. It violates the law. It violates treaty,’” Tillerson said.

Tillerson added: “He got really frustrated … I think he grew tired of me being the guy every day that told him you can’t do that and let’s talk about what we can do.”

Tillerson also publicly criticized Trump for trying to get Ukraine’s president to undertake an investigation of Joe Biden’s son Hunter as a condition of getting U.S. military aid. Tillerson said that “clearly asking for personal favors and using United States assets as collateral is wrong.”

John Bolton, National Security Adviser

In a 2022 interview, Bolton observed that “the central point that is clear throughout his tenure as president is that it was always all about Donald Trump, and, for him, the only norm that matters is, ‘Does this benefit me?’”

In January, Bolton, a fixture in Republican foreign policy circles who was Trump’s national security adviser from 2018 to 2019 after serving as UN Ambassador, told CNN: “I think they think — Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong Un, and others — they think he’s a laughing fool. And they’re fully prepared to take advantage of him. Trump’s self-absorption makes it impossible for him to understand that.”

In his 2020 book, The Room Where It Happened: A White House Memoir, Bolton described Trump’s “inconsistent, scattershot decision-making” driven by “reelection calculations” rather than national security. He wrote that Trump directed him to help pressure Ukraine to dig up dirt on Democrats. He claimed that Trump also directed him to set up a meeting between Ukraine president Volodymyr Zelensky, and Trump’s lawyer, Rudy Giuliani.

Trump fired Bolton in September 2019.

Bolton has repeatedly said that he won’t vote for Trump but will work to secure a Republican Senate.

H. R. McMaster, National Security Adviser

In October 2019, as Trump faced impeachment over his actions in Ukraine, a reporter asked his former national security advisor if it is appropriate for a president to solicit foreign interference in the U.S. political process.

“No, it’s absolutely not,” McMaster said.

Soon after the January 6, 2021 insurrection, McMaster told CNN’s Jake Tapper that Trump had incited the riot through “sustained disinformation… spreading these unfounded conspiracy theories.” He accused Trump of “anti-leadership” and “undermining rule of law.”

“We saw the absence of leadership, really anti-leadership, and what that can do to our country.”

Tom Bossert, Homeland Security adviser

Trump’s first Homeland Security advisor, Bossert, told ABC’s “This Week” that he was “deeply disturbed” by Trump’s call with the Ukrainian President. Bossert said that he had told Trump there was no basis for the idea that Ukraine intervened to help Democrats in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, a conspiracy theory that Trump embraced.  

Bossert also criticized Trump for not wearing a face mask in public amid the coronavirus pandemic.

“Do as I say, not as I do isn’t very useful,” Bossert told “This Week.”

Bossert agreed with other former Trump officials who condemned the former president’s role in inciting the insurrection.

“This is beyond wrong and illegal. It’s un-American,” Bossert tweeted. “The President undermined American democracy baselessly for months. As a result, he’s culpable for this siege, and an utter disgrace.”

Richard Spencer, Secretary of the Navy

Spencer harshly criticized Trump’s intervention in a war crimes case, calling his actions “shocking and unprecedented.”

The controversy involved Navy SEAL Eddie Gallagher, who was charged with multiple war crimes, including premeditated murder, before being convicted of a single lesser charge after posing next to a dead ISIS fighter’s body, which is against regulations. In November 2019, Trump reversed Gallagher’s demotion and pardoned two other service members also accused of war crimes. He also tweeted that he wouldn’t let the Navy kick Gallagher out of the Seals. These actions angered military leaders, who had warned Trump that his decisions could undermine military order and discipline, damage the integrity of the military justice system, and erode the confidence of American allies who host U.S. troops.  

Spencer was fired for trying to resolve the disagreement over Gallagher’s fate between the Pentagon and the White House.

In a Washington Post op-ed, Spencer wrote that Trump’s interference in the Gallagher case was “a reminder that the president has very little understanding of what it means to be in the military, to fight ethically or to be governed by a uniform set of rules and practices.”

Mick Mulvaney, White House Chief of Staff

Mulvaney resigned as Trump’s special envoy to Ireland after January 6, 2021 because “I think he failed at being the president when we needed him to be that.”

Mulvaney, a former congressman from South Carolina, had earlier served of Trump’s director of the Office of Management and Budget, director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and chief of staff.

Last year, he told NBC News that he didn’t want Trump to win the GOP nomination again. “I’m working hard to make sure that someone else is the nominee,” he said.

Matthew Pottinger, Deputy National Security Advisor 

Like Mulvaney and other Trump administration officials, Pottinger resigned after the January 6 insurrection, leaving the White House the next morning.

A former Marine Corps officer, Pottinger was one of Trump’s longest-serving senior aides, joining the administration in 2017 as Asia director on the National Security Council before taking the deputy security advisor position.

In testimony before Congress, Pottinger said that on the afternoon of January 6 he urged chief of staff Mark Meadows to persuade Trump to ask the rioters to leave. Pottinger testified that he decided to resign when he saw Trump’s 2:24 p.m. tweet deriding Pence.

“I simply didn’t want to be associated with the events that were unfolding at the Capitol,” he said, noting that Trump’s tweet added “fuel to the fire.”

In March 2023 he told the Washington Post that he wouldn’t support Trump’s bid for a second term. He said “I’m likely to support other candidates this time around.” 

Gary Cohn, director, National Economic Council

Cohn served as Trump’s chief economic advisor and director of the National Economic Council from 2017 to 2018. Before joining Trump’s team, he worked for 25 years at Goldman Sachs, rising to become its president and chief operations officer.

Cohn considered resigning over Trump’s response to the white supremacist rally in Charlottesville, Virginia in 2017. He was appalled when Trump said that there were “good people” on “both sides” of the protests. Cohn publicly said “this administration can and must do better in consistently and unequivocally condemning” white nationalists, noting “Citizens standing up for equality and freedom can never be equated with white supremacists, neo-Nazis, and the KKK.”

The following March, Cohn did resign, after Trump announced a plan to impose import tariffs on steel and aluminum against his advice.

After he resigned, Cohn told CNN that he was “concerned” there was no one left in Trump’s staff to stand up to him and tell him what he didn’t want to hear.

“We had an interesting nucleus of people when I was in the White House — the initial team. We were not bashful. It was a group that was willing to tell the President what he needed to know, whether he wanted to hear it or not,” Cohn said. “None of us are there any more. So I am concerned that the atmosphere in the White House is no longer conducive, or no one has the personality to stand up and tell the President what he doesn’t want to hear,” he said.

Sarah Matthews, deputy White House press secretary

Matthews supported Nikki Haley in the Republican primaries. In February, she told the Washington Post that if her choice was between Trump and Joe Biden, she’d vote for Biden.

“We can survive bad policy from a second Biden administration,” Matthews said, “but I don’t think we can survive a second Trump term, in terms of our democracy.”

Matthews witnessed Trump staffers trying, without success, to get the president to condemn the January 6 violence.

“In my eyes, it was a complete dereliction of duty that he did not uphold his oath of office,” she told USA TODAY. “I lost all faith in him that day.”

She resigned from her job and later testified before the House select committee investigating the January 6 attack. 

Trump’s “continuation of pushing this lie that the election is stolen has made him wholly unfit to hold office every again,” Matthews said.

“We saw he didn’t go along with the peaceful transfer of power the first time,” she told Congress. “What makes you think he would go along with it if he were elected to a second term and he would be willing to leave office?”

Stephanie Grisham, White House press secretary

Grisham, who served as Trump’s press secretary and as Melania Trump’s chief of staff, said she’d be willing to help prepare Biden for a debate with her one-time boss.

“I am terrified of him running in 2024,” she told ABC News in 2021.

Grisham, who resigned after the January 6 riot, said that Trump isn’t “fit for the job,” observing: “I think that he is erratic. I think that he can be delusional. I think that he is a narcissist and cares about himself first and foremost. And I do not want him to be our president again.”

Alyssa Farah Griffin, director of strategic communications

Griffin, who served as Trump’s White House communication director, told The Post earlier this year that Trump “is a threat to democracy, and I will never support him.”

“Fundamentally, a second Trump term could mean the end of American democracy as we know it, and I don’t say that lightly,” Griffin told ABC in December.

Anthony Scaramucci, White House communications director

Scaramucci called Trump “the domestic terrorist of the 21st century.”

He lasted less than two weeks in his White House job, fired for a number of gaffes that embarrassed Trump. After he was let go, Scaramucci continued to defend Trump until the president visited El Paso, Texas, and Dayton, Ohio, following two mass shootings. He called Trump’s remarks a “catastrophe,” and said they “divide the country in a way that is unacceptable.” He later called Trump’s attacks on four congresswomen of color “racist and unacceptable.” He has refused to support Trump for re-election.

Cassidy Hutchinson, White House aide

“I will say my door is completely shut to voting for Donald Trump,”  said Hutchinson, a top aide to White House chief of staff Mark Meadows, in an interview with MSNBC.

“I think that Donald Trump is the most grave threat we will face to our democracy in our lifetime, and potentially in American history,” she told CNN’s Jake Tapper last year.

Ty Cobb, White House attorney

Trump “has never cared about America, its citizens, its future or anything but himself,” wrote Cobb, Trump’s White House counsel, in an email to The Washington Post last year. “In fact, as history well shows from his divisive lies, as well as from his unrestrained contempt for the rule of law and his related crimes, his conduct and mere existence have hastened the demise of democracy and of the nation.”

If Trump is re-elected, “the consequences will extinguish what, if anything, remains of the American Dream,” Cobb wrote. He told the Post that he would vote for Biden.

Omarosa Manigault Newman, director of communications for the White House Office of Public Liaison

Newman claimed she was fired because she knew too much about a possible audio recording of Trump saying a racial epithet.

In her book, “Unhinged: An Insider Account of the Trump White House,” Newman added other harsh criticisms of her former boss. “Donald Trump, who would attack civil rights icons and professional athletes, who would go after grieving black widows, who would say there were good people on both sides, who endorsed an accused child molester; Donald Trump, and his decisions and his behavior, was harming the country. I could no longer be a part of this madness,” she wrote in her book.

Elaine Chao, Secretary of Transportation

Chao, a wealthy businesswoman who served in George W. Bush’s cabinet and then was Trump’s transportation secretary for his entire term, resigned after the January 6 insurrection: “At a particular point the events were such that it was impossible for me to continue, given my personal values and my philosophy.

Chao, who is married to Senate GOP leader Mitch McConnell, said the violent attack on the Capitol “has deeply troubled me in a way that I simply cannot set aside.”

Betsy DeVos, Secretary of Education.

DeVos, a major donor to conservative causes and politicians who Trump tapped to be his Secretary of Education, also resigned after the January 6 insurrection.

“When I saw what was happening on January 6 and didn’t see the president step in and do what he could have done to turn it back or slow it down or really address the situation,” she said in an interview with USA Today, “it was just obvious to me that I couldn’t continue.”

Chris Christie, Vice Chair, Trump transition team

The former New Jersey governor, who was vice chair of Trump’s transition team in 2016 and then ran against him in the 2024 GOP primaries, called Trump a “coward” and a “puppet of Putin.” Trump is “just out for himself,” Christie told CNN last September.

Trump is “the cheapest S.O.B. I’ve ever met in my life,” Christie told Politico in June 2023. “This is a billionaire who refused to pay his lawyers with his own personal money, and instead, men and women out there who believe in him and wanted [him] to be elected president are donating money to try to forward his candidacy … and he’s diverting that money to pay his own legal fees.”

Jeff Sessions, Attorney General

Several of Trump’s one-time harshest critics — including Senators Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, and Lindsey Graham, and the GOP’s current Vice Presidential candidate JD Vance — flip-flopped and fell in line with the MAGA movement. Three of Trump’s most high-profile Cabinet members — Attorneys General Jeff Sessions and William Barr, along with UN Ambassador Nikki Haley — followed the same path, lambasting Trump after they left the administration, then crawled back to kiss Trump’s ring when it was clear that he’d be the GOP’s nominee for president this year.

Alabama’s Sessions was the first U.S. Senator to endorse Trump in 2016. Trump appointed him Attorney General and on almost every issue, Sessions was a loyal servant, doing Trump’s bidding. But in 2017, Trump asked Sessions to stop the FBI’s investigation into Russia’s interference on behalf of Trump in the 2016 election.

Sessions refused to do so, recusing himself from any involvement in the investigation, in part because he had met with Russian officials on Trump’s behalf during the election.

That triggered months of public and private conflict between Trump and Sessions. On November 7, 2018, Sessions resigned at Trump’s request.

Sessions ran in the 2020 Senate election in Alabama to reclaim his former seat. During that race, Trump continued to slam Sessions for recusing himself and endorsed his Republican primary opponent, Tommy Tuberville, who won the primary and the general election.

“Look, I know your anger, but recusal was required by law. I did my duty & you’re damn fortunate I did. It protected the rule of law & resulted in your exoneration,” Sessions tweeted during the Senate race. “Your personal feelings don’t dictate who Alabama picks as their senator, the people of Alabama do.”

In July, Sessions told the Post he would again support his former boss.  “I do plan to support President Trump,” he said when contacted by a reporter.

William Barr, Attorney General

In June 2023, in a CBS interview, Barr called Trump a “consummate narcissist” who “constantly engages in reckless conduct that puts his political followers at risk and the conservative and Republican agenda at risk.” Two months later he told CNN, “I don’t think he should be near the Oval Office.” He also said “Voting for Trump is playing Russian roulette with the country,” according to Axios’s Mike Allen. Barr told NBC News that, “I have made clear that I strongly oppose Trump for the nomination and will not endorse Trump,” but he later said that “it’s inconceivable to me that I wouldn’t vote for the Republican nominee.”

While serving as AG, Barr defended Trump’s actions as president while, he said, privately and repeatedly telling his boss that he had lost and that election fraud was not a serious problem. After he left the administration, he said that Trump’s indictment over the January 6, 2021 insurrection was fair and said that the Justice Department had a “legitimate case” against Trump.

Nikki Haley, U.N. ambassador

Haley, who served as Trump’s U.N. ambassador, was very critical of him before and as she ran against him in the GOP primaries this year. She was Trump’s last major challenger before she dropped out of the race in early March.

In January, while campaigning in Iowa, Haley said the United States would not “survive” another four years of Trump. “The reality is, rightly or wrongly, chaos follows him, and we all know that’s true,” she said. “We can’t have a country in disarray and a world on fire and go through four more years of chaos. We won’t survive it.”

During her campaign for the GOP nomination, Haley called Trump “toxic,” “unhinged” and lacking “moral clarity.” Criticizing Trump’s lack of military service, Haley said, “The closest he’s come to harm’s way is a golf ball hitting him on a golf cart.”

“Someone who continually disrespects the sacrifices of military families has no business being commander in chief,” said Haley after Trump mocked Haley’s husband, who was overseas on a military deployment.

Soon after the January 6 riot, Haley said that “A terrible thing happened on January 6 and he [Trump] called it a beautiful day.” Haley said that Trump’s “actions since Election Day will be judged harshly by history.” She told Politico, “he went down a path he shouldn’t have, and we shouldn’t have followed him, and we shouldn’t have listened to him. And we can’t let that ever happen again.” 

But in May, after suspending her campaign, Haley said she would vote for Trump, and then spoke at the Republican convention enthusiastically supporting him.

A Miscellany of Observations

  • No way of getting around this: What we’re now seeing in the campaign is at the very outer bounds of what I thought was possible with a Biden-to-Harris switch. We’re now looking at a four-to-five point move in Harris’ direction over just two weeks. My bullish scenario was Harris resetting the campaign to the status quo ante before the big debate — at which point Biden was not in a bad position but was clearly if slightly behind. From there, a more dynamic Harris campaign uses the remaining three months of the campaign to battle its way into a lead. That’s not what we’re seeing. Harris is holding all of Biden’s strength in the Blue Wall states, adding to it and then also moving the southern tier states into contention. Her current popular vote margin is moving into the range a Democrat needs to win the election.
Continue reading “A Miscellany of Observations”

Sounds Like There Were More Harlan Crow Flights

As part of his committee’s investigation into the friendly relationship between conservative megadonor Harlan Crow and Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, Senate Finance Committee Chair Ron Wyden (D-OR) revealed in a letter on Monday yet another unreported instance of luxury travel that, it appears, Crow gifted Thomas.

Continue reading “Sounds Like There Were More Harlan Crow Flights”

Our Whole Community – No One Left Behind

As we move into the third week of this year’s annual TPM Journalism Fund drive, I wanted to remind you of one thing the Fund does. Your membership fees account for the overwhelming percentage of our revenues. But we also give free memberships to readers in financial need (part of our program since we introduced membership in 2012) as well as all registered students, full-time or part-time (since 2017). Your contribution to the TPM Journalism Fund is what makes those no-cost Community Memberships and Student Memberships possible. It’s how we square the circle of funding our operation through member fees while not excluding people whose finances may be under strain. Our annual TPM Journalism Fund drive is critical to keeping TPM vital and moving forward. But our free membership program is one key part of that. If you’d like to help us fund these memberships and keep TPM strong and vital, please consider contributing to the drive by clicking here.

In It Together

This note from TPM Reader MW made my day …

I was reading Josh’s post about No One Left Behind. My wife (now deceased) and I have benefited from your program for a long time. This is something I am very grateful for. It isn’t that we could not get good news somewhere else. It is very much about the quality, the people involved in making it work, the connection you have with the readers, the fellowship between the readers, and even something beyond all of that. The dream Josh and you all have brought forward with this project is infectious. 

When I mentioned this before to Josh I am not sure he understood how or why readers would become so involved with what TPM is. TPM is inclusive of all people and not just members. That is the best part. But the quality and drive behind the reporting is unmatched in my opinion. And that certainly is not just my opinion. I am sure since then that others have said the same thing. I think you all realize you have a lot of people cheering you on and if you don’t you should.

Continue reading “In It Together”

Annals of Fed Misses

It’s not easy running the Fed. For years Jerome Powell got a lot of credit for navigating the U.S. economy with an unexpectedly loose monetary policy, through the COVID crisis and with a lot of “soft landing” credit during the Biden years. But through 2024 there’s been a backdraft of criticism that, having waited a bit too long to react to the inflation surge, he’s now holding the brakes too long, even after inflation has fallen pretty close to the central bank’s target rate. Last Friday’s jobs report was interpreted as providing key evidence that the Fed had in fact waited too long and that the U.S. economy now faced a real risk of recession. Today there’s a big market sell-off apparently kicked off by fears of slowing U.S. growth.

A couple quick thoughts on this.

Continue reading “Annals of Fed Misses”

Judge Chutkan Has Trump’s Jan. 6 Case Back And Is Ready To Roll

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

What SCOTUS Hath Wrought

After its ponderous sojourn at the Supreme Court, the Jan. 6 case against Donald Trump was officially returned Friday to U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan in Washington, D.C., and she immediately picked it back up again and started moving it forward.

Among her initial actions, notably undertaken over the weekend, Chutkan:

  1. set a Friday, Aug. 9 deadline for the parties to submit a proposed scheduling order for pretrial proceedings;
  2. set a status conference for next Friday, Aug. 16,
  3. denied a pending Trump motion to dismiss the case on statutory grounds, but gave him the chance to re-up it once the immunity questions in the case are resolved.
  4. denied a pending Trump motion to dismiss the case on the grounds of selective and vindictive prosecution.

And just like that, the case was up and running again. But don’t hold your breath that this will go to trial before the election. Time is simply too short at this point.

The elephant in the room is the Supreme Court’s expansive ruling in this very case on presidential immunity, how much that narrows the indictment, what kind of evidentiary hearings Chutkan needs to address presidential immunity, and the still-unknown ways in which the high court’s unprecedented ruling effects this and the other Trump prosecutions.

Hanging over all of that will be at least one more trip to the Supreme Court to give it a chance to weigh in on whether Chutkan properly jumped through all the hoops it has put in her way. Again, there’s no way for all this to happen before Election Day.

In her order denying Trump’s motion to dismiss for selective and vindictive prosecution, Chutkan used some of the same direct and no-nonsense language that had marked her earlier handling of the case:

At the outset, the court must address—as it has before—Defendant’s improper reframing of the allegations against him. … At this stage, the court cannot accept Defendant’s alternate narrative.

Chutkan went on to find that most of Trump’s arguments were speculative or conclusory and that he “proffered no meaningful evidence” that would justify a hearing on his motion to allow him to try to develop a factual record.

Under Chutkan’s scheduling order, we may get legal fireworks right off the bat. Don’t expect the parties to come to any kind of substantive agreement on a pretrial schedule; the parties are too far apart, so Chutkan will likely have to weigh in there. But we’ll get our first taste of the legal posture Trump will be taking in this case, knowing the Supreme Court has his back.

Rudy G Officially Booted From Bankruptcy Court

Rudy Giuliani’s attempt to use the bankruptcy process – but not actually comply with it – to avoid creditors like Georgia election workers Ruby Freeman and Shaye Moss has failed. Giuliani, in addition to his pre-existing debt, is now also on the hook for $100,000 in professional fees arising from the now-dismissed bankruptcy case. His Upper East Side apartment and his Florida condo are now at risk of sale to satisfy that obligation, though apparently not immediately.

On The Trail

  • Trump pulls out of presidential debate: Donald Trump reneged on his commitment to a second presidential debate rather than face new Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. Trump proposed instead a debate hosted by Fox News in front of an arena audience, to which Harris responded: “It’s interesting how ‘any time, any place’ becomes ‘one specific time, one specific safe space.'”
  • News coverage fail: Some outlets failed to grasp the real dynamic of Trump’s debate withdrawal, but none more egregiously than the NYT, which later revised its headline.
  • Trump v. Kemp: While on a Georgia campaign swing, the former president reactivated his long-running feud with Gov. Brian Kemp (R-GA) at the very moment Kamala Harris may have put the state back in play for November.
  • All Dem Hands On Deck: Harris campaign brings aboard former Obama campaign manager David Plouffe and veteran Democratic operatives Stephanie Cutter and Jennifer Palmieri.

Veep Watch

  • Kamala Harris’ announcement of her decision on a running mate is imminent, with a video announcement reportedly expected Tuesday ahead of a planned rally in Philadelphia that will be the Democratic ticket’s first joint appearance.
  • Harris met in person Sunday at the vice president’s residence at the Naval Observatory in DC with three contenders for the veep nod: Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ), Gov. Josh Shapiro (D-PA) and Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN). She spoke with other contenders, but not in person.
  • Harris was briefed Saturday by former Attorney General Eric Holder on the results of the process he led of vetting the veep contenders.

‘Our Own Democracy Is Being Tested’

Bloomberg: DOJ Boosts Effort to Avoid Election Mayhem

Trump Shooting Watch

WaPo: Radio traffic shows failed search for Trump rally shooter

Be Careful?

Promoting a new book, Supreme Court Justice Neil Gorsuch was asked on Fox News about President Biden’s proposal to reform the high court: “I just say: Be careful,” he warned.

Trump Congratulates Putin On ‘Great’ Hostage Swap

After promising that only he could free WSJ reporter Evan Gershkovich from an unlawful Russian detention, Donald Trump spent the weekend dumping on the deal Biden struck for Gershkovich’s release.

WTF?

A truly stunning turn of events in the case against the alleged 9/11 plotters held at Guantanamo: Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin abruptly canceled the plea agreement reached only two days earlier and reserved to himself the power to oversee the case. The NYT provides a limited tick-tock of the dramatic reversal.

Among the biggest questions, and there are many, are:

  1. How could there be such a colossal breakdown in communications and decision-making in the highest profile detainee cases the Pentagon has ever handled?
  2. How did a plea agreement get struck in the first place in such a monumental case without sign-off from the highest levels of the Pentagon?
  3. What possessed the defense secretary to renege on the plea agreement and undermine the entire process, apparently without consulting with the White House?

Rough Day Ahead For Equities Markets

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was down 12% overnight, its biggest one-day drop since the Black Monday crash of 1987. European markets were also sharply down, but not nearly as dramatically. Ahead of the opening bell, U.S. stock futures were off by 2%-6%.

Headline For The Ages

If you made up the wildest RFK Jr. headline your imagination could possibly conjure, it would still fall well short of the real thing:

And yet … the headline still doesn’t do justice to the video confession gave to … Roseanne Barr:

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Campaign Status Check, Two Weeks In

Two weeks into Kamala Harris’s campaign for president, I wanted to give you a polling and campaign-status gut check. The short version is that Harris is now slightly but measurably ahead in the Blue Wall states. She remains behind but now only barely in the southern tier states of Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. The margins in both directions are mostly between one and two points. Those are nominally margin of error numbers. But when they’re based on multiple polls they become a bit sturdier than that. (I’m following 538’s averages on this. They have Nevada tied.)

What this means is that Harris now has very small leads in the states she needs to win the election. Just as critically she’s now in shooting distance in all of the southern tier states, now including North Carolina. Together these represent a pro-Harris shift of 3 to 4 percentage points which is more or less matched by the shift at the national level.

Continue reading “Campaign Status Check, Two Weeks In”

We’ve Been Calling Them Weirdos For A While

When I wrote in a February issue of the Weekender about The Weirdness Threshold and the ways in which Republicans were approaching it through Taylor Swift hysteria, I didn’t think “Weird” would become a Democratic Party rallying cry. I was mostly reacting to two things at the time: First, I saw a gap between the fixations of the new, very online, right and conservatives I know in real life who are barely online at all and who were not talking about crazy Taylor Swift conspiracy theories. (I had a unique window into this because I’m from Cleveland and we love Travis Kelce.)

Continue reading “We’ve Been Calling Them Weirdos For A While”