Understanding Trump/Musk ‘Shock and Awe’

The central point in my post yesterday was trying to balance two facts: First, voters made a decision last November to shut Democrats out of all but a series of powers on the margins within the federal government. There’s no hyper-exertion or Mike Pence “if he has courage” that undoes that fact. Second, an effective opposition needs to provide the public not only with some sense of “hope” but also the outlines of a plan. Given point one that plan doesn’t need to be and probably can’t be terribly detailed. But a basic sense that we are now here and we’re going to get there. And here are the tools we’re going to use to get from A to B. And we are going to get to B and it’s going to take all of us to get there. See yesterday’s post for more on this.

There’s a separate and pretty critical part of this equation I want to discuss.

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A Few Thoughts on Messages and Morale

Over the last few days, as I’ve struggled with everyone else to stay on top of all this, I’ve tried to balance two things. One of those is trying to keep people focused on what an opposition can actually do and what it can’t. The other is that you can’t simply be, in effect, yelling at people who are bewildered and scared. I saw a DNC member who was at that cattle call Thursday saying how weird it was hearing elected officials talking like these were normal times when actually the house is burning down around everyone. So, how to reconcile primal screams and concrete plans, and, in the midst of that, try to make some progress on thinking outside the box? How to counteract and defeat performative displays of powerlessness?

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Most Vulnerable Republican Senator Sees No Reason To Say No To Trump

Hello. It’s the weekend. This is The Weekender ☕️

Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) has every reason to at least perform independence. 

Up for reelection in 2026 in a state where Democrats can win, he’s often plunked next to Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) and Susan Collins (R-ME) as a member who has either personal or political incentive to sometimes loudly buck their party. 

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Who Can Stop Elon’s ‘Team’ Wilding Its Way Through the Federal Government?

Over the course of the last two weeks, I’ve tried to drive home the point that the Democrats in Congress mostly can’t do anything to stop what the Trump administration is doing. That’s not a matter of weakness or bad strategy. Voters decided in November to put all federal power in the hands of Republicans. That’s done. It already happened. Many of the cries for Democrats to “do something” amount to thinking that if Democrats get energized and forceful enough they can undo the consequences of that election, as though there’s some “off” lever that if you reach really high you can grab ahold of and make all of this stop. You might as well demand Kamala Harris show some gumption and start issuing her own executive orders.

This emphatically does not mean Democrats are doing all they can or that there’s nothing they can do. But it is critical at every level to understand what the menu of actions includes. As much as this might seem pedantic, it’s critical to think very clearly about what an opposition does and what its tools are. Otherwise you’re just getting riled up demanding your fighters run at full speed, head first into the castle wall.

Fundamentally this is a battle over public opinion. And there are three areas of action to engage that battle.

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A Question and Maybe (From You) Some Answers

I don’t know the answer to this. I raise it here to focus us on the question, even though I don’t have the answer to the question. I’d also invite anyone who has a clearer understanding of the federal statutes to get in touch and explain them to me. As I noted below, Trump White House officials this morning ordered staff at the Office of Personnel Management (the federal HR office) to prepare plans to cut the agency’s staff and the programs it administers by 70%. And to do it fast. Executive staff at the agency have the weekend to devise the plans.

Now, is this legal? It would seem to me that reducing the staff size of a key government agency by 70% raises all the same equities and legal problems as impoundment (refusing to spend money that is obligated to be spent by laws passed by Congress). Is that true? I don’t see how it wouldn’t be. But my logic isn’t controlling here. Curious to hear from those who know these aspects of federal law and also the Impoundment Act. (Just this afternoon a federal district judge issued a restraining order blocking the budget freezes.)

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Clearing Out OPM

According to a report from The Federal News Network out a half hour ago, at a meeting this morning Trump administration officials told staff of the Office of Personnel Management to prepare plans for a 70% cut in staff and programs at the agency. Agency executives were tasked with working over the weekend to prepare plans for the 70% staffing cut with final plans ready no later than Monday. Remember that OPM is essentially the HR department for the federal government — covering not only the immediate mechanics of employment but administering retirement and health care benefits as well as other programs. OPM is the source of those “resignation” emails and it’s the agency which appears to be most directly under the control of people working at the direction of Elon Musk.

Trump DOJ Rolls Out New Payment Plans (Yeah, In That Way…)

I wanted to note some details in the rapid evolution of Trump’s misrule over the criminal justice system. It is old hat, expected really, that a Trump-run Justice Department won’t investigate, let alone indict, Donald Trump or any of his top deputies. We also saw in Trump’s first term that accomplices and key supporters will be pardoned or have investigations shuttered. But the dawn of Trump’s second term now sees the rollout of a host of new Justice products and payment plans.

This week, matters took a degree of a step forward (or backward, depending on your metaphor) when Trump had his acting U.S. attorney abandon the criminal case against former Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R-NE). Fortenberry wasn’t some high-profile Trump ally. And his crimes weren’t particularly political or Trump-adjacent. He got caught taking laundered political contributions from a Nigerian billionaire and then repeatedly lied about it to the FBI. Pretty generic graft, pretty garden-variety political corruption.

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The Worst Nightmare For DOJ Is Already Coming True

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

A Decapitation Event

It was a surreal juxtaposition. On the Hill, Kash Patel – the dangerously unqualified avowed enemy of the FBI – was going through the motions of a Senate confirmation hearing to lead the bureau, while the Trump White House was proceeding right along with an illegal purge of the FBI’s leadership ranks.

It followed a similar pattern to what is happening at the Justice Department overall. While Attorney General-nominee Pam Bondi awaits Senate confirmation, the Trump White House is proceeding to hobble the Justice Department by illegally firing the career prosecutors who handled the criminal cases against Donald Trump and by retaliating against other elements within the department.

In both cases the nominees disclaimed any knowledge of the purges. Their lack of knowledge was not evidence of their perfidy but of their irrelevance. The Justice Department and the FBI will be controlled by the Trump White House, and whoever is installed in leadership positions will be figureheads acting on orders from above. This not normal.

In the span of 10 days, President Trump has succeeded in crushing two of the most important institutions in the federal government for upholding and defending the rule of law. The FBI and DOJ purges, as with the other illegal firings across government, are ousting career civil servants in violation of the civil service laws that were implemented specifically to protect the functioning of government from rampant politicization and abuse. Your occasional reminder that the only political position at the FBI is the directorship (which has never been held by a Democrat).

The purges will give rise to dozens of lawsuits by government workers and their advocates, and they may ultimately prevail, but not before having their lives upended, their careers derailed, and exhausting themselves emotionally and financially.

With the Department of Justice now compromised, who is there to enforce the laws that the Trump White House and its minions throughout government are violating with impunity every day? The Supreme Court’s historically bad immunity decision only covers the president. For everyone else, there was still the Justice Department. Until now.

Instead Of Aviation Safety, How About Some Racism?

President Trump’s racist and misogynistic blame-casting for the midair collision over the Potomac threatens one of the federal government’s most laudable achievements: a regulatory framework that has yielded a sterling record of airline safety.

Commercial aviation, as much as we take it for granted, is one of most complicated human endeavors, technically and logistically. We take it for granted precisely because the existing framework has an exemplary record of learning from its mistakes. Much like the intricate dance of aircraft at a busy airport, the interplay among the FAA, NTSB, and aviation industry is often tension-filled and not always elegant. But it has, sometimes despite itself, produced a system the makes constant safety improvements packed with redundancies and failsafes.

Aviation safety sits at the pinnacle of what we think of as the “good” provided by government. Trump is already taking a sledgehammer to that framework with his false public denunciations and emphasis on assigning quick and baseless blame.

Keep in mind that all of the good people at the federal level involved in rescue and recovery, accident investigation and reconstruction, and correcting what went wrong are subject to the same abusive purges and retaliation Trump is conducting across government. They aren’t safe either.

Falling On Their Swords

By any measure, the people in government trying to thwart the Trump lawlessness are conducting themselves heroically:

  • “The highest-ranking career official at the Treasury Department is departing after a clash with allies of billionaire Elon Musk over access to sensitive payment systems, according to three people with knowledge of the matter, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe private talks.”–WaPo
  • The Trump administration’s purge of dozens of senior officials at the U.S. Agency for International Development encountered resistance … when the career employee who carried out the original directive rescinded it, calling the purge an “illegal” violation of “due process.” The official was then promptly placed on administrative leave …”–WaPo

Trump II Clown Show

  • TPM’s Josh Kovensky: OPM’s Top Lawyer Is A ‘Raging Misogynist’ With A Plan To Break The Civil Service
  • The order implementing the Trump administration’s disastrous spending freeze was drafted by Clarence Thomas-whisperer Mark Paoletta, who is now the general counsel at OMB, the NYT reports.

The Corruption Is Rampant

CBS’ parent company is in talks with Donald Trump to settle his bogus lawsuit over how 60 Minutes edited an interview with his then-opponent Kamala Harris.

Open For Business

Bloomberg: Sam Bankman-Fried’s Parents Explore Seeking Trump Pardon for Son

NPR And PBS Are Next On The MAGA Target List

Trump’s new chairman of the FCC has ordered what could be a crippling investigation into the two major public broadcasting networks, alleging that airing the fact of their underwriting sponsorships constitutes prohibited commercial advertising.

‘TragiFunny’

I want to end the week with a brief remembrance of an old friend of mine who died unexpectedly Sunday.

I’d known Paul Johnson for more than 40 years, a 25-year stretch of which we were brothers-in-law. He was a doting uncle to my two kids. He was better known by the sobriquet he later adopted: the portmanteau Pableaux, under which he did his public-facing work as a writer, photographer, and creative spirit. I still called him Paul.

He made a Morning Memo cameo a couple of Thanksgivings ago when I shared with you his recipe for turkey and andouille gumbo.

I’ve not encountered as swift a mind or as clever a wit. When he got rolling with a sharp audience, he had the speed and abandon of Robin Williams. The best times with him were when the laughter dissolved into tears and the tears into laughter. He had an enormous circle of admirers. May you live a life that earns the quality of encomiums in death that Paul did.

In one of my last exchanges with him, I was recovering from injuries I’d sustained in a fatal sailing accident and was using dark humor to cope. Paul texted back “TragiFunny.” It’s been a hard week on many levels to find the funny in the tragedy.

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