New poll of New Jersey governor’s race: Corzine 43%, Christie 38%.
You can see in Pollster.com‘s trendline chart that Corzine has now edged ahead of Christie for the first time since last November. Also note the yellow-green line toward the bottom. That’s third party candidate Chris Daggett. You can see pretty clearly how Corzine’s support has been a relatively flat line all along, but there’s a direct correlation between the substantial drop in Christie support and the mini-surge for Daggett: (click on image for larger version):
Late Update: I wanted to add a quick detail to this post. There have been a slew of polls out on this race over the last couple days and I expect several more before election day. But Quinnipiac, the pollster behind today’s poll, is one of the gold standard polls for New Jersey. So this is good news for Corzine, though the softness of support for Daggett and the possibility that a substantial number of his voters might switch to one of the party candidates at the last minute, makes this race very volatile and hard to predict. — jmm
