Taegan D. Goddard at politicalwire.com says he got an advance look at the new LA Times poll and that it shows Bush 49% – Kerry 46% among registered voters.
Not a huge difference from recent polls — and of course still in the margin of error. But it does provide some more evidence for at least a small move in the president’s direction.
I do think this Swift Boat garbage has hurt.
We’ll see how much or for how long.
By point of comparison the last LA Times poll (July 17-21) had Kerry 48% – Bush 46% (46-44 with Nader). To a statistician the difference between that poll and today’s is meaningless. They’re both deep in the margin of error. But as much as I’d like to believe that the difference is insignificant, my read of the few other recent national polls tells me that at least the direction of the movement, if not the extent of it, is real.
