Yet Another Poll Shows GOPer Leading Dem In Iowa Senate Race

State Sen. Joni Ernst speaks to supporters at a primary election night rally after winning the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate, Tuesday, June 3, 2014, in Des Moines, Iowa. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
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Another Republican poll surveying the Iowa race for U.S. Senate found state Sen. Joni Ernst (R) leading Rep. Bruce Braley (D-IA).

The poll, conducted by Republican pollster Vox Populi found Ernst leading Braley 49 percent to 44 percent. The poll’s findings appear to be a recent flip from before the primary election, when Braley lead Ernst in virtually every poll matching the two against each other in the general election. That seemed to change right after the election when a Rasmussen poll found Ernst leading by 1 percentage point.

Two other polls have shown a tight race between Braley and Ernst. The poll by the Republican-leaning Rasmussen found Ernst leading Braley, 45 percent to 44 percent. Another poll, by Loras College, found Ernst leading Braley 48 percent to 41.7 percent.

The latest Vox Populi survey was an automated poll conducted among 667 active voters between June 4 and June 5. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

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  1. Just what Iowa and the Senate needs right now…Michelle Bachmann’s swine addled doppelganger. But can she out-crazy Ted Cruz?

  2. Just as I thought Corn kills brain cells. Wake up Iowa!

  3. Look, guys, it’s this simple.

    Democratic pollsters are in the business of telling Democrats the truth. Those that don’t do that don’t get repeat business. Republican pollsters are in the business of telling Republicans what they want to hear. Those that don’t do that do’t get repeat business.

    Republican bias “house effect” in Republican polling is a well-documented phenomenon, though I admit that my explanation for the phenomenon is my opinion based on on my own possibly biased observations of the way Republicans grapple with things like data and objective reality.

  4. The latest Vox Populi survey was an automated poll conducted among 667 active voters between June 4 and June 5.

    The poll, conducted by Republican pollster Vox Populi

    That is an awfully small population, and a republican pollster. Not sure why TPM keeps targeting these stories.

    I am not putting much credence into these polls, except perhaps the Ras one, ironically enough. All of them, including Ras, are being colored by her winning the recent primary. She has been all over the TV in Iowa for a few weeks leading up to that poll, while Braley has not.

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