Trump Holds Slim Lead In Georgia, And Leads By Several Points In Arizona, Texas

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November 3, 2016 5:51 p.m.

Donald Trump remains ahead in Texas, but his leads are vulnerable in Arizona and Georgia, according to new polls from NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College.

Trump holds a five-point lead among likely Arizona voters, 46-41, in a head-to-head match with Hillary Clinton. His lead remains at five points when third-party candidates are included, 45-40, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 9 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 3 percent.

Clinton edges one point behind the businessman in Georgia, where he leads 47-46 in a head-to-head match. When third-party candidates are included, Trump leads, 45-44, with Johnson trailing at 8 percent.

And in Texas, Trump holds a nine-point lead, 49-40, with Johnson at 6 percent and Stein at 2 percent.

Since NBC/WSJ/Marist last polled likely Arizona voters in September, the head-to-head match moved from Trump +1 then to Trump +5 today, and the four-way survey moved from Trump +2 to Trump +4 today.

Clinton made a slight gain among likely Georgia voters since NBC/WSJ/Marist’s previous poll, moving from Trump +3 in September to Trump +1 in a head-to-head match, and from Trump +2 to Trump +1 when third-party candidates are included in the poll.

NBC/WSJ/Marist has not previously polled likely Texas voters on the general election, but an October poll from YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune showed the Republican just three points ahead of the former Secretary of State.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the presidential election in Arizona shows Trump leading Clinton, 46.5 to 43.3.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the presidential election in Georgia shows Trump leading Clinton, 47.9 to 44.1.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the presidential election in Texas shows Trump leading Clinton, 48.6 to 37.7.

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