Clinton Expands Her Lead Nationally Since First Debate, New Poll Shows

FILE - In this Friday, July 22, 2016 file photo, Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton speaks at a rally in Entertainment Hall at the Florida State Fairgrounds in Tampa. President Obama is joining Clinton... FILE - In this Friday, July 22, 2016 file photo, Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton speaks at a rally in Entertainment Hall at the Florida State Fairgrounds in Tampa. President Obama is joining Clinton’s lineup of high-powered validators from the stage Wednesday night, July 27, 2016, to make the case for electing her in November. Bill Clinton offered a passionate testimonial to his wife on the Democratic convention’s second night. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File) MORE LESS
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

Hillary Clinton expanded her lead over Donald Trump by five points since the first presidential debate, according to the latest national poll from Quinnipiac University.

The new poll puts Clinton ahead by six points, 50-44, among likely voters nationwide.

When third-party candidates are included, Clinton leads by five points, 45-40, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 6 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 3 percent.

Before the presidential debate on Sept. 26, Clinton led a Quinnipiac poll by a single point, 47-46. She also had a single point lead in the four-way poll, 44-43, with Johnson at 8 percent and Stein at 2 percent.

The Quinnipiac poll was conducted via live telephone interview from Oct. 5-6 among 1,064 likely voters nationwide, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average shows Clinton leading Trump nationally, 44.6 to 41.7.

Latest Polltracker

Notable Replies

  1. Stein improved? C’mon.

  2. I was looking at the TPM tracker polls, and maybe I’m missing something, but it looks like Clinton’s average is being held down significantly by junk pollsters. They seem to be putting out a lot of polls, and I’m assuming it’s an attempt to make the race appear much closer than it is. I can’t decide whether that’s good or bad anymore.

    On one hand, it’s good for keeping Democrats from getting complacent or voting stupidly, uhh, strategically. We need to stay on our toes. On the other hand, reality is reality and I don’t appreciate these people playing games with the electorate. And, more importantly, I wouldn’t mind Trump-leaning voters getting bummed out and deciding there’s no use in voting because they don’t think he can win.

    I’m truly torn.

  3. One point is statistical noise, but I wouldn’t be surprised if some Sanders-turned-Johnson voters are giving her a look now that Johnson is imploding and even Weld looks like he’s ready to jump ship. That kinda makes sense.

  4. The TPM chart needs to be de-skewed!

  5. Looking forward to this trend continuing in the wake of the second deba…er, town hall!

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

26 more replies

Participants

Avatar for system1 Avatar for pluckyinky Avatar for kendyzdad Avatar for old_curmudgeon Avatar for mattinpa Avatar for leftflank Avatar for manhattan123 Avatar for kilgoretrout Avatar for rhea Avatar for becca656 Avatar for drriddle Avatar for ignoreland Avatar for stugots Avatar for serendipitoussomnambulist Avatar for khaaannn Avatar for lour Avatar for us_resident Avatar for jeffreybruner Avatar for grack Avatar for centralasiaexpat Avatar for maximus Avatar for overthefall96 Avatar for coprophagoussmile

Continue Discussion
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Deputy Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: