Poll: North Carolina Senate Race Is Tied Now

U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan addresses attendees at Sharp Farms in Wilson County, N.C., Tuesday, Oct. 21, 2014. Hagan, the Democratic incumbent, will face Thom Tillis in November's general election. (AP Photo/The Wilson Times... U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan addresses attendees at Sharp Farms in Wilson County, N.C., Tuesday, Oct. 21, 2014. Hagan, the Democratic incumbent, will face Thom Tillis in November's general election. (AP Photo/The Wilson Times, Brad Coville) MORE LESS
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The North Carolina race for U.S. Senate between House Speaker Thom Tillis (R), and incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan (D-NC) is tied, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll released Sunday.

The poll found Hagan and Tillis tied with 43 percent each among likely voters. That finding is a shift from previous polling which has generally shown Hagan with a small lead over Tillis. NBC News and Marist previously found Hagan with a 4 point lead over Tillis.

Another 7 percent said they support Libertarian candidate Sean Haugh.

Tillis’s gain, according to the new poll, is because of an increase in support among independent voters.

Hagan and Tillis both have less-than-ideal favorability ratings. The poll found that 41 percent said they have a favorable view of Hagan while 48 percent have a negative view. Meanwhile 40 percent said they have a positive view of Tillis while 44 percent said they have e negative view.

The poll was conducted among 758 likely voters from Oct. 19 to Oct. 23. It had a margin of error of plus or mini 3.6 percentage points.

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Notable Replies

  1. No poll tracker on this one? The new poll is the new narrative? With a pic of Hagan looking worried, of course.
    This shtick is getting old, TPM.

  2. WRAL-TV Poll had Hagan up 46% - 43%. It was conducted from October 16 to October 20. This Marist Poll was conducted from October 19 to October 23. PPP conducted a poll from October 16 to October 18 and found Hagan up 46% to 43%. Seems like Hagan’s probably still ahead.

  3. Mentioning those or showing the averages would interfere with the “DOOOOOM!!!” narrative. We can’t have that, can we?

    YouGov meanwhile shows Shaheen up 5 over Brown. Will that get a mention after the “Brown surging in sleeper race!” hysterics a few days back?

  4. Right, and Yougov hardly leans left. The polling is one thing but their comments section is chock full of nuts. They are hopeless.

  5. Ties go to the Dems, that is the trend and the new rule. Scientifically speaking I’m giving my prediction a 50/50 chance of probability and a definite maybe on likely being correct.

    Based strictly on the “ick” factor, the Republicans are icky and all that they have going for them is that they give the haters something else to vote for to fulfill their hate and that is all they’ve got, really.

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