Celebrity tycoon Donald Trump remained the top pick for Republican and Republican-leaning independents to win both the GOP nomination and the best chance at general election in an ABC News/Washington Post poll released Wednesday morning.
Trump handily led the pack at 42 percent nationally when respondents were asked who would win the GOP nomination. His closest rivals were retired neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson at 15 percent and former Fl. Gov. Jeb Bush at 12 percent. Sen. Marco Rubio (FL) followed at 5 percent.
These numbers remain virtually unchanged from the ABC News/Washington Post poll in September.
When respondents were asked which candidate had the best chance at winning the general election, 43 percent chose Trump. Carson was next at 16 percent, followed by Bush at 13 percent and Rubio at 11 percent.
The poll was conducted among 1,001 adults around the country — 423 of whom leaned Republican — from Oct. 15 to Oct. 18 via landline and cell phone in English and Spanish. The overall margin of error was 3.5 points and the margin of error for Republican-leaning respondents was 5.5 points.
Sweet.
Personally, I find the prediction portions of these polls to be absolutely worthless. There’s no reason to think that the average crystal ball of the respondents is any more accurate than my own.
This GOP primary is a master class in abnormal psychology.
I believe a “wining nomination” is normally called a “toast”.
I watched a little Morning Joe this morning (until I almost threw my coffee cup at my tv.), and they were talking about could Trump or Carson actually win the Presidency. They were actually giving him serious consideration that he or Carson could. They were talking about how the country doesn’t trust government anymore, how no one like insiders anymore .
Hello? REPUBLICANS don’t trust anyone in government anymore, Dems are fine. Most “Independents” are fine. Republicans are the ones getting all ginned up from Fox and talk radio, the rest of the country is actually doing okay.
It’s the Romney bubble all over again, they think the vast majority of the country are angry mobs who think Obama is a muslim socialist and only their AR15;s and Redstate subscriptions are keeping them safe.
Chaffee could beat Carson in a general election, the American people would laugh Trump and Carson off the stage.