Democratic Senate Challenger Ahead 45-41 In Pennsylvania Poll

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August 30, 2016 2:43 p.m.

In the back-and-forth U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania, Democratic challenger Katie McGinty has taken a four-point lead on Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) in a new Monmouth poll.

This latest poll pushes the closely followed race into a tossup on TPM’s Senate Scoreboard.

McGinty, a former member of the Bill Clinton administration, leads Toomey, 45-41, with Libertarian candidate Edward Clifford polling at 6 percent among likely Pennsylvania voters.

Emerson College released a poll of the same race yesterday, showing Toomey leading by seven points. Monmouth has not previously polled the 2016 Senate race in the swing state.

The race has been closely followed because it is considered crucial for Democrats to win in order to gain control of the Senate.

The poll was conducted Aug. 26-29 among 402 likely Pennsylvania voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average shows a tossup, with Toomey leading McGinty, 43.2 to 41.9.

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