Clinton Opens Wide Lead In Pennsylvania After The Debate

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton delivers remarks during the fourth day of the Democratic National Convention at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA, on July 28, 2016. (Photo by Riccardo Savi... Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton delivers remarks during the fourth day of the Democratic National Convention at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA, on July 28, 2016. (Photo by Riccardo Savi) *** Please Use Credit from Credit Field *** MORE LESS
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Hillary Clinton leads by double digits in a new poll of swing state Pennsylvania voters, conducted after the first presidential debate by Franklin & Marshall University.

Clinton leads by 12 points, 48-36, in a head-to-head matchup with Donald Trump in Pennsylvania.

When third-party candidates are included in the poll, Clinton leads by nine points, 47-38, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 5 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein with less than 1 percent.

Clinton’s lead has increased since Franklin & Marshall polled the state’s likely voters in August. She came out ahead by four points, 43-39, in a head-to-head match, and by just three points in a four-way match, 41-38, with Johnson at 7 percent and Stein at 2 percent in that poll.

The Franklin & Marshall University poll was conducted Sept. 28-Oct. 2 among 496 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 6.1 percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the general election in Pennsylvania shows Clinton leading Trump, 47.5 to 42.

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Notable Replies

  1. Avatar for grack grack says:

    It’s most heartening to see the support from Space Cadet Johnson going to Clinton… inferred obviously.

    @mymy… better?

  2. Avatar for mymy mymy says:

    Sad to use Zappa’s child’s name to characterize Johnson. He’s unworthy.

  3. Before us Pennsylvanians start counting chickens, please read this article from Politico that details just how awful the PA GOP could make this election for our voters.

  4. I don’t understand how HRC is doing so much worse in OH than PA. Can the demographics of these two adjacent swing states have diverged that much? It seems to me they’ve always been somewhat similar with respect to red:blue tendencies on a given election.

  5. Good question. But Pennsylvania’s been fairly reliably blue in recent presidential years; Ohio’s been a tossup. But this does seem to be a spread that’s hard to understand.

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