Monmouth Poll: Clinton Leads Among Ohio Voters By Two Points

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton reacts to a cheering crowd during a 'Women for Hillary' grassroots organizing meeting, Thursday, Sept. 10, 2015, in Columbus, Ohio. (AP Photo/Jay LaPrete)
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Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by two points in a new Monmouth University poll of Ohio’s likely voters, against a recent trend of Trump-favoring polls in the swing state.

This latest poll pushed Ohio in Clinton’s favor by a slight margin on TPM’s Electoral Scoreboard.

Clinton leads the new poll, 44-42, with Libertarian Gary Johnson following at 5 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein polling at 1 percent.

When Monmouth last polled the Buckeye State in August, Clinton led the polls by four points, 43-39, with Johnson at 10 percent and Stein polling below 1 percent.

But between August and the present, several major pollsters, including Fox News, CNN/ORC and Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Company have put Trump ahead in Ohio by margins ranging from one to five points.

The Monmouth University poll was conducted via live telephone interviews Oct. 1-4 among 405 likely Ohio voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the presidential election in Ohio shows a tossup, with Clinton leading Trump, 44.2 to 43.8.

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Notable Replies

  1. I’m thinking that a big factor here is formerly Johnson-leaning “protest” voters realizing the magnitude of the disaster they’d be enabling with their votes.

  2. Avatar for imkmu3 imkmu3 says:

    Hopefully, though I wouldn’t bet on any self awareness at this point in Johnson voters.

  3. Just noting that Johnson’s support went from 10 to 6 points, while Clinton’s went up. It’s all stuff around the margins at this point, but that’s what it takes.

  4. Avatar for azjude azjude says:

    Breaking away and leaving the orange one as dust in the cheeto bag!

    Well done Madam President!

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