Clinton’s Lead Shrinks In Wisconsin Polls

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton gestures as she speaks during a rally in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, June 22, 2016. (AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
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Hillary Clinton holds small leads over Donald Trump in two Wisconsin polls released Wednesday, showing a drop in her lead in the Badger state since early August.

A Marquette Law School poll of likely Wisconsin voters showed Clinton with a three-point lead over Trump, 41-38, with Libertarian Gary Johnson following at 10 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4 percent. Earlier in August, the same pollser showed Clinton 13 points ahead in Wisconsin among likely voters.

In Marquette’s newest survey Clinton led in the head-to-head matchup by three points, 45-42.

In a separate Monmouth University poll also released Wednesday, Clinton is ahead by five points, 43-38, with Johnson polling at 7 percent and Stein at 3 percent among likely voters. (Monmouth hasn’t polled Wisconsin on the 2016 presidential preference previously.)

The Marquette poll was conducted Aug. 25-28, surveying 650 likely Wisconsin voters over the phone with a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percent.

The Monmouth poll, conducted Aug. 27-30, surveyed 404 likely Wisconsin general election voters via telephone, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the Wisconsin election shows Clinton leading Trump, 42.7 to 39.1.

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Notable Replies

  1. These are good but not great numbers for Clinton in a must win state. It is about time that she steps up the campaigning schedule and lightens up on the fundraising schedule. That was always her plan - to really go after it in earnest starting now. From now until the weekend before the first debate, she’ll need to be doing a lot of rallies.

  2. Don’t make the mistake of calling WI a blue state. Top to bottom, it’s republican now. The state HoR delegation is majority R, the state senate as well. All elected offices, statewide and regional, are R. Walker has won 3 elections. Feingold should beat Johnson, but the margin will not be huge, and it will depend on Milwaukee, Eau Claire, and LaCrosse.

  3. I’m getting poll panic fatigue. Wake me up in October.

  4. It’s time to change Wisconsin back to blue.

  5. This shows that the Kennedys’ approach is the only one to take: Run full blast, don’t look at the polls, then see what happens on Election Day (well known as The Only Poll That Counts).

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