Hillary Clinton holds a one-point lead over Donald Trump in a poll of likely Virginia voters, released Friday by Emerson College.
The poll shows Clinton ahead, 44-43, with Libertarian Gary Johnson following at 11 percent and Green Party’s Jill Stein at 3 percent.
A Hampton University poll released earlier this week showed Clinton ahead by two points, 43-41, in a head-to-head match among likely Virginia voters. Emerson College has not previously polled the presidential race in Virginia.
The Emerson College poll was conducted Aug. 30-Sept. 1 via automated poll of landlines only. The survey included 800 likely Virginia voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average for the Virginia general election shows a tossup, with Trump leading Clinton, 43.4 to 42.5.
Then why is the Clinton campaign pulling advertising from VA?
[The Emerson College poll was conducted Aug. 30-Sept. 1 via automated poll of landlines only. ]
This just a bit more than a week ago.
Two states that the Clinton campaign is not planning to air local ads in through September and October: Virginia and Colorado.With polls showing Clinton up handily over Donald Trump in the two swing states, Clinton’s top aides feel – citing the growth in minority communities and college-educated white voters – confident enough to pull local ads in the two states.
While I don’t think HRC will have the Electoral College blowout that so many are predicting, VA is one state that she’s going to take relatively comfortably.
That being said, I’m not sure I’d be pulling ads entirely in those markets, either… downballot candidates need assistance from the top of the ticket, and getting as many votes for Pres helps them all.
I think there’s too much time left to have pulled ads. Too much can happen to shake up the race at this stage.
Pollster has Clinton up in Virginia 47-38 (updated 16 hrs ago). They have a single poll with Trump ahead by 4 (RABA), a couple of ties, but the rest are comfortable Clinton leads.