Clinton Comes Out Five Points Ahead In Arizona Poll

October 19, 2016 11:07 a.m.

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by five points among Arizona voters in a new Arizona Republic/Morrison Institute for Public Policy/Cronkite News poll conducted after the second presidential debate.

This latest poll comes days after the Clinton campaign announced it will boost its campaign in Arizona.

Clinton comes out ahead, 39-34, with Libertarian Gary Johnson behind at 6 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein polling at 1 percent.

The Clinton campaign announced Monday that it will increase efforts in Arizona, including an additional $2 million in ad funding and sending First Lady Michelle Obama, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and other speakers to the historically-red state.

The former secretary of state has expanded her lead in Arizona since the pollster last surveyed the state. In August, the poll showed Clinton +1 and now she leads +5 before the final presidential debate.

If Clinton’s lead in Arizona polls proves accurate on Nov. 8, it will mark the first time the state preferred the Democratic presidential candidate since 1996.

The Arizona Republic/Morrison Institute/Cronkite News poll was conducted Oct. 10-15 via live telephone interview among 713 likely Arizona voters. The survey calculated margin of errors for each candidate’s poll results, giving Clinton plus or minus 4.3 percent, Trump plus or minus 3.8 percent, Johnson plus or minus 1.6 percent and Stein plus or minus .4 percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the presidential election in Arizona shows a tossup, with Clinton leading Trump, 41.6 to 40.6.

Latest Polltracker
Change to Commenting Permissions Starting May 1st

Beginning May 1, 2021, the option to comment on an article will be reserved only for TPM members. Non-members and those with free accounts will still be able to read comments both past and present, but will no longer be able to participate.

We hope that dedicated participants in the comments will join us as members, and want to make it as easy as possible for you to to so. We are offering 40% OFF an annual Prime membership to TPM readers with commenting accounts.

40% Off an Annual Prime Membership

We also offer FREE memberships to those experiencing financial hardship and FREE memberships for students.

View all options
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Associate Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: