Clinton Leads Trump By Just 2 Points In New CBS/NYT National Poll

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton tours 3 Daughters Brewery in St. Petersburg, Fla., Monday, Aug. 8, 2016. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
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Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by two points, 46-44, in a head-to-head matchup among likely voters in a new national CBS/New York Times Poll released Thursday morning.

When third party candidates are added to the question, Clinton and Trump are tied 42-42 among likely voters, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 8 points and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4 points.

This is the first time this election cycle that the CBS/NYT has surveyed likely voters nationwide.

Among registered voters, Clinton has a wider lead over Trump, 46-41. When third party candidates are added to the question Clinton leads Trump 41-39 among registered voters, with Johnson at 11 and Stein at 5.

TPM’s PollTracker Average shows Clinton leading Trump nationally, 45.9 to 42.5.

SSRS conducted the poll for CBS and the New York Times via phone Sept. 9-13. SSRS surveyed 1,433 registered voters with a margin of error plus or minus 3 percentage points. SSRS surveyed 916 likely voters with a margin of error plus or minus 3 percentage points.

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Notable Replies

  1. Hillary was off the trail, raising money, for much of August. She is just coming back from her bout with pneumonia. Trump has been relatively gaffe-free for the past couple of weeks. It’s natural that the race would have tightened.

    Time to stay calm, keep the powder dry, take a deep breath and bend to the task of getting Hillary elected.

  2. Time for everyone to get up off their happy butts and roll up their sleeves and get to work registering voters and energizing people to vote Hillary.

    All that you say is true (except the relatively gaffe-free part), but what we are also seeing is the media putting a very big thumb on the scale in Trump’s favor, but refusing to even touch actual news that is negative to Trump in anything comparable to their non stop “Can’t Trust Hillary!” coverage.

    Just consider their respective Foundations. I just saw David Gregory going on and on about how Hillary needs to shut down the Clinton Foundation because it looks so bad and she is untrustworthy. Not one word mentioned about Trumps Slush Fu…err, foundation.

    And lets be really clear here. The press has dedicated hundreds of man hours into the Clinton Foundation and not turned up a single significant issue. She spoke to world leaders as SoS who also donated to the Foundation…which is precisely what a SoS is supposed to do.

    Meanwhile, Trump has been caught making illegal donations via his foundation, has been caught using it to purchase luxury items purely for himself, has been documented numerous times using it for self aggrandizement completely with other people’s money and zero of his own. The worst being, not only claiming to make a $150,000 donation to the police in Palm Beach (none of which was his), but turning around and charging them over $230,000 for hosting the gala to pat him on the back in his hotel!

    And I have yet to hear anybody on cable news make mention of all of this, let alone actually dive into the details.

    Big story on Trump’s business conflicts internationally…a story that has quite literally been out there since the moment he threw his hat into the ring, and still…not a peep out of the talking heads.

    And its having its effect. We can go back and look at when the big non stories from AP and the NYT…both of which were eventually retracted or completely rewritten (but only after the damage had been inflicted) were dropped on the collective MSM…that’s right when “The Tightening” began. And they have been unrelenting in that style of coverage ever since.

    They wanted a horse race, and by hell or high water, they set out to get one. Personally, I think its long past time for usto start delivering bloody horse’s heads into every one of the beds at night. Starting with that vile excuse of an ombudsman from the New York Times, Liz Spayd.

  3. Keep telling your local editors and commentators about the disparities. They do react to complaints by readers/viewers.

  4. Avatar for jinnj jinnj says:

    11 days to a very significant point in the Campaign - count on some Trump generated high intensity turmoil in the week before - demands - threats to not participate - ultimatums - and if Trump can force one or two concessions - he will walk into the debate claiming that he has ‘already won’. He will make an attempt to work his primary debate strategy - Anticipate Trump being bombastic - rude - disobedient - interrupting - & just run roughshod over Lester Holt - and carry on outrageously to - try to take Hillary off her game - make her look ‘mild’ / ‘meek’ - and if he can stress her into a coughing spell he is going to go “health scare” to her face.

    First presidential debate
    Monday, September 26, 2016
    Moderator: Lester Holt, Anchor, NBC Nightly News
    Location: Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY

    The first debate will be divided into six time segments of approximately 15 minutes each on major topics to be selected by the moderator and announced at least one week before the debate. The moderator will open each segment with a question, after which each candidate will have two minutes to respond. Candidates will then have an opportunity to respond to each other. The moderator will use the balance of the time in the segment for a deeper discussion of the topic.

  5. Avatar for pshah pshah says:

    I think we’re pretty much at Trump’s peak in this election cycle.

    Coming off the DNC, Hillary’s polls rose and were destined to trail off. Moreover, she’s been off the trail due to an actual health issue, and I presume that’s had an effect.

    But Trump is still Trump. A raging bigot, racist, and misogynist…to say the least. I still have faith that enough Americans will see that only one candidate is actually qualified for POTUS, and it ain’t him.

    Still a long way to go.

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