Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 42-35 up among likely voters nationally in the most recent Ipsos/Reuters tracking poll.
When third party candidates are included, Clinton leads Trump 39-36, with Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson polling at 7 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 3 percent.
The previous Ipsos/Reuters poll, released Aug. 17, showed Clinton ahead by five points among likely voters, 41-36, in the head-to-head matchup. Among likely voters in the four-way race, Clinton led Trump 39-36, with Johnson at 7 percent and Stein at 3 percent.
The Ipsos/Reuters tracking poll collected the responses of 1,049 likely voters nationally from Aug. 20-24.
TPM’s PollTracker Average shows Clinton ahead of Trump nationally 45.7 to 40.2.
When I was a boy, 42% meant you were in second place.
Cool story bro
Donald and Hillary are in lock step. She seems to stay about 7-8 points ahead.
Interesting Silver article. He has possible explanation for why Hillary is doing better in state polls of swing and GOP leaning states. Reason is she is underperforming in some blue states, still well ahead in them but underperforming enough to reflect only a 5-6 point gap in national polling average while she is ahead or tied in heretofore solidly red states.
I read the article and it make sense. Trump is running a national campaign and Hillary is running a traditional swing state campaign. I think Hillary made the safer bet.