Does The Recall Result Tell Us Anything About the Rest of Country?

It’s hard to make too much of the California recall. It is after all one of the most Democratic states in the union. The moribund state Republican party coalesced around a standard bearer whose top policy position may have been credible reports he pulled a gun on his fiance during a fight. The only conceivable way Larry Elder could have become governor is with very low turnout and a majority of voters deciding narrowly to recall Newsom and allowing Elder to slip through with like 35% of the vote.

But it doesn’t mean nothing.

Continue reading “Does The Recall Result Tell Us Anything About the Rest of Country?”

5 Points On The Heightened Concern Over Saturday’s Right-Wing Rally At The Capitol

Protesters demanding justice for the Jan. 6 defendants – who they dub “political prisoners” – are scheduled to gather at the U.S. Capitol this Saturday. Here’s what we know: 

Organizers say they want the release of detained Capitol rioters

The point of the protest – styled as “Justice for J6” – is to call for justice for people charged in the ongoing investigation into the Capitol attack. The insurrectionists currently detained pending trial have been deemed as martyrs to the cause and branded as “political prisoners” in far-right circles. Though hundreds of people have been charged federally in the attack, only a few dozen remain behind bars pending trial. 

“Our event is a Rally Against Political Persecution to bring awareness and attention to the unjust and unethical treatment of nonviolent January 6 political prisoners who are being denied their basic rights as afforded by the Constitution,” the event’s permit application read.

 “The event will include the saying of the Pledge of Allegiance, songs of patriotism, prayer, guest speakers, and the showing of a video. We will be using this time to make our voices heard in asking that all charges be dropped for nonviolent detainees and they be released from solitary confinement.”

Matt Braynard, the event’s organizer and the former director of data and strategy for the 2016 Trump campaign, has been pushing this issue for months, including with a demonstration outside of the D.C. Central Detention Facility in July and the United Nations a few weeks after that.

Braynard called on the U.N. to “be a voice of reason and urge the United States government to immediately release pretrial detainees, investigate and prosecute their abuse, and halt all further arrests and prosecutions pending a thorough and meaningful bipartisan investigation into the prosecutions of these protesters.” 

In January, he wrote to the Justice Department that “we do not support the Biden Administration using those few bad apples as an excuse to persecute the peaceful Trump supporters who entered the Capitol with selective prosecutions based on their political beliefs.” 

Law enforcement isn’t taking any chances

One thing’s for sure, according to the local law enforcement: This will not be another Jan. 6.

The Capitol Police board has approved resurrecting the temporary fencing around Congress. And last month, the D.C. Metropolitan Police Department said it would be activating its entire force for the protest. Internal law enforcement documents have reportedly warned officers that some could see the event as a proxy “justice for Ashli Babbitt” gathering, and that police should anticipate the potential for violence. 

Reporters have spotted new surveillance cameras going up in the area. 

Referring to the fencing — and nodding to some bipartisan complaints that it restricts public space in the nation’s capital — Capitol Police Chief Tom Manger sought to assure the public. “These are temporary measures to ensure everyone’s safety,” he said in a statement. 

Prospective attendees are worried about undercover law enforcement 

In the wake of the Capitol riot and the federal law enforcement crackdown on its participants, right-wingers are obsessed with the idea that protests are being infiltrated by undercover cops.

On a chat room for the upcoming event hosted on Discord, prospective attendees try to combat talk of “glowies” — slang for an undercover federal agent so obvious that they “glow in the dark.”

“The problem now though is that anytime somebody tries to organize an event, doomers shout ‘GLOWIE’ as an excuse to continue to not doing anything,” one user wrote last week. “Man,” another frustrated user wrote Tuesday morning, “i’m starting to think the glowie narrative is from the feds at this point. That or we have a lot of losers on our side, not sure which is worse.” 

Representatives of groups whose members now face conspiracy charges for their actions at the Capitol riot — the Proud Boys and Oath Keepers — have said they’re eschewing the event for the same reasons. “Sounds like bait,” the Proud Boys Telegram channel announced earlier this month. 

Paranoia may cause low attendance

Despite the event’s impressive media coverage — every major news organization has noted it — there’s little indication it will inspire a huge crowd. Even organizers have said they only expect a few hundred people. 

“The short of it is that we have not witnessed anything that would indicate large numbers of far-right demonstrators, or Proud Boys in particular, will attend this event,” Michael Edison Hayden, a spokesperson for the Southern Poverty Law Center, told TPM

Another factor: Braynard himself. Though he attained some minor celebrity as an “expert” witness for plaintiffs in several states alleging that the 2020 election was stolen, he’s no Donald Trump. He simply doesn’t have the draw his old boss does.

“I would describe him as a peripheral figure,” said Jared Holt, a researcher at the Atlantic Council’s Digital Forensic Research Lab.

Their real goal is rewriting U.S. history

Braynard hasn’t been shy about another motive for the event, and for the past several months of his activism: Rewriting the history of Jan. 6. 

“This is really about fighting the narrative about what actually happened on Jan. 6,” he told Steve Bannon in one recent interview, adding later: “This protest is not about elections, it’s not about who won, it’s not about voter fraud. It’s about the abuse of these political prisoners and the scapegoating of them for this grand insurrection narrative.” 

As Braynard explained to the conservative Catholic outlet Church Militant recently, he’s pushing back against the narrative that Jan. 6 was a “white supremacist insurrection” — because, he said, that narrative is being used by the left as a “premise” to justify everything from critical race theory to restricting gun rights. The logic is tortured, but it’s also a well-worn strategy for the fringe right. 

“They are absolutely trying to recast it,” Hayden said. “This is a tactic we’ve seen from the far-right through the Trump years. These are tactics that are familiar to historians who study the history of fascism, because the Trump movement has many similarities to a fascist movement.”  

GOP’s Critical Race Theory Outrage Serves As Another Reminder Of White Evangelicals’ Political Influence

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It first appeared at The Conversation.

The debate over critical race theory has played out in TV studios, school board meetings and state legislatures across the U.S. It has also found its way into churches.

The theory comprises a set of concepts that frame racism as structural, rather than simply expressed through personal discrimination. Scholars point to racial discrepancies in educational achievement, economic and employment opportunities and in the criminal justice system as evidence of how racism is embedded in U.S. institutions. Continue reading “GOP’s Critical Race Theory Outrage Serves As Another Reminder Of White Evangelicals’ Political Influence”

Biden To Meet With Sinema, Manchin Over Their Threats To The Reconciliation Package

President Joe Biden will meet with Sens. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) and Joe Manchin (D-WV) about their opposition to the price tag of the reconciliation package — $3.5 trillion over 10 years — according to multiple news outlets. 

Continue reading “Biden To Meet With Sinema, Manchin Over Their Threats To The Reconciliation Package”

Thank You For Joining Us

Last night, TPM hosted a lively and illuminating discussion, with an impressive lineup of panelists, on redistricting, 2022, voting rights and the dire need for boldness from Democrats the next several months.

If you weren’t able to attend, you can watch below, but I wanted to take a moment to thank everyone who took the time to join us — we hope you got as much out of it as we did. And a special thank you to all of our members and those of you who contributed to the TPM Journalism Fund as part of your registration.

We’ll have another virtual event soon. Stay tuned.

Report Reveals Alleged Actions Of Capitol Police Officers Facing Jan. 6 Discipline

A report published Tuesday night sheds light on the alleged actions of some of the six Capitol Police officers facing disciplinary action for their behavior during the Jan. 6 Capitol riot.

Continue reading “Report Reveals Alleged Actions Of Capitol Police Officers Facing Jan. 6 Discipline”

Carlson Issues A Rare Correction To His Coverage Of Nicki Minaj’s Cousin’s Friend’s Testicles

Fox News host Tucker Carlson acknowledged on Tuesday night that his show had made a factual error when it put up a chyron attributing allegedly swollen testicles to the wrong person in rap star Nicki Minaj’s orbit.

Continue reading “Carlson Issues A Rare Correction To His Coverage Of Nicki Minaj’s Cousin’s Friend’s Testicles”

Newsom Romps, Elder Concedes: Going Trumpy In California Falls Way Short

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things.

A Flop For The GOP

California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) fended off the GOP’s attempt to get him kicked out of office in a recall election that was called barely after the polls closed, and it wasn’t even close.

  • Newsom’s victory was largely due to his emphasis on California Republicans’ attacks on COVID-19 safety measures and how his top GOP rival, radio host Larry Elder, was a far-right Republican who was out of step with staunchly blue California, per the Sacramento Bee’s analysis.
  • In fact, the governor barely pointed to his own achievements in his fight against the recall, the L.A. Times notes.
  • Gavin’s tactic of focusing on COVID-19 seems to have paid off:

  • Elder seemed to give up his Trumpian attempt to sow doubt about the election results almost immediately on Tuesday night, telling his supporters, “Let’s be gracious in defeat.”

  • Elder doesn’t really get a cookie for not committing to his gambit to undermine American democracy. It’s just fascinating that he went through the trouble of promoting a form to “report” voter fraud, that Trump and the right-wing media worked to preemptively paint the election as “rigged,” only for the GOP candidate to actually concede despite refusing to commit to accepting the election results the day before: 

Trump Loses His Mind Over Milley Bombshells

The ex-president railed against Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley on Tuesday night after Washington Post reporters Bob Woodward and Robert Costa revealed in their book that Milley had gone behind Trump’s back to circumvent a potential attack on China and got involved in the U.S.’s nuclear chain of command in the days following the Capitol insurrection.

  • Trump attacked Milley as a “dumbass” and a “failed leader” in a deranged statement on Tuesday, asserting that “actions should be taken immediately against” the general.
  • The ex-president also denied ever thinking about attacking China. “The people that fabricated the story are sick and demented, and the people who print it are just as bad,” he ranted.
  • Read what military experts had to say about Milley’s actions in interviews with TPM reporter Josh Kovensky considering that the general is not part of the chain of command.

Dems Play Hardball In NY Redistricting

Even though New York will lose a House seat, New York Democrats, who enjoy supermajorities in both chambers of their state’s legislature, have an opportunity to wipe out five Republican House seats as they draw the new congressional district map.

  • House GOP conference chair Elise Stefanik (R-NY) could potentially be affected if Democrats target the more red areas in upstate New York, where her district lies.

Arizona Attorney General Sues Over Biden’s Vaccine Mandate

Mark Brnovich, Arizona’s Republican attorney general, is suing the Biden administration after the President put in a mandate ordering all workplaces with 100 or more employees to ensure the employees either get the COVID-19 vaccine or get tested weekly.

  • Brnovich accused the administration of making an “unprecedented and unconstitutional power grab” with the mandate as he was announcing his lawsuit.

U.S. Poverty Fell In 2020 Thanks To COVID Aid

Poverty dropped to 9.1 percent last year after the federal government provided emergency relief for COVID-19.

  • Compare that figure to 2019, when poverty was at 11.8 percent.
  • Nearly 8.5 million people were rescued from poverty thanks to the stimulus checks.

Delete Your Account

Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-IA) posted–and has yet to delete–a fake article claiming that Biden ordered the Veteran Affairs department to withhold health benefits from veterans who hadn’t received the COVID-19 vaccine.

  • “If true, this is insane!” the Republican tweeted.
  • The website that published the article, Delaware Ohio News, literally says at the bottom of the page that “everything on this website is made up” and “Do not rely on anything said here.”

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Milley ‘Eroded’ Civilian Control Of Military With Trump-Era Crisis Actions

In the days after the Jan. 6 Capitol insurrection, Joint Chief of Staff Chairman Gen. Mark Milley reportedly became “involved” in the country’s nuclear chain of command, and also assured his Chinese military counterpart that an attack from the U.S. was not forthcoming.

Continue reading “Milley ‘Eroded’ Civilian Control Of Military With Trump-Era Crisis Actions”