Shutdown Dogs That Aren’t Barking: Russ Vought Abject Degeneracy (Follow Up) Edition

I can’t go into too much detail without revealing my sources. But I wanted to share that I’ve heard from sources in multiple departments and agencies that the groundwork you’d expect to see in advance of wholesale firings — as promised by Office of Management and Budget Director Russ Vought — simply are not happening: lists for who gets fired and who doesn’t, the reduction in force paperwork, etc. Those things aren’t happening. At least not in the places where the people I’ve spoken to work. At least not yet.

Of course we’re one day in. MAGA isn’t known for good order and process. So it might change. But it is an early signal, by no means definitive, that Vought’s threat of a DOGE 2.0/large-scale firings is one they’re hesitant to carry out … In this Times newsletter, Jess Bidgood relays Karoline Leavitt’s threat that the layoffs are “imminent” and Vought is cueing them up. Trump holds all the power, she continues. “The question is merely how far [Trump] wants to go.” But again, under the hood, in the boiler rooms of personnel policy rather than official statements, it looks different.

Meet the Trump-Appointed Diplomat Accused of Shielding El Salvador’s President From Law Enforcement

This article first appeared at ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative newsroom. Sign up for The Big Story newsletter to receive stories like this one in your inbox.

In August 2020, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, went to the U.S. ambassador with an extraordinary request. Salvadoran authorities had intercepted a conversation between a journalist and a U.S. embassy contractor about corruption among high-level aides to the president.

The contractor, a U.S. citizen, was no ordinary source. He collaborated with U.S. and Salvadoran investigators who were targeting the president’s inner circle. Over the previous year, he had helped an FBI-led task force uncover a suspected alliance between the Bukele government and the MS-13 street gang, which was responsible for murders, rapes and kidnappings in the United States. He had worked to gather evidence that the president’s aides had secretly met with gang bosses in prison and agreed to give them money and protection in exchange for a reduction in violence. The information posed a threat to the Bukele government.

Bukele wanted the contractor out of the country — and in Ambassador Ronald D. Johnson, he had a powerful American friend. Johnson was a former CIA officer and appointee of President Donald Trump serving in his first diplomatic post. He had cultivated a strikingly close relationship with the Salvadoran president. After Bukele provided Johnson with the recordings, the ambassador immediately ordered an investigation that resulted in the contractor’s dismissal.

It was not the only favor Johnson did for Bukele, according to a ProPublica investigation based on a previously undisclosed report by the State Department’s inspector general and interviews with U.S. and Salvadoran officials. The dismissal of the contractor was part of a pattern in which Johnson has been accused of shielding Bukele from U.S. and Salvadoran law enforcement, ProPublica found. Johnson did little to pursue the extradition to the United States of an MS-13 boss who was a potential witness to the secret gang pact and a top target of the FBI-led task force, officials said.

After he stepped down as ambassador, Johnson continued his support for the Salvadoran president despite the Biden administration’s efforts to curb Bukele’s increasing authoritarianism. He also played a prominent role in making Bukele Trump’s favorite Latin American leader, according to interviews and public records.

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Kacsmaryk Transfers Mifepristone Case To Court Made Up Of Mostly Trump Judges

Arch-conservative federal district court Judge Matthew Kacsmaryk, with much vitriol aimed at the Supreme Court, begrudgingly transferred a major attack on mifepristone’s legality out of his court Tuesday night — claiming to arbitrarily choose instead a district court composed almost entirely of Trump appointees. 

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SCOTUS Lets Cook Stay on Fed Board Despite Trump’s Attempt to Fire Her, At Least For Now

The Supreme Court ruled Wednesday to keep fired Governor Lisa Cook on the Federal Reserve Board for now, at least temporarily defying President Trump’s wishes.

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The Test of Our Time: Even the Military Can’t Resist Trump on Its Own Forever

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

‘Enemy From Within’

It’s rare these days for Morning Memo to read like anything other than a litany of travesties, indignities, and setbacks in American public life. For a moment, I thought today’s edition could offer a respite, with some good news to balance the unremitting bad news.

But the smattering of positive developments happened to fall on the day President Trump, in his biggest, most blatant attempt to politicize the military’s officer corps, warned darkly of an “enemy from within.” And that lingers in a way that casts a pall over the few bright spots in the effort to preserve democracy and the rule of law.

So let me begin there …

Trump Confronts the Military as a Threat To His Own Power

In targeting the military’s professionalism and nonpartisanship, Trump laid the groundwork for further lawless domestic use of the military, including illegally in law enforcement. It was a harbinger of a more muscular and oppressive authoritarianism than Trump has mustered so far.

As I watched the flag officers flown in from around the world sit uncomfortably for absurd speeches by the president and his callow defense secretary, I came to see it as the closest Trump could get to a mass firing of the officer corps.

Imagine the other groups of federal workers that Trump has targeted sitting in those seats: government scientists, foreign aid experts, prosecutors and investigators, inspectors and regulators, human resource professionals. They were summarily fired, often in violation of the law, but the generals and admirals are more untouchable than that. Not entirely off limits, as we already seen with some Pentagon terminations, especially of officers who are women or people of color. But for a variety of practical and political reasons, a sweeping purge of generals isn’t feasible.

What is feasible is is to begin to erode the military culture. To emphasize loyalty over merit. To prize fealty over competence. To punish truth-telling and reward convenient fictions. Trump touched on all of those things in a long, rambling speech that could be confused with incoherence.

Trump, as commander in chief, already had constitutional power over his captive audience of flag officers. What he proceeded to do yesterday, with Hegseth’s assistance, was to assert the power of his cult of personality over them. If that made your stomach turn, Hegseth told them, then you should resign.

As a group, this is not what the officers corps signed up for. They are steeped not just in military tradition but in civilian control of the armed services, the chain of command, laws of war, rules of engagement, and the proper role of the military in a free society. These each consist of sets of guardrails, expectations, and values that, if not anathema to Trump, are entirely foreign to him. He is indifferent to them at best, but more likely he is threatened by them because they stand outside of his own power base.

Trump has checked off the list of independent sources of political power that authoritarians typically target: the courts, law enforcement, the press, universities, and civil society organizations, among others. The military remains a key holdout. But none of these institutions can resist alone, and even together they can’t resist forever without broad-based cultural support for them. That is going to be the real test of our time.

The Three Bright Spots

I mentioned some bright spots in the day’s news. They are in rough order of importance:

  • With a flourish, a federal judge determined that the Trump administration had illegally targeted pro-Palestinian international students for removal because of their political beliefs.
  • In a ruling that parallels what befell Alina Habba in New Jersey, a federal judge found that Sigal Chattah, the gonzo Trump U.S. attorney in Nevada, was invalidly appointed.
  • Trump withdraws epically bad nominee E.J. Antoni to run the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

More on Sigal Chattah

On the same day that a judge ruled that Nevada acting U.S. Attorney Sigal Chattah was invalidly appointed, Reuters reported that she had asked the FBI to investigate debunked GOP claims about voter fraud in the 2020 election.

Reuters’ bombshell report relies on a government document it obtained that allegedly shows:

(i) Chattah wants to remove “illegal aliens” from voter rolls possibly leading to a “reallocation of census numbers” that would affect the race for Nevada’s 4th congressional district seat, currently held by a Democrat.

(ii) Chattah wants to exonerate the six Republicans who were prosecuted for Trump’s fake electors scheme in Nevada in 2020 even though she represented one of the defendants and has deep conflicts of interest.

(iii) Chattah hopes to demonstrate an ongoing conspiracy between the Biden White House and state attorneys general.

(iv) Chattah wants a takedown of unions and non-profits that operate voter registration drives and a probe into the financing of these “illegal acts” by the Democratic political action committee ActBlue.

It’s the kind of politicization one imagines the most cravenly loyal Trump prosecutors to engage in, but you don’t expect it to be put in writing for an international news agency report on it.

Shutdown Watch

You can follow TPM’s ongoing coverage of the government shutdown here.

Quote of the Day

Tressie McMillan Cottom:

We can’t just reject the threat. We have to reject the idea that our only, best power is our pocketbooks. That’s a desecration of civics, as corrosive as the idea that debate is the pinnacle of civil discourse. It cheapens our actions by degrading what we believe is possible. Our power isn’t in making one of the choices that are presented to us. Our power is in shaping the choices available to us.

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Trump White House Withdraws Nomination for Controversial BLS Pick After GOP Senators Decline to Meet With Him

President Donald Trump has withdrawn his controversial pick for Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner, E.J. Antoni, after it became apparent he did not have support from enough Republican senators.

Senators Susan Collins (R-ME) and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) declined to meet with Antoni ahead of his not-yet-scheduled hearing before the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions committee, on which both senators sit, according to a CNN report. It’s common for nominees to meet with staff of both parties on the HELP committee before their confirmation. So Collins’s and Murkowski’s refusal to sit down with Antoni meant trouble for the success of his candidacy. Antoni would have needed the support of every Republican senator on the HELP committee to be confirmed.

The about-face from the White House comes after a bevy of raised eyebrows and all-out alarm sounding from economists, researchers, and Democratic and more moderate Republican senators. They were first disturbed after Trump fired ex-BLS chief Erika McEntarfer following a federal jobs report showing a declining economy. Murkowski, along with GOP senators Cynthia Lummis (R-WY), Thom Tillis (R-NC), and Rand Paul (R-KY) each expressed concern following McEntarfer’s firing.

When Trump nominated Antoni, economists across the political spectrum railed against the nominee as an under-experienced partisan hack. Antoni received his doctorate in economics just five years ago, and had limited published work.

Experts shuddered at suggestions from the conservative economist to halt the monthly jobs report and replace it with a less current survey, for example. 

But the death blow, perhaps, came after a CNN KFile report exposed Antoni as the owner of a now-deleted X account which posted racist, sexist, homophobic, sexually offensive and generally distasteful content.

Following the withdrawal, the White House in a statement praised Antoni and said Trump will announce a new nominee shortly, CNN reports.

“Dr EJ Antoni is a brilliant economist and an American patriot that will continue to do good work on behalf of our great country,” a White House official said. “President Trump is committed to fixing the longstanding failures at the BLS that have undermined the public’s trust in critical economic data.”

In a statement to CNN, Kevin Roberts, president of The Heritage Foundation, said Antoni will remain chief economist at the organization.

“It is undeniable that BLS needs reform and E.J. was the right man for the job,” Roberts said.

The BLS is currently being led by William J. Wiatrowski, the deputy commissioner, who is acting as interim commissioner.

Don’t Believe the Hype: Russ Vought Degeneracy Edition

I write fluidly across different venues. Here, on social media, in emails with readers … and I sometimes lose track of where I’ve said what. So I wanted to agree with something TPM Reader XX1 says in this email I flagged. I’m skeptical the White House will follow through on their threats to carry out a new wholesale round of firings, as Office of Management and Budget Director Russ Vought is threatening. I’m not saying they won’t. They totally might. So this isn’t something I’m relying on or telling you to rely on. I’m just skeptical for two reasons. The first is that this White House doesn’t need a shut down to fire people. Despite the law-breaking it entails, they’ve made clear that, with the Supreme Court’s assistance, they can fire as many people as they want. If they thought it helped them to fire more people, they’d be doing that already; the shutdown provides zero new legal power to fire anyone.

“Want” is the key word here.

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Readers’ Thoughts #1

From a federal employee. TPM Reader XX1, initials anonymized and portion of letter which notes government agency removed for obvious reasons …

I’m writing here to concur with your last couple blog posts on the shutdown.  You put into prose accurately what I’ve been trying to get across to so many local political allies who overthink irrelevant minutia.  They focus on the timing of the fight, on the details of the substance, etc.  None of that matters, as has been apparent to me all along.  This is, in fact, an arm-wrestling match, purely a battle over power.  The Democrats’ goal should be to extract a material concession that resonates to the broad masses as a “public good,” and they are doing that with ACA subsidies.  Successfully extracting  a concession is a material victory that slightly restores just a little bit of balance of power, and blocks Trump’s effort at totalitarian control. 

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Trump Tells Generals to Prepare for War on Dem-Controlled Cities

President Trump and Defense (sorry, War) Secretary Pete Hegseth each gave speeches before hundreds of unamused top U.S. military officials, who were dragged away from their work commanding the U.S. military and to Quantico, Virginia this week for, up until Tuesday, mysterious reasons.

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