Oh Boy

I don’t usually flag an Axios column for your perusal. But this one may be an exception, if only to absorb the full fluffery and myth-making that places like Axios are now doing. We hear that Trump will now be like Reagan who after his attempted assassination, they quote David Broder here, became “mythic” and “politically untouchable.” Trump is no Reagan. But then neither was Reagan. I don’t know what Broder was smoking when he wrote that but after a couple-month poll bump Reagan’s public support actually went back to where it had been and then got super low for the 1982 midterms in which Republicans got walloped. He rose again after the 1982 recession in time for his 1984 blowout. In any case, the Axios piece just keeps rollin’ from there. Trump will now be able to unite America, writes CEO Jim VandeHei. Prince Hal-like, we’re told, the real Trump is a very different man in private and will now shed his public Trumpy ways and become a new man. If there’s any question Trump’s a new man post-shooting, well, they quote Tucker Carlson telling us so.

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A Shattering Weekend Of Political Violence And Casting Blame For It

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

This Isn’t That Complicated

The initial shock and horror of Saturday’s shooting quickly gave way to MAGA attempts to flip the script and blame Democrats for stoking a toxic political environment and inciting violence against Trump.

For those in the back, deploring Trump’s embrace of violent threats, rhetoric and imagery is not itself an incitement to violence. Opposing Trump’s lurch toward strongman-ism is not tantamount to wishing him dead. Holding Trump accountable to the rule of law is not an invitation to take the law into one’s own hands.

For more on the MAGA post-shooting impulse to stifle criticism and disclaim responsibility for its own fetishization of violence:

  • TPM’s Josh Marshall: “The anger of many Trump supporters is understandable and human. … But the moment [it] pass[es] into efforts to chill or silence temperate and accurate discussions of what a second Trump presidency portends we must reject them immediately, totally and categorically.”
  • Joyce Vance: [T]rying to equate Democrats’ calls to defeat Trump in the election with calls for violence are wrong. They do nothing to take down the temperature in a moment when that is much needed. … Much like we should condemn the violence, this effort to place blame where it is not due should be rejected too.”
  • Aaron Rupar (the Trump video aggregator extraordinaire who happened to take Saturday’s rally off): “[Y]ou can condemn Trump’s shooting while also acknowledging the ugly fact that nobody has done more to worsen the climate of political violence in this country than him.”
  • David Frum: “Nobody seems to have language to say: We abhor, reject, repudiate, and punish all political violence, even as we maintain that Trump remains himself a promoter of such violence, a subverter of American institutions, and the very opposite of everything decent and patriotic in American life.”

A Historical Perspective

Yale historian Timothy Snyder:

If a radical-right politician such as Donald Trump is the victim of an assassination attempt, should we not presume that the perpetrator is on the radical left?

No, we should not.

That sort of presumption, based on us-and-them thinking, is dangerous.  It begins a chain of thinking that can lead to more violence.  We are the victims, and they are the aggressors.  We have been hurt, so it must have been them.  No one thinking this way ever asks about the violence on one’s own side. 

And this way of thinking is also very often erroneous.  The history of the far right tells a different story, one in which violence often refracts within and around a political movement that endorses it.

Steady, People, Steady

A key difference between crazy right-wing conspiracy theories and crazy left-wing conspiracy theories is that Democratic leaders have not embraced them, utilized them for political purposes, associated themselves with them as a signal to supporters, or otherwise picked up and incorporated the associated argot into their own political rhetoric. That is a huge difference and makes comparing the two fraught at best and deeply misleading at worst.

Still, the proliferation of “BlueAnon” conspiracy theories on the left over the weekend is notable and should be on your radar.

An Important Point

In his televised address last night from the Oval Office, President Biden noted that not only was the attempted assassination of Donald Trump an attack on democracy but so was the killing and wounding of his supporters, assembled freely at a political rally exercising core constitutional rights. A perhaps subtle but important additional point.

More On The Shooter

TPM’s Hunter Walker: Shocked Classmates Remember ‘Awfully Quiet’ Trump Shooter Tom Crooks

Secret Service Has A Lot To Answer For

In much the same way as the security failures in DC on Jan. 6 were open and obvious, the Secret Service cordon around former President Trump at Saturday’s rally was clearly flawed.

For anyone who has attended any public outdoors event featuring a Secret Service protectee, one of the defining elements is the presence of Secret Service sharpshooters and lookouts on rooftops and any other elevated positions with lines of sight to the protectee. It’s the thing about these events that makes the hair on your neck stand up. That’s part of what makes the initial reports about the shooter’s unfettered access so shocking.

Congress is already initiating investigations into the Secret Service’s handling of the event.

Republican National Convention Kicks Off In Milwaukee

Former President Trump arrived Sunday in Milwaukee ahead of the start of the Republican National Convention. By my count it is the fourth of the last five GOP conventions to open under the specter of outsized external events:

  • 2008 (John McCain): Global financial crisis
  • 2012: (Mitt Romney): Hurricane Isaac
  • 2020 (Donald Trump): COVID pandemic
  • 2024 (Donald Trump): Assassination attempt on Trump

National political conventions were already like mini-fortresses dropped into the downtown of an American city, but security will still be top of mind after Saturday’s shooting. Otherwise, the RNC looks poised to proceed more or less as originally planned.

Looking Ahead To Election Day …

  • TPM’s Khaya Himmelman: GOPers Spin Up Fresh Conspiracy Theories About New Law To Block Baseless Election Challenges
  • NYT: Unbowed by Jan. 6 Charges, Republicans Pursue Plans to Contest a Trump Defeat

Judge Dismisses Rudy G’s Bankruptcy Case

Georgia election workers Ruby Freeman and Shaye Moss can now resume collecting their $148 million defamation judgment against Rudy Giuliani after a judge dismissed his Chapter 11 bankruptcy case Friday due to his failure to comply with the rules.

Ruth Westheimer, 1928-2024

Simpler times, perhaps:

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‘We Did Nothing’

TPM Reader KO sent me this lede from an AP piece from February of this year.

 Former President Donald Trump told thousands of members of the National Rifle Association that “no one will lay a finger on your firearms” if he returns to the White House, and bragged that during his time as president he “did nothing” to curb guns.

“During my four years nothing happened. And there was great pressure on me having to do with guns. We did nothing. We didn’t yield,” he said as he addressed the NRA’s Great American Outdoor Show in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, Friday evening.

Harrisburg of all places.

The Contagion of School Shootings

From TPM Reader GS, the email that I referred to in the previous post up earlier this evening …

We still know very little about the shooter – but perhaps he has more in common with the way too common mass shooters rather than Lee Harvey Oswald or Sirhan Sirhan. 

There is the young age and apparent social rejection/isolation, and also the obv suicidal nature of trying to kill a heavily guarded former President from an exposed and visible position. 

We do not know that at this point, but if that turns out to be the case, then that is a completely different social context. Then it is not yet another case of political violence but yet another case of the epidemic of mass shootings, usually by young men. 

Continue reading “The Contagion of School Shootings”  

Reflections on Those Horrifying Moments

Let me share some reactions to Saturday’s surreal and horrifying attempted assassination of Donald Trump. The first is that so much about Trump and the whole world he has brought into being is bombast and fakery. So much about Trump’s world is carried over from the world of professional wrestling, the bombast and taunts, histrionic and willfully over-the-top presentation, the play-acting. Friends become enemies and then friends again. There is high-tension falling out and then making back up. And at it’s core the whole thing is fake. It’s all one big reality show.

But this was not fake. This was as real and grave as it gets. A deranged kid — it really seems to me this guy may not have had any recognizable politics, though we might find that he did — came within an inch of assassinating Trump on live TV. Beyond the personal tragedy and the grave wound to our whole political system, it is difficult and terrifying to imagine what that act would have unleashed. And by the merest luck it didn’t happen.

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Shocked Classmates Remember ‘Awfully Quiet’ Trump Shooter Tom Crooks

Before he allegedly fired the shots heard around the country, Thomas Matthew Crooks barely made a sound. 

Continue reading “Shocked Classmates Remember ‘Awfully Quiet’ Trump Shooter Tom Crooks”  

Instrument Settings

There are a handful of new polls which have come out in the last 24 hours, all before the events of yesterday afternoon. They each show Biden either one or two points behind or the same margin ahead, with the average leaning toward the former. This is roughly back, though not quite, to where they were the day before the debate.

Grounded Responses to Yesterday’s Attempted Assassination

Political violence and especially electoral violence strike at the heart of the open, free and democratic choice-making upon which our civic democratic system and the legitimacy of its choices are based. We must condemn it in every instance as well as expressing our personal sympathy for its victims. We do so not to box check some vague concept of civility or comity but because it strikes at the taproot of civil peace. It is equally not a license to squelch political speech or in this case threaten or intimidate those calling attention to the real and profound dangers of Donald Trump returning to the White House. We are already seeing this attempt in the making.

Continue reading “Grounded Responses to Yesterday’s Attempted Assassination”  

Nota Bene

A few days ago, at the heart of the Biden bonfire, I told someone: Do you really imagine that the next four months are going to unfold in a straight line from the sentiment of this inflamed moment without half a dozen other things happening you didn’t predict or even imagine?

This still applies.