The Aftermath Of Historic Category 5 Hurricane Otis, In Photos

The Mexican city of Acapulco was hit Thursday by Hurricane Otis, packing 165 m.p.h. winds, the strongest tropical cyclone ever to strikes the country’s Pacific coast. In under 24 hours, Otis rapidly strengthened from a tropical storm not even expected to come ashore into a Category 5 hurricane bearing down on a major city, catching forecasters, civil defense officials, tourists and residents off guard. Otis caused massive structural damage along the coast and left at least 27 people dead. Damages and casualties are still being assessed.

EXCLUSIVE: Santos Campaign Meltdown Attracts Interest From House Investigators 

It was just before midnight on December 27, 2021, and Jen Remauro had a message for Rep. George Santos (R-NY). The Republican was less than a year away from his victory in a New York congressional election that would trigger a shocking series of scandals and criminal charges. But behind the scenes, there was already plenty of drama.

“Please keep me out of your spew,” Remauro wrote in a text to Santos, which she provided to TPM. 

Continue reading “EXCLUSIVE: Santos Campaign Meltdown Attracts Interest From House Investigators “

Alabama Man Indicted For Allegedly Threatening Fani Willis

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

‘Watch Everywhere That You’re Going’

A federal grand jury in Atlanta has returned an indictment against Arthur Ray Hanson II, of Huntsville, Alabama, accusing him of transmitting interstate threats to injure Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis and Sheriff Patrick Labat in retaliation for the prosecution of Donald Trump. Hanson left two threatening voicemails after calling the Fulton County Government customer services line, prosecutors alleged.

According to the Justice Department, Hanson’s threats against Willis in one voicemail included:

  • “watch it when you’re going to the car at night, when you’re going into your house, watch everywhere that you’re going”
  • “I would be very afraid if I were you because you can’t be around people all the time that are going to protect you”
  • “there’s gonna be moments when you’re gonna be vulnerable”
  • “when you charge Trump on that fourth indictment, anytime you’re alone, be looking over your shoulder”
  • “what you put out there, [expletive], comes back at you ten times harder, and don’t ever forget it.”

Jan. 6 Defendant Loses His Shit In Courtroom Outburst

CBS News’ Scott MacFarlane was in the courtroom:

A physical altercation broke out during a hearing on Monday in the case of Vitali GossJankowski, a defendant convicted of several charges related to the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol, resulting in toppled tables and multiple federal agents subduing the defendant on the ground.

Disqualification Clause Trial Gets Underway

The Colorado evidentiary hearing to determine whether Donald Trump is ineligible for the presidency under the Constitution’s Disqualification Clause got underway Monday with testimony from a member of Congress and a DC police officer:

  • Law&Crime: Trial to kick Trump off ballot in Colorado for Jan. 6 starts with harrowing police testimony
  • NYT: Colorado Trial Considers Whether the 14th Amendment Disqualifies Trump
  • Colorado Public Radio did a liveblog for an in-depth review of Day 1

ICYMI

CNN:

Special counsel Jack Smith withdrew a subpoena seeking information from former President Donald Trump’s 2020 campaign this week, a source familiar told CNN.

This is the second withdrawn subpoena related to Smith’s investigation into fundraising practices following the 2020 election. Earlier this month, Smith withdrew a subpoena seeking records from Save America, a Trump-controlled political action committee, two sources familiar with the matter said.

Nevada Man Charged With Alleged Anti-Semitic Threats To Jewish Senator

John Anthony Miller of Las Vegas faces federal charges in Nevada for allegedly leaving threatening, anti-Semitic voicemails for Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-NV), who is Jewish. Among the threats Miller allegedly made in the voicemails, according to the criminal complaint:

  • “All these fucking lies is in your fucking hands, you fucking bitch, and I’m gonna fucking see you soon, you fucking sellout fucking faggot bitch.”
  • “You just fucking woken up a motherfucking monster, you fucking piece of shit unhuman, subhuman, you’re vermin, bitch, you are vermin, bitch, and we’re gonna finish what Hitler started you fucking slut.”
  • “You done picked your side bitch and you done chose evil. I don’t give a fuck if you
    were born into it or not, bitch, you are fucking evil, bitch and we’re gonna exterminate you, fuck.”

Good Read On Mike Johnson

Bulwark:

There is no contradiction in observing that Mike Johnson is both a mild-mannered, courteous, conservative evangelical Christian and a politically extreme ideologue. He has surrounded himself with some of the most dangerous, anti-democratic Christian leaders in the country—the same people who theologized the January 6th insurrection—and offered them his public support and praise. Is there any doubt about the flock to which he belongs?

Israel-Gaza Watch

  • NYT: Under Shroud of Secrecy, Israel Invasion of Gaza Has Begun
  • WaPo: House GOP demands IRS budget cuts along with Israel aid
  • Politico: Israel aid drives wedge within Congress
  • WSJ: Israel Hits Hamas Tunnels as Ground Offensive Intensifies
  • NYT: U.N. Officials Describe Catastrophic Conditions in Gaza as Israel Advances

‘If You Spill A Drop Of American Blood, We Will Spill A Gallon Of Yours’

Senate Dems Plan Vote To Subpoena Clarence Thomas Benefactors

Senate Judiciary Committee Democrats are planning to vote on subpoenas for two key figures in the ethics scandals surrounding Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas: Harlan Crowe and Leonard Leo.

2024 Ephemera

  • Politico: 3 Expert Shoemakers Say Ron DeSantis Is Probably Wearing Height Boosters
  • Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D-OR), who has served in Congress since 1996, will not seek re-election in 2024.

Acapulco Death Toll Climbs To 45

In the slow, painful recovery from last week’s Category 5 Hurricane Otis, Acapulco reports a death toll of 45 people, with dozens still missing.

Truer Words Never Spoken

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Youngkin Admin Admits It Removed Thousands Of Legal Voters From Rolls By Accident

Back in May, Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin (R) was one of a handful of Republican governors who bought into far-right conspiracy theories about the Electronic Registration Information Center (ERIC) and pulled his state out of the program.

Continue reading “Youngkin Admin Admits It Removed Thousands Of Legal Voters From Rolls By Accident”

Is A Two State Solution Really No Longer Possible?

What can be called a “peace process” between Israel and the Palestinians ended with the failure of the Camp David summit and the onset of the Second Intifada in late 2000. Over the subsequent years, as settlement activity continued, it became increasingly common, especially among the more hard-bitten and realist-minded, to say that the time had run out on a so-called “two state solution.” From different quarters this verdict had different meanings. For Israeli maximalists it was a concluding judgment on the folly of the Oslo Accords and refusal of territorial concessions. For Palestinians it signaled a rejection of territorial compromise born of disappointment with the failure of Oslo. More concretely it was a simple statement of the reality on the ground. The West Bank had become so shot through with settlements — not just the large agglomerations along the 1967 border but lines of control reaching much deeper into Palestinian areas — that it simply wasn’t possible to create a viable state even if there was the will to create one. And quite clearly there wasn’t the will to make one.

On the Israeli side, the Oslo Accords had been born of a strategic recognition on the part of significant elements of the Israeli national security establishment. It wasn’t possible to keep the West Bank and Gaza Palestinians in a permanently stateless/occupied status. Nor was it possible to absorb them into Israel since Israeli Jews would cease to make up the overwhelming majority of the population. The years between 2000 and 2008 represented a kind of back and forth holding pattern. Benjamin Netanyahu’s return to power in 2009 was based on a very different premise: that the Palestinian issue could be managed indefinitely rather than resolved and with no major repercussions.

Continue reading “Is A Two State Solution Really No Longer Possible?”

How Long Until Donald Trump Violates His Reinstated Gag Order?

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

Chutkan Reimposes Gag Order On Trump

Maybe we should do an office pool?

After U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan reinstated her gag rule in the Jan. 6 case against former President Donald Trump in an order issued Sunday night, it seems like only a matter of time before he violates it.

Chutkan, showing a great deal of restraint and careful consideration (perhaps too much), had paused her gag order while she considered Trump’s argument that she should keep it on pause while he appealed it. While the gag order was stayed, Trump continued to make the kinds of public attacks on witnesses that had given rise to the gag order in the first place, a point Special Counsel Jack Smith had seized on.

In her Sunday night order denying Trump’s request for a ongoing stay of the gag order, Chutkan highlighted a Trump post on Truth Social last week attacking Mark Meadows. “This statement would almost certainly violate the Order under any reasonable definition of ‘targeting,'” Chutkan wrote.

In some respects, the gag orders and the public debate over Trump’s out-of-court conduct are secondary to the prosecutions themselves –- but they’re of particular interest for three reasons:

  1. Is the rule of law strong enough for Trump to be treated the same as any other criminal defendant?
  2. Will Trump succeed in creating an environment in which witnesses, judges, prosecutors, and others are too intimidated and fearful to fulfill their responsibilities to the rule of law?
  3. Will Trump end up in jail or under other harsh sanction because he refuses to abide by the terms of his pre-trial release?

In another sign that any Trump violation won’t lead to his pre-trial release being revoked immediately, Chutkan write in a footnote that she would give the parties a chance to be heard before sanctioning any purported future violations: “Before concluding that any statement violated the Order, the court would afford the parties an opportunity to provide their positions on the statement’s meaning and permissibility.”

2 Disqualification Clause Cases Come To A Head

Fani Willis Is Targeting The Big Fish Duh

This is not a surprise at all, but The Guardian confirms that some of the bigger fish in the Georgia RICO case have not (yet) received offers of plea deals, including Donald Trump, Mark Meadows, Rudy Giuliani and John Eastman.

As for the small fish, a great Liz Dye treatment of Jenna Ellis’ guilty plea.

Don’t Sleep On The MAL Case!

Big Week In Trump’s NY Fraud Trial

NYT: Trump’s Children Are Set to Take the Stand at His Fraud Trial This Week

Hmmm …

Arizona Republic: Indicted Michigan lawyer pushed false claims of fraud for Arizona ‘audit’ report, texts reveal

2024 Ephemera

  • Mike Pence ends his presidential campaign:
  • WSJ: The race is on for second place in Iowa
  • WaPo: Youngkin ‘purge’ removed nearly 3,400 legal Virginia voters from rolls
  • NYT: How Trump’s Verbal Slips Could Weaken His Attacks on Biden’s Age
  • On bifurcating aid to Ukraine and Israel:

Israel-Gaza Watch

  • WSJ: Israeli Forces Make Major Advance Toward Gaza City
  • NYT: Netanyahu Finds Himself at War in Gaza and at Home
  • AP: Crowd storms Russian airport to protest flight from Israel
  • On the U.S. domestic political front, the big issue is House Republicans wanting to separate Ukraine aid and Israel aid.
  • CNN: New Speaker Mike Johnson vows to move standalone $14.5 billion Israel aid package in the House, setting up showdown with Senate
  • Politico: McConnell goes all out as Ukraine fight fractures GOP
  • An English translation of French diplomat Dominique De Villepin’s assessment of the Israel-Hamas War (warning: it’s a long-ish read):
  • Another thoughtful thread from Danny Seidemann, who graciously toured me and a group of journalists through East Jerusalem a decade ago:

A Puzzle For Our Time

Brian Beutler:

 I find myself increasingly puzzled over how to weaken this widespread liberal assumption that risk aversion and following the public lead is always wise, even at the expense of the better world they want to build. Even when the underlying issues are salient, failure of the status quo seems likely, and the consequences of failure would be severe. 

Matthew Perry, 1969-2023

BEVERLY HILLS, CA – OCTOBER 14: Actor Matthew Perry arrives at the 9th Annual Dinner Benefiting the Lili Claire Foundation at the Beverly Hilton Hotel on October 14, 2006 in Beverly Hills, California. (Photo by Michael Buckner/Getty Images)

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Paralysis at the Top in Israel

One thing that is obscured into the current chaos and killing in Israel/Palestine is that the current government is essentially paralyzed. Benjamin Netanyahu remains Prime Minister despite a catastrophic loss of public support tied to his failure to prevent the October 7th massacres in southern Israel. In theory there’s a government of national unity now in place, with a war cabinet made up of Netanyahu, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and Benny Gantz, one of the two main leaders of the opposition. But just how much control Gantz, a former IDF chief of staff, is exercising is unclear.

Meanwhile many government ministers have been close to invisible since the war started. Some basic news about government policy comes out in the US first and only then gets reported in Israel. I should add that from a distance and without a subtle grasp of the textures of Israeli politics it’s difficult for me to judge the extent of this invisibility. But I’ve asked this question of numerous Israelis whose opinion I trust and all seem to agree with this basic read of the situation.

Continue reading “Paralysis at the Top in Israel”

Voters In At Least 10 States Are Trying To Protect Abortion Rights. GOP Officials Are Throwing Up Roadblocks.

This article was originally published at ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative newsroom.

After the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, ending nearly 50 years of federal protection for abortion, some states began enforcing strict abortion bans while others became new havens for the procedure. ProPublica is investigating how sweeping changes to reproductive health care access in America are affecting people, institutions and governments.

Continue reading “Voters In At Least 10 States Are Trying To Protect Abortion Rights. GOP Officials Are Throwing Up Roadblocks.”

Trump’s Court Whisperer Had A State Judicial Strategy. Its Full Extent Only Became Clear Years Later.

This article as originally published at ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative newsroom.

Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas’ decadeslong friendship with real estate tycoon Harlan Crow and Samuel Alito’s luxury travel with billionaire Paul Singer have raised questions about influence and ethics at the nation’s highest court.

Continue reading “Trump’s Court Whisperer Had A State Judicial Strategy. Its Full Extent Only Became Clear Years Later.”

North Carolina Republicans’ Brazen Power Grab Will Be Difficult To Defeat Before 2024

The North Carolina legislature giddily passed its new congressional map Wednesday, an aggressive gerrymander that would near-automatically flip three currently Democratic seats and make a fourth a more Republican friendly tossup. 

Continue reading “North Carolina Republicans’ Brazen Power Grab Will Be Difficult To Defeat Before 2024”