Trump Camp Says State Menstrual Surveillance Programs are A-OK

One of the most toxic and politically explosive parts of the current abortion rights debate is tied the complexities and perhaps inanities of leaving national abortion policy up to individual states. And a comment yesterday from Trump spokesman Jason Miller put the question right back into the center of the campaign.

It’s not enough for many anti-abortion stalwarts to ban the procedure in their state. They want to ban legal drugs designed to induce abortion. They want to surveil and block women traveling to other states to obtain an abortion. One of the most threatening dimensions of these programs is that they threaten to make doctors and other medical professionals — who might give counsel on or simply know about a woman’s plans to obtain an abortion — responsible for reporting her actions. If you visit your OB-GYN and discuss traveling to another state to get an abortion, does your OB have to report you to the local sheriff? It applies to third parties who might assist a woman either in traveling to get an abortion or getting FDA-approved medications to induce an abortion at home. The cases we’ve already seen range the gamut from sheriff’s departments wanting to pull medical and travel records for evidence of pregnancies that ended for unexplained reasons, gaps in menstruation, trips out of state that coincided with a pregnancy not brought to term.

Continue reading “Trump Camp Says State Menstrual Surveillance Programs are A-OK”

The Eric Adams Case Is About More Than Public Corruption

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

A Paradigm Shift From Public Corruption To … What Exactly?

By now you’ve seen the broad outlines of the indictment of NYC Mayor Eric Adams. Five counts – conspiracy, wire fraud, solicitation of a campaign contribution by a foreign national, and bribery – of being a sloppy, brazen idiot.

It’s our usual practice to exalt in the buffoonery, slapstick comedy, and hilarious self-incrimination of corrupt elected officials. We’ll do a little of that in a moment.

But I want to place this in a different bucket than the usual run-of-the-mill public corruption case. It belongs instead to a new breed of criminal prosecutions targeting the foreign corruption of U.S. elected officials, elections, and the political system as a whole. It’s a new class of cases that combines what we think of as traditional public corruption with a national security and foreign policy component.

While the Justice Department has been arguably slow in responding to the threats posed by Donald Trump that culminated in the Jan. 6 attack, federal law enforcement has been focused, swift, and arguably relentless in targeting malign efforts by foreign governments and interests in corrupting our domestic politics for their own ends.

Whether it’s Russian ongoing efforts to destabilize the U.S. political system, Egyptian efforts to compromise Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ), or the multiple cases involving officials and business interests from our NATO ally Turkey, the pattern of quick DOJ intervention suggests this is among the highest federal law enforcement priorities. The Adams prosecution falls squarely in the recent spate of Turkey-related cases.

DOJ has used a mix of anti-public-corruption laws and the Foreign Agents Registration Act to combat these perverse outside influences. It seems especially focused on moving rapidly in the periods before elections when the potential damage of corrupt influence is greatest.

So while the allegations against Adams are especially ridiculous in the particulars, the trend of which he is a part is a relatively new and different phenomenon that’s only come into sharper focus in the past decade.

Always With The Buffoonery

No matter which bucket you’re talking about – public corruption, foreign influence, kleptocratic excesses – the pure absurdity, utter recklessness, and cartoonish criming seems to remain entirely intact and undiluted.

Spot-On Analysis (Stringer Bell Weeps)

Quite A Day For Purported Crime-Fighting NYC Mayors

Rudy Giuliani officially disbarred in Washington D.C. for his efforts to subvert the 2020 election on behalf of Donald Trump.

The Long Tail Of Trump Accountability

  • Jack Smith filed his extensive briefing and offer of evidence in the Trump Jan. 6 case in an effort to overcome the presidential immunity bestowed by the Supreme Court, but the filing remains under seal.
  • Massive civil fraud verdict against Trump gets frosty reception at New York appeals court.

Smartmatic Settles Defamation Case Against Newsmax

The settlement arising from Newsmax’s false claims about the 2020 election came as jury selection was beginning in Delaware. The terms of the confidential settlement were not disclosed.

Election Security Watch

  • TPM’s Khaya Himmelman: Safeguards Will Prevent Georgia Board From Blocking Certification Indefinitely. But Delays Could Still Wreak Havoc
  • Christian Science Monitor’s Cameron Joseph interviews Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger about the Georgia Election Board “destroying voter confidence.”

On The Trail

  • Donald Trump said he would meet Friday morning at Trump Tower with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, their first meeting since 2019.
  • Later Friday, Trump is in Warren, Michigan, for a town hall event focused on the auto industry.
  • Kamala Harris visits the U.S.-Mexico border In Arizona.

By The Numbers: Swing States Edition

ARIZONA

GEORGIA

MICHIGAN

Harris leads Trump 50%-47% among likely voters, according to the latest Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll.

NEVADA

Harris leads Trump 52%-45% among likely voters, according to the latest Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll.

NORTH CAROLINA

Harris leads Trump 50%-48% among likely voters, according to the latest Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll.

PENNSYLVANIA

Harris leads Trump 51%-46% among likely voters, according to the latest Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll.

WISCONSIN

Harris leads Trump 51%-48% among likely voters, according to the latest Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll.

Breaking News In Iranian Hack Of Trump Campaign

  • ABC News: “Federal law enforcement officials plan to announce criminal charges Friday in connection with the alleged Iranian hack of emails from members of former President Donald Trump’s campaign, sources familiar with the matter told ABC News.”
  • Politico: “A grand jury has indicted multiple Iranians on charges related to hacking Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential campaign.”

2024 Ephemera

  • Democrats are hedging their bets on their Senate majority by making late – perhaps desperate – plays in the closer-than-expected races to unseat Ted Cruz (TX), Rick Scott (FL), and Deb Fischer (NE).
  • Never-Trump Sen. Mitt Romney (R-UT) remains reluctant to endorse Kamala Harris because (i) he wants “to preserve his ability to rebuild the Republican Party in a post-Trump world”; and (ii) has concerns about his own family’s safety, the WaPo reports.
  • David Dayen on Kamala Harris’ manufacturing agenda.

Playing The Long Game

Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR) introduced a bill to expand the Supreme Court by six justices over 12 years, among other reform measures.

Every Last Bit Of This

Quote Of The Day

A Matt Gaetz word salad, offered in defiant response to inquiries by the House Ethics Committee into allegations of drug use and underage sex:

I have not used drugs which are illegal, absent some law allowing use in a jurisdiction of the United States. I have not used “illicit” drugs, which I consider to be drugs unlawful for medical or over-the-counter use everywhere in the United States.

‘Many Things Keep Happening’

To end a week where we needed some grounding, pause for a moment and listen to the Kentucky patois of Robert Penn Warren: “The mayor / Has been, clearly, remiss, and the city / Was totally unprepared for such a crisis.”

Do you like Morning Memo? Let us know!

Gaetz Says He’ll No Longer Voluntarily Cooperate With ‘Uncomfortably Nosey’ Ethics Panel

Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) is DONE answering the House Ethics Committee’s questions about his alleged sex life and his alleged drug use, at least voluntarily.

Continue reading “Gaetz Says He’ll No Longer Voluntarily Cooperate With ‘Uncomfortably Nosey’ Ethics Panel”

On Language and Predation

From TPM Reader LS …

I had a different response to Trump’s words. At first it was visceral disgust mixed with fear. Then the memories kicked in. This is the kind of talk the man who raped me said.  It was some version of that I was going to like the experience, which was deeply untrue. And that I wouldn’t tell anyone if I knew what was best for me. 

Continue reading “On Language and Predation”

Managing Your Polling Habit, or Getting the Monkey Off Your Back

Our friend Rick Perlstein had a good piece in The American Prospect yesterday about polling and its pitfalls — both its pitfalls as a practice, with its evolving, imperfect methodologies, but also as something we political junkies obsess over. The gist of his argument is contained in the subhed: “Presidential polls are no more reliable than they were a century ago. So why do they consume our political lives?” I don’t think Rick quite sustains that claim fully. I’m not sure he’s actually trying to. But as is the case with many articles, its interesting enough for the points and the bits of history he shares along the way. The gist is that new methodologies keep working great until they suddenly don’t, and then it’s on to some new methodology. Then there’s the fact that for decades pollsters always seemed to stop polling too soon and miss big shifts at the ends of campaigns.

Continue reading “Managing Your Polling Habit, or Getting the Monkey Off Your Back”

Adams Indicted; Gotham Yawns

When New York Mayor Eric Adams was elected in 2021, I told a number of people that I thought he’d either be a great mayor or end up getting indicted for something. A baseball player who bats .500 is a god. So I’m feeling reasonably good about this prediction. I tried to see whether I’d written this down somewhere. Back in December 2021 I wrote on Twitter that “I think there’s a lot about Adams that is really what the city needs. Most of the things. But also concerned that he’ll get indicted for something.” A month later I explained the basis of my largely misguided bullishness on Adams. “For clarity, I’m not cheering anything from the last three days. I think a mayor rooted in the politics of the city’s black middle class (which is Adams’ base) is better for the city today than rooted in the politics of liberals in Manhattan and Brooklyn.”

This general point I still believe.

Continue reading “Adams Indicted; Gotham Yawns”

Safeguards Will Prevent Georgia Board From Blocking Certification Indefinitely. But Delays Could Still Wreak Havoc

While Georgia has safeguards in place to prevent officials from indefinitely refusing to certify the results of the upcoming election, the newly approved rules by the MAGA-controlled Georgia State Election board have the potential to delay election certification for up to seven days. Experts tell TPM such a delay could open the floodgates to potential threats of violence and upheaval, all while sowing seeds of distrust in the election system. 

Continue reading “Safeguards Will Prevent Georgia Board From Blocking Certification Indefinitely. But Delays Could Still Wreak Havoc”

Trump II’s Unique Dual Threat To Military AND Civilian Life

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

Trump’s Military-Fantasy Complex

In a series of three posts over the past month, TPM’s Josh Kovensky has been unpacking the many disturbing elements of the emerging Trump II plan to harness the military for its own political ends in ways that are outside the bounds of American tradition and may be outside the law.

The series emerged organically as his reporting and that of other news outlets gradually helped to bring the issue into sharper focus. But that means we haven’t promoted it as strongly or consistently as we might have otherwise. So I wanted to walk you through the major themes because if Trump wins in November, then in about six weeks’ time, things will start moving very quickly and I don’t want this potential threat flying under your radar.

The overarching theme of Josh’s reporting is that Trump is drawn to using the military because it appeals to a series of fantasies he has:

  1. The military is all powerful.
  2. The military can augment his own power as president, particularly in areas where federalism and the law make the president inherently weaker.
  3. Unlike other components of the federal government, the president can use the military free of congressional strings and oversight.

None of these fantasies is actually true, though they contain wisps and fragments of truth.

We’ve long known about Trump’s attraction to the military, or at least to the trappings he perceives it to have: strength, power, loyalty. His obsession with “my generals” in his first term led him to surround himself with flag officers, most of whom came to despise and disrespect him.

What’s new in Josh’s reporting is how MAGA adherents want to co-opt the military for its own political ends, including: mass deportations, cracking down on domestic protests, and simply to project political strength.

Civilian rule over the military is a core American value. Keeping the military as an institution, non-partisan and out of politics remains a bedrock tradition. Not using the military for domestic purposes except in extreme cases is also a foundational value.

Trump’s child-like fascination with the military as a way to shore up his own insecurities ignores all of that history and tradition and the laws that help preserve them. He would come into office perturbed that he hadn’t made full use of the military his first time round and determined not to be thwarted from doing so this time.

It’s a particular flavor of the Trump threat that we haven’t encountered before in our history and which we may not be sufficiently prepared for: It threatens the military as we know it and civilian life. Because there’s no precedent for it, predicting how it will unfold is difficult. But we’ll be on it when and if it does.

NYC Mayor Eric Adams Indicted

Federal law enforcement was reported to be searching Gracie Mansion this morning after news broke Wednesday night that NYC Mayor Eric Adams has been indicted on federal criminal charges. The specifics of the charges are not yet public, but the indictment is expected to be unsealed today. Adams rebuffed calls to resign and vowed to fight the unspecified charges.

Jack Smith Immunity Brief In Jan. 6 Case Due Today

Special Counsel Jack Smith faces a deadline of today to file his expected 180-page brief on the legal and factual reasons that Supreme-Court-bestowed presidential immunity does not preclude the superseding indictment against Donald Trump in the Jan. 6 case.

The brief – which could include never-before-seen evidence against Trump – will be filed under seal, and it is not clear when a redacted version will be released to the public. That will be up to U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan and could take days – or longer depending on Trump’s objections to its release and how hard he fights to keep it from becoming public before the election.

Death By A Thousand Delays

DOJ Inspector General Michael Horowitz will not release his long-awaited report on the department’s handling of the Jan. 6 attack and the run-up to it until after the November election. The IG’s work was paused for an extended period due to ongoing criminal investigations, which is a legitimate basis for delay. But the notion that an examination of DOJ’s role in preventing an auto-coup in 2020 will not be done in time for the very next election is another example of the institutional molasses in which so much of the democracy-defense effort is mired.

UPDATE: Trump Assassination Attempts

  • Trump and Harris are both now getting unprecedented levels of Secret Service protection following the two assassination attempts against Trump.
  • Trump is now claiming – without evidence – possible Iranian involvement in the two assassination attempts against him.
  • Trump continues to sow distrust and fear in the same vein as his Deep State conspiracizing by making baseless claims that the FBI is slow-rolling the investigations into his two would-be assassins.

Senator Targeted In Deep Fake Operation

Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chair Ben Cardin (D-MD) wound up on a Zoom call with someone purporting to be a top Ukrainian official in what is being investigated by the FBI as a sophisticated deep fake operation, Punchbowl News first reported. The person with whom Cardin spoke looked and sounded like Dmytro Kuleba, who was until recently Ukraine’s foreign minister.

2024 Ephemera

  • In a wide-ranging economic policy speech, Kamala Harris pledged $100 billion in tax credits for U.S. manufacturing.
  • WSJ: A State-by-State Guide to Early Voting
  • TPM’s Nicole Lafond: Now Mike Johnson Is Hedging On Whether The Election Will Be Certified

Good Reads

  • Rick Perlstein: Presidential polls are no more reliable than they were a century ago. So why do they consume our political lives?
  • Brian Beutler: Republicans Have A Nazi Problem
  • Garrett Epps: The Chaos of the Supreme Court’s Last Term—and What May Be Coming This Time

Woman Sentenced In Neo-Nazi Plot Against Power Grid

Sarah Beth Clendaniel, 36, was sentenced to 18 years in prison for conspiring to attack the power grid around Baltimore in a white-supremacist plot to accelerate social and political collapse.

How Is This Any Different From What Trump Is Saying?

Rep. Clay Higgins (R-LA) said the not-so-quiet part a little louder in a now-deleted tweet that mirrored the Trump-Vance attacks on Haitian immigrants in Ohio:

Higgins deleted it after being confronted on the House by some Black members of Congress, including Rep. Byron Donalds (R-FL). The chair of the Congressional Black Caucus called for the Ethics Committee to look into the tweet and for a reprimand of Higgins by the House.

On CNN last night, Higgins remained defiant: “It’s not a big deal to me. It’s like something stuck to the bottom of my boot. Just scrape it off and move on with my life.”

The irony in all of this is that Trump-Vance ticket is invoking the same racist stereotypes, playing to the same racist fears, and engaging in the same demagoguery as Higgins, albeit slightly less explicitly. Slightly.

Do you like Morning Memo? Let us know!