House GOPers Claim Bill Will ‘Eventually’ Pass After Trump Bullying. But Not Everything Is ‘Hunky Dory’

President Donald Trump attended the closed-door House Republican conference meeting Tuesday morning in an attempt to convince two obstinate factions to get on board with the party’s reconciliation package. One group of members has been calling for steeper spending cuts; another group of largely blue-state Republicans has been unhappy with leadership’s state and local tax offer as well as provisions of the bill that would slash Medicaid.

While Trump may have been successful in bullying many members into submission, not all lawmakers who spoke to TPM and the other reporters outside the meeting room projected as much confidence as leadership. 

House Republican leadership is, of course, hoping to bring the One Big Beautiful Bill Act to a floor vote this week to meet their self-imposed deadline of passing it out of the lower chamber by Memorial Day.

A handful of members came out of the meeting indicating they think the President made significant progress with holdouts on both sides of the spectrum.

Rep. Dusty Johnson (R-SD), the chair of the Main Street Caucus, told reporters Trump made a “convincing case” behind closed doors.

“I think with the holdouts, he did move them,” Johnson said, later adding that the President’s speech “moved that room.”

“I would say the President’s message, fundamentally, is quit monkeying around … we have got to deliver this for the American people,” Johnson told reporters, adding that “there were a lot of nodding heads in that room.”

Despite that note of positivity, the South Dakota Republican did acknowledge that not everything is “hunky dory” and there is still some work to be done to get everyone on board.

“I don’t know that we are there yet, but that was a hugely impactful meeting,” Johnson told reporters in the House basement.

Rep. Andrew Clyde (R-GA), who was one of the holdouts that tanked the first House Budget Committee vote last Friday, also told reporters, “eventually I believe it will pass.”

Not all Republicans yielded to Trump’s arm-twisting

Norman, another right-winger calling for steeper cuts, wouldn’t directly tell reporters if the President was successful in changing his mind following the closed-door session.

“He did a great job,” Norman said, adding that the President’s “off the cuff” speech was “one of the greatest speeches” he’s ever heard.

“He said the right things,” Norman added. 

Meanwhile, Rep. Tim Burchett (R-TN) signaled he is still undecided.

“It’s like an NBA ball game, boys,” Burchett told reporters. “Wait till the last two minutes and watch it. And we’re about at two minutes and 30 seconds.”

Rep. Mike Lawler (R-NY), part of the group of blue-state members who have been pushing for a higher cap on the state-and-local-tax deduction that they view as crucial to their reelection prospects, said he remained unmoved, despite Trump calling him out by name inside the room.

“While I respect the president, I’m not going to budge,” Lawler told reporters, according to Politico.

Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) confirmed that the President did mention Lawler by name during the meeting.

“[Trump] encouraged him that he won his race by a lot. He’s going to win again,” Boebert said, adding that the President tried to push the idea that “this isn’t political. This is about doing what’s right by the American people.”

Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) also told reporters he was still a “no” following the meeting. However, Massie said he thinks Trump “probably closed the deal in there.”

“If his job was to go in there and convince the Freedom Caucus and the blue-state Republicans, I think he did a good job,” Massie told reporters in the House basement. “And he made a decent effort at convincing me, directly.”

Massie said that Trump called him out individually, but wouldn’t get into the specifics of what he said. Others in the room indicated that Trump reportedly called Massie a “grandstander.” The Kentucky Republican said he was unbothered by the rhetoric as well as Trump’s previous calls for Republican candidates to wage primary challenges against him.

“I’m not worried,” Massie told reporters. “I’m not worried about losing. I’m not worried if I did.”

When questioned about why he thinks other House Republicans are unable to say “no” to Trump, Massie acknowledged it is mostly about their political futures. 

“Because some of them want to run for governor, and they need his endorsement,” Massie said. “And some of them are freshmen who are here because of his endorsement and probably haven’t established themselves to get reelected without his endorsement. I don’t know. Some of them have never even voted against a post office naming. How are they going to vote against this bill?”

‘Don’t fuck around with Medicaid’

As cuts to Medicaid remain one of the biggest contention points between the holdouts, Trump did specifically address the social safety net program during the meeting, according to lawmakers who attended it.

“Don’t fuck around with Medicaid,” Trump reportedly told House Republicans, but he, per multiple reports, quickly undercut that point by saying the bill should deal with “waste, fraud, and abuse” in the program.

Boebert told reporters that Trump said to “leave it alone unless there is waste, fraud and abuse,” as she walked out of the meeting.

Trump, in a public press conference, later echoed that line: “There’s tremendous waste, fraud, and abuse,” he claimed.

That has become the go-to phrase for Republicans who want to justify their cuts to the largely popular program, despite the fact that rooting out supposed “waste, fraud and abuse” roughly translates to work requirements and other significant cuts to the program — policies that would lead to millions losing their health care coverage

Nothing Normal About Trump DOJ’s Case Against Dem Rep

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

Another Crossing The Rubicon Moment

Let’s quickly run through the many telling and odd aspects of the still-unseen criminal case against Rep. LaMonica McIver (D-NJ) for an alleged incident that took place while conducting her constitutional oversight duties:

  • Still no charging documents publicly available this morning as we go to press.
  • That didn’t stop top Trump DOJ officials from touting the charges. Acting U.S. Attorney Alina Habba of New Jersey posted a statement on X, and Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche weighed in, too.
  • For those of us who anticipated politically motivated criminal charges against Democratic members of Congress in a white-nationalism-infused Trump II presidency, the fact that the first member charged is a Black woman resonates on several levels.
  • While it’s hard to assess the charges without any charging documents, the muddied and conflicting accounts of what happened at the ICE detention center in Newark would typically be enough by itself to eschew criminal charges. Not always, but often, and especially when the case bumps up hard against constitutional separation of powers concerns.
  • Habba’s simultaneous decision to drop a criminal trespass charge against Newark Mayor Ras Baraka arising out of the same incident “for the sake of moving forward” is not a reason I’ve ever heard a federal prosecutor give for withdrawing charges.

Criminally charging opposition political leaders at the same time you are dismantling the infrastructure for pursuing public corruption cases is an authoritarian one-two punch. So is this bit of gaslighting from Blanche: “[A]ssaults on federal law enforcement will not be tolerated. This Administration will always protect those who work tirelessly to keep America safe.” Contrast that with this next item.

Price Tag On Babbitt Settlement: $5M

The Trump DOJ’s tentative settlement of the wrongful death lawsuit brought by the estate of Ashli Babbitt, the Jan. 6 rioter shot and killed by a Capitol Police officer as she was storming the Capitol, reportedly calls for a $5 million payment to Babbitt’s family.

Reacting to the news, outgoing Capitol Police Chief Thomas Manger said: “This settlement sends a chilling message to law enforcement nationwide, especially to those with a protective mission like ours.”

The Corruption: DOJ Weaponization Edition

A sampling of some of the worst and most bizarre transgressions of the past 24 hours:

  • With President Trump running the Justice Department out of the White House, he called for a “major investigation” into spurious allegations he invented that Bruce Springsteen, Beyoncé, Oprah Winfrey, and Bono violated campaign finance laws in how they supported Kamala Harris’ presidential campaign.
  • Kennedy Center President Richard Grenell bizarrely called the art center’s deferred maintenance and its financial deficit “criminal” and said he was referring the mundanities of arts administration to the D.C. U.S. attorney.
  • The Trump DOJ is launching a new unit to make unprecedented use of the False Claims Act to target university DEI programs. While it would mostly pursue civil claims, DAG Todd Blanche went as far as threatening criminal prosecution in some instances.
  • The Trump DOJ’s Civil Rights Division opened an investigation into the city of Chicago for hiring Black people. I’m not sure how else to put it.

Trump’s Message: Do My Bidding And You’ll Be Rewarded

The controversial Emil Bove III, who was a criminal defense attorney for President Trump before being named a top Justice Department official, is on the short list for a seat on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit.

The End Of CBS News As We Knew It

Paramount’s determination to bend the knee to President Trump by settling his bogus lawsuit against 60 Minutes has cost CBS News President Wendy McMahon her job.

Quote Of The Day

Of course a president openly filling his pockets with direct (albeit thinly veiled) payoffs from people with business before the government is an attack on the republic. Of course the president pardoning political allies for crimes is an attack on the republic. Of course disappearing people off the streets and sending them to foreign prison camps is an attack on the republic. Of course violating basic constitutional rules about spending government money; defying court orders; denying habeas rights; intimidating media outlets and universities and law firms; and on and on are all attacks on the republic.

Jonathan Bernstein

4th Circuit Upholds ‘Facilitate’ Order In AEA Case

In an important Alien Enemies Act case, the 4th Circuit Court of Appeals declined to stay a lower court order that the Trump administration “facilitate” the return of a Venezuelan man deported to El Salvador in violation of an existing court-approved settlement agreement, TPM first reported.

Another ‘Facilitate’ Case Pops Up In Texas

In a new order, U.S. District Judge Keith Ellison of Houston gave the Trump administration 24 hours to (i) confirm the location and condition of a Venezuelan man believed to have been removed to El Salvador on March 15; and (ii) to explain the “legal basis for his continued detention.”

Anticipating resistance from the Trump administration, Ellison also imposed several other important conditions on the government if it claims “an inability to facilitate communication due to lack of control over El Salvadoran facilities.”

In Other Alien Enemies Act News …

  • U.S. District Judge John Holcomb has blocked removals under the AEA in the Central District of California.
  • Jason Willick reminds us of the Trump DOJ’s complete about-face on whether AEA detainees are entitled to due process.
  • Roger Parloff has another eminently accessible thread, this one on the Supreme Court’s AEA ruling Friday:

A few late notes on SCOTUS’s AARP II ruling. Beyond extending for now the bar against removing aliens from NDTexas under the Alien Enemies Act, it does 3 key things. The biggest, below, is declaring ICE’s current ~24-hr notice policy unconstitutional. … 1/12

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— Roger Parloff (@rparloff.bsky.social) May 19, 2025 at 10:37 AM

House GOP Lurches Toward Vote On Big Bill

With Speaker Mike Johnson gunning to vote this week on President Trump’s centerpiece legislation, the WSJ unpacks in an accessible way what’s in it.

The Purges: Trauma Edition

WaPo: White House officials wanted to put federal workers ‘in trauma.’ It’s working.

IMPORTANT

In one of the few clear examples we’ve had so far of a court stopping President Trump’s effort to dismantle a government agency, U.S. District Judge Beryl Howell of D.C. has largely reversed the White House’s attack on the U.S. Institute of Peace.

Trump Folds Bigly On Ukraine After Talking To Putin

President Trump made another remarkable and devastating capitulation to Vladimir Putin that leaves Ukraine twisting in the wind after it spent months trying to accommodate a hostile American president.

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Trump-Appointed Leader Of Worker Protection Agency Directs Focus On DEI, ‘Binary Reality of Sex’

Equal Employment Opportunity Commission Acting Chair Andrea Lucas has directed agency officials to compile a list of cases in line with her own personal priorities for the agency, two sources familiar with the matter tell Talking Points Memo. Those priorities include “defending the biological and binary reality of sex and related rights” and “rooting out unlawful DEI-motivated race and sex discrimination,” according to a document reviewed by TPM.

Continue reading “Trump-Appointed Leader Of Worker Protection Agency Directs Focus On DEI, ‘Binary Reality of Sex’”

Trump Hasn’t Yet Been Whipping Votes, And The House Can’t Function Without Him

With no further road to kick the can down, we’ve been on the lookout this week for how exactly President Trump will get involved with badgering the House Republican conference into line behind the ridiculously named piece of legislation that will kickstart his fiscal agenda. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) has set an almost comically aggressive timeline for getting the bill passed in his chamber — Memorial Day — and, so, it’s been a question of when, not if, Trump surfaces in Congress.

Continue reading “Trump Hasn’t Yet Been Whipping Votes, And The House Can’t Function Without Him”

Trump Admin Must Facilitate Return Of Another Wrongfully Deported Man, Appeals Court Rules

For the second time in as many months, a federal appeals court declined to pause a lower court order requiring the Trump administration to “facilitate” the return of a foreign national wrongfully deported to El Salvador. 

Continue reading “Trump Admin Must Facilitate Return Of Another Wrongfully Deported Man, Appeals Court Rules”

GOP—With Some Key Dem Support—Poised To Give Trump The Green Light On Crypto Schemes

Here’s an example of the kind of compromise included in the Senate’s updated crypto bill. After bipartisan negotiations this month, the GENIUS Act will now ban stablecoins from using “United States,” “United States Government,” or “USG” in their name.

In some ways, it’s important: stablecoins, typically used to purchase other, more volatile forms of cryptocurrency, are pegged to the dollar.

But, alas, they are not dollars.

Continue reading “GOP—With Some Key Dem Support—Poised To Give Trump The Green Light On Crypto Schemes”

Federal Judge Boots DOGE Out Of Institute Of Peace After Armed Takeover

A judge turned the U.S. Institute of Peace back over to its unlawfully fired board members Monday, scolding the administration for using “brute force and threats of criminal process” to commandeer an organization that does not fall within President Trump’s removal powers.

Continue reading “Federal Judge Boots DOGE Out Of Institute Of Peace After Armed Takeover”

GOP Leadership Keeps Insisting Its Going To Jam The Medicaid-Cutting ‘Beautiful’ Bill Through This Week

Following a small rebellion last week by far-right members of the House Budget Committee — who were calling for steeper spending cuts — Republicans on the panel managed to move their reconciliation package out of the committee late Sunday night. Yet the most perilous moments for Johnson’s fraught push to pass Trump’s everything-and-the-kitchen-sink bill may well lie ahead. 

Continue reading “GOP Leadership Keeps Insisting Its Going To Jam The Medicaid-Cutting ‘Beautiful’ Bill Through This Week”

Fight or Don’t Fight and Take the Consequences

It’s become almost commonplace in recent years, and especially in the last four months, that the divisions among Democrats are less progressives vs. “centrists” or liberals than one between institutionalists and what we might call Team Fight. There’s a separate issue which is that there needs to be a lot more elaboration or articulation about just what “centrists” or “moderates” even are. The language is typically used as an electoral self-definition for the purposes of intra-party dynamics. But let’s leave that topic for another day. So we have the mounting knowledge that the divisions are more Team Fight vs. Team No Fight than the more ideological definitions. At the same time, though, you have non-progressives (see the problem of definitions?) worried that the highly polarized climate of 2025 will “push the party to the left.” (I have my own thoughts on that latter question.) A lot of those voices came to the fore during the Bernie and AOC barnstorming tour, which I guess is paused, at least for the moment. But for “centrists” or non-progressive liberals, if it’s really true that the real issue is Team Fight vs. Team No Fight (and I believe it is), you’ve got to get out there and do your own barnstorming tours or find other ways to demonstrate the fight.

This is just obvious. In a period of high polarization and high threat, the center of gravity of the party and inevitably the ideological center of gravity of the party will move to those fighting hardest, most successfully, with the fewest apologies.

Continue reading “Fight or Don’t Fight and Take the Consequences”

Trump DOJ Admits It Used Bogus Info In Key Deportation Case

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

This Is Effed Up On So Many Levels

In an important federal case in Massachusetts over whether deportees can be sent to third countries rather than their countries of origin, the Trump administration admitted Friday to a grievous error and managed to compound it in the process.

It’s a bit complicated so let me boil it down to its essentials:

  • Background: A gay Guatemalan national who had a U.S. immigration judge order barring his removal to his home country because he feared continued persecution was instead deported to Mexico in February by the Trump administration, partly on the grounds that he had told ICE that he didn’t fear being sent to Mexico. That was odd because the man, identified only by the initials O.C.G., had previously testified that he had been targeted and raped in Mexico, his lawyers say.
  • Thursday: The Trump DOJ abruptly cancelled the scheduled deposition of an ICE official “whom Defendants previously identified as giving Plaintiff O.C.G. notice of deportation to Mexico and recording his response of lack of fear,” O.C.G.’s lawyers later told the court.
  • Friday: The Trump DOJ filed a “Notice of Errata” admitting that during the judge’s ordered discovery in the case it had been unable to “identify any officer who asked O.C.G. whether he had a fear of return to Mexico.” A key factual element of the Trump administration’s case had evaporated. But it got worse …
  • Sunday: Lawyers for the deportee – who is now in hiding in Guatemala because he fears persecution as a gay man – filed an emergency motion pointing out, among other things, that the government’s filing about its own error revealed the deportees name and other information, further jeopardizing his safety despite a court order anonymizing his identifying information.

Still with me? In the course of admitting its error, the Trump administration outed the gay man who it had wrongfully deported in the first place.

This case may ultimately yield the third court order for the Trump administration to “facilitate” the return of a wrongfully deported foreign national.

SCOTUS Ruling Means We May Avoid A Worst-Case Scenario

A few weeks ago as the clash between the executive and judicial branches was first coming into focus, the two biggest risks to the constitutional order appeared to be:

  1. President Trump simply ignoring court orders and daring judges to do something about it; and
  2. The Supreme Court doing whatever Trump wanted in the first place so that he didn’t have to go so far as defying the courts.

At least with the Alien Enemies Act and in related cases, that second major risk seems mostly off the table now even if the Trump administration continues to defy court orders (see Abrego Garcia case below). And while the Supreme Court’s spine has stiffened primarily in the AEA cases, that has implications beyond the immigration realm.

The Roberts Court’s 7-2 ruling Friday in an AEA case out of the Northern District of Texas was a strong rebuke of the administration and defense of due process:

  • Steve Vladeck: The Supreme Court’s (Alien Enemies Act) Patience is Wearing Thin
  • Joyce Vance: SCOTUS to Trump: Due Process!

IMPORTANT

Joe Kent, the acting chief of staff for DNI Tulsi Gabbard, ordered a senior analyst to “redo” an intelligence assessment of the relationship between Venezuela’s government and Tren de Aragua that undercut the White House’s justification for invoking the Alien Enemies Act, the NYT reports.

Trump Continues To Defy Abrego Garcia Judge

A contentious hearing Friday pushed the case of the wrongfully deported Kilmar Abrego Garcia ever so closer to a contempt of court finding by U.S. District Judge Paula Xinis of Maryland.

Xinis was unsparing in her criticism of the Trump administration’s stonewalling of her in the case, saying it has failed to comply with her orders in “bad faith.” Still, Xinis hasn’t found the administration in contempt yet, preferring to build a more robust case that will stand up on appeal.

Xinis gave the government a new round of deadlines by which to meet its discovery obligations, but – barring a surprise shift – it looks more likely that this case is headed toward a showdown over contempt of court rather than the immediate release and return of Abrego Garcia.

Secret Service Brought Comey In For Questioning

The firestorm of fake indignation over former FBI Director James Comey’s “86” social media post culminated (one hopes this is the culmination) with him being hauled in voluntarily for questioning Friday by the Secret Service.

Trump DOJ Watch

  • After largely dismantling the Public Integrity Section, the Trump DOJ is now planning to allow federal prosecutors to bypass it entirely and charge politicians without Main Justice approval, the WaPo reports.
  • Former acting D.C. U.S. Attorney Ed Martin’s bogus investigation into a Biden-era EPA grant program that led to the forced resignation of a veteran prosecutor has turned up no evidence of criminality by either government officials or vendors, the NYT reports.
  • The Trump DOJ is preparing to offer Boeing a non-prosecution agreement rather than taking it to trial in 737 MAX case. This all comes after the Biden DOJ had secured a guilty plea from Boeing in the case.

House GOP Sorta Gets Its Act Together

After flailing on Friday, the House GOP advanced its massive reconciliation bill through committee late last night. Prospects for the centerpiece of President Trump’s legislative agenda – which despite all of its brutal spending cuts and funny math is projected to increase budget deficits by nearly $3 trillion through 2034 – remain unclear in the House, where Speaker Mike Johnson is barely holding his conference together as he tries to rush through “one big, beautiful bill.”

Indy Agencies Didn’t Fare Well In Major Case

TPM’s Kate Riga covered the oral arguments Friday before the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals in the combined case of President Trump’s firing of Democratic members of the National Labor Relations Board and Merit Systems Protection Board. With a three-judge panel that includes two Trump appointees, independent agencies did not fare well.

DOGE Watch

  • WaPo: How DOGE’s grand plan to remake Social Security is backfiring
  • Nextgov/FCW: DOGE went looking for phone fraud at the Social Security Administration — and found almost none
  • NOTUS: DOGE Is Now Targeting GAO, and the Congressional Agency Is Fighting Back

Palm Springs Bombing

The 25-year-old man who allegedly bombed a fertility clinic in Palm Springs died in the blast, apparently while trying to live-stream the detonation, authorities said.

Biden Agonistes

In an odd juxtaposition, former President Biden was diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer and the audio recordings of former President Biden’s 2023 interview with Special Counsel Robert Hur were leaked to news outlets before they could be released by the Trump DOJ.

Project Esther

NYT: The Group Behind Project 2025 Has a Plan to Crush the Pro-Palestinian Movement

Quote Of The Day

“I cannot stand by while a country is invaded, a democracy bombarded, and children killed with impunity. I believe that the only way to secure U.S. interests is to stand up for democracies and to stand against autocrats. Peace at any price is not peace at all ― it is appeasement. And history has taught us time and again that appeasement does not lead to safety, security or prosperity. It leads to more war and suffering.”–former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, who resigned rather than carry out the Trump administration’s policy “to put pressure on the victim, Ukraine, rather than on the aggressor, Russia”

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