Poll Shows Dem With Unexpectedly Huge Lead In Key Senate Race

October 25, 2014 10:18 a.m.

An Anchorage polling firm is giving Sen. Mark Begich (D-AK) an unexpectedly huge lead in his re-election bid less than two weeks before Election Day and with early voting underway.

Hellenthal and Associates shows Begich up 10 points over Republican challenger Dan Sullivan, 49 percent to 39 percent. It is by far the biggest lead that Begich has seen and runs counter to most public polling, which has shown Sullivan with a consistent advantage since mid-September.

Another poll released Friday and sponsored by Democratic PAC’s supporting Begich showed the race tied at 44 percent.

The Hellenthal and Associates poll, conducted Oct 15 to 21, surveyed 403 likely voters. Its margin of error is 4.9 points.

According to TPM’s PollTracker average, Begich currently holds a slight edge, 44.4 percent to 44.2 percent.

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